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Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
§ 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Salon: Cloud vis-`a-vis Clock
Preston S. Fan
School of Management, New York Institute of Technology
April, 2014
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Table of Contents
1 Empirical Observations
Lorentz Force
Le Chˆatelier’s principle
Samuelson’s Correspondence Principle
2 Inertia
The Universe of Clocks
3 Disruptive World of Clouds
Statistical Implication
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Lorentz Force
Observed in electromagnetism, Lorentz force acts as a
resistance to any wire loop moving through a magnetic field.
Crucial difference:
Ampere force does work on moving charges, but Lorentz
force never does work.
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Lorentz Force
Much ado with nothing,
but its result is similar to optimal control in economic science.
F = q − φ −
∂A
∂t
+ (v · A) − (v · ) A
which can take the convenient Euler’s equation:
F = q − X (φ − x · A) +
d
dt ˙X
(φ − x · A)
as a necessary F.O.C. to economic optimization problem.
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Le Chˆatelier’s principle
Le Chˆatelier’s principle could be be used to predict the
effect of a change in conditions on a chemical equilibrium
qualitatively.
Under certain conditions, a balanced system struggles to
keep the initial balance (equilibrium).
The (discrete) movement of equilibrium is predictable.
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Le Chˆatelier’s principle
Comparative static version of pV = nRT
”Any change in status quo prompts an opposing reaction in
the responding system.”
ex: buffer solution (such as the blood), buffer pairs such as
H2CO3 − NaHCO3, NaH2PO4 − Na2HPO4;
H2CO3 − KHCO3, KH2PO4 − K2HPO4
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Samuelson’s Correspondence Principle
Samuelson’s Correspondence Principle secures asymptotic
stability of an economic system, which has been a foundation of
comparative statics in general equilibrium analysis.
General Correspondence Principle
(Locally) Any Robustly Stable equilibrium exhibits the
Robust Law of Demand.
(Globally) If a system is globally Robustly Stable then it
has at most one equilibrium point and this is Robustly
Stable.
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
The Universe of Clocks
Inertia
Resistance to new changes
Adaptive (disruptive?)
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
The Universe of Clocks
Discussion on organizational changes or dynamics
The universe of clouds
Every clock becomes the cloud
Unpredictable: the loss of security
Unpredictable in direction
Unpredictable in speed
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Statistical Implication
In Frequentist statistics, we face a trade-off between Power
and Type I error.
Questions:
Is it for safe to be conservative against the changes?
Resistance to new change is artificial?
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Statistical Implication
A trial:
Open any Form-10 of any firm, extract the numbers from
its B/S or P/L in Excel.
Compare among these numbers:



= sumproduct(− − (left(”your dataset”, 1) = ”1”))
= sumproduct(− − (left(”your dataset”, 1) = ”2”))
...
= sumproduct(− − (left(”your dataset”, 1) = ”9”))
What do you discover?
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds
Statistical Implication
Newcomb (1881) noted the probability of a single number
N being the first digit of a number was equal to
log10(N + 1) − log10(N), rediscovered by Benford (1938).
Questions:
Resistance to new change is a behavioral pattern of the
data per se?
Herding effects?
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
Relevant Readings
John Stachurski
Economic Dynamics: Theory and Computation
MIT Press. 2009.
Gandolfo, Giancarlo
Economic Dynamics
Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. 2009.
Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference

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Lecture1.4

  • 1. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference Salon: Cloud vis-`a-vis Clock Preston S. Fan School of Management, New York Institute of Technology April, 2014 Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 2. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Table of Contents 1 Empirical Observations Lorentz Force Le Chˆatelier’s principle Samuelson’s Correspondence Principle 2 Inertia The Universe of Clocks 3 Disruptive World of Clouds Statistical Implication Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 3. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Lorentz Force Observed in electromagnetism, Lorentz force acts as a resistance to any wire loop moving through a magnetic field. Crucial difference: Ampere force does work on moving charges, but Lorentz force never does work. Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 4. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Lorentz Force Much ado with nothing, but its result is similar to optimal control in economic science. F = q − φ − ∂A ∂t + (v · A) − (v · ) A which can take the convenient Euler’s equation: F = q − X (φ − x · A) + d dt ˙X (φ − x · A) as a necessary F.O.C. to economic optimization problem. Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 5. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Le Chˆatelier’s principle Le Chˆatelier’s principle could be be used to predict the effect of a change in conditions on a chemical equilibrium qualitatively. Under certain conditions, a balanced system struggles to keep the initial balance (equilibrium). The (discrete) movement of equilibrium is predictable. Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 6. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Le Chˆatelier’s principle Comparative static version of pV = nRT ”Any change in status quo prompts an opposing reaction in the responding system.” ex: buffer solution (such as the blood), buffer pairs such as H2CO3 − NaHCO3, NaH2PO4 − Na2HPO4; H2CO3 − KHCO3, KH2PO4 − K2HPO4 Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 7. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Samuelson’s Correspondence Principle Samuelson’s Correspondence Principle secures asymptotic stability of an economic system, which has been a foundation of comparative statics in general equilibrium analysis. General Correspondence Principle (Locally) Any Robustly Stable equilibrium exhibits the Robust Law of Demand. (Globally) If a system is globally Robustly Stable then it has at most one equilibrium point and this is Robustly Stable. Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 8. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds The Universe of Clocks Inertia Resistance to new changes Adaptive (disruptive?) Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 9. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds The Universe of Clocks Discussion on organizational changes or dynamics The universe of clouds Every clock becomes the cloud Unpredictable: the loss of security Unpredictable in direction Unpredictable in speed Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 10. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Statistical Implication In Frequentist statistics, we face a trade-off between Power and Type I error. Questions: Is it for safe to be conservative against the changes? Resistance to new change is artificial? Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 11. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Statistical Implication A trial: Open any Form-10 of any firm, extract the numbers from its B/S or P/L in Excel. Compare among these numbers:    = sumproduct(− − (left(”your dataset”, 1) = ”1”)) = sumproduct(− − (left(”your dataset”, 1) = ”2”)) ... = sumproduct(− − (left(”your dataset”, 1) = ”9”)) What do you discover? Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 12. Empirical Observations Inertia Disruptive World of Clouds Statistical Implication Newcomb (1881) noted the probability of a single number N being the first digit of a number was equal to log10(N + 1) − log10(N), rediscovered by Benford (1938). Questions: Resistance to new change is a behavioral pattern of the data per se? Herding effects? Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference
  • 13. Relevant Readings John Stachurski Economic Dynamics: Theory and Computation MIT Press. 2009. Gandolfo, Giancarlo Economic Dynamics Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. 2009. Preston S. Fan § 1.4 Inertial Frame of Reference