This document recommends buying shares of KEMET Corporation, a capacitor manufacturer, at a price target of $11.27 per share. KEMET has three business segments that drive its valuation: tantalum capacitors with 10% operating margins and 42% of revenue; ceramic capacitors with 17% margins and 22% of revenue; and film and electrolytic capacitors with -7% margins and 36% of revenue. Catalysts for the stock include margin improvements, cost reductions, and the acquisition of NEC-Tokin, which would make KEMET the market leader in tantalum capacitors. The recommendation is based on a discounted cash flow analysis valuing KEMET at $11.27 per share, below its
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2. The Company
Recommendation: Buy Price Target - $11.27
Current Price $5.00
52-week range $10.60 – 3.69
Market Cap 464.4M
P/E (2013) N/A
EV/EBITDA (2013) 6.2X
3. The Company
• Founded in 1919
• IPO 1992
• Headquarters: Sampsonville, SC
• Per-Olof, CEO
• 22 locations in 10 countries as of Q2
• 10,000 employees, ~ 600 in US, 5,000 in
Mexico and the rest evenly divided between
Asia and Europe
• Sector: Capacitor Manufacturer
4. The Company
The Company reports three key segments that drive valuation.
1. Tantalum Business: 10% Op margins and ~42% of revenue. Controls ~ 20%
of the market and the third largest maker of tantalum capacitors is KEM's future
partner NEC-Tokin with ~15%
2. Ceramic Business:17% Op margins and ~22% of revenue.
3. Film $ Electrolytic ("F&E"): -7% Op margins and ~36% of revenue. Industry
leader.
5. Catalysts
Achievement of:
• Margin Improvement
– Vertical integration
• Niotan acquisition (now KEMET Blue Powder)
• Reduction in raw material costs that will yield a benefit of $10-$15MM in FY 2013 and
$40MM in FY2014
• F&E Operating Margin Improvements
– Resulting in ~ $6MM lower costs in Europe FY2013
– FY2015 management expects full realization of restructuring plan achieving total
annualized operational cost reductions of ~$25-30MM vs. FY2012
• Realignment initiatives
– Worldwide reduction in workforce
– Consolidation and relocation of manufacturing to lower-cost regions
– Reduction of operating costs/leverage
• Resulting in a lower break even point (~$196-206MM per Q or $784-824MM per FY)
• Acquisition NEC-Tokin
– Received regulatory approval of JV from China Antitrust 12/31/12
6. Acquisitions
• Niotan
– $75MM + $10MM in royalty payments
• $30MM at closing
• $45MM over thirty months
– Makes KEMET the only completely vertically-integrated tantalum capacitor manufacturer in the world
• NEC-Tokin
– $755MM FY2011
– 10% EBITDA
– Total purchase price if consolidated would be $350MM
– No debt placed on KEMET’s Balance Sheet
– “option upside”
8. Valuation
• Inventory days show the
cyclicality of the sector
and are reaching prior
resistance and standard
deviation
• KEMET has only
traded below
Tangible book value
four time in the last
10years
9. Risks to my call
• Execution risk with the four most significant items being achieving the:
1) $40MM expected from vertical integration of the tantalum supply chain
2) $25MM expected from the phase two of the F&E segment
3) Additional $25MM expected from the incremental operating margin improvements
announced on July 26th
4) Joint venture with NEC Tokin
• KEMET's end markets are cyclical and a potentially extended global economic
slowdown creates challenges which may be compounded by the high fixed costs
associated with the business and KEMET's operating leverage. As with any leverage,
it is a double edged sword
• Substitution of tantalum by other dielectrics given its high relative cost
• Inability to realize benefits from the F&E restructuring program
10. • KEMET is trading at a 22% discount to Tangible Book Value
• KEMET LTM TEV/EBITDA is 7x versus the comparables average of 14x
• Strong history of positive fee cash flow generation
• As a result of the Niotan acquisition KEMET is now the only completely vertically-
integrated tantalum capacitor manufacturer of any appreciable size in the world.
• NEC Tokin full combination provides potential for substantial longer-term benefits and
value creation and would also make KEMET the market leader, at 35%, in tantalum
capacitors
– Tantalum is projected to grow at a CAGR of 11.8%1, which makes it the fastest growing
segment
• Management believes in the restructuring and strategic initiatives.
– This is evident by management as well as directors spending $455,400 in aggregate to
purchase shares in 20012, primarily in May, at prices $5.38-5.77
• Once these initiatives are in place KEMET will be well positioned for substantial gains
1: Paumanok Publications Research
Summary