1. Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism

3. 3

4. 4

5. 140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
5

6. 2,500 4
3.5
2,000
3
2.5
1,500
2
1,000
1.5
1
500
0.5
0 0
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
6

7. 2000 2050 2.1 2100 2.8
2050
7

8. 2000 2050 650mm
2100
mm
8

9. 50cm 2000 2050 4
50cm
50cm 50
9

10. (%)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Revision
18 12
World Population Prospects : The 2008
10

11. GDP
22 10
GDP
2030
.
15 39 .
11

12. km .
21.6% 20.4% 24.4% 23.4% 8.3%
1.9%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
100
75% 100%
50% 75%
25% 50%
0% 25%
12

13. 2005
110 4.0%
2.0%
100
0.0%
90
-2.0%
80
-4.0%
70 -6.0%
13
60 -8.0%
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

14. 20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
27.0%
50.2%
2010 49.8%
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
32.5%
43.3%
56.7%
0.42
0.44
0.46
0.48
0.50
0.52
0.54
0.56
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
14

15. .
15

16. .
2010 2050
% 40
48.0
50
41.1
40
30.2
30 25.8 20
19.8 22.9
20
10 25.5
0
0 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000
-20
30
10
5
6,000 1
30
25.5
1
10
5
-40
% -60
-80
-100
16

17. .
17

18. 2050
18

19. 1999
1
3
3
2
19

20. 10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
0
5000
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2050
20

21. 180
160
140
120
21
100
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

22. 65 2005 599
2050 1,122
22

23. .
NTT
50m/ 3km//
23

24. 110
100
90
80
24
70
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

25. 3,582
3,797
4,066
4,390
4,679
4,906
5,029
5,060
5,044
4,984
4,880
4,727
4,561
4,388
4,206
4
25

26. 350 350
300 300
250 250
200 200
150 150
26
100 100
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

27. .
, ,
100 100
80 80
60 60
27
40
40
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

28. 2050 0 1,000 2,000 3,000
2010 0 1,000 2,000 3,000
90 -
90 -
80-84 80-84
70-74 70-74
60-64 60-64
50-54 50-54
40-44 40-44
30-34 30-34
20-24 20-24
10-14
10-14
42.4 0- 4 44.9 50.4 53.7
0- 4
3,000 2,000 1,000 0
3,000 2,000 1,000 0
0 1,000 2,000 3,000
0 1,000 2,000 3,000
2010 2050
90 -
90 -
80-84
80-84
70-74 70-74
60-64 60-64
50-54 50-54
40-44 40-44
30-34 30-34
20-24 20-24
10-14 10-14
43.6
0- 4 47.1 53.0 0- 4 57.4
3,000 2,000 1,000 0 3,000 2,000 1,000 0
28

29. 29

30. 30

31. 1950
2005
2050
31

32. ,
( )
( )
9652
7616
32

33. ( ) ( )
2050 25 49 2006
2020 2040
50 45 49 70 74
5 5
50
33

34. ( )
( )
1 2
34

35. 150
( )
( )
( )
35

36. 2020
15 ( )
65 2,563 2,657 2,572
2,371 2,417
2,226
2,006
1,670
1,111 1,148 1,204 1,182
786
547
256 383
1975 1985 1995 2005 2020 2030 2040 2050
( ) ( )
10 36

37. ( )
1 1
1 1
15 2030
2050 (1998
2008)
2030 2050 15
37

38. 2050
2000 2050
2000 2050
75km/50 1.5km
(m)
1.5 5.5 km/
0.5 2.0 km /
0.2 0.3 km /
0.04 0.3 km /
1 2 3 4 5
6 (2005)
38

39. 2050
*1 *2
2m
2000 2050
50cm
50
(
) (1981)
*3 *4 *5
2000
*1 6
(2005)
*2
(1981,2004)
2050 *3
*4
11 *5 6
(2005)
39

40. 2000
(42% 35%)
15 25
2050
(44%)
6
!! 2008 6
40

41. 2050 26 28%
22 32%
1 1 1 2003 2008
1,906kcal 244Tcal 9.22 t
( 468 ha
2005
97.6%)
917kcal 117Tcal
48.1% 48.1% 167 ha
6.21 t
26 28% ( 14.1%)
21 ha
1,847 1,889kcal 176 180Tcal
2050
838 963kcal 79.7 91.6Tcal
45.4 50.9% 45.4 50.9%
22 32%
%
1T cal 1 cal 10 kcal
41

42. mm 140
(1969)
6 (2005)
42

43. 4 1
km
km
( 21 3 )
50% 3
2 3
(http://www.env.go.jp/nature/satoyama/chukan.html)
43

44. 2050
2100
2007 2050 2100
1 2050
2 2100 2050 2050
18 12
44

45. 45

46. 46

47. 63,019(42.6%) 81,045(57.2%)
2.76 26,021(17.6%)
1.84 68,646(46.4%)
1.31 57,409(40.5%)
54,936(37.1%)
16,161(10.9%) 3,138( 2.2%)
66931(45.3%)
47

48. 48

49. 2
2
49

50. (
50

51. 51

52. •
52

53. CO2
53

54. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0
CO2
54

55. 2050 CO2 10.7 1990
1.3 1990 21.7
1990 25.0
55

56. 56
NEDO
NEDO
21
NEDO
10

57. 21
22 3
13
13 8
57
57

58. 58

59. 0 2,000 2,000 4,000 4,000 6,000 6,000 8,000 8,000 1 1 2 2 5 5 10 10 20 20 50 50
500 2,500
17,500 47,500 125,000 225,000
500 2,500 3,500
50
3,500 12,500
42,500 72,500 87,500 425,000
500 3,500 12,500
3,500 12,500 32,500 77,500 175,000 325,000
500
1,500 5,500
17,500 42,500 67,500 125,000 175,000 325,000
500 1,500 4,500 7,500
1,500 3,500 4,500 32,500 57,500 92,500 375,000
7,500 27,500 175,000 475,000
500 1,500 3,500 9,500 17,500
9,500 27,500
2,500 4,500
12,500 27,500
4,500 12,500 27,500 52,500
22,500 27,500
77,500 175,000
X 100 %
82,500 325,000
50 80
0 1,000 50%
500 6,500 12,500 17,500 37,500
50 80
87,500 275,000
100%
80%
32,500 62,500
125,000 275,000
50%
97,500 225,000
1
1,000 1
10 5,000 67,500 125,000 325,000
10 5 12,500 27,500
50% 80%
87,500 275,000
72,500 275,000
500 447 382
400 2005 2050 314
270 278
300 215 179 196
120 143 154
200 107 98 110 93 105 107 96 74
64 34
100 24
0
0 2,000 2,000 4000 4,000 6,000 6,000 8,000 8,000 1 1 2 2 5 5 10 10 20 20 50 50
59
2050 21
2005 2050 20 2008 12 1 1,805 20
Starbucks Coffee Japan 18

60. 1
ln(1 ) ln(1 )
9.0 9.0
8.5 8.5
1 1
8.0 8.0
7.5 7.5
7.0 7.0
6.5 6.5
6.0 6.0
5.5 y = -2.488ln(x) + 11.863 5.5 y = -1.05ln(x) + 7.8437
R² = 0.5588 R² = 0.6719
5.0 5.0
4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0
ln( ) ln( )
18 20
18 20 3
2050 60
1

61. 2030 2050
300,000
80,000
250,000 70,000
80
70 79
200,000 60,000
60 69
50 59
150,000 50,000
40 49
30 39 40,000
100,000
20 29
50,000 10 19 30,000
0 9
20,000
0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
10,000
0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
20 20 10
61

62. 2030 2050
1,000 250
900
800
200
700
85
600
80 84
500 75 79 150
400 70 74
300 65 69
40 64
200 100
100
0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 50
0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
21
22 4 1
62

63. 3
10 50
0.8
%
700 2050 2050 2050 %
0.6
A B C
0.4
600 116.7 110.9 100.1 0.2
35.9 0.0
500 159.7 42.8 40.9
-0.2
-0.4
400 54.4 218.3
257.6 -0.6
296.7
300 -0.8
197.8 64.6 -1.0
200 71.9 -1.2
30.6 74.5 -1.4
100 216.6
128.5 153.3
0 6.7
104.2
4.0 4.2 3.4 63
2005 2050 2050 2050
A B C

64. % % %
-0.2 -0.40
-0.4
-0.80
-0.6
-0.8 -1.20
-1.0
-1.60
-1.2
-1.4 -2.00
-1.6
2050 2050 2050 -2.40 2050 2050 2050
64
-1.8 A B C A B C
-2.0 -2.80

65. 1
1
1 1 1
2,000 2,000
2,000
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
1,800 1,800
1,800
1,600 1,600
1,600 0 5000 0 5000 0 5000
1,400 1,400
1,400 5,000 1 5,000 1 5,000 1
1,200 1,200 1,200
1 2 1 2 1 2
1,000 1,000 1,000
2 5 2 5 2 5
800 800 800
5 10 5 10 5 10
600 600 600
10 20 10 20 10 20
400 400 400
20 50 20 50 20 50
200 200 200
n( ) 50 100 n( ) 50 100
0 0 0 n( ) 50 100
100 100 100
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
2005 1
1
2,000
1 1
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
1,800
1,600
0 5000
1,400
5,000 1
1,200
1 2
1,000
800 2 5
600 5 10
400 10 20
200
0
n( )
20 50
50 100
65
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
100

66. A C
C
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
75% 19% 6%
58% 30% 12%
2
76% 9% 15%
59% 21% 21%
60% 19% 21%
51% 28% 21%
1
63% 13% 24%
28% 15% 57%
27% 14% 59%
21% 11% 68%
10% 7% 83% 0
-1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
-1
77% 16% 7%
80% 12% 8%
37% 44% 19%
52% 25% 23% -2
58% 10% 33%
46% 13% 42%
30% 16% 53%
66
-3
22% 25% 54%