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Immigrants and the economic recovery: What are the policy implications?  Naomi Alboim 2010 ALLIES Learning Exchange  May 7, 2010 Halifax
Purpose ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data sources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recession hypothesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Immigration levels ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A. How have immigrants fared in Canada?
Job loss: length of residency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Job loss: length of residency
Job loss: cities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Job loss: cities
Job loss Immigrants vs. other groups ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Job loss Immigrants vs. other groups
Employment by industry ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Incidence of employment by industry Source:  Statistics Canada labour force survey. From HRSDC presentation at Metropolis conference 2010.
% change in employment by  industry Source:  Statistics Canada labour force survey. From HRSDC presentation to Metropolis conference 2010.
Gender impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Gender: changes in employment rates Source : Statistics Canada labour force survey. From HRSDC presentation at Metropolis conference 2010 .
Age: job loss and employment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Age: changes in employment rates Source : Statistics Canada labour force survey. From HRSDC presentation to Metropolis conference 2010.
B. Regional differences?
Regional differences ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ontario snapshot ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regional differences in labour force Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey. From Ontario Ministry of Citizenship and Immigration presentation at Metropolis 2010. Immigrants in the Labour Force
Ontario: unemployment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ontario: unemployment Source : Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey. From Ontario Ministry of Citizenship and Immigration presentation at Metropolis 2010.
Ontario: education and unemployment Source:  Toronto Immigrant Employment Initiative, York University.
Greater Toronto Area: unemployment ,[object Object]
GTA: need for services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source : Focus groups with immigrant service agencies through Intergovernmental Relations Group of the Toronto Region Immigrant Employment Council
C. What are the policy implications?
1. Learn from past recessions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Past recessions: employment rates Source:  Census 1981 to 2006. From HRSDC presentation at Metropolis conference 2010.
Past recessions: unemployment rates Source:  Census 1981-2006. From HRSDC presentation at Metropolis conference 2010.
2. Unpack the data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. Grow the labour force ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
… grow the labour force ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
4.  Address barriers to labour market integration ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
… barriers
Language makes a difference ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other factors make a difference ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
5. Invest in programs & services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EI benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EI benefits Source : Keith Banting, Queen’s University, 2010.
EI in Ontario ,[object Object],[object Object]
EI across Canada Source : Keith Banting, Queen’s University, 2010.
Social assistance & unemployment ,[object Object],Source:  Keith Banting, Queen’s University, 2010.
GTA social assistance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source : Greater Toronto Area municipalities.
Lack of eligibility for existing programs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
… Lack of eligibility ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
D. Recommendations
Recommendations Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recommendations Access to programs & services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recommendations Income and supports ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CONCLUSION ,[object Object],[object Object]

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2010 ALLIES Learning Exchange: Naomi Alboim - Immigrants and the Economic Recovery

Editor's Notes

  1. National. Shows Ontario vs Canada vs all the other provinces. Ontario has the most significant. In Canada, 21% of the workforce, but in Ontario 30% of the workforce is immigrants. Newfoundland 1%. BC 27%. If we’ve established that immigrants are differentially impacted by the recession, and 30% of Ontario’s labour force is immigrants. Then Ontario is significantly impacted. With some of the policies you have to unpack by sector, region, sector, by length of time. Key part of the thesis! Stats Can Labour Force Survey. From MCI of Ontario presentation at Metropolis 2010.
  2. This tells us that because of changes in EI, both men and women, but women worse able to get benefits – labour attachment requirements more stringent – more part time, maternitiy leaves, etc. less likely to qualify. Big decline for both from 90 to 97. this will also impacat immigrants. Immigrants impacted for same reasons and even more in part time, seasonal, non-standard work – and new immigrants have less labour market attachment to be eligible for EI. Keith Banting, Queen’s University, 2010.
  3. If unemployed in Ontario, far less likely to get EI than if you are in Newfoundland, just because of geography. Adjusted EI act in a way that creates geographic disparities. Keith Banting, Queen’s University, 2010.