2. The Exchange Trade History and Its Concept
Fundamental Analysis
Factors affecting the market tendencies
Monetary policy
Economic calendar
Technical Analysis
Chart types
Trend and tendencies
Reversal patterns
Capital Management
Market enter signals
Trading plan
Content
3. The Exchange Trade History and Its Concept
“In usum negotiatorum cujuseungue nationis ac Linguae”
(“For sales people of all nations and languages”)
9. Concepts
CFD (Contract for difference)
Contract for Difference allows to earn on both rise and fall of price
value
Margin
Amount taken as a collateral for position opening
Taken at the time of trade opening at the open price and does not
change anymore
Margin trading
The system works through a brokerage company providing leverage
10. Margin Trading Features
Small start-up capital
Loans are granted in any currency
Trading is carried out without real money
Loan granting is charge-free in case of intraday trading
Broker allows interest on customer’s available funds
Trade is conducted remotely
11. Exchange rates
Base currency Quote currency Quote type
EUR USD Reverse
GBP USD Reverse
USD JPY Direct
USD CHF Direct
GBP CHF Cross rate
CAD JPY Cross rate
13. Capital movement
Data release and its expectation
Policymakers announcements
14. Fundamental Analysis
Definition
Method of price change forecasting through studying macroeconomic
factors that influence the price
Purpose
Determination of a financial asset true value based on some
macroeconomics factors
News type
Unexpected
Scheduled
15. Factors Affecting the Market
Political Psychological Economic Force-majeure
Instability in the country Meeting expectations Monetary policy Natural disasters
Elections Underestimation of
events
Economic development Terrorism acts
Scandal resignations Mistaken expectations Catastrophes
Meeting of senior officials
Official statements
Press-conferences
Political scandals
16. Monetary Policy
CB Interest rate correction
CB Interest rate – a rate at which commercial banks borrow funds
from the Central Bank.
Change of required reserves rate
Required reserves is a share of bank deposits in the Central Bank
Open market operations – is a purchase/sale of
government securities (bonds)
17. Currency Intervention
Definition
Market enter of the CB for the purpose of forced adjustment of the
national currency rate
Target
National currency cheapening of countries-exporters
18. Country’s Economic Development Data
Inflation
Depreciation of paper money due to its issue in sizes exceeding the turnover
needs that is accompanied by commodities price upturn and real wages drop.
Unemployment
Socioeconomic phenomenon when a part of population cannot find a job
GDP
Consumption + government spending + investments + export – import
Trade Balance
The difference between exports and imports of goods
20. Trading Sessions
Session Stock Exchange GMT +3
Asian Tokyo, Singapore,
Sydney.
01:00 – 09:00
European London, Frankfurt,
Paris.
8:00 – 16:00
American New York 14:00 – 22:00
21. Technical Analysis
Definition
Research method for market dynamics based on studying historical
data
Purpose
Forecasting of the future price movement
Axioms
Price includes everything
Price moves in a certain direction
History repeats itself
22. Chart Types
Line - closing price is marked only for every next period.
Bar – shows maximal (high) and minimal prices (low),
opening and closing prices.
Japanese candlestick – a rectangle between opening and
closing prices called candlestick body. A dash from a
candlestick body to maximal (high) and minimal (low) price
values within this timeframe is called shadow.
30. Trend
Trend is a vector of price movement
Main rule: “Trend is your friend”
Conclusion: “Do not work against trend”
31. Trend Classification
By duration
Long-term– from 6 months to several years
Medium-term– from 2 weeks to 6 months
Short-term– up to 2 weeks
By movement direction
Ascending – price goes up.
Descending – price goes down.
Flat – no certain move direction
32. Trend Line
Definition
The line connecting successive data values for determining market
direction.
Lines
Support line – connects key lows of the market.
Resistance line – connects key highs of the market.
Levels
Historical level– distinguishing level which the market remembers for a
very long time.
Psychological level – level occurring near round price values.
39. Trading Plan
Definition
Systematic description of individual trading
Sections
Descriptive part
Information Analysis
Forecast
Market enter signals
Target levels calculation
Threats
Trade opening or closing
Results analysis
40. FOREX entered the modern life and took its important
place in it
FOREX gives opportunity to earn money by your own
effort and intellect
FOREX and everything related to it are destined for
success
History of FOREX is just beginning
Everyone has a chance to do part for the history of
FOREX development!