Marc Bogdanowicz habla sobre la presencia asiática en general y china en particular en España y en Europa y se pregunta si vienen los chinos o ya estaban aquí.

1. ¿Vienen los Chinos?
Debates sobre tendencias de la sociedad de la información y el conocimiento - Sevilla, 9 abril 2013
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2. SIC
Debates sobre tendencias de la
sociedad de la información y el
conocimiento
Sevilla, 9 de Abril 2013
¿Vienen los Chinos?
Marc Bogdanowicz Jean-Paul Simon
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies jps public policy consulting
Joint Research Centre - European Commission Paris - Seville
www.jrc.es / is.jrc.es
Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the presenter and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the European
Commission. Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of this
presentation. 2

3. Tres fuerzas impulsadoras de cambio en Europa :
Globalización => emergencia de nuevas economías
Industria < Servicios
TIC como Tecnología de Ámbito General (GPT)
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4. Globalización => emergencia de otras economías
Regional shares in World’s GDP (1980-2012)
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Acknowledgement: Alain Stekke Data source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database

5. Globalización => (re)emergencia de Asia
Regional shares in World’s GDP & per capita GDP (0-2012)
100% 7000 A fric a
O t h e r A s ia
6000
80% In d ia
5000 C h in a
60% Ja p a n
4000
L a t in A m e ric a
3000
40% W e s t e rn
O ffs h o t s
2000 F o rm e r U S S R
20% E -E u ro p e
1000
W -E u ro p e
0% 0 W o rld :
0 1000 1500 1870 1913 1950 1973 1998 2008 2013 G D P p c (R h s )
S o u rc e : A u t h o r's c o m p u t a t io n o n M a d d is o n (2 0 0 1 ) a n d IM F (2 0 0 8 )
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Acknowledgement: Andrea de Panizza

6. Globalización => (re)emergencia de … China
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7. Quand la Chine s'éveillera, le monde tremblera. Napoléon, 1816
Blade Runner, 1982
Les Chinois a Paris, 1974 Bienvenido,
Mister Marshall, 1953

8. China: El pais mas poblado, y pronto, el mayor GDP
2012 (est.) M US Dollars
World 71,620,000
k European Union 16,190,000
1 United States 15,650,000
2 China 8,250,000
3 Japan 5,984,000
4 Germany 3,367,000
5 France 2,580,000
6 United Kingdom 2,434,000
7 Brazil 2,425,000
8 Italy 1,980,000
9 Russia 1,954,000
10 India 1,947,000
11 Canada 1,770,000
12 Australia 1,542,000
13 Spain 1,340,000
Rank US dolllars/y
6 USA 48,328
28 Spain 30,478
93 China 8,387
Source: IMF, CIA factbook 8

9. China / USA
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10. China / Alemania
Un Aleman …
- spends 16 times more money on health care. Per capita public and private health
expenditures combined in Germany are $3,465 USD while China spends $216 USD
- consumes 5.2 times more oil. Germany consumes 1.3113 gallons of oil per day per
capita while China consumes 0.2526
- makes 5.2 times more money. The GDP per capita in Germany is $34,100 while in
China it is $6,600
- uses 2.6 times more electricity. The per capita consumption of electricity in
Germany is 6,651kWh while in China it is 2,585kWh.
- has 90.7% more chance of being unemployed. Germany has an unemployment rate
of 8.20% while China has 4.30%
- has 76.08% less chance of dying in infancy. The number of deaths of infants under
one year old in a given year per 1,000 live births in Germany is 3.95 while in China it
is 16.51.
- experiences 34.94% less of a class divide. The GINI index measures the degree of
inequality in the distribution of family income. In Germany is 27.00 while in China it is
41.50.
- has 32.54% less babies. The annual number of births per 1,000 people in Germany
is 8.21 while in China it is 12.17.
- live 4.9 years longer Source: http://www.ifitweremyhome.com/compare/CN/DE
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11. China: LA industria manufacturera del mundo
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12. China: un papel esencial en el comercio mundial
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13. …Incluido en el hi-tech…
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14. Pero también un país con retos inmensos…
Costes energéticos
Acceso a materias primas
Desacuerdos comerciales
Polución y salud publica
Encarecimiento de los sueldos
Y mas…. 14

15. Urbanización…
Chongqing (28.84 million) Share of Urban population 1970-2010
Shanghai (23.01 million)
Beijing (19.61 million)
Tianjin (12.93 million)
Chengdu (14.04 million)
Guangzhou (12.70 million)
Harbin (10.63 million)
Shenzhen (10.35 million)
Wuhan (9.78 million)
Qingdao (8.71 million)
Hangzhou (8.70 million)
Xi’an (8.46 million)
Shenyang (8.10 million)
Nanjing (8 million)
Changchun (7.67 million)
Ningbo (7.60 million)
Jinan (6.81 million)
Dalian (6.69 million)
Xiamen (3.53 million)…. 15

16. Disparidades (típicas del crecimiento)…
…entre regiones, zonas rurales y urbanas, estilos de vida
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17. Envejecimiento y problemas con el systema de educación…
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18. Expectaciones de la nueva generación…

19. ¿Pues… Europeos, que es lo que nos da miedo?
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20. Tres preguntas – Múltiples respuestas…
¿ Como resolverán los Chinos su situación ?
¿ Nos cambiara la vida ?
¿ Cuál es nuestro papel en el proceso ?
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21. SIC
Debates sobre tendencias de la
sociedad de la información y el
conocimiento
Sevilla, 9 abril 2013
No os perdéis:
1. The World innovation landscape: Asia rising? R, Veugelers BURUEGEL, 2013
2. Structural change in China, P.Ehmer, Deutsche Bank Research
3. The ICT Landscape in BRICS Countries: China, JP Simon, IPTS
And…grateful acknowledgement to the following
references:
CIA, CISCO, IMF, IPTS, jps public policy consulting SERI,
United Nations, Wikipedia, World Bank, etc.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the presenter and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the European
Commission. Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of this
presentation. 21

22. II. Ilustración con las Industrias TIC
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