INNOCENTS ABROADInternational DiversificationAndrea GherziLucrezia Grasso Mustafa KhanHeathcliff Lewis
Agenda2Firm’s StrategyGlobal Equity Markets PerformanceCorrelation AnalysisImpact of currency movementsPortfolio Allocation
Agenda3Firm’s StrategyGlobal Equity Markets PerformanceCorrelation AnalysisImpact of currency movementsPortfolio Allocation
4CapGlobal Advisors, LLCEquities, Fixed Income and FX Portfolio Management
Focus on International Diversification
Better risk-return tradeoff
Diversifying across nations with different economic cycles
Better returns with lower systematic risk than domestic portfoliosAgenda5Firm’s StrategyGlobal Equity Markets PerformanceCorrelation AnalysisImpact of currency movementsPortfolio Allocation
Global Equity Markets Performance66Visible Dotcom bubble
Strong U.S. performanceGlobal Equity Markets Performance77Emerging Markets Volatility
Canada highly correlated with DollarGlobal Equity Markets Performance8Risk-Return Characteristics (Local Currency)
Global Equity Markets Performance9Risk-Return Characteristics (Dollars)
Agenda10Firm’s StrategyGlobal Equity Markets PerformanceCorrelation AnalysisImpact of currency movementsPortfolio Allocation
Correlation Analysis11Why Correlation is Important?Measureinteractions of different markets
Determine diversification benefits
Correlation between U.S and other Markets
Correlation among International MarketsCorrelation Analysis12Correlation 1981-2003 Local CurrencyCurrency Risk?
Correlation Analysis13Correlation 1981-2003 Dollars
Correlation Analysis14Comparison 1981 - 2003Lower Correlation
Higher Returns Volatility
Similar Market RiskCorrelation Analysis15Correlation is time varying!Positive Trend: correlation is increasing in time
Correlation Analysis16Correlation with U.S market in Local Currency
Correlation AnalysisCorrelation with U.S market in Dollars17
Correlation Analysis18
Agenda19Firm’s StrategyGlobal Equity Markets PerformanceCorrelation AnalysisImpact of currency movementsPortfolio Allocation

International Portfolio Diversification