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Many people are relatively healthy and have low annual medical
costs but for some the costs can be extremely high. health
economists often model medical costs using the log normal
distribution. assuming medical costs are distributed LN (8,3)
what is the probability a person pays less than $3,000 in health
care in a single year.
Week 4 Practice Worksheet
PSY/315 Version 6
4
Prepare a written response to the following questions.
Chapters 9 &11
1. Two boats, the Prada (Italy) and the Oracle (USA), are
competing for a spot in the upcoming America’s Cup race. They
race over a part of the course several times. The sample times in
minutes for the Prada were: 12.9, 12.5, 11.0, 13.3, 11.2, 11.4,
11.6, 12.3, 14.2, and 11.3. The sample times in minutes for the
Oracle were: 14.1, 14.1, 14.2, 17.4, 15.8, 16.7, 16.1, 13.3, 13.4,
13.6, 10.8, and 19.0. For data analysis, the appropriate test is
the t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances.
The next table shows the results of this independent t-test. At
the .05 significance level, can we conclude that there is a
difference in their mean times? Explain these results to a person
who knows about the t test for a single sample but is unfamiliar
with the t test for independent means.
Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, unequal variance)
Prada
Oracle
12.170
14.875
mean
1.056
2.208
std. dev.
10
12
n
16
df
-2.7050
difference (Prada - Oracle)
0.7196
standard error of difference
0
hypothesized difference
-3.76
t
.0017
p-value (two-tailed)
-4.2304
confidence interval 95.% lower
-1.1796
confidence interval 95.% upper
1.5254
margin of error
2. The Willow Run Outlet Mall has two Haggar Outlet Stores,
one located on Peach Street and the other on Plum Street. The
two stores are laid out differently, but both store managers
claim their layout maximizes the amounts customers will
purchase on impulse. A sample of ten customers at the Peach
Street store revealed they spent the following amounts more
than planned: $17.58, $19.73, $12.61, $17.79, $16.22, $15.82,
$15.40, $15.86, $11.82, $15.85. A sample of fourteen customers
at the Plum Street store revealed they spent the following
amounts more than they planned when they entered the store:
$18.19, $20.22, $17.38, $17.96, $23.92, $15.87, $16.47, $15.96,
$16.79, $16.74, $21.40, $20.57, $19.79, $14.83. For Data
Analysis, a t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances
was used.
At the .01 significance level is there a difference in the mean
amount purchased on an impulse at the two stores? Explain
these results to a person who knows about the t test for a single
sample but is unfamiliar with the t test for independent means.
Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, unequal variance)
Peach Street
Plum Street
15.8680
18.2921
mean
2.3306
2.5527
std. dev.
10
14
n
20
df
-2.42414
difference (Peach Street - Plum Street)
1.00431
standard error of difference
0
hypothesized difference
-2.41
t
.0255
p-value (two-tailed)
-5.28173
confidence interval 99.% lower
0.43345
confidence interval 99.% upper
2.85759
margin of error
3. Fry Brothers heating and Air Conditioning, Inc. employs
Larry Clark and George Murnen to make service calls to repair
furnaces and air conditioning units in homes. Tom Fry, the
owner, would like to know whether there is a difference in the
mean number of service calls they make per day. Assume the
population standard deviation for Larry Clark is 1.05 calls per
day and 1.23 calls per day for George Murnen. A random
sample of 40 days last year showed that Larry Clark made an
average of 4.77 calls per day. For a sample of 50 days George
Murnen made an average of 5.02 calls per day. At the .05
significance level, is there a difference in the mean number of
calls per day between the two employees? What is the p-value?
Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, pooled variance)
Larry
George
4.77
5.02
mean
1.05
1.23
std. dev.
40
50
n
88
df
-0.25000
difference (Larry - George)
1.33102
pooled variance
1.15370
pooled std. dev.
0.24474
standard error of difference
0
hypothesized difference
-1.02
t
.3098
p-value (two-tailed)
-0.73636
confidence interval 95.% lower
0.23636
confidence interval 95.% upper
0.48636
margin of error
Chapters 11 & 12
4. A consumer organization wants to know if there is a
difference in the price of a particular toy at three different types
of stores. The price of the toy was checked in a sample of five
discount toy stores, five variety stores, and five department
stores. The results are shown below.
Discount toy
Variety
Department
$12
15
19
13
17
17
14
14
16
12
18
20
15
17
19
An ANOVA was run and the results are shown below. At the
.05 significance level, is there a difference in the mean prices
between the three stores? What is the p-value? Explain why an
ANOVA was used to analyze this problem.
One factor ANOVA
Mean
n
Std. Dev
13.2
5
1.30
Discount Toys
16.2
5
1.64
Variety
18.2
5
1.64
Department
15.9
15
2.56
Total
ANOVA table
Source
SS
df
MS
F
p-value
Treatment
63.33
2
31.667
13.38
.0009
Error
28.40
12
2.367
Total
91.73
14
5. A physician who specializes in weight control has three
different diets she recommends. As an experiment, she
randomly selected 15 patients and then assigned 5 to each diet.
After three weeks the following weight losses, in pounds, were
noted. At the .05 significance level, can she conclude that there
is a difference in the mean amount of weight loss among the
three diets?
Plan A
Plan B
Plan C
5
6
7
7
7
8
4
7
9
5
5
8
4
6
9
An ANOVA was run and the results are shown below. At the
.01 significance level, is there a difference in the weight loss
between the three plans? What is the p-value? What can you do
to determine exactly where the difference is?
One factor ANOVA
Mean
n
Std. Dev
5.0
5
1.22
Plan A
6.2
5
0.84
Plan B
8.2
5
0.84
Plan C
6.5
15
1.64
Total
ANOVA table
Source
SS
df
MS
F
p-value
Treatment
26.13
2
13.067
13.52
.0008
Error
11.60
12
0.967
Total
37.73
14
Copyright ©2013 by Pearson Education, Inc. All rights
reserved. Used with permission

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Many people are relatively healthy and have low annual medical cos.docx

  • 1. Many people are relatively healthy and have low annual medical costs but for some the costs can be extremely high. health economists often model medical costs using the log normal distribution. assuming medical costs are distributed LN (8,3) what is the probability a person pays less than $3,000 in health care in a single year. Week 4 Practice Worksheet PSY/315 Version 6 4 Prepare a written response to the following questions. Chapters 9 &11 1. Two boats, the Prada (Italy) and the Oracle (USA), are competing for a spot in the upcoming America’s Cup race. They race over a part of the course several times. The sample times in minutes for the Prada were: 12.9, 12.5, 11.0, 13.3, 11.2, 11.4, 11.6, 12.3, 14.2, and 11.3. The sample times in minutes for the Oracle were: 14.1, 14.1, 14.2, 17.4, 15.8, 16.7, 16.1, 13.3, 13.4, 13.6, 10.8, and 19.0. For data analysis, the appropriate test is the t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances. The next table shows the results of this independent t-test. At the .05 significance level, can we conclude that there is a difference in their mean times? Explain these results to a person who knows about the t test for a single sample but is unfamiliar with the t test for independent means.
  • 2. Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, unequal variance) Prada Oracle 12.170 14.875 mean 1.056 2.208 std. dev. 10 12
  • 3. n 16 df -2.7050 difference (Prada - Oracle) 0.7196 standard error of difference 0
  • 5. -4.2304 confidence interval 95.% lower -1.1796 confidence interval 95.% upper 1.5254 margin of error 2. The Willow Run Outlet Mall has two Haggar Outlet Stores, one located on Peach Street and the other on Plum Street. The two stores are laid out differently, but both store managers claim their layout maximizes the amounts customers will purchase on impulse. A sample of ten customers at the Peach Street store revealed they spent the following amounts more than planned: $17.58, $19.73, $12.61, $17.79, $16.22, $15.82, $15.40, $15.86, $11.82, $15.85. A sample of fourteen customers at the Plum Street store revealed they spent the following
  • 6. amounts more than they planned when they entered the store: $18.19, $20.22, $17.38, $17.96, $23.92, $15.87, $16.47, $15.96, $16.79, $16.74, $21.40, $20.57, $19.79, $14.83. For Data Analysis, a t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances was used. At the .01 significance level is there a difference in the mean amount purchased on an impulse at the two stores? Explain these results to a person who knows about the t test for a single sample but is unfamiliar with the t test for independent means. Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, unequal variance) Peach Street Plum Street 15.8680 18.2921 mean 2.3306 2.5527
  • 7. std. dev. 10 14 n 20 df -2.42414 difference (Peach Street - Plum Street) 1.00431 standard error of difference
  • 9. 0.43345 confidence interval 99.% upper 2.85759 margin of error 3. Fry Brothers heating and Air Conditioning, Inc. employs Larry Clark and George Murnen to make service calls to repair furnaces and air conditioning units in homes. Tom Fry, the owner, would like to know whether there is a difference in the mean number of service calls they make per day. Assume the population standard deviation for Larry Clark is 1.05 calls per day and 1.23 calls per day for George Murnen. A random sample of 40 days last year showed that Larry Clark made an average of 4.77 calls per day. For a sample of 50 days George Murnen made an average of 5.02 calls per day. At the .05 significance level, is there a difference in the mean number of calls per day between the two employees? What is the p-value? Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, pooled variance)
  • 11. 88 df -0.25000 difference (Larry - George) 1.33102 pooled variance 1.15370 pooled std. dev.
  • 12. 0.24474 standard error of difference 0 hypothesized difference -1.02 t .3098 p-value (two-tailed)
  • 13. -0.73636 confidence interval 95.% lower 0.23636 confidence interval 95.% upper 0.48636 margin of error Chapters 11 & 12 4. A consumer organization wants to know if there is a difference in the price of a particular toy at three different types of stores. The price of the toy was checked in a sample of five discount toy stores, five variety stores, and five department stores. The results are shown below. Discount toy Variety
  • 14. Department $12 15 19 13 17 17 14 14 16 12 18 20 15 17 19 An ANOVA was run and the results are shown below. At the .05 significance level, is there a difference in the mean prices between the three stores? What is the p-value? Explain why an ANOVA was used to analyze this problem. One factor ANOVA Mean n
  • 17. 5. A physician who specializes in weight control has three different diets she recommends. As an experiment, she randomly selected 15 patients and then assigned 5 to each diet. After three weeks the following weight losses, in pounds, were noted. At the .05 significance level, can she conclude that there is a difference in the mean amount of weight loss among the three diets? Plan A Plan B Plan C 5 6 7 7 7 8 4 7 9 5 5 8 4 6 9
  • 18. An ANOVA was run and the results are shown below. At the .01 significance level, is there a difference in the weight loss between the three plans? What is the p-value? What can you do to determine exactly where the difference is? One factor ANOVA Mean n Std. Dev 5.0 5 1.22 Plan A 6.2 5 0.84
  • 20. p-value Treatment 26.13 2 13.067 13.52 .0008 Error 11.60 12 0.967 Total 37.73 14 Copyright ©2013 by Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Used with permission