SlideShare a Scribd company logo
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
9 August 2021
#ClimateReport #IPCC #IPCCAtlas
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
Sub-regional climate: Northern Europe
Irina Gorodetskaya, Erika Coppola, Maialen Iturbide, Robert
Vautard, Christophe Cassou,Svitlana Krakovska, Bart van
den Hurk, José Manuel Gutiérrez
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
Regional Synthesis
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
• There is medium confidence that
annual mean precipitation in
Northern Europe, West and Central
Europe and Eastern Europe has
increased since the early 20th
century and high confidence for
increase in extreme precipitation
Observed trends in
Northern Europe (NEU):
Total precipitation – Trend [mm/day per decade]
1961-2015 (observations) E-OBS Europe - Annual
Significant increase in annual total
precipitation in NEU, especially
northern British Isles and
Scandinavia
Figure source: https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch/
E-OBS data set: gridded precipitation based on station
observations in Europe
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
mm/day per decade
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
• Already observed
intensification of heavy
precipitation (Sun et al 2020)
with a robust evidence of
human attribution (Paik et al
2020)
Stations showing trends in heavy precipitation
(annual maxima in 1 day precipitation, Rx1day)
during 1950-2018:
Significant increase
in heavy precipitaiton
at the majority of the
NEU stations
Figure source: Sun et al., 2020 “A Global, Continental, and
Regional Analysis of Changes in Extreme Precipitation”,
Journal of Climate, 34(1), 243-258.
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0892.1
Observed trends in
Northern Europe (NEU):
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
Future projections for
Northern Europe (NEU):
• Enhanced local
warming even at
relatively low global
warming levels,
particularly
towards the
north in winter
• Mean precipitation
increases by 4%
per ºC of global
warming in NEU in
DJF Figure: Atlas. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
• Projected increase in extreme precipitation and pluvial flooding
in NEU at global warming levels exceeding 1.5°C
“The projected increase in the intensity of extreme precipitation translates
to an increase in the frequency and magnitude of pluvial floods – surface
water and flash floods – (high confidence), as pluvial flooding results from
precipitation intensity exceeding the capacity of natural and artificial
drainage systems.” (Chapter 11, IPCC AR6 WG1)
Future projections for
Northern Europe (NEU):
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
Maximum 1-day precipitation (Rx1day) – Change, %, projected for different
warming levels relative to 1981-2010
1.5ºC GWL 2ºC GWL
3ºC GWL 4ºC GWL
Figure source: https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch/ (CORDEX-Europe annual (38 models)
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
Maximum 1-day precipitation
(Rx1day) – Change (%)
projected for different scenarios
relative to 1981-2010
Mean for Northern Europe (NEU)
RCP2.1
RCP4.5
RCP8.5
0
20
40
0
15
40
20
60
0
Today 2050 2080
• By 2080: increase in maximum
1-day precipitation depends
strongly on the scenario:
RCP2.1: up to 15%
RCP4.5: up to 20%
RCP8.5: up to 40%
Figure source: https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch/
(CORDEX-Europe annual (21 models)
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
• Regional warming is virtually certain to
extend the observed downward trends in
snow accumulation, snow water
equivalent and length of the snow cover
season in NEU and low altitudes in
mountainous areas in the Alps and Pyrenees
(high confidence).
• Most periglacial processes in NEU are
projected to disappear by the end of the
21st century, even for a low warming
scenario (medium confidence)
• A reduction of glacier ice volume is
projected in the European Alps and
Scandinavia with high confidence
Future projections for
Northern Europe (NEU):
Figure: Mankin, J.S., Diffenbaugh, N.S. Influence of temperature and
precipitation variability on near-term snow trends. Clim Dyn (2015).
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2357-4
Projected trends (% per 50 yers), 2000-2060
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
9 August 2021
#ClimateReport #IPCC
SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT
Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis
@IPCC
@IPCC_CH
linkedin.com/company/ipcc
IPCC: www.ipcc.ch
Interactive Atlas: interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch
Follow Us:

More Related Content

What's hot

Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific
ipcc-media
 
Regional synthesis - Central America/Caribbean
Regional synthesis - Central America/CaribbeanRegional synthesis - Central America/Caribbean
Regional synthesis - Central America/Caribbean
ipcc-media
 
Climate Change Implications for South Asia
Climate Change Implications for South Asia Climate Change Implications for South Asia
Climate Change Implications for South Asia
Climate Action Network South Asia
 
Climate change results for North and Central America
Climate change results for North and Central AmericaClimate change results for North and Central America
Climate change results for North and Central America
ipcc-media
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones
ipcc-media
 
The Interactive Atlas
The Interactive AtlasThe Interactive Atlas
The Interactive Atlas
ipcc-media
 
Intro and brief demo of the Interactive Atlas
Intro and brief demo of the Interactive AtlasIntro and brief demo of the Interactive Atlas
Intro and brief demo of the Interactive Atlas
ipcc-media
 
Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...
Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...
Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...
ipcc-media
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean
ipcc-media
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean
ipcc-media
 
Climatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central America
Climatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central AmericaClimatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central America
Climatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central America
ipcc-media
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Regional Overview
Regional Climate Information:  Small Islands - Regional OverviewRegional Climate Information:  Small Islands - Regional Overview
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Regional Overview
ipcc-media
 
Regional synthesis - South America
Regional synthesis - South America Regional synthesis - South America
Regional synthesis - South America
ipcc-media
 
Regional Information - Africa
Regional Information - AfricaRegional Information - Africa
Regional Information - Africa
ipcc-media
 
Event Attribution
Event AttributionEvent Attribution
Event Attribution
ipcc-media
 
Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”
Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”
Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”
ipcc-media
 
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!
Andy Dabydeen
 
THEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warming
THEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warmingTHEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warming
THEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warming
ICARDA
 
Highlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Highlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment ReportHighlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Highlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
ipcc-media
 
Climate Change Observations - Regional Perspective
Climate Change Observations - Regional PerspectiveClimate Change Observations - Regional Perspective
Climate Change Observations - Regional Perspective
ipcc-media
 

What's hot (20)

Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Pacific
 
Regional synthesis - Central America/Caribbean
Regional synthesis - Central America/CaribbeanRegional synthesis - Central America/Caribbean
Regional synthesis - Central America/Caribbean
 
Climate Change Implications for South Asia
Climate Change Implications for South Asia Climate Change Implications for South Asia
Climate Change Implications for South Asia
 
Climate change results for North and Central America
Climate change results for North and Central AmericaClimate change results for North and Central America
Climate change results for North and Central America
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Tropical cyclones
 
The Interactive Atlas
The Interactive AtlasThe Interactive Atlas
The Interactive Atlas
 
Intro and brief demo of the Interactive Atlas
Intro and brief demo of the Interactive AtlasIntro and brief demo of the Interactive Atlas
Intro and brief demo of the Interactive Atlas
 
Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...
Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...
Democratising climate science: how climate model emulators add robustness and...
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Western Indian Ocean
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Caribbean
 
Climatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central America
Climatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central AmericaClimatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central America
Climatic Impact Drivers (CIDs) relevant to North and Central America
 
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Regional Overview
Regional Climate Information:  Small Islands - Regional OverviewRegional Climate Information:  Small Islands - Regional Overview
Regional Climate Information: Small Islands - Regional Overview
 
Regional synthesis - South America
Regional synthesis - South America Regional synthesis - South America
Regional synthesis - South America
 
Regional Information - Africa
Regional Information - AfricaRegional Information - Africa
Regional Information - Africa
 
Event Attribution
Event AttributionEvent Attribution
Event Attribution
 
Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”
Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”
Key lessons from “A science-based call for financial decision-makers”
 
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!
IPCC Fourth Assessment Report - Climate Change is Real and Here!
 
THEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warming
THEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warmingTHEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warming
THEME – 1 Anticipated dryland expansion in scenarios of global warming
 
Highlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Highlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment ReportHighlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
Highlights of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
 
Climate Change Observations - Regional Perspective
Climate Change Observations - Regional PerspectiveClimate Change Observations - Regional Perspective
Climate Change Observations - Regional Perspective
 

Similar to High latitudes

DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...
DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...
DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...
Deltares
 
IPCC AR6 August 2021 report review
IPCC AR6 August 2021 report reviewIPCC AR6 August 2021 report review
IPCC AR6 August 2021 report review
Marie-Paule Odini
 
Jean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKI
Jean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKIJean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKI
Jean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKI
British Embassy Paris
 
Climate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenarios
Climate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenariosClimate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenarios
Climate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenarios
McGuinness Institute
 
Observed and Projected Climate Changes
Observed and Projected Climate ChangesObserved and Projected Climate Changes
Observed and Projected Climate Changes
ipcc-media
 
Copernicus Status
Copernicus Status Copernicus Status
Copernicus Status
The European GNSS Agency (GSA)
 
ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...
ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...
ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...
European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform
 
Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...
Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...
Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...
Iwl Pcu
 
Interactive Atlas
Interactive AtlasInteractive Atlas
Interactive Atlas
ipcc-media
 
Atmosphere and Land System Level Changes
Atmosphere and Land System Level ChangesAtmosphere and Land System Level Changes
Atmosphere and Land System Level Changes
ipcc-media
 
My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...
My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...
My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...
matteodefelice
 
Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...
Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...
Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...
Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS)
 
Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...
Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...
Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...
Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS)
 
Climate change as a global challenge
Climate change as a global challengeClimate change as a global challenge
Climate change as a global challenge
Francois Stepman
 
Students - Introduction to climate change science
Students - Introduction to climate change scienceStudents - Introduction to climate change science
Students - Introduction to climate change science
ipcc-media
 
Invasive species and climate change
Invasive species and climate changeInvasive species and climate change
Invasive species and climate change
Blue BRIDGE
 
Climate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sector
Climate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sectorClimate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sector
Climate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sector
Hans Olav Hygen
 
Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...
Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...
Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...
Global Water Partnership Central and Eastern Europe
 
DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...
DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...
DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...
Deltares
 
Towards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring system
Towards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring systemTowards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring system
Towards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring system
Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS)
 

Similar to High latitudes (20)

DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...
DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...
DSD-INT 2021 Keynote - The IPCC AR6 assessment - What’s in it for FEWS - van ...
 
IPCC AR6 August 2021 report review
IPCC AR6 August 2021 report reviewIPCC AR6 August 2021 report review
IPCC AR6 August 2021 report review
 
Jean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKI
Jean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKIJean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKI
Jean Jouzel, former vice-chair of IPCC WKI
 
Climate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenarios
Climate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenariosClimate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenarios
Climate Change Reporting: How to prepare and report climate scenarios
 
Observed and Projected Climate Changes
Observed and Projected Climate ChangesObserved and Projected Climate Changes
Observed and Projected Climate Changes
 
Copernicus Status
Copernicus Status Copernicus Status
Copernicus Status
 
ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...
ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...
ESPC3 - Petteri Taalas - Secretary general World Meteorological Organization ...
 
Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...
Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...
Source Apportionment of Nitrogen and Phosphorous Inputs into the Aquatic Envi...
 
Interactive Atlas
Interactive AtlasInteractive Atlas
Interactive Atlas
 
Atmosphere and Land System Level Changes
Atmosphere and Land System Level ChangesAtmosphere and Land System Level Changes
Atmosphere and Land System Level Changes
 
My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...
My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...
My presentation at ICEM 2017: From data mining to information extraction: usi...
 
Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...
Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...
Aki, Tsuruta: Spatial and temporal distribution of European CH₄ emissions fro...
 
Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...
Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...
Watson, Andrew: Substantially larger estimates of global ocean-atmosphere flu...
 
Climate change as a global challenge
Climate change as a global challengeClimate change as a global challenge
Climate change as a global challenge
 
Students - Introduction to climate change science
Students - Introduction to climate change scienceStudents - Introduction to climate change science
Students - Introduction to climate change science
 
Invasive species and climate change
Invasive species and climate changeInvasive species and climate change
Invasive species and climate change
 
Climate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sector
Climate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sectorClimate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sector
Climate adaptation - A wake up call for the utilities sector
 
Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...
Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...
Drought Management Centre for Southeastern Europe by Gregor Gregoric, Sloveni...
 
DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...
DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...
DSD-INT 2019 Understanding impact of extreme sea levels under climate change ...
 
Towards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring system
Towards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring systemTowards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring system
Towards an anthropogenic CO2 emissions monitoring system
 

More from ipcc-media

IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...
IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...
IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...
ipcc-media
 
Slide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian Parliamentarians
Slide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian ParliamentariansSlide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian Parliamentarians
Slide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian Parliamentarians
ipcc-media
 
SRCCL Report
SRCCL ReportSRCCL Report
SRCCL Report
ipcc-media
 
Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7
Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7
Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7
ipcc-media
 
Agriculture and Food
Agriculture and FoodAgriculture and Food
Agriculture and Food
ipcc-media
 
Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...
Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...
Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...
ipcc-media
 
Assessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIII
Assessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIIIAssessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIII
Assessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIII
ipcc-media
 
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
ipcc-media
 
IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)
IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)
IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)
ipcc-media
 
IPCC TFI work on Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)
IPCC TFI work on  Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)IPCC TFI work on  Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)
IPCC TFI work on Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)
ipcc-media
 
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offsAdaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offs
ipcc-media
 
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Tradeoffs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and TradeoffsAdaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Tradeoffs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Tradeoffs
ipcc-media
 
Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...
Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...
Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...
ipcc-media
 
Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...
Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...
Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...
ipcc-media
 
IPCC Inventory Software: Waste Sector
IPCC Inventory Software: Waste SectorIPCC Inventory Software: Waste Sector
IPCC Inventory Software: Waste Sector
ipcc-media
 
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
ipcc-media
 
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...
ipcc-media
 
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
ipcc-media
 
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshootCarbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
ipcc-media
 
The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7
The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7
The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7
ipcc-media
 

More from ipcc-media (20)

IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...
IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...
IPCC Vice Chair Ladislaus Change Central Asia Climate Change Conference 27 Ma...
 
Slide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian Parliamentarians
Slide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian ParliamentariansSlide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian Parliamentarians
Slide deck for the IPCC Briefing to Latvian Parliamentarians
 
SRCCL Report
SRCCL ReportSRCCL Report
SRCCL Report
 
Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7
Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7
Food, agriculture, land, and water: Insights from AR6 and knowledge gaps for AR7
 
Agriculture and Food
Agriculture and FoodAgriculture and Food
Agriculture and Food
 
Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...
Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...
Climate change, food, agriculture , land and A guide to findings in the IPCC’...
 
Assessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIII
Assessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIIIAssessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIII
Assessing the land sector potential in IPCC AR6 WGIII
 
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
 
IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)
IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)
IPCC Emission Factor Database (EFDB)
 
IPCC TFI work on Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)
IPCC TFI work on  Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)IPCC TFI work on  Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)
IPCC TFI work on Methodology Report on Short-lived Climate Forcers (SLCFs)
 
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offsAdaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Trade-offs
 
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Tradeoffs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and TradeoffsAdaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Tradeoffs
Adaptation-Mitigation Synergies and Tradeoffs
 
Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...
Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...
Lessons learned and impacts of enhancing participation of young scientists in...
 
Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...
Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...
Opportunities for Early Career Scientists to Contribute to IPCC work & the IP...
 
IPCC Inventory Software: Waste Sector
IPCC Inventory Software: Waste SectorIPCC Inventory Software: Waste Sector
IPCC Inventory Software: Waste Sector
 
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
 
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and the UNFCCC ETF Repor...
 
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
Overview of the IPCC Inventory Software for National Greenhouse Gas Inventori...
 
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshootCarbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
 
The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7
The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7
The road ahead for the IPCC Special Report on Climate Change and Cities in AR7
 

Recently uploaded

BASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENT
BASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENTBASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENT
BASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENT
AmitKumar619042
 
学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样
学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样
学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样
ehfyqtu
 
Republic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdf
Republic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdfRepublic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdf
Republic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdf
Abraham Lebeza
 
PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS ( food technology)
PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS  ( food technology)PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS  ( food technology)
PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS ( food technology)
Addu25809
 
Formulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggay
Formulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggayFormulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggay
Formulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggay
Open Access Research Paper
 
Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...
Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...
Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...
Joshua Orris
 
REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...
REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...
REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...
pareeksulkash
 
Monitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation data
Monitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation dataMonitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation data
Monitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation data
Spatial Genetics
 
Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...
Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...
Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...
Joshua Orris
 
按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理
按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理
按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理
xeexm
 
Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...
Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...
Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...
Open Access Research Paper
 
Call Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls Dehradun
Call Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls DehradunCall Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls Dehradun
Call Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls Dehradun
teenagarg #v08
 
原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样
原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样
原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样
astuz
 
SOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptx
SOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptxSOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptx
SOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptx
anmolbansal1969
 
快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样
快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样
快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样
astuz
 
Chapter two introduction to soil genesis.ppt
Chapter two introduction to soil genesis.pptChapter two introduction to soil genesis.ppt
Chapter two introduction to soil genesis.ppt
ketema51ak
 
Download the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.com
Download the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.comDownload the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.com
Download the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.com
Narendra Jayas
 
Mass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptx
Mass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptxMass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptx
Mass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptx
SwastikBhattacharjya
 
Biomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener Future
Biomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener FutureBiomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener Future
Biomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener Future
Dr. P.B.Dharmasena
 
A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...
A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...
A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...
Aussie Hydro-Vac Services
 

Recently uploaded (20)

BASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENT
BASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENTBASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENT
BASIC CONCEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND DIFFERENT CONSTITUTENET OF ENVIRONMENT
 
学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样
学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样
学校原版(unuk学位证书)英国牛津布鲁克斯大学毕业证硕士文凭原版一模一样
 
Republic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdf
Republic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdfRepublic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdf
Republic of Ethiopia EPA (2003) Ambient Environment Standards for Ethiopia.pdf
 
PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS ( food technology)
PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS  ( food technology)PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS  ( food technology)
PACKAGING OF FROZEN FOODS ( food technology)
 
Formulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggay
Formulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggayFormulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggay
Formulation of aramang baked products enriched with malunggay
 
Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...
Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...
Optimizing Post Remediation Groundwater Performance with Enhanced Microbiolog...
 
REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...
REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...
REPORT-PRESENTATION BY CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN NICOBAR ADMINISTRATION IN OA ...
 
Monitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation data
Monitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation dataMonitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation data
Monitor indicators of genetic diversity from space using Earth Observation data
 
Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...
Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...
Evolving Lifecycles with High Resolution Site Characterization (HRSC) and 3-D...
 
按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理
按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理
按照学校原版(UAL文凭证书)伦敦艺术大学毕业证快速办理
 
Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...
Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...
Kinetic studies on malachite green dye adsorption from aqueous solutions by A...
 
Call Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls Dehradun
Call Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls DehradunCall Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls Dehradun
Call Girls Dehradun +91-8094342248 Vip Call Girls Dehradun
 
原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样
原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样
原版制作(UPSaclay毕业证书)巴黎萨克雷大学毕业证PDF成绩单一模一样
 
SOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptx
SOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptxSOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptx
SOIL AND ITS FORMATION bjbhjbhvhvhjvhj .pptx
 
快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样
快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样
快速办理(Calabria毕业证书)卡拉布里亚大学毕业证在读证明一模一样
 
Chapter two introduction to soil genesis.ppt
Chapter two introduction to soil genesis.pptChapter two introduction to soil genesis.ppt
Chapter two introduction to soil genesis.ppt
 
Download the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.com
Download the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.comDownload the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.com
Download the Latest OSHA 10 Answers PDF : oyetrade.com
 
Mass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptx
Mass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptxMass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptx
Mass Production of Trichogramma sp..pptx
 
Biomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener Future
Biomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener FutureBiomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener Future
Biomimicry in agriculture: Nature-Inspired Solutions for a Greener Future
 
A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...
A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...
A Comprehensive Guide on Cable Location Services Detections Method, Tools, an...
 

High latitudes

  • 1. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis 9 August 2021 #ClimateReport #IPCC #IPCCAtlas SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis Sub-regional climate: Northern Europe Irina Gorodetskaya, Erika Coppola, Maialen Iturbide, Robert Vautard, Christophe Cassou,Svitlana Krakovska, Bart van den Hurk, José Manuel Gutiérrez
  • 2. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis Regional Synthesis
  • 3. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis • There is medium confidence that annual mean precipitation in Northern Europe, West and Central Europe and Eastern Europe has increased since the early 20th century and high confidence for increase in extreme precipitation Observed trends in Northern Europe (NEU): Total precipitation – Trend [mm/day per decade] 1961-2015 (observations) E-OBS Europe - Annual Significant increase in annual total precipitation in NEU, especially northern British Isles and Scandinavia Figure source: https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch/ E-OBS data set: gridded precipitation based on station observations in Europe 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 mm/day per decade
  • 4. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis • Already observed intensification of heavy precipitation (Sun et al 2020) with a robust evidence of human attribution (Paik et al 2020) Stations showing trends in heavy precipitation (annual maxima in 1 day precipitation, Rx1day) during 1950-2018: Significant increase in heavy precipitaiton at the majority of the NEU stations Figure source: Sun et al., 2020 “A Global, Continental, and Regional Analysis of Changes in Extreme Precipitation”, Journal of Climate, 34(1), 243-258. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0892.1 Observed trends in Northern Europe (NEU):
  • 5. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis Future projections for Northern Europe (NEU): • Enhanced local warming even at relatively low global warming levels, particularly towards the north in winter • Mean precipitation increases by 4% per ºC of global warming in NEU in DJF Figure: Atlas. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/
  • 6. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis • Projected increase in extreme precipitation and pluvial flooding in NEU at global warming levels exceeding 1.5°C “The projected increase in the intensity of extreme precipitation translates to an increase in the frequency and magnitude of pluvial floods – surface water and flash floods – (high confidence), as pluvial flooding results from precipitation intensity exceeding the capacity of natural and artificial drainage systems.” (Chapter 11, IPCC AR6 WG1) Future projections for Northern Europe (NEU):
  • 7. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis Maximum 1-day precipitation (Rx1day) – Change, %, projected for different warming levels relative to 1981-2010 1.5ºC GWL 2ºC GWL 3ºC GWL 4ºC GWL Figure source: https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch/ (CORDEX-Europe annual (38 models)
  • 8. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis Maximum 1-day precipitation (Rx1day) – Change (%) projected for different scenarios relative to 1981-2010 Mean for Northern Europe (NEU) RCP2.1 RCP4.5 RCP8.5 0 20 40 0 15 40 20 60 0 Today 2050 2080 • By 2080: increase in maximum 1-day precipitation depends strongly on the scenario: RCP2.1: up to 15% RCP4.5: up to 20% RCP8.5: up to 40% Figure source: https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch/ (CORDEX-Europe annual (21 models)
  • 9. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis • Regional warming is virtually certain to extend the observed downward trends in snow accumulation, snow water equivalent and length of the snow cover season in NEU and low altitudes in mountainous areas in the Alps and Pyrenees (high confidence). • Most periglacial processes in NEU are projected to disappear by the end of the 21st century, even for a low warming scenario (medium confidence) • A reduction of glacier ice volume is projected in the European Alps and Scandinavia with high confidence Future projections for Northern Europe (NEU): Figure: Mankin, J.S., Diffenbaugh, N.S. Influence of temperature and precipitation variability on near-term snow trends. Clim Dyn (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2357-4 Projected trends (% per 50 yers), 2000-2060
  • 10. SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis 9 August 2021 #ClimateReport #IPCC SIXTH ASSESSMENT REPORT Working Group I – The Physical Science Basis @IPCC @IPCC_CH linkedin.com/company/ipcc IPCC: www.ipcc.ch Interactive Atlas: interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch Follow Us: