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Trade Fundamentals in Exchange
Markets
!!!!!!!Intentionally left blank!!!!!!!!
 The Exchange Trade History and Its Concept
 Fundamental Analysis
 Factors affecting the market tendencies
 Monetary policy
 Economic calendar
 Technical Analysis
 Chart types
 Trend and tendencies
 Reversal patterns
 Capital Management
 Market enter signals
 Trading plan
Content
The Exchange Trade History and Its Concept
“In usum negotiatorum cujuseungue nationis ac Linguae”
(“For sales people of all nations and languages”)
Commodity Exchange
Stock Exchange
Foreign Exchange
FOREX Market Advantages
 Minimal capital investments
 High liquidity
 No direct sales
 Exchange at any time
 High yield
 Large trade volume
 FOREX
What is it?
Concepts
CFD (Contract for difference)
 Contract for Difference allows to earn on both rise and fall of price
value
Margin
 Amount taken as a collateral for position opening
 Taken at the time of trade opening at the open price and does not
change anymore
Margin trading
 The system works through a brokerage company providing leverage
Margin Trading Features
 Small start-up capital
 Loans are granted in any currency
 Trading is carried out without real money
 Loan granting is charge-free in case of intraday trading
 Broker allows interest on customer’s available funds
 Trade is conducted remotely
Exchange rates
Base currency Quote currency Quote type
EUR USD Reverse
GBP USD Reverse
USD JPY Direct
USD CHF Direct
GBP CHF Cross rate
CAD JPY Cross rate
FOREX:
Predictable!
 Capital movement
 Data release and its expectation
 Policymakers announcements
Fundamental Analysis
 Definition
 Method of price change forecasting through studying macroeconomic
factors that influence the price
 Purpose
 Determination of a financial asset true value based on some
macroeconomics factors
 News type
 Unexpected
 Scheduled
Factors Affecting the Market
Political Psychological Economic Force-majeure
Instability in the country Meeting expectations Monetary policy Natural disasters
Elections Underestimation of
events
Economic development Terrorism acts
Scandal resignations Mistaken expectations Catastrophes
Meeting of senior officials
Official statements
Press-conferences
Political scandals
Monetary Policy
 CB Interest rate correction
 CB Interest rate – a rate at which commercial banks borrow funds
from the Central Bank.
 Change of required reserves rate
 Required reserves is a share of bank deposits in the Central Bank
 Open market operations – is a purchase/sale of
government securities (bonds)
Currency Intervention
 Definition
 Market enter of the CB for the purpose of forced adjustment of the
national currency rate
 Target
 National currency cheapening of countries-exporters
Country’s Economic Development Data
 Inflation
 Depreciation of paper money due to its issue in sizes exceeding the turnover
needs that is accompanied by commodities price upturn and real wages drop.
 Unemployment
 Socioeconomic phenomenon when a part of population cannot find a job
 GDP
 Consumption + government spending + investments + export – import
 Trade Balance
 The difference between exports and imports of goods
Economic Calendar
Trading Sessions
Session Stock Exchange GMT +3
Asian Tokyo, Singapore,
Sydney.
01:00 – 09:00
European London, Frankfurt,
Paris.
8:00 – 16:00
American New York 14:00 – 22:00
Technical Analysis
 Definition
 Research method for market dynamics based on studying historical
data
 Purpose
 Forecasting of the future price movement
 Axioms
 Price includes everything
 Price moves in a certain direction
 History repeats itself
Chart Types
 Line - closing price is marked only for every next period.
 Bar – shows maximal (high) and minimal prices (low),
opening and closing prices.
 Japanese candlestick – a rectangle between opening and
closing prices called candlestick body. A dash from a
candlestick body to maximal (high) and minimal (low) price
values within this timeframe is called shadow.​​
Line Chart
Japanese Candlestick
Chart Timeframes
 М1, М5, М15, М30, H1, H4, D1, W1, MN
high
low
open
close
5M
1M
1M 1M
1M 1M
ope
n
clos
e
max
min
high
low
Black Candle FormationBlack Candle Formation
White Candle Formation
open
close
min
max high
low
Trend Reversal Signals
Evening star Morning starShooting star
Open price = Close price
Doji
Trend
 Trend is a vector of price movement
Main rule: “Trend is your friend”
Conclusion: “Do not work against trend”
Trend Classification
 By duration
 Long-term– from 6 months to several years
 Medium-term– from 2 weeks to 6 months
 Short-term– up to 2 weeks
 By movement direction
 Ascending – price goes up.
 Descending – price goes down.
 Flat – no certain move direction
Trend Line
 Definition
 The line connecting successive data values for determining market​​
direction.
 Lines
 Support line – connects key lows of the market.
 Resistance line – connects key highs of the market.
 Levels
 Historical level– distinguishing level which the market remembers for a
very long time.
 Psychological level – level occurring near round price values.
Downtrend
Uptrend and Local Trend
Flat
Reverse Pattern
 1. Head & Shoulders
=
=
1st
shoulder 2nd
shoulder
Head
Neck’s line
sell
Continuation or Reverse Pattern
 TriangleTriangle
=
=
buy
1
2
3
4 5
Min= 200 pips
sell
Capital Management
 Investors
 Positional
 Speculative
 Tactics
 Averaging
 Locking
 Pyramid
 Theory of probability
Trading Plan
 Definition
 Systematic description of individual trading
 Sections
 Descriptive part
 Information Analysis
 Forecast
 Market enter signals
 Target levels calculation
 Threats
 Trade opening or closing
 Results analysis
 FOREX entered the modern life and took its important
place in it
 FOREX gives opportunity to earn money by your own
effort and intellect
 FOREX and everything related to it are destined for
success
 History of FOREX is just beginning
Everyone has a chance to do part for the history of
FOREX development!

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Teck Investor Presentation, April 24, 2024
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  • 1. Trade Fundamentals in Exchange Markets !!!!!!!Intentionally left blank!!!!!!!!
  • 2.  The Exchange Trade History and Its Concept  Fundamental Analysis  Factors affecting the market tendencies  Monetary policy  Economic calendar  Technical Analysis  Chart types  Trend and tendencies  Reversal patterns  Capital Management  Market enter signals  Trading plan Content
  • 3. The Exchange Trade History and Its Concept “In usum negotiatorum cujuseungue nationis ac Linguae” (“For sales people of all nations and languages”)
  • 7. FOREX Market Advantages  Minimal capital investments  High liquidity  No direct sales  Exchange at any time  High yield  Large trade volume
  • 9. Concepts CFD (Contract for difference)  Contract for Difference allows to earn on both rise and fall of price value Margin  Amount taken as a collateral for position opening  Taken at the time of trade opening at the open price and does not change anymore Margin trading  The system works through a brokerage company providing leverage
  • 10. Margin Trading Features  Small start-up capital  Loans are granted in any currency  Trading is carried out without real money  Loan granting is charge-free in case of intraday trading  Broker allows interest on customer’s available funds  Trade is conducted remotely
  • 11. Exchange rates Base currency Quote currency Quote type EUR USD Reverse GBP USD Reverse USD JPY Direct USD CHF Direct GBP CHF Cross rate CAD JPY Cross rate
  • 13.  Capital movement  Data release and its expectation  Policymakers announcements
  • 14. Fundamental Analysis  Definition  Method of price change forecasting through studying macroeconomic factors that influence the price  Purpose  Determination of a financial asset true value based on some macroeconomics factors  News type  Unexpected  Scheduled
  • 15. Factors Affecting the Market Political Psychological Economic Force-majeure Instability in the country Meeting expectations Monetary policy Natural disasters Elections Underestimation of events Economic development Terrorism acts Scandal resignations Mistaken expectations Catastrophes Meeting of senior officials Official statements Press-conferences Political scandals
  • 16. Monetary Policy  CB Interest rate correction  CB Interest rate – a rate at which commercial banks borrow funds from the Central Bank.  Change of required reserves rate  Required reserves is a share of bank deposits in the Central Bank  Open market operations – is a purchase/sale of government securities (bonds)
  • 17. Currency Intervention  Definition  Market enter of the CB for the purpose of forced adjustment of the national currency rate  Target  National currency cheapening of countries-exporters
  • 18. Country’s Economic Development Data  Inflation  Depreciation of paper money due to its issue in sizes exceeding the turnover needs that is accompanied by commodities price upturn and real wages drop.  Unemployment  Socioeconomic phenomenon when a part of population cannot find a job  GDP  Consumption + government spending + investments + export – import  Trade Balance  The difference between exports and imports of goods
  • 20. Trading Sessions Session Stock Exchange GMT +3 Asian Tokyo, Singapore, Sydney. 01:00 – 09:00 European London, Frankfurt, Paris. 8:00 – 16:00 American New York 14:00 – 22:00
  • 21. Technical Analysis  Definition  Research method for market dynamics based on studying historical data  Purpose  Forecasting of the future price movement  Axioms  Price includes everything  Price moves in a certain direction  History repeats itself
  • 22. Chart Types  Line - closing price is marked only for every next period.  Bar – shows maximal (high) and minimal prices (low), opening and closing prices.  Japanese candlestick – a rectangle between opening and closing prices called candlestick body. A dash from a candlestick body to maximal (high) and minimal (low) price values within this timeframe is called shadow.​​
  • 25. Chart Timeframes  М1, М5, М15, М30, H1, H4, D1, W1, MN high low open close 5M 1M 1M 1M 1M 1M
  • 28. Trend Reversal Signals Evening star Morning starShooting star
  • 29. Open price = Close price Doji
  • 30. Trend  Trend is a vector of price movement Main rule: “Trend is your friend” Conclusion: “Do not work against trend”
  • 31. Trend Classification  By duration  Long-term– from 6 months to several years  Medium-term– from 2 weeks to 6 months  Short-term– up to 2 weeks  By movement direction  Ascending – price goes up.  Descending – price goes down.  Flat – no certain move direction
  • 32. Trend Line  Definition  The line connecting successive data values for determining market​​ direction.  Lines  Support line – connects key lows of the market.  Resistance line – connects key highs of the market.  Levels  Historical level– distinguishing level which the market remembers for a very long time.  Psychological level – level occurring near round price values.
  • 35. Flat
  • 36. Reverse Pattern  1. Head & Shoulders = = 1st shoulder 2nd shoulder Head Neck’s line sell
  • 37. Continuation or Reverse Pattern  TriangleTriangle = = buy 1 2 3 4 5 Min= 200 pips sell
  • 38. Capital Management  Investors  Positional  Speculative  Tactics  Averaging  Locking  Pyramid  Theory of probability
  • 39. Trading Plan  Definition  Systematic description of individual trading  Sections  Descriptive part  Information Analysis  Forecast  Market enter signals  Target levels calculation  Threats  Trade opening or closing  Results analysis
  • 40.  FOREX entered the modern life and took its important place in it  FOREX gives opportunity to earn money by your own effort and intellect  FOREX and everything related to it are destined for success  History of FOREX is just beginning Everyone has a chance to do part for the history of FOREX development!

Editor's Notes

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