The quarterly meeting agenda included discussing the performance of the LGIP, endowments, and state cash flow. The treasurer's investment philosophy prioritizes safety, liquidity, then yield. LGIP pools performed well in Q4 2012. The endowment market value was $3.52 billion as of June 2012 with unrealized gains of $911 million. A new distribution formula based on a 5-year average was proposed. State cash flow and balances were up significantly year-over-year. Jim Palmer then presented on current market conditions, Fed policy, strategies around the yield curve and duration, and attractive sectors.

1. LGIP QUARTERLY MEETING &
CONFERENCE CALL
7.26.2012
OFFICE OF THE ARIZONA STATE TREASURER

2. AGENDA
LGIP Performance
Endowment Performance
Endowment Distribution Formula
State Cash Flow
Guest Presentation: Jim Palmer, CFA,
Head of Investments for U.S. Bancorp
Asset Management
Q&A
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

3. INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY
SAFETY
before
LIQUIDITY
before
YIELD
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

4. EARNINGS FOR FY 2012 YTD
$134,833,364
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

5. LGIP PERFORMANCE
Q4 FY2012

6. POOL 5
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

7. POOL 7
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

8. POOL 500
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

9. POOL 700
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

10. Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs)
Designed for those seeking a customized
investing solution based on your risk
tolerance, liquidity needs and duration target.
Monthly Liquidity
Requires $100 million minimum deposit
Pre-Meeting with Portfolio Manager to set up
Account and determine investing needs.
Costs: Standard 6 basis points, plus yearly
accounting charges of $20,000 out of
earnings (equivalent to 2 basis points.)
Contact Deputy Treasurer Mark Swenson
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

11. OPERATING UPDATES
Starting Monday, July 30, 2012 new
key phone numbers:
Main number 602-542-7800
LGIP Line 602-542-7834
Mark Swenson 602-542-7877
Dale Stomberg 602-542-7833
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

12. ENDOWMENT
PERFORMANCE
Q4 FY2012
OFFICE OF THE ARIZONA STATE TREASURER

13. Billions
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
December 2006
February 2007
April 2007
June 2007
August 2007
October 2007
December 2007
February 2008
April 2008
June 2008
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY
August 2008
October 2008
December 2008
February 2009
April 2009
June 2009
August 2009
October 2009
December 2009
February 2010
Endowment Market Value
April 2010
June 2010
August 2010
October 2010
December 2010
February 2011
April 2011
ENDOWMENT MARKET VALUE
June 2011
$3.52
Billion
August 2011
October 2011
December 2011
February 2012
April 2012
June 2012

14. Millions
-$200.00
$0.00
$200.00
$400.00
$600.00
$800.00
$1,000.00
$1,200.00
December 2006
March 2007
June 2007
September 2007
December 2007
March 2008
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY
June 2008
September 2008
December 2008
March 2009
June 2009
September 2009
December 2009
March 2010
June 2010
September 2010
December 2010
March 2011
June 2011
ENDOWMENT UNREALIZED GAINS
September 2011
December 2011
$911
March 2012
million
June 2012

15. ENDOWMENT ASSET ALLOCATION
8.6%
$3.52 Billion
Fixed Income
$1,549.4 million
$542.2 million
$1,600.04M $502.79M
14.7% 41.5% S&P 500
S&P 400
35.2% $1,122.1 million
$1,052.42M
S&P 600
As of 6/30/2012
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

16. PROPOSED ENDOWMENT
DISTRIBUTION
FORMULA
OFFICE OF THE ARIZONA STATE TREASURER

17. SMOOTHER, CONSISTENT DISTRIBUTIONS
5-Year
Average
Market Value
X
2.5%
Annual
Distribution
Takes 2.5% of the average monthly market value from
each of the previous five years
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

18. STATE CASH FLOW
OFFICE OF THE ARIZONA STATE TREASURER

19. STATE CASH FLOW
TOTAL OPERATING ACCOUNT AVERAGE MONTHLY BALANCE
Up 58% YOY in F Y 2012
$3,000 Mar'01-Nov '01 Dec'07-June '09
Jul '90-Mar '91
Recession Recession Recession
$2,500 $2.3
billion in
$2,000 June
$1,500
$1,000
$500
Millions
$0
-$500
-$1,000
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

20. -$1,000
-$500
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
Jul-06 $3,000
Oct-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
STATE CASH FLOW
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
State Operating Balance FY 2007 - FY 2012
Jan-12
Apr-12

21. STATE CASH FLOW
$3,000,000
YTD FY 2012 Cash Flow vs. FY 2011
$2,500,000
$2,000,000
$1,500,000
$1,000,000
$500,000
FY 2011 FY 2012 Actual
$-
1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec 1-Jan 1-Feb1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

22. AZ NON-FARM EMPLOYMENT
3000
Dec '07-Jun 09
Recession
2750 Mar'01-Nov '01
Recession
2500
2250
AZ Job growth returning
Jul '90-Mar '91
2000 Recession
1750 Jul '81-Nov '82
Recession
1500
1250
1000
750
Feb-82
Feb-83
Feb-84
Feb-85
Feb-86
Feb-87
Feb-88
Feb-89
Feb-90
Feb-91
Feb-92
Feb-93
Feb-94
Feb-95
Feb-96
Feb-97
Feb-98
Feb-99
Feb-00
Feb-01
Feb-02
Feb-03
Feb-04
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-12
Feb-11
Source:
Bloomberg
2012 L.P.
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

23. AZ UNEMPLOYMENT AT 8.2%
12% Jul '81-Nov '82
Jul '90-Mar '91
Mar'01-Nov '01 Dec'07-June 09
Recession Recession Recession
Recession
11%
Jan '80-Jul '80 AZ Rate at 8.2%
10% Recession
9%
National rate of 8.2%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
Feb-76
Feb-77
Feb-78
Feb-79
Feb-80
Feb-81
Feb-82
Feb-83
Feb-84
Feb-85
Feb-86
Feb-87
Feb-88
Feb-89
Feb-90
Feb-91
Feb-92
Feb-93
Feb-94
Feb-95
Feb-96
Feb-97
Feb-98
Feb-99
Feb-00
Feb-01
Feb-02
Feb-03
Feb-04
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Source:
Bloomberg
2012 L.P.
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

24. AZ HOUSING PRICES
S & P/Case Schiller Housing Price Index for Phoenix
250
200
150
100
50
Source: Bloomberg 2012 L.P.
0
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

25. Guest Presentation:
James Palmer, CFA: Head of Investments for
U.S. Bancorp Asset Management
OFFICE OF THE ARIZONA STATE TREASURER

26. Arizona State Treasurer’s Office
LGIP Quarterly Meeting and
Q4 2012 Conference Call
Presentation By:
Jim Palmer, CFA
Head of Investments
612.303.3434
NOT FDIC INSURED NO BANK GUARANTEE MAY LOSE VALUE
For Institutional Investor or Investment Professional Use Only – This material is not for inspection by, distribution to, or quotation to the general public.
ARIZONA STATE TREASURER DOUG DUCEY

27. Market Conditions
Fed/Central Bank Policy
• Current policy indication is to keep the federal funds rate “exceptionally low” at
least through late 2014
• Operation Twist – supportive of short-term yields
• Risk is skewed toward implementing additional monetary stimulus. All would
be negative for short-term yields
− Additional Asset Purchases, aka: Quantitative Easing 3
− Extending language to keep Federal Funds Rate “exceptionally low”
− Reducing the “Interest on Excess Reserves” rate
• ECB has taken aggressive actions
− 3-year LTROs
− Reduced key refinancing rate to 0.75%
− Reduced interest rate on overnight deposits to 0.00%
For Institutional Investor or Investment Professional Use Only –
This material is not for inspection by, distribution to, or quotation to the general public. 27

28. Market Conditions
Economic Growth
• Recent U.S. economic data has been disappointing
− Employment, manufacturing, retail sales
• Global growth is slowing
• Policymakers view inflation as relatively contained
For Institutional Investor or Investment Professional Use Only –
This material is not for inspection by, distribution to, or quotation to the general public.

29. Market Conditions
Credit Market Challenges
• European sovereign and bank debt crisis continues and represents
the largest tail risk to the financial markets
• Rating agency risk remains, but has diminished after Moody’s
completed its reviews of global financial institutions in the second
quarter
• U.S. has significant policy making uncertainties
− “Fiscal Cliff”
− U.S. fiscal debt ceiling
For Institutional Investor or Investment Professional Use Only –
This material is not for inspection by, distribution to, or quotation to the general public.

30. Strategies
Yield Curve
• Fed policy supports 2- to-3-year and under bond prices
• Risk is skewed toward steeper yield curve, favoring a bullet
strategy
• LIBOR remains attractive in the mid-40 bps range
Duration Management
• Fed policy argues for extending portfolio duration to maximize yield
for shorter portfolios
• Long-run view suggests risks are skewed toward higher interest
rates
For Institutional Investor or Investment Professional Use Only –
This material is not for inspection by, distribution to, or quotation to the general public. 30

31. Strategies
Sectors
• Treasuries – current yield curve relatively low
• Agencies
− Spreads have tightened
− Callable spreads have tightened but select securities can still offer value
• Corporates
− Industrial companies have built strong balance sheets and cash positions
− U.S. banks have built strong capital and liquidity positions
− Spreads have tightened in past six months
• Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)
− At current spreads, ABS offer more value as a portfolio diversifier than as a yield
enhancement strategy
• Agency MBS
− Favor CMOs with tighter pre-pay speed bands over pass-throughs
− Recent bump in pre-pay speeds has limited opportunities
− Additional Fed policy actions could increase risk of faster pre-payments
For Institutional Investor or Investment Professional Use Only –
This material is not for inspection by, distribution to, or quotation to the general public.

32. QUESTIONS?
OFFICE OF THE ARIZONA STATE TREASURER