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Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam
1
WE EXAMINED 18 YEARS OF DATA FROM
BRAND ASSET VALUATOR®
WORLD’S LARGEST 50,000 BRANDS QUARTERLY U.S. PANEL
DATABASE OF BRANDS OF 16,000
RESPONDENTS
OVER 800,000 275 STUDIES
CONSUMERS ACROSS 51 COUNTRIES $ 130 MILLION INVESTED
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam
2
FOUR PILLARS ASSESS
BRAND HEALTH, MOMENTUM
AND COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE

Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam
1
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN
EACH PILLAR TELLS A DIFFERENT
STORY IN THE BRAND’S DEVELOPMENT

Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam
2
BRAND STRENGTH IS THE FIRST 

LEVEL OF MEASUREMENT IN
ASSESSING A BRAND’S HEALTH

Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam
3
THE BAV POWERGRID

Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam
4
TO SUPPLEMENT OUR DATA, WE TRAVELED
ACROSS AMERICA
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:/AD35/A
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Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
7
WE ARE MOVING FROM MINDLESS TO MINDFUL
CONSUMPTION
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
8
THE SPEND SHIFT IS THE MAJORITY OF AMERICA

THE SPEND SHIFT IS
A CONSUMER LED
MOVEMENT TO 54.5%
PROMOTE VALUES
THROUGH THE POWER
OF CONSUMPTION
113.4 MILLION PEOPLE
Total US population estimate age 22+ / 208 million people Another 26.6% exhibit similar beliefs and behaviors (55.4 Million people) Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
9
THE SPEND SHIFT SUGGESTS WE’RE MORE ALIKE
THAN DIFFERENT
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
10
SPEND SHIFTERS THROUGHOUT THE WORLD

Source: BrandAsset ® Valuator’ international values segmentation
— 4-C’s (Cross-Cultural-Consumer-Characterization) Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
11
FOR 80% OF AMERICANS, THIS IS A RECESSION
LIKE NO OTHER
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
12
TRUST DECLINE ACROSS INDUSTRIES 2005 TO 2010

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
13
NEW PRIORITIES IN EXPECTATIONS FOR COMPANIES
AND BRANDS
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
14
THE ROLE OF CONSUMERISM IN THE AMERICAN
DREAM IS CHANGING
“I FIND THE MORE I HAVE THE 

MORE I WANT.”

DISAGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
15
AND THE ECONOMIC PAIN HAS LEAD US TO
RECONSIDER OUR VALUES AND OUR PRIORITIES
“MONEY IS THE BEST MEASURE 

OF SUCCESS.”

77.9%
87.5%
DISAGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
16
OUR SHIFTING CONCEPTS OF NECESSITY

SHIFTING CONCEPTS OF NECESSITY
50

40
30
20
10
PERCENTAGE
USAGE (NEED)
PREFERENCE (WANT)
0
1993 1997 2001 2005 2008 2009

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
17
PEOPLE WERE ADJUSTING THEIR LIFESTYLES EVEN
BEFORE THE CRISIS HIT
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
18
THIS IS NOT A ‘NEW NORMAL’, BUT A RETURN
TO NORMAL
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
19
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
2
SPEND SHIFT NO. 1
THE NEW AMERICAN FRONTIER
OPTIMISM RESILIENCY OPPORTUNITY
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
21
PEOPLE ARE MORE HOPEFUL AND OPPORTUNISTIC

“SINCE THE RECESSION I’M ACTUALLY 

MORE CAPABLE OF STARTING MY OWN 

BUSINESS.”

48.0%
60.0%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
22
AND MANY ARE MOVING FROM INDUSTRIAL TO
INDUSTRIOUS THINKING
“THERE IS A GREATER OPPORTUNITY 

FOR INDIVIDUAL BUSINESSES TO COMPETE WITH 

LARGE COMPANIES THAN THERE USED TO BE.”

39.0%
53.0%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
23
TORYA BLANCHARD
OWNER:
GOOD GIRLS GO TO PARIS
DETROIT
With low cost loans from the non-profit University
Cultural Center Association, Torya Blanchard
opened a tiny crepe restaurant to share her love
of all things French with her hometown, Detroit.
Serving low-cost but high quality meals Good
Girls Go to Paris quickly became profitable. The
shop also provides jobs and a light of hope in a
city where shuttered shops outnumber those that
are occupied.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
24
Charles Sorel opened his little
French bistro, Le Petite Zinc, after
moving with his family from
Brooklyn to Detroit. He had been
successful with his cafe in Brooklyn
and wanted to try his hand in this
new environment. This welcoming
little eatery — something like a
family kitchen where the coffeepot
is always on — makes for the perfect
start-up business in any community,
especially one that is short of
comforts. Le Petite Zinc offers,
besides delicious French cuisine,
cheer and optimism to its patrons.
CHARLES SOREL
OWNER/RACONTEUR:
LE PETIT ZINC
DETROIT
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
25
PATRICK CROUCH
PROGRAM MANAGER:
EARTHWORKS FARMS
DETROIT
Patrick Crouch of Earthworks Farms
has helped turn vacant blocks into
productive farms producing everything
from salad greens to jarred preserves.
Earthworks not only feeds people in an
area where grocery stores are scarce,
it is helping to change the character
of devastated neighborhoods, and
raise inner-city employment. Crouch,
who is sponsored by local Capuchin
monks, teaches other city farmers
which crops yield the greatest profit.
He says a handful of properties now
under cultivation will soon be
profitable without any further
assistance.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
26
Paul Savage, CEO of Nextek Power Systems is
a pioneer in developing and providing direct
current (DC) electrical equipment which provides
a substantial increase in the flexibility, reliability,
and efficiency of energy systems in buildings. By
rekindling Thomas Edison’s original creation, a
DC system can be scaled to cover one building
or several city blocks, providing the lowest-cost
off-the-grid light and power. Savage calls it simply
“organic energy that’s made in Detroit”.
PAUL SAVAGE
CEO/RENEWABLE
ENERGY PUSHER:
NEXTEK POWER SYSTEMS
DETROIT
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
27
SPEND SHIFT NO. 2

DON'T FENCE ME IN

RETOOLING EDUCATION BETTERMENT
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
28
PEOPLE ARE MORE SELF-RELIANT AND RESOURCEFUL

“SINCE THE RECESSION I AM INTERESTED IN 

LEARNING NEW SKILLS, SO I CAN DO MORE 

MYSELF AND RELY LESS ON OTHERS.”

64.7%
80.3%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
29
PEOPLE ARE IN-SOURCING AS WELL AS ‘UN-CONSUMING’

“THESE DAYS, I FEEL MORE IN CONTROL 

WHEN I DO THINGS MYSELF INSTEAD OF RELYING 

ON OTHERS TO DO THEM FOR ME.”

84.1%
92.5%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
30
LESLIE HALLECK
FOUNDER:
NORTH HAVEN FARMS
DALLAS
Leslie Halleck was one of the first in her
neighborhood to start raising chickens in her
backyard. This shift from consumption to
production in households across America is part
of a more self-reliant lifestyle, where thousands
of people across the country have started to
produce their own eggs for safety and profit.
Halleck went one step further, creating a business
to train and supply the growing number of locals
who raise birds and collect eggs every day.
Her first Saturday class drew over one hundred
people. With the parking lot overfilled, cars
spilled onto the shoulder.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
31
32
As Dallas librarian Miriam Rodriguez
confirms, public libraries have
become training centers for those
who need to brush-up on skills,
conduct a job search, or get free
instruction in English as a second
language. Miriam created a series of
networking seminars, job-retraining
and continuing education programs.
Once thought to be roadkill from the
internet, Library use reached record
levels during the recession as people
sought education and community.
Today sixty-eight percent of
Americans now have a library card,
the highest percentage ever.
MIRIAM RODRIGUEZ
LIBRARIAN:
PUBLIC LIBRARY
DALLAS
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
The Senior Editor of Make magazine, a bible for
do-it-yourselfers, Phil Torrone partnered with Limor
Fried to create Adafruit Industries, which sells kits
and parts for original open source hardware
electronics projects out of a small loft in lower
Manhattan. As more Americans became interested in
learning new skills, Adafruit-sponsored ‘MakerFaires’
are an on-line social forum where Millennial-aged
electronics enthusiasts are mentored by retired
engineers from NASA and Boeing. Technology and
social media forums like these are helping to make
generational divides are quietly disappear.
PHIL TORRONE  LIMOR FRIED
FOUNDERS:
ADAFRUIT INDUSTRIES
NEW YORK CITY
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
33
ROB KALIN
FOUNDER:
ETSY
BROOKLYN
In 2005, Rob Kalin and his partners in Brooklyn
created an online place where any artisan in the
world could display work and sell to any buyer
in the world. Today Etsy has 300,000 vendors,
many of whom started new small businesses
selling crafts after being laid-off during the
recession. Etsy’s site is visited by millions of
shoppers every month. Revenues come from
the twenty-cent fee charged to list an item on
the site and a sales commission of three and a
half percent. Etsy recently raised money to value
it’s handcrafted goods marketplace at $300
million, adding nearly $200 million in equity
value in two years.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
34
SPEND SHIFT NO. 3
THE BADGE OF AWESOMENESS
NIMBLENESS ADAPTABILITY THRIFT
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
35
PEOPLE EQUATE HAPPINESS AND FREEDOM WITH
NEEDING LESS
“SINCE THE RECESSION, I REALIZE HOW MANY 

POSSESSIONS I HAVE DOES NOT HAVE MUCH TO DO 

WITH HOW HAPPY I AM.”

64.7%
80.3%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
36
FIXED COSTS AND OVERHEAD ARE ‘THE ENEMY’

“SINCE THE RECESSION I REALIZE I AM 

HAPPIER WITH A SIMPLER, MORE DOWN-TO-EARTH 

LIFESTYLE.”

64.8%
77.4%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
37
Maura McCarthy and partners
buck the downturn in real estate by
offering energy-efficient, low-cost
homes built with “green” materials.
The breakthrough which makes this
possible is a unique hinge-based
design that lets Blu Homes literally
fold a building into a package so small
it can fit into a standard shipping
container and be transported
anywhere in the world. These “anti-
McMansions” suit America’s growing
appetite for nimbleness and flexibility.
Each home has adaptable floor plans
so an owner can grow into one over
time.
MAURA McCARTHY

CO-FOUNDER:
BLU HOMES
WALTHAM, MA
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
38
To build trust with their loyal fans who had been
hit hard by the recession, The San Francisco Giants
developed a “dynamic pricing” model on the belief
that not all games are created equal. A weekend
battle with a pennant contender or a long time rival
like the Dodgers is worth more to a fan than a
mid-week night game involving a cellar-dwelling
opponent. With this in mind ticket prices were
scaled according to demand. “Dynamic pricing,”
is not a new concept, says Russ Stanley, who is in
charge of client relations for the Giants. “I think
the Romans did it at the Coliseum, setting prices
according to the quality of the lion.”
RUSS STANLEY
VP TICKET SALES:
SF GIANTS
SAN FRANCISCO
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
39
MIKE COURTNEY
 GARY WATSON
FAITH-GUIDED
COMMUNITY ACTIVISTS
DALLAS
In Dallas, Texas two former high-

flying business consultants 

responded to layoffs with a 

combination of Christian charity 

and old fashioned thrift. Mike 

Courtney and Gary Watson formed 

a mutual support system to keep 

themselves going as freelancers but

also devoted themselves to serving 

others through foundations and 

church groups that help struggling 

families manage their budgets and 

cope with foreclosures and lost 

income.

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
40
SPEND SHIFT NO. 4
BLOCK PARTY CAPITALISM
CHARACTER AUTHENTICITY
 LOCALITY
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
41
PEOPLE ARE SEEKING OUT THE LOCAL AND THE
ARTISANAL
“I AM WILLING TO PAY A PREMIUM FOR 

PRODUCTS/SERVICES FROM COMPANIES THAT 

CONTRIBUTE TO MY LOCAL COMMUNITY.”

64.7%
70.0%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
42
WHILE MANY INCREASINGLY TURN AWAY FROM
BRAND NAMES
“I PREFER TO BUY NAME BRANDS.”

61.6%
55.6%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
43
Co-founder Lynn Jurich and her partner Ed
Fenster solved the basic problem in rooftop solar
energy — upfront cost — by offering homeowners
fixed leases on all the equipment they need to get
off the grid. Her San Francisco firm, SunRun, gives
homeowners guaranteed fixed energy costs for
thirty years along with free maintenance with little
or no initial investment. The customer signs a long-
term agreement which sets a fixed cost for power.
If the house is sold, the contract passes on to the
next owner. At the end of the term the owner can
renew it, buy the system outright, or have it
removed. SunRun’s customer base has increased
by over four hundred percent in 2010 and has
raised nearly $100 million in financing.
LYNN JURICH
CO-FOUNDER
AND PRESIDENT:
SUN RUN INC.
SAN FRANCISCO
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
44
TOM LEVIN
OWNER: TOM’S TOYS
AND A SUPPORTER
OF BERKSHARES CURRENCY
GREAT BARRINGTON, MA
In Western Massachusetts locals have created their
own currency called Berkshares (named after the
Berkshire Mountains) to help local retailers,
restaurants and service people survive competition
from national chains that were moving into small
mountain towns. Thirteen bank branches, along
with many businesses in the community, agreed to
exchange dollars and local artists designed the
Berkshares as elegant bills, in denominations from
one to fifty. Tom Levin accepts them at Tom Toys, a
shop that offers what chain stores do not: carefully
selected stock from a worldwide network of
craftspeople and quality manufacturers.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
45
Steve Northam, having completed
22 years of marine service, settled
in Fallbrook, California where he
devoted much of his time to the study
of energy self sufficiency. Ultimately
he ended up cashing out his
investments and put the cash into
money saving home improvements
including the SunRun solar power
system. He saves about $500 a month
because he was able to embrace
these innovative technologies.
STEVE NORTHAM
VIETNAM VETERAN
AND SOLAR POWER
ENTHUSIAST
FALLBROOK, CA
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
46
JON NORTON
CITY MANAGER
AND RECYCLEBANK
ENTHUSIAST
EVERETT, MA
Some public/private partnerships are actually
working to make life better in the post recession
economy. A prime example is the recycling boom
made possible by the technology and business
model of a new start-up called RecycleBank. Using
truck-mounted scales and bins with electronic
identification tags, the company weighs the paper,
glass, and metal left on the curb by individual
households and rewards them with shopping
discounts. Everett city recycling manager Jon Norton
reports a big increase in recycling, a dramatic drop
in landfill expenses, and a savings of more than $1
million per year for local taxpayers. RecycleBank,
meanwhile, is expanding its business across the
country and recently entered the market in Great
Britain.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
47
SPEND SHIFT NO. 5
AN ARMY OF DAVIDS
COMMUNITY COOPERATION AMPLIFICATION
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
48
A GROWING TREND TOWARD ‘COOPERATIVE
CONSUMERISM’
“I BELIEVE MY FRIENDS AND I CAN CHANGE 

BEHAVIOR BY SUPPORTING COMPANIES THAT DO 

THE RIGHT THING.”

65.5%
69.0%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
49
ALTHOUGH PEOPLE FEEL LESS RICH, THEY ARE ‘VOTING’
WITH THEIR PURSESTRINGS
“I MAKE A POINT TO BUY BRANDS FROM 

COMPANIES WHOSE VALUES ARE SIMILAR 

TO MY OWN.”

70.9%
75.0%
AGREE

Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
50
ANDREW MASON
FOUNDER:
GROUPON
CHICAGO
Groupon, the group discounting phenomena
mobilizes the masses with daily deals on products,
services and even meals. The discounts are
unlocked when a threshold number of people
agree to pay for the coupon or “groupon”. When
that threshold is crossed, the coupon is activated
for all those that have agreed to the offer. Founded
in 2008 by Andrew Mason, Groupon has grown
so fast that it now serves forty cities, claims 1.5
million members and was recently hailed as the
fastest company to reach $500 million in sales
in the history of business.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
51
In the “real time web,” information technology
is providing tools for transparency, relationship-
building, and responsiveness to create lasting
and profitable relationships with customers. At
the center of this trend is Chartbeat, a Betaworks
start-up based in the old meatpacking district
in Manhattan where Tony Haile helps thousands
of clients track what content is most relevant
for which audience, allowing publishers and
businesses to understand the meaning behind
their web traffic. This knowledge is so valuable
that Tony and team recently raised $3 million
to expand the scale of their business.
TONY HAILE
GENERAL MANAGER:
BETAWORKS’
CHARTBEAT
NEW YORK CITY
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
52
SCOTT MONTY 
BOB THIBODEAU
HEAD OF SOCIAL MEDIA
FORD MOTOR CO.
AND OWNER OF
FAMILY DEALERSHIP
DETROIT
Although a smokestack company like Ford is not
where you would expect to find a nimble response
to crisis, Scott Monty (left) moved the company
toward openness and transparency. His goal was
to start conversations with anyone who cared to
speak to Ford. The Fiesta Movement on Twitter
required that Ford actually allow people to talk
about the car in a way that was “unedited,
uncensored, unscripted,” said Monty. New products
and not taking Government bailout money have
also helped lift sales at Robert Thibodeau’s
dealership.
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
53
TOP VALUES BRANDS VS. ALL OTHER BRANDS

REGULAR USAGE TOP PREFERENCE

VS. ALL OTHER BRANDS VS. ALL OTHER BRANDS
TOP ARMY OF DAVIDS BRANDS
TOP INDESTRUCTIBLE SPIRIT BRANDS
TOP IT’S WHAT COUNTS ON THE INSIDE
TOP LIQUID LIFE BRANDS
TOP RETOOLING BRANDS
TOP SIMPLE BRANDS
TOP TRUSTWORTHY BRANDS
AVERAGE SPENDSHIFT VALUES BRAND
2.26 x GREATER
1.91
2.47
3.12
3.34
3.07
3.58
2.82 x GREATER
2.42 x GREATER
1.79
2.55
2.95
2.96
2.08
3.15
2.56 x GREATER
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
54
VALUES-LED COMPANIES OUTPERFORM THE STREET

BRAND STRENGTH FUND NETS $14,388 (+44%) VS. SP 500’S $8,978
(-10%) ON $10,000 INITIAL INVESTMENT MADE 8 AND A HALF YEARS AGO
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN
01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
55
WE ARE MOVING FROM A CREDIT TO
A DEBIT SOCIETY
32 Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
39 39 Copyright John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
THERE ARE NO LONGER CONSUMERS,
ONLY CUSTOMERS
Photo from Thomas Hawk Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
57
AMERICA IS AN EMERGING MARKET FOR
VALUES-LED INNOVATION
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
58
YOUNG  RUBICAM/
BRANDASSET CONSULTING
JOHNGERZEMA.COM
TWITTER: @JOHNGERZEMA
Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young  Rubicam
59
MIT OpenCourseWare
http://ocw.mit.edu
15.810 Marketing Management
Fall 2010
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu/terms.

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Mit15 810 f10_lec10

  • 1. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam 1
  • 2. WE EXAMINED 18 YEARS OF DATA FROM BRAND ASSET VALUATOR® WORLD’S LARGEST 50,000 BRANDS QUARTERLY U.S. PANEL DATABASE OF BRANDS OF 16,000 RESPONDENTS OVER 800,000 275 STUDIES CONSUMERS ACROSS 51 COUNTRIES $ 130 MILLION INVESTED Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam 2
  • 3. FOUR PILLARS ASSESS BRAND HEALTH, MOMENTUM AND COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam 1
  • 4. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EACH PILLAR TELLS A DIFFERENT STORY IN THE BRAND’S DEVELOPMENT Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam 2
  • 5. BRAND STRENGTH IS THE FIRST LEVEL OF MEASUREMENT IN ASSESSING A BRAND’S HEALTH Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam 3
  • 6. THE BAV POWERGRID Copyright John Gerzema/Young & Rubicam 4
  • 7. TO SUPPLEMENT OUR DATA, WE TRAVELED ACROSS AMERICA ;7<<3/>=:7A 3D3@3BB 23/@0=@< 0=AB=< 23B@=7B >@=D723<13 A/<4@/17A1= 0@==9:G 9/A/A17BG :/AD35/A /B:/B/ 2/::/A :=A/53:3A 5@33E==2 /CAB7 B/;/ Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 7
  • 8. WE ARE MOVING FROM MINDLESS TO MINDFUL CONSUMPTION Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 8
  • 9. THE SPEND SHIFT IS THE MAJORITY OF AMERICA THE SPEND SHIFT IS A CONSUMER LED MOVEMENT TO 54.5% PROMOTE VALUES THROUGH THE POWER OF CONSUMPTION 113.4 MILLION PEOPLE Total US population estimate age 22+ / 208 million people Another 26.6% exhibit similar beliefs and behaviors (55.4 Million people) Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 9
  • 10. THE SPEND SHIFT SUGGESTS WE’RE MORE ALIKE THAN DIFFERENT Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 10
  • 11. SPEND SHIFTERS THROUGHOUT THE WORLD Source: BrandAsset ® Valuator’ international values segmentation — 4-C’s (Cross-Cultural-Consumer-Characterization) Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 11
  • 12. FOR 80% OF AMERICANS, THIS IS A RECESSION LIKE NO OTHER Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 12
  • 13. TRUST DECLINE ACROSS INDUSTRIES 2005 TO 2010 Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 13
  • 14. NEW PRIORITIES IN EXPECTATIONS FOR COMPANIES AND BRANDS Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 14
  • 15. THE ROLE OF CONSUMERISM IN THE AMERICAN DREAM IS CHANGING “I FIND THE MORE I HAVE THE MORE I WANT.” DISAGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 15
  • 16. AND THE ECONOMIC PAIN HAS LEAD US TO RECONSIDER OUR VALUES AND OUR PRIORITIES “MONEY IS THE BEST MEASURE OF SUCCESS.” 77.9% 87.5% DISAGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 16
  • 17. OUR SHIFTING CONCEPTS OF NECESSITY SHIFTING CONCEPTS OF NECESSITY 50 40 30 20 10 PERCENTAGE USAGE (NEED) PREFERENCE (WANT) 0 1993 1997 2001 2005 2008 2009 Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 17
  • 18. PEOPLE WERE ADJUSTING THEIR LIFESTYLES EVEN BEFORE THE CRISIS HIT Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 18
  • 19. THIS IS NOT A ‘NEW NORMAL’, BUT A RETURN TO NORMAL Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 19
  • 20. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 2
  • 21. SPEND SHIFT NO. 1 THE NEW AMERICAN FRONTIER OPTIMISM RESILIENCY OPPORTUNITY Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 21
  • 22. PEOPLE ARE MORE HOPEFUL AND OPPORTUNISTIC “SINCE THE RECESSION I’M ACTUALLY MORE CAPABLE OF STARTING MY OWN BUSINESS.” 48.0% 60.0% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 22
  • 23. AND MANY ARE MOVING FROM INDUSTRIAL TO INDUSTRIOUS THINKING “THERE IS A GREATER OPPORTUNITY FOR INDIVIDUAL BUSINESSES TO COMPETE WITH LARGE COMPANIES THAN THERE USED TO BE.” 39.0% 53.0% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 23
  • 24. TORYA BLANCHARD OWNER: GOOD GIRLS GO TO PARIS DETROIT With low cost loans from the non-profit University Cultural Center Association, Torya Blanchard opened a tiny crepe restaurant to share her love of all things French with her hometown, Detroit. Serving low-cost but high quality meals Good Girls Go to Paris quickly became profitable. The shop also provides jobs and a light of hope in a city where shuttered shops outnumber those that are occupied. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 24
  • 25. Charles Sorel opened his little French bistro, Le Petite Zinc, after moving with his family from Brooklyn to Detroit. He had been successful with his cafe in Brooklyn and wanted to try his hand in this new environment. This welcoming little eatery — something like a family kitchen where the coffeepot is always on — makes for the perfect start-up business in any community, especially one that is short of comforts. Le Petite Zinc offers, besides delicious French cuisine, cheer and optimism to its patrons. CHARLES SOREL OWNER/RACONTEUR: LE PETIT ZINC DETROIT Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 25
  • 26. PATRICK CROUCH PROGRAM MANAGER: EARTHWORKS FARMS DETROIT Patrick Crouch of Earthworks Farms has helped turn vacant blocks into productive farms producing everything from salad greens to jarred preserves. Earthworks not only feeds people in an area where grocery stores are scarce, it is helping to change the character of devastated neighborhoods, and raise inner-city employment. Crouch, who is sponsored by local Capuchin monks, teaches other city farmers which crops yield the greatest profit. He says a handful of properties now under cultivation will soon be profitable without any further assistance. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 26
  • 27. Paul Savage, CEO of Nextek Power Systems is a pioneer in developing and providing direct current (DC) electrical equipment which provides a substantial increase in the flexibility, reliability, and efficiency of energy systems in buildings. By rekindling Thomas Edison’s original creation, a DC system can be scaled to cover one building or several city blocks, providing the lowest-cost off-the-grid light and power. Savage calls it simply “organic energy that’s made in Detroit”. PAUL SAVAGE CEO/RENEWABLE ENERGY PUSHER: NEXTEK POWER SYSTEMS DETROIT Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 27
  • 28. SPEND SHIFT NO. 2 DON'T FENCE ME IN RETOOLING EDUCATION BETTERMENT Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 28
  • 29. PEOPLE ARE MORE SELF-RELIANT AND RESOURCEFUL “SINCE THE RECESSION I AM INTERESTED IN LEARNING NEW SKILLS, SO I CAN DO MORE MYSELF AND RELY LESS ON OTHERS.” 64.7% 80.3% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 29
  • 30. PEOPLE ARE IN-SOURCING AS WELL AS ‘UN-CONSUMING’ “THESE DAYS, I FEEL MORE IN CONTROL WHEN I DO THINGS MYSELF INSTEAD OF RELYING ON OTHERS TO DO THEM FOR ME.” 84.1% 92.5% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 30
  • 31. LESLIE HALLECK FOUNDER: NORTH HAVEN FARMS DALLAS Leslie Halleck was one of the first in her neighborhood to start raising chickens in her backyard. This shift from consumption to production in households across America is part of a more self-reliant lifestyle, where thousands of people across the country have started to produce their own eggs for safety and profit. Halleck went one step further, creating a business to train and supply the growing number of locals who raise birds and collect eggs every day. Her first Saturday class drew over one hundred people. With the parking lot overfilled, cars spilled onto the shoulder. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 31
  • 32. 32 As Dallas librarian Miriam Rodriguez confirms, public libraries have become training centers for those who need to brush-up on skills, conduct a job search, or get free instruction in English as a second language. Miriam created a series of networking seminars, job-retraining and continuing education programs. Once thought to be roadkill from the internet, Library use reached record levels during the recession as people sought education and community. Today sixty-eight percent of Americans now have a library card, the highest percentage ever. MIRIAM RODRIGUEZ LIBRARIAN: PUBLIC LIBRARY DALLAS Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam
  • 33. The Senior Editor of Make magazine, a bible for do-it-yourselfers, Phil Torrone partnered with Limor Fried to create Adafruit Industries, which sells kits and parts for original open source hardware electronics projects out of a small loft in lower Manhattan. As more Americans became interested in learning new skills, Adafruit-sponsored ‘MakerFaires’ are an on-line social forum where Millennial-aged electronics enthusiasts are mentored by retired engineers from NASA and Boeing. Technology and social media forums like these are helping to make generational divides are quietly disappear. PHIL TORRONE LIMOR FRIED FOUNDERS: ADAFRUIT INDUSTRIES NEW YORK CITY Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 33
  • 34. ROB KALIN FOUNDER: ETSY BROOKLYN In 2005, Rob Kalin and his partners in Brooklyn created an online place where any artisan in the world could display work and sell to any buyer in the world. Today Etsy has 300,000 vendors, many of whom started new small businesses selling crafts after being laid-off during the recession. Etsy’s site is visited by millions of shoppers every month. Revenues come from the twenty-cent fee charged to list an item on the site and a sales commission of three and a half percent. Etsy recently raised money to value it’s handcrafted goods marketplace at $300 million, adding nearly $200 million in equity value in two years. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 34
  • 35. SPEND SHIFT NO. 3 THE BADGE OF AWESOMENESS NIMBLENESS ADAPTABILITY THRIFT Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 35
  • 36. PEOPLE EQUATE HAPPINESS AND FREEDOM WITH NEEDING LESS “SINCE THE RECESSION, I REALIZE HOW MANY POSSESSIONS I HAVE DOES NOT HAVE MUCH TO DO WITH HOW HAPPY I AM.” 64.7% 80.3% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 36
  • 37. FIXED COSTS AND OVERHEAD ARE ‘THE ENEMY’ “SINCE THE RECESSION I REALIZE I AM HAPPIER WITH A SIMPLER, MORE DOWN-TO-EARTH LIFESTYLE.” 64.8% 77.4% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 37
  • 38. Maura McCarthy and partners buck the downturn in real estate by offering energy-efficient, low-cost homes built with “green” materials. The breakthrough which makes this possible is a unique hinge-based design that lets Blu Homes literally fold a building into a package so small it can fit into a standard shipping container and be transported anywhere in the world. These “anti- McMansions” suit America’s growing appetite for nimbleness and flexibility. Each home has adaptable floor plans so an owner can grow into one over time. MAURA McCARTHY CO-FOUNDER: BLU HOMES WALTHAM, MA Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 38
  • 39. To build trust with their loyal fans who had been hit hard by the recession, The San Francisco Giants developed a “dynamic pricing” model on the belief that not all games are created equal. A weekend battle with a pennant contender or a long time rival like the Dodgers is worth more to a fan than a mid-week night game involving a cellar-dwelling opponent. With this in mind ticket prices were scaled according to demand. “Dynamic pricing,” is not a new concept, says Russ Stanley, who is in charge of client relations for the Giants. “I think the Romans did it at the Coliseum, setting prices according to the quality of the lion.” RUSS STANLEY VP TICKET SALES: SF GIANTS SAN FRANCISCO Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 39
  • 40. MIKE COURTNEY GARY WATSON FAITH-GUIDED COMMUNITY ACTIVISTS DALLAS In Dallas, Texas two former high- flying business consultants responded to layoffs with a combination of Christian charity and old fashioned thrift. Mike Courtney and Gary Watson formed a mutual support system to keep themselves going as freelancers but also devoted themselves to serving others through foundations and church groups that help struggling families manage their budgets and cope with foreclosures and lost income. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 40
  • 41. SPEND SHIFT NO. 4 BLOCK PARTY CAPITALISM CHARACTER AUTHENTICITY LOCALITY Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 41
  • 42. PEOPLE ARE SEEKING OUT THE LOCAL AND THE ARTISANAL “I AM WILLING TO PAY A PREMIUM FOR PRODUCTS/SERVICES FROM COMPANIES THAT CONTRIBUTE TO MY LOCAL COMMUNITY.” 64.7% 70.0% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 42
  • 43. WHILE MANY INCREASINGLY TURN AWAY FROM BRAND NAMES “I PREFER TO BUY NAME BRANDS.” 61.6% 55.6% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 43
  • 44. Co-founder Lynn Jurich and her partner Ed Fenster solved the basic problem in rooftop solar energy — upfront cost — by offering homeowners fixed leases on all the equipment they need to get off the grid. Her San Francisco firm, SunRun, gives homeowners guaranteed fixed energy costs for thirty years along with free maintenance with little or no initial investment. The customer signs a long- term agreement which sets a fixed cost for power. If the house is sold, the contract passes on to the next owner. At the end of the term the owner can renew it, buy the system outright, or have it removed. SunRun’s customer base has increased by over four hundred percent in 2010 and has raised nearly $100 million in financing. LYNN JURICH CO-FOUNDER AND PRESIDENT: SUN RUN INC. SAN FRANCISCO Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 44
  • 45. TOM LEVIN OWNER: TOM’S TOYS AND A SUPPORTER OF BERKSHARES CURRENCY GREAT BARRINGTON, MA In Western Massachusetts locals have created their own currency called Berkshares (named after the Berkshire Mountains) to help local retailers, restaurants and service people survive competition from national chains that were moving into small mountain towns. Thirteen bank branches, along with many businesses in the community, agreed to exchange dollars and local artists designed the Berkshares as elegant bills, in denominations from one to fifty. Tom Levin accepts them at Tom Toys, a shop that offers what chain stores do not: carefully selected stock from a worldwide network of craftspeople and quality manufacturers. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 45
  • 46. Steve Northam, having completed 22 years of marine service, settled in Fallbrook, California where he devoted much of his time to the study of energy self sufficiency. Ultimately he ended up cashing out his investments and put the cash into money saving home improvements including the SunRun solar power system. He saves about $500 a month because he was able to embrace these innovative technologies. STEVE NORTHAM VIETNAM VETERAN AND SOLAR POWER ENTHUSIAST FALLBROOK, CA Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 46
  • 47. JON NORTON CITY MANAGER AND RECYCLEBANK ENTHUSIAST EVERETT, MA Some public/private partnerships are actually working to make life better in the post recession economy. A prime example is the recycling boom made possible by the technology and business model of a new start-up called RecycleBank. Using truck-mounted scales and bins with electronic identification tags, the company weighs the paper, glass, and metal left on the curb by individual households and rewards them with shopping discounts. Everett city recycling manager Jon Norton reports a big increase in recycling, a dramatic drop in landfill expenses, and a savings of more than $1 million per year for local taxpayers. RecycleBank, meanwhile, is expanding its business across the country and recently entered the market in Great Britain. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 47
  • 48. SPEND SHIFT NO. 5 AN ARMY OF DAVIDS COMMUNITY COOPERATION AMPLIFICATION Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 48
  • 49. A GROWING TREND TOWARD ‘COOPERATIVE CONSUMERISM’ “I BELIEVE MY FRIENDS AND I CAN CHANGE BEHAVIOR BY SUPPORTING COMPANIES THAT DO THE RIGHT THING.” 65.5% 69.0% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 49
  • 50. ALTHOUGH PEOPLE FEEL LESS RICH, THEY ARE ‘VOTING’ WITH THEIR PURSESTRINGS “I MAKE A POINT TO BUY BRANDS FROM COMPANIES WHOSE VALUES ARE SIMILAR TO MY OWN.” 70.9% 75.0% AGREE Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 50
  • 51. ANDREW MASON FOUNDER: GROUPON CHICAGO Groupon, the group discounting phenomena mobilizes the masses with daily deals on products, services and even meals. The discounts are unlocked when a threshold number of people agree to pay for the coupon or “groupon”. When that threshold is crossed, the coupon is activated for all those that have agreed to the offer. Founded in 2008 by Andrew Mason, Groupon has grown so fast that it now serves forty cities, claims 1.5 million members and was recently hailed as the fastest company to reach $500 million in sales in the history of business. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 51
  • 52. In the “real time web,” information technology is providing tools for transparency, relationship- building, and responsiveness to create lasting and profitable relationships with customers. At the center of this trend is Chartbeat, a Betaworks start-up based in the old meatpacking district in Manhattan where Tony Haile helps thousands of clients track what content is most relevant for which audience, allowing publishers and businesses to understand the meaning behind their web traffic. This knowledge is so valuable that Tony and team recently raised $3 million to expand the scale of their business. TONY HAILE GENERAL MANAGER: BETAWORKS’ CHARTBEAT NEW YORK CITY Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 52
  • 53. SCOTT MONTY BOB THIBODEAU HEAD OF SOCIAL MEDIA FORD MOTOR CO. AND OWNER OF FAMILY DEALERSHIP DETROIT Although a smokestack company like Ford is not where you would expect to find a nimble response to crisis, Scott Monty (left) moved the company toward openness and transparency. His goal was to start conversations with anyone who cared to speak to Ford. The Fiesta Movement on Twitter required that Ford actually allow people to talk about the car in a way that was “unedited, uncensored, unscripted,” said Monty. New products and not taking Government bailout money have also helped lift sales at Robert Thibodeau’s dealership. Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 53
  • 54. TOP VALUES BRANDS VS. ALL OTHER BRANDS REGULAR USAGE TOP PREFERENCE VS. ALL OTHER BRANDS VS. ALL OTHER BRANDS TOP ARMY OF DAVIDS BRANDS TOP INDESTRUCTIBLE SPIRIT BRANDS TOP IT’S WHAT COUNTS ON THE INSIDE TOP LIQUID LIFE BRANDS TOP RETOOLING BRANDS TOP SIMPLE BRANDS TOP TRUSTWORTHY BRANDS AVERAGE SPENDSHIFT VALUES BRAND 2.26 x GREATER 1.91 2.47 3.12 3.34 3.07 3.58 2.82 x GREATER 2.42 x GREATER 1.79 2.55 2.95 2.96 2.08 3.15 2.56 x GREATER Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 54
  • 55. VALUES-LED COMPANIES OUTPERFORM THE STREET BRAND STRENGTH FUND NETS $14,388 (+44%) VS. SP 500’S $8,978 (-10%) ON $10,000 INITIAL INVESTMENT MADE 8 AND A HALF YEARS AGO 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN DEC JUN 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10 Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 55
  • 56. WE ARE MOVING FROM A CREDIT TO A DEBIT SOCIETY 32 Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 39 39 Copyright John Gerzema/Young Rubicam
  • 57. THERE ARE NO LONGER CONSUMERS, ONLY CUSTOMERS Photo from Thomas Hawk Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 57
  • 58. AMERICA IS AN EMERGING MARKET FOR VALUES-LED INNOVATION Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 58
  • 59. YOUNG RUBICAM/ BRANDASSET CONSULTING JOHNGERZEMA.COM TWITTER: @JOHNGERZEMA Copyright 2010, John Gerzema/Young Rubicam 59
  • 60. MIT OpenCourseWare http://ocw.mit.edu 15.810 Marketing Management Fall 2010 For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu/terms.