This document discusses trends in global economic power, trade, and human development from 1820 to 2050. It notes that the share of world output held by developing nations like China, India, and Brazil has increased dramatically since 1820 while the share of developed nations like the US and Europe has declined. It also describes how trade has shifted towards developing country partnerships and away from developed country partnerships. Additionally, it outlines projections that the global middle class will more than double between 1990 and 2030 with most growth occurring in Asia. The document discusses improvements in human development across the globe as well as the costs of inequality. It estimates environmental damage and poverty each cost over $3 trillion annually and suggests $10 trillion will be needed for infrastructure investment

1. 8 April 2013

2. % Share of world output (PPP)
20
30
60
10
0
40
50
1820
1830
1840
1850
Brazil, India, China
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
GLOBAL REBALANCING
1980
1990
2000
Germany, France, Italy, UK, US, Canada
2030
2050
WORLD
A CHANGING

3. REALIGNMENT OF WORLD TRADE
60
% share of world merchandise trade
50
40
30 South-South
North-North
20
10
0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
A CHANGING
WORLD

4. MASSIVE EXPANSION OF THE
GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS
1990 (1.8 billion)
2020 (3.2 billion)
2030 (4.9 billion)
Europe and North America
Asia-Pacific
Central and South America
Rest of the World
A CHANGING
WORLD

5. RAPID HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE GLOBE
1
Korea, Rep.
Chile
Brazil Mexico
Malaysia
0.8 Mauritius
Thailand Turkey
Tunisia
China
Indonesia
Viet Nam
0.6
HDI 2012
Ghana
India
Lao PDR
Bangladesh
Lesotho
Uganda
0.4 Rwanda Zimbabwe
0.2
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
HDI 1990 A CHANGING
WORLD

6. LOSSES DUE TO INEQUALITY IN HDI
IMPLICATIONS

7. IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENT ON POVERTY
$6.84 trillion
$3.36 trillion
IMPLICATIONS

8. $ 10 TRILLION FOR INVESTMENT
IMPLICATIONS