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imagine ZERO ESOL waitlists…

                                              Alvaro Lima
      director of Research, Boston Redevelopment Authority
           presentation at the civic forum, titled, “Investing in the Massachusetts
           Workforce”, Citizens Bank, 53 State Street, Boston, MA, July 10, 2008




All or partial use of the data found within this report must be cited.
Our preferred citation is as follows:                                    City of Boston            Boston Redevelopment Authority
Boston Redevelopment Authority/Research Division, July 2008.             Thomas M. Menino, Mayor   John F. Palmieri, Director
right now-
                         15,000 immigrants
                          ESOL waitlists
                     are on                                                                                                     in the


                           Commonwealth
                            for                                                 anywhere from 6 months to 3 years


Source: Department of Education (DOE), 2008; “The ESL Logjam,” National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials
Source: 2006 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
In 2006 the number of Metro Boston’s
                  workforce with limited English
                language skills was nearly 88,000 - an
                            increase of 37% over 2000…




Source: 2006 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
now imagine -


   ZERO
 ESOL waitlists
If these 88,000 workers were to
                      move up one level…

                              Key Characteristics of Occupations by Language Skill Requirements – All Industries


      Proportion of
         Total Jobs
                                      19%                       30%                                 34%    17%

       Language
      Skill Levels                    Low                  Medium-Low                      Medium-High      High


            Average                                          $33,145                          $53,680     $71,117
                                  $25,043
             Salary
                                Note: Metro-Boston 2004




Source: Labor Market Assessment Tool, Boston Redevelopment Authority, Research Division, Analysis
it would look
             something like
                      this….
direct and indirect income   increases by $732 million

increased spending creates 1,134 new jobs


GRP   increases by $108 million
$9 million   more in federal, state and local revenues
keeping the
status quo
is not sustainable…
more than 10 million skilled workers will be leaving
     the workforce by 2010

     the Baby Boom generation just hit 62 and is filing
     for Social Security benefits

     The ratio of seniors to prime-working-age adults is
     expected to grow from 240 to 411 per 1,000

     immigrants will be expected to fill this growing gap
     in the labor market

     … and 93% of new jobs created in the region will
     require at least modest language skills
Source: 2004 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
… that is,
          employment
       growth is much
            smaller in
          occupations
         requiring low
      and medium-low
       language skills
      Language Skill                       Low                    Medium-Low                  Medium-High     High

      Wages-Current                     $25,043                      $33,145                       $53,680   $71,117
          Jobs
        Wages-New                       $17,998                      $29,079                       $57,930   $74,109
          Jobs
Source: Labor Market Assessment Tool, Boston Redevelopment Authority Research Division Analysis.
so, … additional
    investment in ESOL
would raise productivity
              boost GRP
      raise HH incomes
           and increase
  government revenues

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imagine ZERO ESOL waitlists…

  • 1. imagine ZERO ESOL waitlists… Alvaro Lima director of Research, Boston Redevelopment Authority presentation at the civic forum, titled, “Investing in the Massachusetts Workforce”, Citizens Bank, 53 State Street, Boston, MA, July 10, 2008 All or partial use of the data found within this report must be cited. Our preferred citation is as follows: City of Boston Boston Redevelopment Authority Boston Redevelopment Authority/Research Division, July 2008. Thomas M. Menino, Mayor John F. Palmieri, Director
  • 2. right now- 15,000 immigrants ESOL waitlists are on in the Commonwealth for anywhere from 6 months to 3 years Source: Department of Education (DOE), 2008; “The ESL Logjam,” National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials
  • 3. Source: 2006 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 4. In 2006 the number of Metro Boston’s workforce with limited English language skills was nearly 88,000 - an increase of 37% over 2000… Source: 2006 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
  • 5. now imagine - ZERO ESOL waitlists
  • 6. If these 88,000 workers were to move up one level… Key Characteristics of Occupations by Language Skill Requirements – All Industries Proportion of Total Jobs 19% 30% 34% 17% Language Skill Levels Low Medium-Low Medium-High High Average $33,145 $53,680 $71,117 $25,043 Salary Note: Metro-Boston 2004 Source: Labor Market Assessment Tool, Boston Redevelopment Authority, Research Division, Analysis
  • 7. it would look something like this…. direct and indirect income increases by $732 million increased spending creates 1,134 new jobs GRP increases by $108 million $9 million more in federal, state and local revenues
  • 8. keeping the status quo is not sustainable…
  • 9. more than 10 million skilled workers will be leaving the workforce by 2010 the Baby Boom generation just hit 62 and is filing for Social Security benefits The ratio of seniors to prime-working-age adults is expected to grow from 240 to 411 per 1,000 immigrants will be expected to fill this growing gap in the labor market … and 93% of new jobs created in the region will require at least modest language skills Source: 2004 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
  • 10. … that is, employment growth is much smaller in occupations requiring low and medium-low language skills Language Skill Low Medium-Low Medium-High High Wages-Current $25,043 $33,145 $53,680 $71,117 Jobs Wages-New $17,998 $29,079 $57,930 $74,109 Jobs Source: Labor Market Assessment Tool, Boston Redevelopment Authority Research Division Analysis.
  • 11. so, … additional investment in ESOL would raise productivity boost GRP raise HH incomes and increase government revenues