The Indian economy grew at 6.28% in FY 2011-12 but slowed to an estimated growth rate of 5% in FY 2012-13, below the budgeted rate of 7.6%. Inflation increased over this period from 8.4% to 10.44% while industrial production and FDI declined. The mining and metals sector saw negative growth of 2.01% and 2.33% respectively over the two fiscal years. Salary increases across sectors averaged 12% in FY 2012-13, with manufacturing seeing the highest at 15% and financial services the lowest at 10%, as the economy faced challenges of inflation and slowing global growth.

2. Broad Outlook—Indian Economy FY 2012-13
 GDP Growth rate
April 2011 to March 2012 : 6.28%
April 2012 to March 2013 : 5%
 Index of Industrial Production Growth
April 2011 to March 2012 : 3%
April 2012 to March 2013 : 1.16%
 Growth of Mining & Metal
April 2011 to March 2012 : - 2.01%
April 2012 to March 2013 : - 2.33%
 FDI 2012-13 USD 22.42 billion versus USD 35.12
billion in FY 2011-12 (i.e. -38%)
 Inflation (Consumer Price Index)
April 2011 to March 2012 : 8.40%
April 2012 to March 2013 : 10.44%

3. The top 10 business risks for Mining and Metals
1. Resource nationalism
2. Skills shortage
3. Infrastructure access
4. Cost inflation
5. Capital project execution
6. Maintaining a social license to operate
7. Price and currency volatility
8. Capital management and access
9. Sharing the benefits
10. Fraud and corruption

4. Overall Industry Analysis : FY 2012-13
•
India has strong growth fundamentals but faces challenges in the form of a volatile global
market coupled with issues of fiscal consolidation and inflation. Upside risks to inflation
expected from fiscal slippage, currency depreciation and commodity shocks
•
Policymakers struggled to strike a balance between inflation and growth. Domestic growth
rate was impacted by tightening of the monetary policy by RBI and geopolitical concerns
•
The Indian economy faced twin macroeconomic challenges of managing growth and
containing inflation during the fiscal 2012-13 against a backdrop of an uncertain global
environment
•
In response to global economic issues such as Eurozone crisis and rising commodity
prices, fiscal year 2012 - 2013 saw the Indian economy slow down
•
The budget pegged Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the year 2012-13 was at 7.6% while it
is actually 5%
•
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation for all commodities for the period of April 2012 to
March 2013 was 7.3%
•
Inflation in Consumer Price Index was 10.44 % in 2012-2013
•
A slowing global economy continues to have an impact on the Indian Economy. According to
the RBI, the world economy may observe a decline in its growth trajectory although it is not
slated for another recession

5. Industrial Growth Rate trends

6. Industrial Growth – Overall & Broad Sectors

7. Momentum of IIP (Manufacturing)
Gross capital formation (GCF) in the industrial sector comprising
mining, manufacturing, electricity and construction recorded an average
growth of 13.2 per cent during 2012-13.

8. Job Projection 2013-14
Job growth is occurring across most sectors and the employment
outlook for 2013- 2014 is encouraging.
Our annual employment survey reveals 58% of employers anticipate an
increase in staff numbers over the next 12 months.
This positive outlook in recruitment has been driven by global
companies looking at India as a core growth market given the ongoing
uncertainties in the US and European economies.
India is regarded as a logical business hub with a well qualified young
workforce and the required infrastructure to support international
business activities.
Predicted Employment for 2013-14
Increase
Decrease
Stable

9. Salary /Increment Survey Highlights FY 2012-13
•
Overall median salary increase across sectors is 12%
•
Manufacturing industry including Mining, Steel and Cement have reported
highest increment figures for 2012 - 2013 at 15%
•
Financial Services sector has been most conservative in increment projection for 2012 2013 at 10%
•
The overall attrition across industries is 13%. Better Pay and Personal Reasons
have been rated as the key reasons for attrition industry-wide
•
Hiring and Retaining skilled talent continues to remain a key challenge in the market
•
Sectors which have registered highest attrition are ITeS, Pharmaceuticals, Healthcare &
Life Sciences and Media & Advertising and the sectors which have registered lowest
attrition are Manufacturing and Energy & Resources
•
Organizations are also keenly adopting cost optimization measures. Offshoring /
Outsourcing of activities have been rated highest amongst measures adopted.
•
Interestingly employers are not keen on reducing spend on “Recognition Programs” or
“Training programs”

10. Salary Increment Scenario
 India Inc is increasing employee salaries by a modest 6-13 per cent
this year. In sectors such as IT and telecom, which are facing a bad
year, the wage hike is being pegged at around 7-8 per cent, while
companies
in
recession-free
sectors,
such
as
the
Mining, pharmaceutical industry, are offering increases of 12-13 per
cent.

11. Annual Increment Trends
Overall Industry Analysis
Increments are expected to be conservative, attributable to the overall economic conditions
Year
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Average Increment
13.00%
12.00%
11.30%
Average Increment
13.50%
13.00%
12.50%
12.00%
11.50%
11.00%
10.50%
10.00%
Average
Increment
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Mining and Manufacturing Increment Analysis
Average Increment
Year
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Average Increment
12.30%
15.00%
11.20%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
Average
Increment
5.00%
0.00%
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14

12. Overall Industry Analysis Annual Increment
• Annual median increment for 2012 - 2013 across all sectors is 12%
• Manufacturing industry including Mining, Steel and Cement has the highest increment figures at
15% and Financial Services sector has the lowest increment figure at 10%
• Financial services sector maintains a conservative estimate given the overall mood of the economy
• Infrastructure & Real Estate‟, ―Pharmaceutical and Healthcare & Life Sciences‟ have reported the
same increment figures as last year
• ITeS sector has seen the steepest drop in salary projections despite the attrition challenge faced
by the industry
• Interestingly, in most organizations employers are aware that most employees leave for better pay
elsewhere however they have either the same increment or lower increments as compared to last
year