The survey found that business conditions continued to improve in June, with the index reaching its highest level since September 2007. The percentage of respondents expecting conditions to worsen in the next 60 days fell below 10% for the first time in over a year. While the improvements were gradual, the trends showed businesses seeing increased demand and stabilization in financial markets. If current trends continued, the survey predicted that the recession would be declared over and the recovery would begin in earnest in the second half of 2009.

1. Survey of Business Conditions
06.01.2009

2. Tatum Survey of Business Conditions Summary
As of June 1, the Tatum Index of Business Conditions reached its highest level since
September 2007, just before the Recession began. This is the 7th consecutive
month of increase in the Index, further confirming that business conditions, and the
economy, are beginning to recover.
The percentage related to the 60 day outlook of conditions worsening is only 9% -- the
first time it has been below 10% in more than a year.
The improvements are not dramatic, but they are consistent in overall positive trend.
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Financial markets have stabilized, and demand is improving broadly. Our Survey
detected the beginnings of the end of the Recession in the first quarter, and the
early indications continue to suggest that the Recovery will begin in earnest in the
second half of this year.
The strength in the outlook for employment and “Cap-Ex” shows a gathering
confidence that the worst is over and a recovery is under way. If the current and
recent trends continue, then we believe the recovery will ultimately be declared to
have begun in the second or third quarters, and that the third quarter will likely
have a positive rate of real growth.
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3. Tatum Index of Business Conditions
The Tatum Index of Business Conditions is a simple average of the ratio of our
respondents who are reporting improvement versus those who are reporting a
worsening in business conditions for the past 30 days and the next 60 days.
As of June 1st, the Tatum Index of Business Conditions increased for the seventh
month in a row from 2.29 to 3.01. The three-month moving average is now
above 2 for the first time in 9 months. It increased from 1.58 to 2.32.
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The Index clearly shows businesses are seeing measurable
improvements. Confidence about the near term future is the highest
it has been in over a year, and it is heading in the right direction.
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4. Tatum Index of Business Conditions
16
12.3
12
9.8 9.5
8.5
8
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6.0
5.5 5.4 5.2
5.1
4.8
4 3.0
2.7 2.6
2.2 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.3
1.7 1.7 1.7
1.4 1.2 1.5
0.9 0.8
0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
0
12/06
01/07
02/07
03/07
04/07
05/07
06/07
07/07
08/07
09/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
01/08
02/08
03/08
04/08
05/08
06/08
07/08
08/08
09/08
10/08
11/08
12/08
01/09
02/09
03/09
04/09
05/09
06/09
Index 3 Mo. Avg.
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5. Business Conditions - Trends
In the past 30 days, business conditions:
Improved for 26% of our respondents, an increase from 25%.
Worsened for 19%, the same percentage reported last month.
Stayed about the same for 55%, compared to 56% last month.
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The improvement was about the same as last month. We anticipate the
recovery will be slow, although our Survey participants are becoming
somewhat more positive with each passing month.
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6. 0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
6/1/2008 31% 49% 20%
7/1/2008 30% 52% 19%
8/1/2008 24% 49% 27%
9/1/2008 24% 52% 23%
Improved
10/1/2008 18% 45% 37%
11/1/2008 15%
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37% 49%
12/1/2008 13% 39% 48%
Stayed the same
1/1/2009 10% 45% 45%
Business Conditions the Past 30 Days
2/1/2009 12% 45% 42%
Worsened 3/1/2009 16% 44% 40%
4/1/2009 22% 51% 27%
5/1/2009 25% 56% 19%
6/1/2009 26% 55% 19%
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7. Business Conditions - Trends
The ratio of “Improved-to-Worsened” in the last 30
days increased slightly from 1.31 to 1.34. This is the
second month in a row the ratio has been above one (1).
Click Here toAAdd Slide improvement from the prior month.
very slight Headline
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8. Business Conditions - Trends
Ratio of “Improved” to “Worsened” – Past 30 Days
Total
5
4
3
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2
1
0 Feb-09
Jun-09
Jun-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Jul-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Ratio
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9. Business Conditions - Trends
In the next 60 days, business conditions are expected:
To improve for 42% of our respondents, an increase from 39%
reported last month.
To get worse for 9%, a decrease from 11% reported last month.
To remain about the same at 49% compared to the 50% reported
last month.
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The results of the 60-day outlook improved noticeably from last month.
The “Will Worsen” percentage is now in single digits.
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10. 0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
6/1/2008 46% 41% 12%
7/1/2008 44% 43% 13%
8/1/2008 42% 41% 17%
9/1/2008 42% 45% 14%
10/1/2008 32% 42% 26%
Improve
11/1/2008 20% 38% 42%
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Business Conditions - Trends
12/1/2008 21% 40% 39%
Stay the same
1/1/2009 26% 43% 31%
Worsen
Next 60 Days
2/1/2009 27% 43% 30%
3/1/2009 29% 47% 24%
4/1/2009 35% 50% 14%
5/1/2009 39% 50% 11%
6/1/2009 42% 49% 9%
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11. Business Conditions - Trends
In the next 60 days:
The ratio of “Will Improve” to “Will Worsen” increased from 3.27 to 4.68.
This is a very sensitive measurement that can shift dramatically. Therefore the
3-month moving average index of business conditions makes it easier to
see the overall trend.
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This is the seventh month in a row this ratio has increased. The ratio is at its
highest level since September 2007.
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12. Business Conditions - Trends
Ratio of “Will Improve” to “Will Worsen” – Next 60 Days
Total
12
10
8
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6
4
2
0
Oct-08
Jan-09
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Sep-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Ratio 12

13. Business Conditions – Current Results
Order Backlogs
In the past 30 days:
The percentage of respondents who reported an improvement in backlogs
decreased from 26% to 24%. The percentage reporting lower backlogs
remained at 23%.
In the next 60 days:
The percentage of respondents who indicated expectations of higher
Click Here to Add Slideto 8%. This 43%. The “Will Worsen” percentage
backlogs increased from 38% to
decreased from 11%
Headlineis the first time in a year the “Will Worsen”
percentage has been in single digits.
The outlook for order backlogs is at the highest level in the last 13
months. This is the fifth month in a row the percentages for the next
60 days have improved. Businesses are seeing more orders and
rebuilding inventories accordingly.
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14. Business Conditions – Current Results
100%
80%
60%
40% Order Backlog Analysis
100%
20%
80%
0%
6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009 60%
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Improved Stayed the same Worsened
20%
Past 30 Days 0% 6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009
Will improve Will stay the same Will worsen
Next 60 Days 14

15. Business Conditions – Current Results
Capital Expenditure Commitments
In the past 30 days:
The percentage of respondents committing more on capital equipment
increased from 11% to 12%. The percentage that committed less on capital
decreased from 44% to 40%.
In the next 60 days:
The percentage of respondents who said they plan to commit more for
capital assets in the next 60 days remained at 20%. The percentage who
Click Here to Add commit Headline from 26% to 23%.
expected to Slide less decreased
For the third month in a row, businesses are showing a
willingness to spend money for capital goods. This is an
encouraging trend. When both capital expenditure commitments
and employment results show improvement, this is the strongest
indicator the Recession has passed the bottom as these tend to
be lagging indicators.
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16. Business Conditions – Trends
100%
80%
Capital Expenditure
60%
Commitments Analysis
100%
40%
80%
20%
60%
0%
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6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009 40%
20%
Increased Stayed the same Decreased
0%
Past 30 Days 6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009
Will increase Will stay the same Will decrease
Next 60 Days 16

17. Business Conditions – Current Results
Employment
In the past 30 days:
The percentage of respondents hiring more workers rose slightly
from 8% to 9%. The percentage that indicated they did less hiring
decreased from 25% to 23%.
In the next 60 days:
The percentage indicating they plan to increase hiring rose from
Click Here to Add18% lastHeadline percentage who expect to reduce
15% to Slide month. The
hiring decreased from 18% to 15%.
As we commented last month, our respondents are experiencing
an improvement in the employment picture. In June, this outlook
strengthened. Because of the lag in reporting results, we expect
the unemployment statistics may have already peaked, pending
the fallout from the auto industry restructurings.
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18. Business Conditions – Trends
100%
80%
60%
Employment Analysis
40% 100%
20% 80%
60%
0%
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6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009
40%
20%
Increased Stayed the same Declined
0%
6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009
Past 30 Days
Will increase Will stay the same Will decline
Next 60 Days
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19. Business Conditions – Current Results
Capital Availability and Pricing
The past 30 days:
The percentage of respondents indicating an improvement increased from 22% to
25%. The percentage who indicated conditions worsened increased from 10% to
13%.
In the next 60 days:
The percentage of the respondents who expect improvement in financing conditions
in the next 60 days decreased from 38% to 36% The percentage saying conditions
will get worse decreased from 11% to 9%.
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Overall for both time periods there was no change from last month. We
believe this reflects a stabilization in capital markets and confidence on the
part of borrowers to whom the banks are capable and willing to lend money,
albeit with stricter terms and conditions, and at higher rates.
19

20. Business Conditions – Trends
100%
80%
Capital Availability /
60%
40%
Pricing Analysis
100%
20%
80%
0%
60%
6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009 40%
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Improved Stayed the same Worsened 20%
0%
Past 30 Days
6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009
Will improve Will stay the same Will worsen
Next 60 Days
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21. Survey Participation Demographics – Industry
Manufacturing/Processing 23%
Service 22%
Technology 14%
Healthcare 11%
Financial 7%
Wholesale 4%
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Construction 3%
Real Estate 3%
Bio-Tech/Life Sciences 3%
Transportation 3%
Other 7%
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22. Survey Participation Demographics - Markets/Regions
Primary Geographic Markets
Local 10%
Regional 23%
National 41%
International 26%
Geographic Regions Represented (Total of 276 Responses)
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Northeast 13%
Southeast 26%
Midwest 14%
Southwest 19%
Pacific 28%
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23. Survey Participation Demographic Summary
The following are on relative scales from our respondents:
Regions: Industries*:
Strongest – Southwest Strongest – Financial
Weakest – Pacific Weakest – Service
* With statistically significant participation
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Markets Served: Company Size:
Strongest – National Strongest – Pre-Revenue/Large
Weakest – Regional/International Weakest – Small/Mid-Market
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24. Survey of Business Conditions
Compiled and Analyzed by
Sam Norwood – Senior Partner
Glen Passin – Partner
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Any use or reproduction of the contents of this report without the written consent of
Tatum, LLC is strictly prohibited. The authors are not engaged in rendering legal,
investment or other professional services by publication of this report. Information
contained in this report should not be used as a substitute for professional advice, legal,
investment or otherwise, on any particular issue.
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