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Immigrant youth
Labour outcomes and impact of
the COVID-19 pandemic
2022.10.21 MICHAEL WILLCOX (LMIC)
2
Immigrants are key for the growth of our labour market
and to solve labour shortages
Baby boomers
retiring
Low fertility
Immigrants
Labour
shortages
COVID
3
Labour outcomes of immigrant youth
→How have immigrant youth (aged 15-24) performed in the labour
market since the onset of the pandemic?
*Excludes temporary workers and refugees
→Labour market indicators assessed:
• Labour force participation
• Employment rate
• Hours worked
• Wages
→Immigrant youth vs Canadian-born youth
• Recent immigrants (<10 years)
• Established immigrants (>10 years)
4
Before the pandemic, there were less immigrant youth in the
labour force compared to Canadian-born youth
Source:LFS (January 2020)
In school
28.5%
Not in
school
26.8%
In school
40.6%
Not in
school
4.1%
In school
27.7%
Not in
school
33%
In school
33.6%
Not in
school
5.7%
In school
69.1%
In school
61.3%
Immigrant youth
686,000
100%
In the labour
force
55.3%
Not in the
labour force
44.7%
Canadian-born youth
3.7 million
100%
In the labour
force
60.8%
Not in the
labour force
39.2%
Not in
school
26.8%
In school
40.6%
Not in
school
33%
In school
33.6%
5
The employment rate of immigrant youth is lower compared to
Canadian-born youth, but this gap is closing
Potential causes
Higher barriers to employment created by discrimination or language skills, labour market entry delayed
by integration issues, emphasis on education rather than employment among immigrant households
Gap:
-5.5
ppts
6
The employment rate of immigrant youth is lower compared to
Canadian-born youth, but this gap is closing
Potential cause :
Sectoral differences
Gap:
-6.5
ppts
7
Before the pandemic, immigrant youth were overrepresented in the
Accommodation and Food Services sector before the pandemic
Underrepresented in
• Retail trade
• Health care and social
assistance
• Other (most importantly in
construction, information and culture
and recreation)
Overrepresented in
• Accommodation and food
services
• Business
• Professional scientific and
technical services
Source:LFS (January 2020)
8
The employment rate of immigrant youth is lower compared to
Canadian-born youth, but this gap is closing
Employment of immigrant youth recovered faster
But recovery accompanied by drop in school attendance
Gap:
-3.6
ppts
9
Employment of recent immigrant youth is lower than established immigrant youth
But same school attendance rate
→ Possible causes: Discrimination, employment barriers, integration, different population structure
Among landed immigrant youth, the employment rate for
recent immigrants was lower but is starting to pick up
10
Among landed immigrant youth, the employment rate for
recent immigrants was lower but is starting to pick up
Recent immigrant youth were less impacted by the pandemic and recovery was also faster for them
→ Possible causes: Sectoral composition of employment, decreased employment barriers because
of labour shortages
11
Immigrant youth experience greater fluctuation and
changes to their hourly wages than Canadian born youth do
Immigrant youth wages were more impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic
→ Possible cause: Sectoral difference, employers passing on the costs of volatile
demand onto vulnerable workers
12
Recent immigrant youth earn lower hourly wages than
established immigrant youth
Recent immigrant youth earn lower hourly wage rate
→ Possible cause: Employment barriers, lack of network
Increase in wages for both groups since start of the pandemic
→ Possible cause: Sectoral changes, labour shortages
13
Key Takeaways and
Next Steps
• Immigrant youth are a growing
share of the youth labour force
• Employment and participation
gaps are closing
• School attendance dropping
• Recent immigrants driving
employment growth
• Understanding why
• What is contributing to these
gaps?
14
Questions?
Michael Willcox
michael.willcox@lmic-cimt.ca
Economist
CONTACT
15
Find Us Online
lmic-cimt.ca
@LMIC_CIMT
info@lmic-cimt.ca
LMIC / CIMT

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Immigrant youth​: Labour outcomes and impact of the COVID-19 pandemic​

  • 1. Immigrant youth Labour outcomes and impact of the COVID-19 pandemic 2022.10.21 MICHAEL WILLCOX (LMIC)
  • 2. 2 Immigrants are key for the growth of our labour market and to solve labour shortages Baby boomers retiring Low fertility Immigrants Labour shortages COVID
  • 3. 3 Labour outcomes of immigrant youth →How have immigrant youth (aged 15-24) performed in the labour market since the onset of the pandemic? *Excludes temporary workers and refugees →Labour market indicators assessed: • Labour force participation • Employment rate • Hours worked • Wages →Immigrant youth vs Canadian-born youth • Recent immigrants (<10 years) • Established immigrants (>10 years)
  • 4. 4 Before the pandemic, there were less immigrant youth in the labour force compared to Canadian-born youth Source:LFS (January 2020) In school 28.5% Not in school 26.8% In school 40.6% Not in school 4.1% In school 27.7% Not in school 33% In school 33.6% Not in school 5.7% In school 69.1% In school 61.3% Immigrant youth 686,000 100% In the labour force 55.3% Not in the labour force 44.7% Canadian-born youth 3.7 million 100% In the labour force 60.8% Not in the labour force 39.2% Not in school 26.8% In school 40.6% Not in school 33% In school 33.6%
  • 5. 5 The employment rate of immigrant youth is lower compared to Canadian-born youth, but this gap is closing Potential causes Higher barriers to employment created by discrimination or language skills, labour market entry delayed by integration issues, emphasis on education rather than employment among immigrant households Gap: -5.5 ppts
  • 6. 6 The employment rate of immigrant youth is lower compared to Canadian-born youth, but this gap is closing Potential cause : Sectoral differences Gap: -6.5 ppts
  • 7. 7 Before the pandemic, immigrant youth were overrepresented in the Accommodation and Food Services sector before the pandemic Underrepresented in • Retail trade • Health care and social assistance • Other (most importantly in construction, information and culture and recreation) Overrepresented in • Accommodation and food services • Business • Professional scientific and technical services Source:LFS (January 2020)
  • 8. 8 The employment rate of immigrant youth is lower compared to Canadian-born youth, but this gap is closing Employment of immigrant youth recovered faster But recovery accompanied by drop in school attendance Gap: -3.6 ppts
  • 9. 9 Employment of recent immigrant youth is lower than established immigrant youth But same school attendance rate → Possible causes: Discrimination, employment barriers, integration, different population structure Among landed immigrant youth, the employment rate for recent immigrants was lower but is starting to pick up
  • 10. 10 Among landed immigrant youth, the employment rate for recent immigrants was lower but is starting to pick up Recent immigrant youth were less impacted by the pandemic and recovery was also faster for them → Possible causes: Sectoral composition of employment, decreased employment barriers because of labour shortages
  • 11. 11 Immigrant youth experience greater fluctuation and changes to their hourly wages than Canadian born youth do Immigrant youth wages were more impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic → Possible cause: Sectoral difference, employers passing on the costs of volatile demand onto vulnerable workers
  • 12. 12 Recent immigrant youth earn lower hourly wages than established immigrant youth Recent immigrant youth earn lower hourly wage rate → Possible cause: Employment barriers, lack of network Increase in wages for both groups since start of the pandemic → Possible cause: Sectoral changes, labour shortages
  • 13. 13 Key Takeaways and Next Steps • Immigrant youth are a growing share of the youth labour force • Employment and participation gaps are closing • School attendance dropping • Recent immigrants driving employment growth • Understanding why • What is contributing to these gaps?