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The Social Web:
modelling & measuring
       influence
Start clapping now
(easier to get the
applause in early)
Keep clapping
Clap louder
Don’t stop
until I tell you
CLAP LOUDER!
I’m not going to start
  until I’m happy, you
          know...
and
I can wait here all day
KEEP CLAPPING!
Mat Morrison
linkedin.com/in/mediaczar
@mediaczar
• Social Media: what it isn’t
• Influencers: how to spot them
• Homophily & Social Norms
• Why “Viral” often isn’t
• Complete Bloody Strangers
Social Media
   what it isn’t
Audience has an audience
Use people as a channel
(naïve)
Not (just) about
  publishing
Filters
Bypass filters
(sophisticated)
Influencers
and how to spot them
how do we talk to as few
  people as possible to
   reach as many as
        possible
           ?
Popularity
 (reach)
I have 213 friends
My “egonet.” Srsly
Frequency distribution
 20



 15



 10



  5



  0
      10   60   90          460

                     2007
Eigenfactor
Frequency distribution
 20



 15



 10



  5



  0
      10   60   90          460

                     2007
Betweenness
What if there are no
   influencers?
Remember clapping?
Individual               Social




Conscious decision-   Unconscious copying
     making

 Emotional brand-
   engagement
Homophily   Social Norms
Homophily
Educated guesses
• Age
• Location
• Gender
• Gender preference
• Entertainment preference
• Product preference
Social Norms
171% increased risk of obesity if
        your close friend is obese
‘The Spread of Obesity in a Large Social Network over 32 Years’: Christakis & Fowler, (New England Journal of Medicine, July 26 2007)
Susceptibility
Why “Viral”
 often isn’t
exponential curve
diffusion curve
But...
hiccough
hiccough attack
Social networks are clumpy
London Twitter Festival
   Ends in Chaos as
 Crowd Clashes with
 Facebook Enthusiasts
Original Tweet: 0834hrs
Cascade: 1
Cascade: 2
Cascade: 3 (shows 2)
Cascade: 4 (shows 3)
Cascade: 5 (shows 4)
Friday, 11 Sep 2009 1115hrs
Initial tweet responsible for 2K visitors
Frequency distribution
       OTS/time
20,000



15,000



10,000



 5,000



    0
         08:34   09:41   11:43
hiccough attack
Frequency distribution
    OTS/generation
30,000



22,500



15,000



 7,500



    0
         Gen 0   Gen 1   Gen 2   Gen 3   Gen 4   Gen 5
hiccough
The Circle of
Complete Bloody
   Strangers
Don’t talk to strangers
Thank you.

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