Market watch apr 19
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This document contains exchange rates from KBank for various currencies against the Thai Baht (THB) including the US Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), British Pound (GBP), and Japanese Yen (JPY). It also includes technical analysis and forecasts for USD/THB, EUR/USD, and USD/JPY, suggesting trades to sell currencies near resistance levels. Charts show recent price action and projections for these currency pairs. Additional commentary discusses crude oil prices, stock indexes, and foreign positions that may impact currency movements.
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Market watch apr 19
- 1. 19 2554 KBank Counter Rates Buying Selling Swap Points (Stgs. / 1 Month) a. a.m.(Against THB) Sight Bill T/T T/T Export Import USD 29.89 29.99 30.24 2.35 10.26 EUR 42.43875 42.58125 43.11875 0.99 7.41 GBP 48.52375 48.68625 49.27500 3.78 9.98 JPY 0.36038 0.36150 0.36825 2.86 9.88 KBank Technical Analysis ก USD/THB 30.09 / 30.18 30.08 30.20 Sideway Sell USD near resistance EUR/USD 1.4189 / 1.4231 1.415 1.428 Sideway Sell EUR near resistance USD/JPY 82.3 / 82.75 82.10 83.80 Sideway Sell USD near resistance EUR/THB 42.5945 / 43.0462 42.50 43.10 Sideway Sell EUR near resistance JPY/THB 0.36296 / 0.36741 0.360 0.368 Sideway Buy JPY near support ก USD/THB USD/THB • USD/THB 30.08 ก 30.40 ก ก ก ก ก 30.30 (ก .) ก ก 0.25% ก 30.15 30.20 30.10 • EUR/USD 1.423 ก 1.443 ก 1% ก ก 30.00 ก ก ก 29.90 1.415 20-Mar 23-Mar 26-Mar 29-Mar 01-Apr 04-Apr 07-Apr 10-Apr 13-Apr 16-Apr 19-Apr • USD/JPY 82.55 ก ก ก 82.10 EUR/USD EUR/USD • NYMEX . 1.46 2.54 107.12 1.45 ก ก ก ก 1.44 S&P ก 1.43 1.42 1.41 • COMEX . . ก 6.90 1.40 1,492.90 20-Mar 23-Mar 26-Mar 29-Mar 01-Apr 04-Apr 07-Apr 10-Apr 13-Apr 16-Apr 19-Apr ก ก USD/JPY ก USD/JPY • ก ก ก 86.0 ก ก 85.0 S&P 84.0 ก ก ก 83.0 82.0 • 140.24 12,201.59 81.0 S&P 500 14.54 1,305.14 Nasdaq 29.27 2,735.38 80.0 20-Mar 23-Mar 26-Mar 29-Mar 01-Apr 04-Apr 07-Apr 10-Apr 13-Apr 16-Apr 19-Apr www.twitter.com/KBankFX ก < 0 2888 8822 ก ก 711 www.facebook.com/KBankFX .... ก 721 ก > ก ก . ก ก ก ก ก ก (Market Maker) ก ก ก ก ก ก ก 1 ก ก ก / ก กก ก
- 2. KBank Market Watch 19 2554 ก ก Foreign position and Stock Index Bt bn Fed Funds rate 0-0.25% 350 1,200 1,100 300 Discount rate 0.75% 1,000 250 900 1 (Repo rate) 2.50% 200 800 700 150 600 ก ก 100 500 400 50 300 2011 MPC FOMC ECB BOE BOJ Oct-06 Apr-07 Oct-07 Apr-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 Oct-10 Apr-11 Jan 12 26 13 13 25 Foreign holding (Bt bn: left axis) SET Index (right axis) Feb - - 3 10 15 • ก 5.76 1,090.67 Mar 9 15 3 10 15 ก 15 ก Apr 20 27 7 7 7, 28 1,092 ก May - - 5 5 20 ก ก Jun 1 22 9 9 14 • ก ก Jul 13 - 7 7 12 ก ก ก ก ก ก ก 1/54 ก Aug 24 9 4 4 5 Sep - 20 8 8 7 Oct 19 - 6 6 7, 27 Nov 30 2 3 10 16 • NYMEX . . Dec - 13 8 8 21 2.54 107.12 ก ก ก Source: Bloomberg 3 ก ก ก ก ก S&P ก ก ก ( 1 ก ก ก ) • COMEX . . ก 6.90 ก 1,492.90 กก 9,556.65 9,591.52 -34.87 ก 1,500 12,201.59 12,341.83 -140.24 ก ก 1,090.67 N/A N/A ก ก 1,991.23 1,858.96 +132.27 ก ก 12,668.16 10,095.11 +2,573.05 Spot 2Q11 4Q11 ก 16,016.54 18,013.14 -1,996.6 NYMEX 107.09 94.00 95.00 34,295.82 BRENT 121.58 105.00 100.0 GOLD 1,493.05 1,440 1,500 SET Index 1110 SILVER 43.17 30.00 33.00 1090 PLATINUM 1,776.00 1,840 1,945 1070 CORN 764.00 370.0 562.5 1050 WHEAT 819.25 500.0 695.0 1030 SUGAR 22.79 26.00 27.50 1010 990 Source: Bloomberg , (USD/barrel) , (USD/troy ounce), 19-Mar 22-Mar 25-Mar 28-Mar 31-Mar 03-Apr 06-Apr 09-Apr 12-Apr 15-Apr 18-Apr (USD/bushel), (USD/cwt) , ) (#11cents/lb) ก ก . ก ก ก ก ก ก (Market Maker) ก ก ก ก ก ก ก 2 ก ก ก / ก กก ก
- 3. KBank Market Watch 19 2554 ก ก ก ก Spot 2Q11 4Q11 • EUR/USD 1.423 ก 1.443 ก 1% ก ก USD/THB 30.12 30.00 29.00 ก ก ก USD/JPY 82.63 85.00 88.00 ก ก ก ก EUR/USD 1.42 1.35 1.35 ก ก ก GBP/USD 1.63 1.61 1.62 USD/CNY 6.53 6.48 6.31 Dollar Index USD/SGD 1.25 1.26 1.23 90 87 USD/IDR 8,678 8,875 8,790 84 USD/MYR 3.03 3.00 2.97 81 USD/PHP 43.30 43.00 42.00 78 75 USD/KRW 1,093 1,095 1,050 72 Oct-09 Dec-09 Feb-10 Apr-10 Jun-10 Aug-10 Oct-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 USD/TWD 29.09 28.85 28.30 Moving Average 30 Days Moving Average 200 days DXY Index AUD/USD 1.05 1.00 0.98 NZD/USD 0.79 0.76 0.75 • USD/JPY 82.55 ก ก ก Source: KBank, Bloomberg ก ก yen carry trade ก • GBP/USD 1.6266 ก 1.6320 ก ก ก ก ก ก ก ก ก Spot 2Q11 4Q11 ก ก USD/THB 30.12 30.0 29.0 ก ก ก ก EUR/THB 42.87 39.90 38.6 ก ก ก ก ก ก JPY/THB 36.46 31.51 31.7 ก ก GBP/THB 48.98 47.40 45.1 • ก ก ก CNY/THB 4.61 4.64 4.3 ก ก AUD/THB 31.59 30.0 27.6 S&P CHF/THB 33.60 29.40 28.7 ก ก Source: KBank, Bloomberg ก ก ก ก • 140.24 12,201.59 S&P 500 14.54 1,305.14 ก ก % Nasdaq 29.27 2,735.38 USD/THB 30.08 N/A N/A USD/JPY 82.55 83.11 -0.67 EUR/USD 1.423 1.443 -1.41 GBP/USD 1.6266 1.6320 -0.33 • ก ก ก USD/CHF 0.8965 0.8919 +0.52 ก ก USD/SGD 1.2469 1.2428 +0.33 ก ก ก ก ก USD/TWD 29.08 28.97 +0.38 ก USD/KRW 1,088.0 1,087.0 +0.09 • USD/THB 30.08 USD/PHP 43.25 43.21 +0.09 ก ก ก USD/IDR 8,675 8,660 +0.17 ก ก ก ก ก (ก .) USD/MYR 3.022 3.022 +0.02 ก ก 0.25% ก USD/CNY 6.528 6.532 -0.05 Source: Reuters ก ก . ก ก ก ก ก ก (Market Maker) ก ก ก ก ก ก ก 3 ก ก ก / ก กก ก
- 4. KBank Market Watch 19 2554 Jan 1995 = 100 KBank THB Trade Weighted Index 104 102 100 98 96 94 92 90 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 • USD/PHP 43.25 ก ก • USD/IDR ก 8,675 • USD/KRW ก 1,088 ก ก ก ก ก • USD/TWD ก 29.08 ก กก ก ก ก • USD/MYR 3.022 กก ก ก ก ก ก 3.1% . . ก 2 • USD/CNY 6.528 ก ก ก ก ก ก ก ก ก : ก ก ก Reuters ก ก ก . ก ก ก ก ก ก (Market Maker) ก ก ก ก ก ก ก 4 ก ก ก / ก กก ก
- 5. KBank Market Watch 19 2554 G7 Economic Calendar Date / Time Country Event Period Consensus Actual Prior reading Revision 04/14/2011 06:50 JN Japan Buying Foreign Bonds Apr-08 -- ¥176.5B -¥1174.8B -¥1177.8B 04/14/2011 06:50 JN Japan Buying Foreign Stocks Apr-08 -- -¥161.0B -¥23.8B -- 04/14/2011 06:50 JN Foreign Buying Japan Bonds Apr-08 -- -¥445.4B ¥109.3B -- 04/14/2011 06:50 JN Foreign Buying Japan Stocks Apr-08 -- ¥389.5B ¥144.7B -- 04/14/2011 11:00 JN Tokyo Condominium Sales (YoY) MAR -- 0.00% 24.90% -- 04/14/2011 15:00 EC ECB Publishes April Monthly Report (Text) 04/14/2011 18:00 GE New Government Economic Forecasts Released in Berlin 04/14/2011 19:30 CA Manufacturing Sales MoM FEB -0.50% -1.50% 4.50% 4.40% 04/14/2011 19:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Apr-09 380K 412K 382K 385K 04/14/2011 19:30 US Continuing Claims Apr-02 3705K 3680K 3723K 3738K 04/14/2011 19:30 US Producer Price Index (MoM) MAR 1.00% 0.70% 1.60% -- 04/14/2011 19:30 US PPI Ex Food & Energy (MoM) MAR 0.20% 0.30% 0.20% -- 04/14/2011 19:30 US Producer Price Index (YoY) MAR 6.10% 5.80% 5.60% -- 04/14/2011 19:30 US PPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY) MAR 1.90% 1.90% 1.80% -- 04/14/2011 20:45 US Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Apr-10 -44.7 -43 -44.5 -- 04/15/2011 11:30 JN Industrial Production (MoM) FEB F -- 1.80% 0.40% 1.80% 04/15/2011 11:30 JN Industrial Production YOY% FEB F -- 2.90% 2.80% 2.90% 04/15/2011 11:30 JN Capacity Utilization (MoM) FEB -- 2.90% 3.60% -- 04/15/2011 15:00 IT Trade Balance (Total) (Euros) FEB -- -3633M -6554M -6599M 04/15/2011 15:00 IT Trade Balance Eu (Euros) FEB -- -883M -786M -831M 04/15/2011 16:00 EC Euro-Zone CPI - Core (YoY) MAR 1.10% 1.30% 1.00% -- 04/15/2011 16:00 EC Euro-Zone CPI (MoM) MAR 1.30% 1.40% 0.40% -- 04/15/2011 16:00 EC Euro-Zone CPI (YoY) MAR 2.60% 2.70% 2.60% -- 04/15/2011 16:00 IT CPI - EU Harmonized (MoM) MAR F 2.00% 2.20% 2.00% -- 04/15/2011 16:00 IT CPI - EU Harmonized (YoY) MAR F 2.60% 2.80% 2.60% -- 04/15/2011 16:00 IT CPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (MoM) MAR F 0.40% 0.40% 0.40% -- 04/15/2011 16:00 IT CPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (YoY) MAR F 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% -- 04/15/2011 16:00 EC Euro-Zone Trade Balance sa FEB -3.6B -2.4B -3.3B -3.1B 04/15/2011 16:00 EC Euro-Zone Trade Balance FEB -4.0B -1.5B -14.8B -15.6B 04/15/2011 19:30 US Consumer Price Index (MoM) MAR 0.50% 0.50% 0.50% -- 04/15/2011 19:30 US CPI Ex Food & Energy (MoM) MAR 0.20% 0.10% 0.20% -- 04/15/2011 19:30 US Consumer Price Index (YoY) MAR 2.60% 2.70% 2.10% -- 04/15/2011 19:30 US CPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY) MAR 1.20% 1.20% 1.10% -- 04/15/2011 19:30 US CPI Core Index SA MAR -- 223.331 223.029 -- 04/15/2011 19:30 US Consumer Price Index NSA MAR 223.15 223.467 221.309 -- 04/15/2011 19:30 US Empire Manufacturing APR 17 21.7 17.5 -- 04/15/2011 20:00 US Total Net TIC Flows FEB -- $97.7B $32.5B $30.6B 04/15/2011 20:00 US Net Long-term TIC Flows FEB $40.0B $26.9B $51.5B $51.1B 04/15/2011 20:15 US Industrial Production MAR 0.60% 0.80% -0.10% 0.10% 04/15/2011 20:15 US Capacity Utilization MAR 77.40% 77.40% 76.30% 76.90% 04/15/2011 20:55 US U. of Michigan Confidence APR P 68.8 69.6 67.5 -- 04/18/2011 06:01 UK Rightmove House Prices (MoM) APR -- 1.70% 0.80% -- 04/18/2011 06:01 UK Rightmove House Prices (YoY) APR -- 0.10% 0.90% -- 04/18/2011 16:00 IT Current Account (mlns euro) FEB -- -6337M -8129M -- 04/18/2011 19:30 CA Int'l Securities Transactions FEB 10.000B 2.502B 13.290B 13.370B 04/18/2011 21:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index APR 17 16 17 -- 04/19/2011 12:00 JN Consumer Confidence MAR -- -- -- -- 04/19/2011 13:00 JN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) MAR F -- -- 49.50% -- Source: Bloomberg ก ก . ก ก ก ก ก ก (Market Maker) ก ก ก ก ก ก ก 5 ก ก ก / ก กก ก