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Kenya ICT Board
                Monitoring and Evaluation Survey Results

                                                           (Phase II)

                                                 Francis Hook
                                               Regional Manager
                                                IDC East Africa
                                                       19th February 2013




Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Agenda

Market Overview (Key Indicators 2010, Kenya IT Market Value (US$M)
Forecast 2010-2015, Kenya IT spend by Vertical segments)
 ICT Ecosystem Analysis – Profiling of top systems integrators in the market,
challenges faced, national and regional presence and the market outlook.
Residential Usage and Penetration Highlights
Benchmarking Kenya




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Kenya ICT Market Overview




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Market Overview
Going by various Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) and IDC's market sizing for
the Kenyan ICT market, the sector has performed well with good growth in value,
usage and access (across most sectors) between 2010 and 2011.
As more infrastructure is put in place the ICT expenditure focus will shift to
services (maintenance, support, implementation, customization, etc) and software
(custime software development, mobility, business analytics, etc).
The cost of devices and internet services still remains a constraint that keeps
more users from adopting ICT and current users from increasing their usage.
Less advanced regional markets (in terms of skills, ICT sophistication and size of
projects) in Eastern Africa continue to attract the attention of several local players
who are expanding their presence to these markets.
Overall the Kenyan ICT market continues to thrive and from 2013 onwards, the
most notable issues will include: the new government structure as county
governments wean themselves away from national governments to become more
autonomous, increased investment by vendors, increased venture capital activity
aimed at start ups and developments with the 4G shared network infrastructure.


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Market Overview
Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators
   Indicators                                                                             2010            2011    Change
                                                                                                                       %

   Volume of international traffic (Mbps)                                            20,209.56       52,938.00     162%

   International Internet bandwidth, Mbps per 10,000                                        4.2             7.7     83%
   population

   Number of Computers per 100 inhabitants                                                  2.4             2.7     14%

   percentage of households with a personal computer                                        6%              8%      27%

   Total number of Internet Subscriptions                                          4,716,977.00    6,152,687.00     30%

   Total number of internet users                                                  10,199,836.0   17,382,034.00     70%
                                                                                              0

   Total number of main fixed lines (fixed lines plus                               380,748.00      283,546.00      -26%
   fixed wireless)

   Total number of mobile subscriptions                                            24,968,891.0   28,080,771.00     12%
                                                                                              0

   Number of .Ke domain names                                                        18,000.00       24,322.00      35%

Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                           5
Market Overview
Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators
                                                                                       2010 Data    2011 Data Change
Connectivity development                                                                                      (%)
       1        Volume of international traffic (Mbps)                               20,209.00     52,938.00    162.0%
                                                                                                                         
         2          International Internet bandwidth, Mbps per 10,000                   4.2          ++7.7      83.3%
                    population++                                                                                         
         3          Number of Computers per 100 inhabitants                             2.4           2.7       13.9%
                                                                                                                         
         4          % of households with a personal computer                           6.3%          8.0%       27.0%
                                                                                                                         
         5          Total number of Internet Subscriptions                           4,716,977     6,152,687    30.4%
                                                                                                                         
         6          Total number of internet users                                   10,199,836    17,382,034   70.4%
                                                                                                                         
         7          % of population with Internet Access                                0.26          0.36      40.2%
                                                                                                                         
         8          Internet subscribers as % of total population                      11.5%         14.8%      28.6%
                                                                                                                         
         9          Total number of main fixed lines (fixed lines plus fixed          380,748       283,546     -25.5%
                    wireless)                                                                                            
         10         Total Fixed line penetration (per 100 inhabitants)                 97.0%         72.0%      -25.8%
                                                                                                                         
         11         Total number of mobile subscriptions                             24,968,891    28,080,771   12.5%
                                                                                                                         
         12         Total penetration of mobile services (per 100                      63.2%         71.3%      12.8%
                    inhabitants)                                                                                         
         13         Total teledensity                                                  64.2%         72.0%      12.2%
                                                                                                                         
         14         Number of .Ke domain names                                        18,000        24,322      35.1%
                                                                                                                         
         15         IT Spending per capita                                             $18.5         $24.4      32.1%
                                                                                                                         
          ++per user from 2011
  Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                           6
Market Overview
 Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators
Broadband demand is not constrained by cost or access
      22      Price of Internet Access for 512 Kbps                                   $22.00    $22.00    0.0%     
      23        Fixed broadband Internet access tariff ($ per month)                  $39.80    $37.90    -4.8%

                                                                                                                   
      24        Dial up Internet tariff ($ per Month)                                  $29.5     $29.3    -0.7%
                                                                                                                   
      25        Number of BPO jobs                                                    12,500    13,100    4.8%
                                                                                                                   
      26        Number of BPO seats                                                    5,000     5,696    13.9%

                                                                                                                   


Universities are connected to broadband services
       27         Number of educational institutions connected to national network      60        65      8.3%

                                                                                                                   
      28        Number of educational campuses connected to national network            74        78      5.4%

                                                                                                                   
      29        Number of students connected to broadband                             176,000   250,000   42.0%

                                                                                                                   
      30        Number of universities connected to broadband                           15        29      93.3%

                                                                                                                   
      31        Number of networked PCs per 100 students                                6         5       -16.7%


           ++per user from 2011                                                                                    
   Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                    7
Highlights
Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators
  International traffic grew by an impressive 162.0% between 2010 and 2011 and mainly
  riding on increased internet subscriptions that were mainly comprised of mobile data
  connections. .
  The total number of households with a personal computer (PC) grew from 6.3% to 8.0%.
  Internet users was recorded as 17.38 million users from 10.99 million recorded during the
  previous year.
  Fixed lines declined to 283,546 in 2012 from 355,493 in 2011, representing a decline of
  25.5% during that period.
  The total number of students connected to broadband rose from 176,000 in 2010 to
  250,000 in 2011 indicating an increase of 42% increase year on year.
  The number of universities connected to broadband services increased from 60 in 2010
  to 65 in 2011 and mainly attributed to some educational institutions that have multiple
  campuses getting connected to KENET.
  The number of registered government domain names reduced in 2011 largely due to lack
  of renewal of domains mainly by local government entities (municipal and county councils).
  Most previously registered domains have been allowed to lapse.



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Market Overview
ICT Spending by Technology Areas
           Kenya ICT Market Size 2011 and Forecast to 2016




  ICT market spending is expected to grow at an annual compound growth rate of 9.1% between 2011
  and 2016 to reach a value of US$1,596.8 million. During that period the proportion of hardware
  spend will decline from 81.1% to 75.7% giving room for growth of services from 10.4% to 15.1%, and
  software from 7.8% to 9.2% in 2016
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Market Overview
Spending by Vertical Sectors




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Kenya ICT Ecosystem




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Kenya ICT Ecosystem
Structure – Systems Integrators
       CHANNEL                                          REVENUE BREAKDOWN          REMARKS




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Kenya ICT Ecosystem
Highlights 1/2
Vendors – In Kenya there are between 20-30 vendors with a direct presence in the country
with the main function of business and channel development, product support, capacity
building, and in some cases dealing directly with big companies (multinational companies and
large accounts)/
Distributors – There are between 20-30 distributors of software and hardware, with some
focusing on very niche markets and others distributing products across the channel to big
systems integrators, telecommunication providers. A good number of distributors act as a
vendor presence in the market.
Tier 1 VARs – These would number between 30 and 40 systems integrators mostly with
nationwide presence and targeting mainly the enterprise sector with infrequent business
among the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) segment. In this layer there is a lot of
emphasis on value addition and therefore IT Services contributing as a major revenue stream.
Tier 2 VARs - This layer comprises market players focused mainly on the SME segment
with lesser nationwide presence and in some cases focused on regions outside Nairobi (e.g.
Coast, Rift Valley, Central). There are anything between 80 and 120 players in this segment.
Retail market players – Players focused mostly on "off the shelf" types of business, moving
hardware and selling single user software licences, peripherals and so on. Their main focus is
on the consumer segment but often supplying the SMB segment with good that do not require
support or significant after sales service.

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Kenya ICT Ecosystem
National and Regional Presence
                        National presence                                          Less than 40% of the local companies have a
                                                                                   presence in Mombasa, followed by Kisumu,
                                                                                   26.3% and Eldoret 10.5%.

                                                                                   Some towns are viewed as satellites of other
                                                                                   nearby towns, especially in the Nyanza, Rift
                                                                                   Valley and Western Provinces. E.g. players
                                                                                   may elect to have a presence in Eldoret in
                                                                                   order to reach out to Nyanza and Western
                                                                                   provinces.
                                                                                            Regional presence




  While Uganda is a smaller market than
  both Ethiopia and Tanzania, more local
  players have invested there (23.9%
  compared to 14.1% and 19.7%
  respectively in the other two countries.
  This is mainly due to the more relaxed
  investment environment in Uganda.




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Kenya ICT Ecosystem
Kenya as a regional Hub

Southern Sudan has recently become a main focus area for local players
despite the high risks of operating in that country and its high dependence on
oil for foreign exchange. Nonetheless, some companies are willing to take
risks, especially to pursue opportunities in government and with International
NGOs.
While Tanzania as a member of both the East African Community (EAC) and
the Southern African Development Community (SADC) is more inclined
towards more cordial relations and trade with SADC countries. Indeed
elsewhere in the economy there are many investments from South Africa in the
mining, energy and financial sectors.

Among the other countries where about 17% of local players either have a
presence or are undertaking major projects include:
Democratic Republic of Congo; Ghana; India; Malawi; Mauritius;
Mozambique; Nigeria; UAE; Zambia; Zimbabwe;




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Kenya ICT Ecosystem
Challenges faced
Challenges
Limited and Expensive Financing – for projects and importation of goods.
Long sales cycles – prolonged procurement cycles as well as cyclic spending
with government . Doing business with government is also cited as a major problem
area owning to protracted procurement cycles.
Inconsistent importation regulations and tariffs – Import duties and other
levies are frequently cited as irregular and mostly stemming from either a poor
understanding of different ICT goods or poor definitions of the different classes of
ICT products.
Lack of ICT skills – This is problem not unique to systems integrators and cuts
across the entire ICT landscape from the supply side to the demand side.
Theft and piracy – the culture diminishes value especially for local developers




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Kenya ICT Ecosystem
System Integrators’ Market Outlook
Systems Integrators are optimistic about the local market growth and among the
main areas they see good opportunities for improvement to support growth
include:
Development of Skilled resources;
Skills transfer plans (by vendors) to supported channel;
Business Analytics needs are growing;
Assembling complementary product portfolios;
Increase products portfolio
National and regional expansion to reach into other towns and cities and the
region.




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Residents Survey Highlights




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Devices at home & Household Composition


                      Q15. How many of each of the following types of devices do you have at home?
                                                                                      Average Number   Maximum Number
                                      Type
                                                                                          per HH            per HH
Desktop                                                                                    0.33               2
Laptop                                                                                     0.52               3
Television Set                                                                             1.00               3
Fixed telephone line (CDMA, Fixed wireless, Dial up)                                       0.01               1
Mobile cellular telephone/Handphone/Mobile phone                                           1.84               7
Satellite Antenna (Satellite dish)                                                         0.23               1
Radio set                                                                                  0.87               3


     Traditional devices are more available at households than advanced ones
     There is almost 1 TV set and 1 radio set in each of the surveyed HH
     Mobiles are more common than other items (almost 2 per HH)




                                                                                                                        19


     Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All = Total Sample (n=750)
                                                            Base rights reserved.
Resident’s Survey Highlights
Internet Usage at home

Q16. Do you have an Internet connection at                                                 Internet Home Penetration by Location
                 home?
                                                                       41%                                                          32%                                     33%
                                                                                        49%                   49%      65%                      64%
                                                                                                    66%                                                     72%

                                                                       59%                                                          68%                                     67%
                                                                                        51%                   51%      35%                      36%
                                                                                                    34%                                                     28%
              50%                     50%




                                                                                                                                        Thika
                                                                                                                         Eldoret




                                                                                                                                                                            Garissa
                                                                         Nairobi




                                                                                                              Kisumu
                                                                                        Mombasa


                                                                                                     Nakuru




                                                                                                                                                 Machakos


                                                                                                                                                            Kakamega
                                                                                                  Internet Home Penetration by SCL
                         Yes    No
              Base : Total Sample (750)                                        43%                    42%
                                                                                                                        63%
                                                                                                                                                85%                    95%
                                                                               57%                    58%
                                                                                                                        37%
                                                                                                                                                15%                    5%
                                                                                   AB                   C1              C2                      D                       E

                                                                                                                       Yes         No


     Internet usage increases by SCL levels. It is highest in Nairobi (59%)

     Internet usage increases by SCL levels. It is highest in Mombasa (37%)
                                                                                                                                                                                      20


                          Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
     Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.             the base of the respective category
Internet Usage at home
Type & Speed of Connection

          Q18. What type of Internet connection                         Q19. What is the speed of your main internet connection at
                 do you have at home?                                                             home?


          Mobile broadband /                                          Broadband delivering speed of 256
        narrowband Connection                                  87%                                                                       32%
                                                                          kbps to less than 1 Mbps
               /modem
                                                                      Broadband delivering speeds from
    ADSL line (dedicated line for                                                                                                      27%
                                        4%                               1Mbps to less than 4Mbps
       internet (broadband)
                                                                      Broadband delivering speeds from
                                                                                                                               19%
     Dial up connection (using                                           4Mbps to less than 8Mbps
                                       1%
   fixed phone line connection)
                                                                     Broadband delivering speeds higher
                                                                                                                            16%
                                                                               than 8Mbps
              Other connections                 34%
                                                                                              Don't know           6%



                     Base : Internet users (210)                                     Base : Internet users but NOT VIA DIAL-UP (210)


  Dial-up is phased out by other developed internet connections

  Connections with speed less than 1Mbps are used in 41% of the HH


                                                                                                                                             21


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Internet Usage at home
Inhibitors for Not Using internet at home


                                           Q17. What are the reasons for not having internet
                                                   connection at home till now?


                                                   We don’t have PC                            63%


                             We can’t afford internet subscription                     35%

                          I use internet in other places, and there
                                                                                       33%
                              is no need to have one at home

                                  There are no internet cables /
                                                                                     23%
                               infrastructure in our neighborhood

                                 I don’t know how to use internet              11%

                           Internet connections are poor in terms
                                                                            3%
                                         of quality


                                                           Base : No Users of Internet (540)




                                                                                                     22


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Type of PC, Internet Device & Mobile Service Used

                Q25. What kind of PC do you use?
                                                                                       Included
                             Desktop                        78%
                                                                                       media tablets
                              Laptop                    61%                            in Phase II

                       Media Tablet           14%

                         Base : Users of PC (493)


  Q31. Which of the following devices have you used to access the
                  Internet in the past 12 months?


                                 Desktop                                78%
                                                                                     Q60. Which kind of mobile service do you use?
                                   Laptop                         60%
                                                                                            Prepaid                             96%
        Other mobile phone / internet
                                                                  57%
           enabled mobile phones                                                           Postpaid    3%
                             Smartphone                   37%
                                                                                              Both    1%
                            Media Tablet         9%

                                                                                           Base : Users of Mobile Phone (746)
                      Base : Users of Internet (570)


                                                                                                                                      23


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Purposes for Using PC


                                              Q27. What is your primary purpose for using the PC?


                                             2012                                                       2011



Communication                                                  83%            Personal usage                                71%

                                                                              Entertainment                               66%
 Entertainment                                         66%
                                                                              Communicatio
                                                                                                                          64%
         Work                                    57%                              n

                                                                                   Education                    45%
Other Personal
                                               54%
  purposes
                                                                                        Work              36%
     Education                    28%


                                                                                               Base : Users of PC (519)
                                   Base : Users of PC (493)


     Respondents use PC mainly to perform personal task, especially old individuals 45+ years

     Entertainment and education purposes drive respondents 15-34 yrs old to use PC. These reasons decrease significantly
      among older users

     Old males (45+ yrs) tend to use PC for work reasons much more than other demographics.                                      24


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Purposes for Using the Mobile Phone


                    Q59. Which of the following services do you actively use on your mobile device?


                                        2012                                                                     2011


                       SMS                                   98%                         Voice services                              97%
            Voice services                                   97%                                  SMS                                96%
             Social media                          65%                  Access to social media websites                 45%
           Web Browsing                           57%                                   Web Browsing                    42%
          Access to Email                        52%                                    Entertainment                 37%
           Entertainment                       50%                                      Access to Email              35%
             Chatting (IM)                  41%                                                    PIM               31%
PIM (personal information…                 35%                                                Chatting            24%
                      MMS            18%                                                 Sending MMS           15%

                                                                                                          Base : Users of Mobile Phone (746)
                               Base : Users of Mobile Phone (721)

     Calling and texting share respondents' main usage of the mobile (around 97-98%)

     The usage of internet enabled services and PIM mainly attracts the young category (15-34 yrs). Their usage decreases
      by age

                                                                                                                                               25


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Financial Transactions on the Internet and Mobile
Type of transition, Number of online Purchases

 Q38. Which of the following on-line / electronic (through internet or mobile) services have you used in the past 12
      months?


                         Top up of Airtime through Mobile Money Transfer                                            96%

              Payments (utility & mobile bills etc) through Mobile Money …                              55%

              Buying of product through Mobile (Mobile Money transfer)                            36%

               Selling of product through Mobile (Mobile Money transfer)                          34%

                  Payments of School fees through money mobile transfer                     23%

                                        Banking (online Banking transaction)           7%

                      Payments (utility & mobile bills etc) through Internet           6%

                           Buying of product and services through internet            5%

                            Selling of product and services through internet          3%

                                     Base : Respondents Using Online Banking or purchases (618)

  4 of the top 5 e-transactions are done via mobile

  Online e-transactions are almost not present and include online banking (7%), utility payments (6%) and the purchase of
   products and services (5%)
                                                                                                                             26


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Tasks Performed on the Internet

                              Q34. Do you use the Internet to perform any of the following tasks?

                                                   Search for information                     75%
                                           Communicate with colleagues                      64%
           Downloading movies, images, music, watching TV or video, or…                    59%
                        Communicate with customers/citizens/ residents               37%
                             Getting information about goods or services            33%
                                         Education and learning activities          33%
               Playing or downloading video games or computer games                30%
                           Finding, downloading, and installing software           29%
             Reading or downloading on-line newspapers or magazines               26%
                           Using peer-to-peer file sharing for exchanging…        25%
              Keeping viruses, spyware, and ad-ware off your computer            23%
                                         Schedule business appointments         16%
            Getting information from general government organizations          14%
                                          Checking a receipt of payments      8%
                             Purchase or place orders goods and services      8%
                                                          Online banking      6%
                      Interacting with general government organizations       6%

                                                                    Base : Users of Internet (570)
  The main purposes for using the internet are search for information (75%), communication with colelagues (64%) and
   downloading (59%) exceeding by far other reasons.

  Internet users 35+ yrs old perform business-oriented internet tasks (communicating with customers, scheduling
   appointments, etc.) more than younger users who look for more social, entertaining or educational activities online
                                                                                                                         27


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Satisfaction With Internet Service

Q46. The following questions are about your satisfaction with the Internet service you use. I will ask you about
     various characteristics of the service, for each one please select a number from 1-7, where 1 = Very
     dissatisfied, and 7 = very satisfied


                      Cost of your Internet service       11%         20%                                  69%

  Value for money spent on your Internet service            15%            24%                               61%

               Reliability of your Internet service        12%        18%                                  70%

                    Speed of your Internet service            18%           20%                             62%

                     Customer support after sales             21%                      39%                            40%

                           Overall Internet service      5%         24%                                71%


                                                      Dissatisfied (Scale 1-3)         Neutral (Scale 4)         Satisfiied (Scale 5-7)




                                                              Base : Users of Internet (570)




                       Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
  Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.   the base of the respective category
General Attitudes Towards ICT

                  Q64. For each of the following statements, please rate your agreement level from 1 to 7


    Learning how to use all the features of my mobile phone is
                                                                      9%      13%                               78%
           important to my life now and in the future.
 Learning how to use the Internet better is important to my life
                                                                      7% 10%                                 83%
                    now and in the future.

      Having PC skills is critical to my life now and in the future. 4%    15%                                80%


          Using on-line banking services is important to my life.             32%                   28%                       41%


               Purchasing goods on-line is important to my life.                   40%                    29%                    32%

                                                                                             Bottom Box (scale 1-3) : Disagree
                                                                                             Middle Box (scale 4) : Neutral
                                                                                             Top Box (scale 5-7) : Agree


  Learning basic ICT skills is more prominent than using sophisticated services like purchasing online or online banking

  Highest priority is given to learning how to use the Internet usage (83% agree), PC usage (83%) and mobile usage (78%).




   Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All= Total Sample
                                                         Base rights reserved.     (n=750)
Awareness of e-Government Services

Q65. Are you aware of any government services available online? If yes, have you used any for your non-work
     related matters in the past 12 months?



     Not aware of any services                                             Not aware of any services
                                                         47%                                                            34%
          provided online                                                       provided online

                                                                     Aware of them, and have used
                                                                     any online services more than               16%
Aware of them, but have never                                               12 months ago
                                                      39%
  used any online services
                                                                      Aware of them, but have not
                                                                     used any online services in the                    36%
                                                                            past 12 months
Aware of them and have used
                                            14%                       Aware of them and have used
 them in the past 12 months                                                                                     14%
                                                                       them in the past 12 months

                      Base : Total Sample (750)                                             Base : Total Sample (750)


                           2011                                                         2012
  Overall awareness of e-government services is significant (53%). But their actual usage is low
   (23%), concentrated especially in Nyeri (23%)
  Survey question response options were adjusted in Phase II to include “Aware of them but have not
   used any online services in the last 12 months”

                        Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
   Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.   the base of the respective category
Satisfaction with e-Government Services

  Q70. How would you rate your experience with the usage of e-government services? Please rate your satisfaction
       for the following points using 10 point scale where 1= very dissatisfied and 10 = very satisfied.


         Variety of e-services provided    7%                                   69%                                       24%


                    Easiness of using it         19%                  27%                                    54%


Quickness of processing the transaction         16%                                   63%                                   21%


   Quality of the transaction in general 3%                               66%                                         31%


                                              Bottom Box (1-3) : Dissatisfied    Middle Box (4-7): Neutral     Top Box (8-10): Satisfied




    Overall satisfaction with e-government services is not high (not exceeding 31%)

    The majority of the users of such services were neutral in rating their experience while using such services




     Copyright IDC. Reproduction is Base = Usersauthorized. All rights reserved.
                                    forbidden unless of e-Government Services      in Past 12 Months (n=70)
Other e-Government Services


                   Q71. Are there any other government services you would like to see available on line?

Registration of National ID Cards.                                                                                12%
Online admission into Secondary / public universities.                                                            9%
Appointment /job application/employment opportunities.                                                            6%
Application/ issuance of Birth certificates.                                                                      6%
Voting online.                                                                                                    5%
Payment of Land Rates.                                                                                            4%
Lists of corrupt High Ranked Government Officials.                                                                4%
Application of passport/other travelling document.                                                                2%
Online booking in government hospitals/health services appointment.                                               1%
Variety of government businesses.                                                                                 1%
Application of CDF bursaries.                                                                                     1%
Registration of new business online .                                                                             1%
Online checking of Motor Vehicles ownership.                                                                      1%
Business purposes/International document to do business with other countries and also between local businesses.   1%

                                                         None/Don’t Know : 62%


  +++Open ended question – responses grouped according to similarity

   Copyright IDC. Reproduction is Base = Usersauthorized. All rights reserved.
                                  forbidden unless of e-Government Services      in Past 12 Months (n=70)
Barriers to ICT Usage

           Q63. What are some of the reasons that may be limiting your use of ICT (computers and Internet)?


                             High costs to connect to the Internet                                                 38%
                         High costs of buying/renting computers                                               35%
          High costs of maintenance and repairs for computers                                                33%
             Risk of viruses is too high when using the Internet                                       21%
              Lack of required skills to use computers/ internet                                     18%
       Lack of trust for ICT (e.g. security/ privacy issues on the…                                  18%
                      Computers/Internet not available at home                                  16%
                                        There are no barriers at all                            16%
                                    Technology is too complicated                              14%
        Not secure to do business/ make transactions over the…                            9%
                          Internet cafés are hard to reach or find                    7%
                       Computers/Internet not available at work                      5%
        Computers/Internet not available at school/ university                  4%
               Not enough websites / content in local language                 3%


                                                                 Base : Total Sample, DK excluded (725)

  Unavailability of computers accompanied with theirs high cost as well as the costs of internet connections are the main
   barriers to the use of ICT


  Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Benchmarking Kenya




Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.   34
Benchmarking
Internet user penetration
 KPI                                                                  Total Internet user penetration
                                                   2010                                       22.5%
                Kenya                              2011                                       25.9%
                 YoY                              change                                      15.1%
                                                   2010                                       14.0%
                 RSA                               2011                                       12.3%
                 YoY                              change                                     -12.1%
                                                   2010                                       28.3%
               Nigeria                             2011                                       28.4%
                YoY                               change                                       0.2%
                                                   2010                                       12.7%
               Rwanda                              2011                                       13.0%
                YoY                               change                                       2.2%
                                                   2010                                       33.3%
               Ukraine                             2011                                       45.0%
                YoY                               change                                       35%
                                                   2010                                   invalid data
              Philipines                           2011                                   invalid data
                 YoY                              change
                                                   2010                                     29.5%
                Egypt                              2011                                     26.7%
                 YoY                              change                                    -9.4%
                                                   2010                                     41.4%
              Morocco                              2011                                     49.0%
                YoY                               change                                    18.3%



 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                        35
Benchmarking
 Extent of business internet use
KPI                                                                             Extent of Business Internet Use - WEF Indicator
                                                           2010                                              4.77
                   Kenya                                   2011                                               5.0
                    YoY                                   change                                            4.8%
                                                           2010                                             5.14
                    RSA                                    2011                                              5.3
                    YoY                                   change                                            3.1%
                                                           2010                                              4.5
                  Nigeria                                  2011                                              4.5
                    YoY                                   change                                            0.0%
                                                           2010                                             1.75
                  Rwanda                                   2011                                              4.9
                    YoY                                   change                                          180.0%
                                                           2010                                            4.72
                  Ukraine                                  2011                                             5.1
                    YoY                                   change                                             8%
                                                           2010                                              4.5
                Philipines                                 2011                                              5.6
                    YoY                                   change                                           24.4%
                                                           2010                                             4.72
                   Egypt                                   2011                                              4.9
                    YoY                                   change                                            3.8%
                                                           2010                                              4.6
                 Morocco                                   2011                                              4.5
                    YoY                                   change                                           -2.2%
      Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                            36
Benchmarking
Government ICT Use and Efficiency

KPI                                                    ICT Use and Government Efficiency - WEF Indicator
                                       2010                                                4.35
           Kenya                       2011                                                 4.4
            YoY                       change                                              1.1%
                                       2010                                                4.07
            RSA                        2011                                                 3.9
            YoY                       change                                              -4.2%
                                       2010                                                 3.8
          Nigeria                      2011                                                 3.8
           YoY                        change                                              0.0%
                                       2010                                             no data
         Rwanda                        2011                                                 5.5
          YoY                         change
                                       2010                                                3.56
          Ukraine                      2011                                                 3.6
           YoY                        change                                               1%
                                       2010                                                 3.6
        Philipines                     2011                                                 3.7
           YoY                        change                                              2.8%
                                       2010                                                4.43
           Egypt                       2011                                                 3.9
            YoY                       change                                             -12.0%
                                       2010                                                 4.2
         Morocco                       2011                                                 4.0
           YoY                        change                                              -4.8%


 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                          37
Benchmarking
Government Online service Index

KPI                                                     Government Online Service Index - WEF Indicator
                                        2010                                              0.24
           Kenya                        2011                                               0.2
            YoY                        change                                             0.0%
                                        2010                                              0.31
             RSA                        2011                                               0.3
             YoY                       change                                             0.0%
                                        2010                                               0.1
           Nigeria                      2011                                               0.1
            YoY                        change                                             0.0%
                                        2010                                              0.17
          Rwanda                        2011                                               0.2
           YoY                         change                                             0.0%
                                        2010                                              0.35
          Ukraine                       2011                                               0.4
           YoY                         change                                              0%
                                        2010                                              0.39
         Philipines                     2011                                               0.4
            YoY                        change                                             0.0%
                                        2010                                              0.53
            Egypt                       2011                                               0.5
             YoY                       change                                             0.0%
                                        2010                                              0.24
          Morocco                       2011                                               0.2
            YoY                        change                                             0.0%

 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                         38
Benchmarking
    Internet Users vs Connections as a % of population

                                                                    Internet Users vs Connections as a % of population
In more developed                                  60.0%

countries the total number of
connections vis a vis the                           50.0%
number of users are evenly
spread
                                                    40.0%
In countries like
Kenya, Nigeria and
Morocco, there are lower                            30.0%
numbers of connections but
higher number of users
                                                    20.0%
indicating most connections
are shared connections and
largely comprise business                           10.0%
connections (including
publicly accessible
                                                     0.0%
connections like cyber
                                                               Kenya       RSA          Nigeria   Rwanda   Ukraine   Philipines   Egypt   Morocco
cafes, education institutions).
                                                                         Total Internet user penetration
                                                                         Internet subscribers percentage of total population


     Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                                               39
Benchmarking
Total Internet vs Household penetration

                                                                            Total Internet vs Household penetration
Kenya has a higher internet                             45.0%

penetration vis a vis South Africa
                                                         40.0%
but mainly bolstered by mobile
internet connections though with                         35.0%
a lower proportion of households
connected owing to a declining                           30.0%

fixed network and poor
                                                         25.0%
development of DSL based
services.                                                20.0%

Kenya compares much better                              15.0%
than both Nigeria and Rwanda
on both counts                                           10.0%


Egypt has a much higher                                  5.0%
overall and household internet
                                                          0.0%
penetration with a huge gap of
                                                                   Kenya      RSA     Nigeria   Rwanda Ukraine Philipines      Egypt    Morocco
almost 25 percentage points at
household level.                                               Proportion of households with internet access   Total Internet user penetration




 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                                                 40
Benchmarking
Computer Penetration

                                                                                    Computers per 100 inhabitants
Kenya has slightly higher                               9
PC penetration rates than
Nigeria and Rwanda but still                             8

very far behind South Africa
                                                         7
and Morocco, mostly owing
to lower disposable income                               6

than these countries.
                                                         5

Population figures for
                                                         4
Nigeria (high) and Phillipnes
(low) help skew penetration                              3

rates either way as do GDP
                                                         2
per capita figures when
thinking of disposable                                   1

income and installed base
                                                         0
of computers in households.                                    Kenya      RSA        Nigeria   Rwanda   Ukraine Philipines   Egypt   Morocco




 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                                              41
Benchmarking
Household Internet Access vs Household PC Access

                                                                                    Household Internet Access vs PC
                                                                 35.0%
In terms of PC Access at the
                                                                 30.0%
household level, Kenya is only
better than Rwanda.                                              25.0%

It should be noted that Nigeria                                 20.0%

as a manufacturer of PCs (Zinox
                                                                 15.0%
brand) that are locally
affordable, accounts for much                                    10.0%

higher PC penetration at                                          5.0%
household levels but negligible
household internet penetration                                    0.0%

given infrastruicture issues
(subamrine cables arrived way
after they did in East Africa)                                                      Proportion of households with internet access
                                                                                    Proportion of households with a computer




 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                                   42
Benchmarking
Business Internet Usage

                                                                                        Business Internet Usage

                                                            Morocco


                                                               Egypt
In terms of business usage
of the internet, Kenya is                                  Philipines

nearly on par with more                                      Ukraine
developed countries like
Egypt and Morocco and                                        Rwanda

slightly ahead of Nigeria                                     Nigeria


                                                                RSA


                                                               Kenya


                                                                        0           1         2            3           4          5   6

                                                                                Extent of Business Internet Use - WEF Indicator




 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                                         43
Benchmarking
Broadband Access Tariffs

                                                                                     Broadband Access Tariffs
                                                       $120.00
  Despite additional
  capacity, cost of broadband
  is still a factor for business                       $100.00

  vis a vis other countries.
  Nigeria has recently got a                           $80.00

  lot of international bandwidth
  but constrained somewhat                              $60.00
  by back bone, last mile
  access and electricity
                                                        $40.00
  challenges.
  Landlocked Rwanda
                                                        $20.00
  largely relies on bandwidth
  from operators in
  neighbouring countries.                                 $0.00
                                                                    Kenya      RSA     Nigeria   Rwanda    Ukraine Philipines   Egypt   Morocco

                                                                                     Internet Access Tariff - Broadband




 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                                                                 44
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Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.                   45

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Kenya ict-market-survey-julisha-ii

  • 1. Kenya ICT Board Monitoring and Evaluation Survey Results (Phase II) Francis Hook Regional Manager IDC East Africa 19th February 2013 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Agenda Market Overview (Key Indicators 2010, Kenya IT Market Value (US$M) Forecast 2010-2015, Kenya IT spend by Vertical segments)  ICT Ecosystem Analysis – Profiling of top systems integrators in the market, challenges faced, national and regional presence and the market outlook. Residential Usage and Penetration Highlights Benchmarking Kenya Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 3. Kenya ICT Market Overview Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 3
  • 4. Market Overview Going by various Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) and IDC's market sizing for the Kenyan ICT market, the sector has performed well with good growth in value, usage and access (across most sectors) between 2010 and 2011. As more infrastructure is put in place the ICT expenditure focus will shift to services (maintenance, support, implementation, customization, etc) and software (custime software development, mobility, business analytics, etc). The cost of devices and internet services still remains a constraint that keeps more users from adopting ICT and current users from increasing their usage. Less advanced regional markets (in terms of skills, ICT sophistication and size of projects) in Eastern Africa continue to attract the attention of several local players who are expanding their presence to these markets. Overall the Kenyan ICT market continues to thrive and from 2013 onwards, the most notable issues will include: the new government structure as county governments wean themselves away from national governments to become more autonomous, increased investment by vendors, increased venture capital activity aimed at start ups and developments with the 4G shared network infrastructure. Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 4
  • 5. Market Overview Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators Indicators 2010 2011 Change % Volume of international traffic (Mbps) 20,209.56 52,938.00 162% International Internet bandwidth, Mbps per 10,000 4.2 7.7 83% population Number of Computers per 100 inhabitants 2.4 2.7 14% percentage of households with a personal computer 6% 8% 27% Total number of Internet Subscriptions 4,716,977.00 6,152,687.00 30% Total number of internet users 10,199,836.0 17,382,034.00 70% 0 Total number of main fixed lines (fixed lines plus 380,748.00 283,546.00 -26% fixed wireless) Total number of mobile subscriptions 24,968,891.0 28,080,771.00 12% 0 Number of .Ke domain names 18,000.00 24,322.00 35% Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 5
  • 6. Market Overview Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators 2010 Data 2011 Data Change Connectivity development (%) 1 Volume of international traffic (Mbps) 20,209.00 52,938.00 162.0%  2 International Internet bandwidth, Mbps per 10,000 4.2 ++7.7 83.3% population++  3 Number of Computers per 100 inhabitants 2.4 2.7 13.9%  4 % of households with a personal computer 6.3% 8.0% 27.0%  5 Total number of Internet Subscriptions 4,716,977 6,152,687 30.4%  6 Total number of internet users 10,199,836 17,382,034 70.4%  7 % of population with Internet Access 0.26 0.36 40.2%  8 Internet subscribers as % of total population 11.5% 14.8% 28.6%  9 Total number of main fixed lines (fixed lines plus fixed 380,748 283,546 -25.5% wireless)  10 Total Fixed line penetration (per 100 inhabitants) 97.0% 72.0% -25.8%  11 Total number of mobile subscriptions 24,968,891 28,080,771 12.5%  12 Total penetration of mobile services (per 100 63.2% 71.3% 12.8% inhabitants)  13 Total teledensity 64.2% 72.0% 12.2%  14 Number of .Ke domain names 18,000 24,322 35.1%  15 IT Spending per capita $18.5 $24.4 32.1%  ++per user from 2011 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 6
  • 7. Market Overview Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators Broadband demand is not constrained by cost or access 22 Price of Internet Access for 512 Kbps $22.00 $22.00 0.0%  23 Fixed broadband Internet access tariff ($ per month) $39.80 $37.90 -4.8%  24 Dial up Internet tariff ($ per Month) $29.5 $29.3 -0.7%  25 Number of BPO jobs 12,500 13,100 4.8%  26 Number of BPO seats 5,000 5,696 13.9%  Universities are connected to broadband services 27 Number of educational institutions connected to national network 60 65 8.3%  28 Number of educational campuses connected to national network 74 78 5.4%  29 Number of students connected to broadband 176,000 250,000 42.0%  30 Number of universities connected to broadband 15 29 93.3%  31 Number of networked PCs per 100 students 6 5 -16.7% ++per user from 2011  Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 7
  • 8. Highlights Kenya ICT Market Key Indicators International traffic grew by an impressive 162.0% between 2010 and 2011 and mainly riding on increased internet subscriptions that were mainly comprised of mobile data connections. . The total number of households with a personal computer (PC) grew from 6.3% to 8.0%. Internet users was recorded as 17.38 million users from 10.99 million recorded during the previous year. Fixed lines declined to 283,546 in 2012 from 355,493 in 2011, representing a decline of 25.5% during that period. The total number of students connected to broadband rose from 176,000 in 2010 to 250,000 in 2011 indicating an increase of 42% increase year on year. The number of universities connected to broadband services increased from 60 in 2010 to 65 in 2011 and mainly attributed to some educational institutions that have multiple campuses getting connected to KENET. The number of registered government domain names reduced in 2011 largely due to lack of renewal of domains mainly by local government entities (municipal and county councils). Most previously registered domains have been allowed to lapse. Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 8
  • 9. Market Overview ICT Spending by Technology Areas Kenya ICT Market Size 2011 and Forecast to 2016 ICT market spending is expected to grow at an annual compound growth rate of 9.1% between 2011 and 2016 to reach a value of US$1,596.8 million. During that period the proportion of hardware spend will decline from 81.1% to 75.7% giving room for growth of services from 10.4% to 15.1%, and software from 7.8% to 9.2% in 2016 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 9
  • 10. Market Overview Spending by Vertical Sectors Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 10
  • 11. Kenya ICT Ecosystem Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 11
  • 12. Kenya ICT Ecosystem Structure – Systems Integrators CHANNEL REVENUE BREAKDOWN REMARKS Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 12
  • 13. Kenya ICT Ecosystem Highlights 1/2 Vendors – In Kenya there are between 20-30 vendors with a direct presence in the country with the main function of business and channel development, product support, capacity building, and in some cases dealing directly with big companies (multinational companies and large accounts)/ Distributors – There are between 20-30 distributors of software and hardware, with some focusing on very niche markets and others distributing products across the channel to big systems integrators, telecommunication providers. A good number of distributors act as a vendor presence in the market. Tier 1 VARs – These would number between 30 and 40 systems integrators mostly with nationwide presence and targeting mainly the enterprise sector with infrequent business among the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) segment. In this layer there is a lot of emphasis on value addition and therefore IT Services contributing as a major revenue stream. Tier 2 VARs - This layer comprises market players focused mainly on the SME segment with lesser nationwide presence and in some cases focused on regions outside Nairobi (e.g. Coast, Rift Valley, Central). There are anything between 80 and 120 players in this segment. Retail market players – Players focused mostly on "off the shelf" types of business, moving hardware and selling single user software licences, peripherals and so on. Their main focus is on the consumer segment but often supplying the SMB segment with good that do not require support or significant after sales service. Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 13
  • 14. Kenya ICT Ecosystem National and Regional Presence National presence Less than 40% of the local companies have a presence in Mombasa, followed by Kisumu, 26.3% and Eldoret 10.5%. Some towns are viewed as satellites of other nearby towns, especially in the Nyanza, Rift Valley and Western Provinces. E.g. players may elect to have a presence in Eldoret in order to reach out to Nyanza and Western provinces. Regional presence While Uganda is a smaller market than both Ethiopia and Tanzania, more local players have invested there (23.9% compared to 14.1% and 19.7% respectively in the other two countries. This is mainly due to the more relaxed investment environment in Uganda. Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 14
  • 15. Kenya ICT Ecosystem Kenya as a regional Hub Southern Sudan has recently become a main focus area for local players despite the high risks of operating in that country and its high dependence on oil for foreign exchange. Nonetheless, some companies are willing to take risks, especially to pursue opportunities in government and with International NGOs. While Tanzania as a member of both the East African Community (EAC) and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) is more inclined towards more cordial relations and trade with SADC countries. Indeed elsewhere in the economy there are many investments from South Africa in the mining, energy and financial sectors. Among the other countries where about 17% of local players either have a presence or are undertaking major projects include: Democratic Republic of Congo; Ghana; India; Malawi; Mauritius; Mozambique; Nigeria; UAE; Zambia; Zimbabwe; Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 15
  • 16. Kenya ICT Ecosystem Challenges faced Challenges Limited and Expensive Financing – for projects and importation of goods. Long sales cycles – prolonged procurement cycles as well as cyclic spending with government . Doing business with government is also cited as a major problem area owning to protracted procurement cycles. Inconsistent importation regulations and tariffs – Import duties and other levies are frequently cited as irregular and mostly stemming from either a poor understanding of different ICT goods or poor definitions of the different classes of ICT products. Lack of ICT skills – This is problem not unique to systems integrators and cuts across the entire ICT landscape from the supply side to the demand side. Theft and piracy – the culture diminishes value especially for local developers Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 16
  • 17. Kenya ICT Ecosystem System Integrators’ Market Outlook Systems Integrators are optimistic about the local market growth and among the main areas they see good opportunities for improvement to support growth include: Development of Skilled resources; Skills transfer plans (by vendors) to supported channel; Business Analytics needs are growing; Assembling complementary product portfolios; Increase products portfolio National and regional expansion to reach into other towns and cities and the region. Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 17
  • 18. Residents Survey Highlights Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 18
  • 19. Devices at home & Household Composition Q15. How many of each of the following types of devices do you have at home? Average Number Maximum Number Type per HH per HH Desktop 0.33 2 Laptop 0.52 3 Television Set 1.00 3 Fixed telephone line (CDMA, Fixed wireless, Dial up) 0.01 1 Mobile cellular telephone/Handphone/Mobile phone 1.84 7 Satellite Antenna (Satellite dish) 0.23 1 Radio set 0.87 3  Traditional devices are more available at households than advanced ones  There is almost 1 TV set and 1 radio set in each of the surveyed HH  Mobiles are more common than other items (almost 2 per HH) 19 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All = Total Sample (n=750) Base rights reserved.
  • 20. Resident’s Survey Highlights Internet Usage at home Q16. Do you have an Internet connection at Internet Home Penetration by Location home? 41% 32% 33% 49% 49% 65% 64% 66% 72% 59% 68% 67% 51% 51% 35% 36% 34% 28% 50% 50% Thika Eldoret Garissa Nairobi Kisumu Mombasa Nakuru Machakos Kakamega Internet Home Penetration by SCL Yes No Base : Total Sample (750) 43% 42% 63% 85% 95% 57% 58% 37% 15% 5% AB C1 C2 D E Yes No  Internet usage increases by SCL levels. It is highest in Nairobi (59%)  Internet usage increases by SCL levels. It is highest in Mombasa (37%) 20 Base = The figure in parenthesis represents Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. the base of the respective category
  • 21. Internet Usage at home Type & Speed of Connection Q18. What type of Internet connection Q19. What is the speed of your main internet connection at do you have at home? home? Mobile broadband / Broadband delivering speed of 256 narrowband Connection 87% 32% kbps to less than 1 Mbps /modem Broadband delivering speeds from ADSL line (dedicated line for 27% 4% 1Mbps to less than 4Mbps internet (broadband) Broadband delivering speeds from 19% Dial up connection (using 4Mbps to less than 8Mbps 1% fixed phone line connection) Broadband delivering speeds higher 16% than 8Mbps Other connections 34% Don't know 6% Base : Internet users (210) Base : Internet users but NOT VIA DIAL-UP (210)  Dial-up is phased out by other developed internet connections  Connections with speed less than 1Mbps are used in 41% of the HH 21 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 22. Internet Usage at home Inhibitors for Not Using internet at home Q17. What are the reasons for not having internet connection at home till now? We don’t have PC 63% We can’t afford internet subscription 35% I use internet in other places, and there 33% is no need to have one at home There are no internet cables / 23% infrastructure in our neighborhood I don’t know how to use internet 11% Internet connections are poor in terms 3% of quality Base : No Users of Internet (540) 22 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 23. Type of PC, Internet Device & Mobile Service Used Q25. What kind of PC do you use? Included Desktop 78% media tablets Laptop 61% in Phase II Media Tablet 14% Base : Users of PC (493) Q31. Which of the following devices have you used to access the Internet in the past 12 months? Desktop 78% Q60. Which kind of mobile service do you use? Laptop 60% Prepaid 96% Other mobile phone / internet 57% enabled mobile phones Postpaid 3% Smartphone 37% Both 1% Media Tablet 9% Base : Users of Mobile Phone (746) Base : Users of Internet (570) 23 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 24. Purposes for Using PC Q27. What is your primary purpose for using the PC? 2012 2011 Communication 83% Personal usage 71% Entertainment 66% Entertainment 66% Communicatio 64% Work 57% n Education 45% Other Personal 54% purposes Work 36% Education 28% Base : Users of PC (519) Base : Users of PC (493)  Respondents use PC mainly to perform personal task, especially old individuals 45+ years  Entertainment and education purposes drive respondents 15-34 yrs old to use PC. These reasons decrease significantly among older users  Old males (45+ yrs) tend to use PC for work reasons much more than other demographics. 24 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 25. Purposes for Using the Mobile Phone Q59. Which of the following services do you actively use on your mobile device? 2012 2011 SMS 98% Voice services 97% Voice services 97% SMS 96% Social media 65% Access to social media websites 45% Web Browsing 57% Web Browsing 42% Access to Email 52% Entertainment 37% Entertainment 50% Access to Email 35% Chatting (IM) 41% PIM 31% PIM (personal information… 35% Chatting 24% MMS 18% Sending MMS 15% Base : Users of Mobile Phone (746) Base : Users of Mobile Phone (721)  Calling and texting share respondents' main usage of the mobile (around 97-98%)  The usage of internet enabled services and PIM mainly attracts the young category (15-34 yrs). Their usage decreases by age 25 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 26. Financial Transactions on the Internet and Mobile Type of transition, Number of online Purchases Q38. Which of the following on-line / electronic (through internet or mobile) services have you used in the past 12 months? Top up of Airtime through Mobile Money Transfer 96% Payments (utility & mobile bills etc) through Mobile Money … 55% Buying of product through Mobile (Mobile Money transfer) 36% Selling of product through Mobile (Mobile Money transfer) 34% Payments of School fees through money mobile transfer 23% Banking (online Banking transaction) 7% Payments (utility & mobile bills etc) through Internet 6% Buying of product and services through internet 5% Selling of product and services through internet 3% Base : Respondents Using Online Banking or purchases (618)  4 of the top 5 e-transactions are done via mobile  Online e-transactions are almost not present and include online banking (7%), utility payments (6%) and the purchase of products and services (5%) 26 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 27. Tasks Performed on the Internet Q34. Do you use the Internet to perform any of the following tasks? Search for information 75% Communicate with colleagues 64% Downloading movies, images, music, watching TV or video, or… 59% Communicate with customers/citizens/ residents 37% Getting information about goods or services 33% Education and learning activities 33% Playing or downloading video games or computer games 30% Finding, downloading, and installing software 29% Reading or downloading on-line newspapers or magazines 26% Using peer-to-peer file sharing for exchanging… 25% Keeping viruses, spyware, and ad-ware off your computer 23% Schedule business appointments 16% Getting information from general government organizations 14% Checking a receipt of payments 8% Purchase or place orders goods and services 8% Online banking 6% Interacting with general government organizations 6% Base : Users of Internet (570)  The main purposes for using the internet are search for information (75%), communication with colelagues (64%) and downloading (59%) exceeding by far other reasons.  Internet users 35+ yrs old perform business-oriented internet tasks (communicating with customers, scheduling appointments, etc.) more than younger users who look for more social, entertaining or educational activities online 27 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 28. Satisfaction With Internet Service Q46. The following questions are about your satisfaction with the Internet service you use. I will ask you about various characteristics of the service, for each one please select a number from 1-7, where 1 = Very dissatisfied, and 7 = very satisfied Cost of your Internet service 11% 20% 69% Value for money spent on your Internet service 15% 24% 61% Reliability of your Internet service 12% 18% 70% Speed of your Internet service 18% 20% 62% Customer support after sales 21% 39% 40% Overall Internet service 5% 24% 71% Dissatisfied (Scale 1-3) Neutral (Scale 4) Satisfiied (Scale 5-7) Base : Users of Internet (570) Base = The figure in parenthesis represents Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. the base of the respective category
  • 29. General Attitudes Towards ICT Q64. For each of the following statements, please rate your agreement level from 1 to 7 Learning how to use all the features of my mobile phone is 9% 13% 78% important to my life now and in the future. Learning how to use the Internet better is important to my life 7% 10% 83% now and in the future. Having PC skills is critical to my life now and in the future. 4% 15% 80% Using on-line banking services is important to my life. 32% 28% 41% Purchasing goods on-line is important to my life. 40% 29% 32% Bottom Box (scale 1-3) : Disagree Middle Box (scale 4) : Neutral Top Box (scale 5-7) : Agree  Learning basic ICT skills is more prominent than using sophisticated services like purchasing online or online banking  Highest priority is given to learning how to use the Internet usage (83% agree), PC usage (83%) and mobile usage (78%). Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All= Total Sample Base rights reserved. (n=750)
  • 30. Awareness of e-Government Services Q65. Are you aware of any government services available online? If yes, have you used any for your non-work related matters in the past 12 months? Not aware of any services Not aware of any services 47% 34% provided online provided online Aware of them, and have used any online services more than 16% Aware of them, but have never 12 months ago 39% used any online services Aware of them, but have not used any online services in the 36% past 12 months Aware of them and have used 14% Aware of them and have used them in the past 12 months 14% them in the past 12 months Base : Total Sample (750) Base : Total Sample (750) 2011 2012  Overall awareness of e-government services is significant (53%). But their actual usage is low (23%), concentrated especially in Nyeri (23%)  Survey question response options were adjusted in Phase II to include “Aware of them but have not used any online services in the last 12 months” Base = The figure in parenthesis represents Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. the base of the respective category
  • 31. Satisfaction with e-Government Services Q70. How would you rate your experience with the usage of e-government services? Please rate your satisfaction for the following points using 10 point scale where 1= very dissatisfied and 10 = very satisfied. Variety of e-services provided 7% 69% 24% Easiness of using it 19% 27% 54% Quickness of processing the transaction 16% 63% 21% Quality of the transaction in general 3% 66% 31% Bottom Box (1-3) : Dissatisfied Middle Box (4-7): Neutral Top Box (8-10): Satisfied  Overall satisfaction with e-government services is not high (not exceeding 31%)  The majority of the users of such services were neutral in rating their experience while using such services Copyright IDC. Reproduction is Base = Usersauthorized. All rights reserved. forbidden unless of e-Government Services in Past 12 Months (n=70)
  • 32. Other e-Government Services Q71. Are there any other government services you would like to see available on line? Registration of National ID Cards. 12% Online admission into Secondary / public universities. 9% Appointment /job application/employment opportunities. 6% Application/ issuance of Birth certificates. 6% Voting online. 5% Payment of Land Rates. 4% Lists of corrupt High Ranked Government Officials. 4% Application of passport/other travelling document. 2% Online booking in government hospitals/health services appointment. 1% Variety of government businesses. 1% Application of CDF bursaries. 1% Registration of new business online . 1% Online checking of Motor Vehicles ownership. 1% Business purposes/International document to do business with other countries and also between local businesses. 1% None/Don’t Know : 62% +++Open ended question – responses grouped according to similarity Copyright IDC. Reproduction is Base = Usersauthorized. All rights reserved. forbidden unless of e-Government Services in Past 12 Months (n=70)
  • 33. Barriers to ICT Usage Q63. What are some of the reasons that may be limiting your use of ICT (computers and Internet)? High costs to connect to the Internet 38% High costs of buying/renting computers 35% High costs of maintenance and repairs for computers 33% Risk of viruses is too high when using the Internet 21% Lack of required skills to use computers/ internet 18% Lack of trust for ICT (e.g. security/ privacy issues on the… 18% Computers/Internet not available at home 16% There are no barriers at all 16% Technology is too complicated 14% Not secure to do business/ make transactions over the… 9% Internet cafés are hard to reach or find 7% Computers/Internet not available at work 5% Computers/Internet not available at school/ university 4% Not enough websites / content in local language 3% Base : Total Sample, DK excluded (725)  Unavailability of computers accompanied with theirs high cost as well as the costs of internet connections are the main barriers to the use of ICT Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 34. Benchmarking Kenya Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 34
  • 35. Benchmarking Internet user penetration KPI Total Internet user penetration 2010 22.5% Kenya 2011 25.9% YoY change 15.1% 2010 14.0% RSA 2011 12.3% YoY change -12.1% 2010 28.3% Nigeria 2011 28.4% YoY change 0.2% 2010 12.7% Rwanda 2011 13.0% YoY change 2.2% 2010 33.3% Ukraine 2011 45.0% YoY change 35% 2010 invalid data Philipines 2011 invalid data YoY change 2010 29.5% Egypt 2011 26.7% YoY change -9.4% 2010 41.4% Morocco 2011 49.0% YoY change 18.3% Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 35
  • 36. Benchmarking Extent of business internet use KPI Extent of Business Internet Use - WEF Indicator 2010 4.77 Kenya 2011 5.0 YoY change 4.8% 2010 5.14 RSA 2011 5.3 YoY change 3.1% 2010 4.5 Nigeria 2011 4.5 YoY change 0.0% 2010 1.75 Rwanda 2011 4.9 YoY change 180.0% 2010 4.72 Ukraine 2011 5.1 YoY change 8% 2010 4.5 Philipines 2011 5.6 YoY change 24.4% 2010 4.72 Egypt 2011 4.9 YoY change 3.8% 2010 4.6 Morocco 2011 4.5 YoY change -2.2% Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 36
  • 37. Benchmarking Government ICT Use and Efficiency KPI ICT Use and Government Efficiency - WEF Indicator 2010 4.35 Kenya 2011 4.4 YoY change 1.1% 2010 4.07 RSA 2011 3.9 YoY change -4.2% 2010 3.8 Nigeria 2011 3.8 YoY change 0.0% 2010 no data Rwanda 2011 5.5 YoY change 2010 3.56 Ukraine 2011 3.6 YoY change 1% 2010 3.6 Philipines 2011 3.7 YoY change 2.8% 2010 4.43 Egypt 2011 3.9 YoY change -12.0% 2010 4.2 Morocco 2011 4.0 YoY change -4.8% Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 37
  • 38. Benchmarking Government Online service Index KPI Government Online Service Index - WEF Indicator 2010 0.24 Kenya 2011 0.2 YoY change 0.0% 2010 0.31 RSA 2011 0.3 YoY change 0.0% 2010 0.1 Nigeria 2011 0.1 YoY change 0.0% 2010 0.17 Rwanda 2011 0.2 YoY change 0.0% 2010 0.35 Ukraine 2011 0.4 YoY change 0% 2010 0.39 Philipines 2011 0.4 YoY change 0.0% 2010 0.53 Egypt 2011 0.5 YoY change 0.0% 2010 0.24 Morocco 2011 0.2 YoY change 0.0% Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 38
  • 39. Benchmarking Internet Users vs Connections as a % of population Internet Users vs Connections as a % of population In more developed 60.0% countries the total number of connections vis a vis the 50.0% number of users are evenly spread 40.0% In countries like Kenya, Nigeria and Morocco, there are lower 30.0% numbers of connections but higher number of users 20.0% indicating most connections are shared connections and largely comprise business 10.0% connections (including publicly accessible 0.0% connections like cyber Kenya RSA Nigeria Rwanda Ukraine Philipines Egypt Morocco cafes, education institutions). Total Internet user penetration Internet subscribers percentage of total population Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 39
  • 40. Benchmarking Total Internet vs Household penetration Total Internet vs Household penetration Kenya has a higher internet 45.0% penetration vis a vis South Africa 40.0% but mainly bolstered by mobile internet connections though with 35.0% a lower proportion of households connected owing to a declining 30.0% fixed network and poor 25.0% development of DSL based services. 20.0% Kenya compares much better 15.0% than both Nigeria and Rwanda on both counts 10.0% Egypt has a much higher 5.0% overall and household internet 0.0% penetration with a huge gap of Kenya RSA Nigeria Rwanda Ukraine Philipines Egypt Morocco almost 25 percentage points at household level. Proportion of households with internet access Total Internet user penetration Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 40
  • 41. Benchmarking Computer Penetration Computers per 100 inhabitants Kenya has slightly higher 9 PC penetration rates than Nigeria and Rwanda but still 8 very far behind South Africa 7 and Morocco, mostly owing to lower disposable income 6 than these countries. 5 Population figures for 4 Nigeria (high) and Phillipnes (low) help skew penetration 3 rates either way as do GDP 2 per capita figures when thinking of disposable 1 income and installed base 0 of computers in households. Kenya RSA Nigeria Rwanda Ukraine Philipines Egypt Morocco Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 41
  • 42. Benchmarking Household Internet Access vs Household PC Access Household Internet Access vs PC 35.0% In terms of PC Access at the 30.0% household level, Kenya is only better than Rwanda. 25.0% It should be noted that Nigeria 20.0% as a manufacturer of PCs (Zinox 15.0% brand) that are locally affordable, accounts for much 10.0% higher PC penetration at 5.0% household levels but negligible household internet penetration 0.0% given infrastruicture issues (subamrine cables arrived way after they did in East Africa) Proportion of households with internet access Proportion of households with a computer Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 42
  • 43. Benchmarking Business Internet Usage Business Internet Usage Morocco Egypt In terms of business usage of the internet, Kenya is Philipines nearly on par with more Ukraine developed countries like Egypt and Morocco and Rwanda slightly ahead of Nigeria Nigeria RSA Kenya 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Extent of Business Internet Use - WEF Indicator Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 43
  • 44. Benchmarking Broadband Access Tariffs Broadband Access Tariffs $120.00 Despite additional capacity, cost of broadband is still a factor for business $100.00 vis a vis other countries. Nigeria has recently got a $80.00 lot of international bandwidth but constrained somewhat $60.00 by back bone, last mile access and electricity $40.00 challenges. Landlocked Rwanda $20.00 largely relies on bandwidth from operators in neighbouring countries. $0.00 Kenya RSA Nigeria Rwanda Ukraine Philipines Egypt Morocco Internet Access Tariff - Broadband Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 44
  • 45. fhook@idc.com Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 45