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MYANMAR
future HUB for South East Asia Power Beltway

Harry Dhaul
Director General, IPPAI

Myanmar Electric Power Convention 2013
16 -18 Oct 2013, Yangon, Myanmar
UI mechanism & Indian Power Market
Northern Regional Load Despatch
Center - POSOCO
http://nrldc.org

Indian Energy Exchange – Power
Market of India
http://www.iexindia.com

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Proposed South Asia Grid And Beyond

with Myanmar as the Hub of the South East Asia Grid

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Cross Border Power Trade - Asian Developments
Pakistan to import 1,300MW power from Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan
The News, Islamabad, September 17, 2013

Nawaz approves electricity import from India
Pakistan Today, Islamabad, Sep 22, 2013

Advisory group moots a National Power Beltway

NPB would enable a nationwide plug-and-play flexibility to generators and consumers
(Business Standard, Mumbai, May 30, 2013)

Bangladesh begins import of power from India
The Hindu, Dhaka, September 27, 2013

Thailand and China to build wind farms in Myanmar
Asian Power, Thailand, October 2, 2013

Thailand Plans to Buy More Electricity From Myanmar
Bernama, Bangkok, October 8, 2013

Tata Power to set up coal fired plant in Myanmar
Business Line, New Delhi, October 7, 2013

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Co-operation for Energy Security of South Asia
 Rapid economic development of South Asian countries not possible without
abundant, affordable power.
 It is Cost effective for countries to trade power through a common power pool
(e.g. Canada – US power trade, Existing Nord Pool, South African Power
Pool, Upcoming West African and East African Power Pools).
 Nations have different energy resources
and different load patterns.
 Required:

Fostering

energy

security

partnerships and co-operation through
pan Asian power pool.

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Cross Border Power Trade : Options
 Bulk power - long, medium and short term
 Meeting daily and/or seasonal peaking
especially when these are non coincidental
 Ancillary services
 Emergency support


Cross-country and crossregional transfers where
transit countries benefit from
wheeling charges.



Sharing electricity storage
reserves.

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI

requirements,
Cross Border Power Trade: Potential
Tajikistan

Per Capita Electricity
Generation (2011)
kwh/annum
2,111

Afghanistan

10

10.2

Winter

Oil, Natural Gas, Coal

Pakistan

600

3.7

Summer, Winter

Gas , Lignite, Hydro

India

700

6.6

Summer, Winter

Coal

Bhutan
Nepal

764
100

9.7
4.6

Winter
Winter

Hydro
Hydro

Sri Lanka

500

6.4

Summer

Biomass, wind

Bangladesh

200

6.1

Summer

Gas, Coal

Myanmar

116

6.3

Summer

Hydro

China

2,582

7.8

Summer, Winter

Coal, Hydro, Gas

Thailand

2,221

 6.4

Summer

Natural Gas

Malaysia

3,700

 5.6

Summer

Natural Gas, Coal

Singapore

8,508

 1.3

Summer

Natural Gas

Iran

2,732

-5.4

Summer

Oil and Natural Gas

Country

GDP Growth %
2011

Peak Load

Energy Resources for
Power Generation

7.5

Winter

Coal and Hydro

Source: AF Mercados, Nation Master and Index Mundi.

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Cross Border Power Trade : Benefits
 Optimizing fuel mix to improve energy security and address environmental
concerns.
 Increased access to electricity in importing countries and utilization
generation assets.
 Exploiting
complementarities
and
comparative advantages :
 Primary energy endowments.
 Resource development costs.
 Complementary demand profiles.
 Larger markets – greater certainty for
investors, economies of scale.
 Manage variability of infirm power.
 Fostering cross border competition in
electricity
 Reduced cost of supply for all participants
because it is a large pool

of
South East Asia Power Beltway
Existing & Upcoming Grid Connectivity
 500 KV AC & DC lines from Kyrgyz Republic & Tajikistan to Afghanistan &
Pakistan are in an advanced stage of design and financing. By 2018 1,300 MW
of existing summer-time power surpluses can flow from Central Asia to South
Asia.
 Pakistan – India and Iran - Pakistan connectivity are under implementation.
 India - Bangladesh 500 MW connection is ready.
 Existing Bhutan – India connectivity needs to be expanded.
 Existing connectivity between Nepal - India is being expanded.
 Undersea grid link between Sri Lanka - India is under contemplation.
 400-500 MW Thailand - Malaysia existing connection.
 Malaysia - Singapore have plans for expanding their existing connectivity.
Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Myanmar: Hub for South East Asia Power
Beltway
Recommended Grid Connectivity
 India – Myanmar connectivity is
required.
 Looking at the terrain, best connectivity
could be through Bangladesh or with
Manipur/Mizoram with India.
 Spur line from Myanmar could connect
China to the South Asian Grid.
 Spur lines from the South Asian Grid
could connect Laos to Vietnam and
Thailand to Cambodia.
Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Myanmar: Hub for South East Asia Power
Beltway
Commercial Interest's
 Economic Benefits





Low cost power available for Myanmar to build a sophisticated industrial
and services economy
Cascading benefits of increase in employment, education, health and
sanitation using lower cost electricity

Financial Benefits
 Earnings from






International Investments in





Export of surplus power
Transmission /Wheeling charges
Facilitating Power Transactions
Power Generation
Transmission

Increase in Forex Inflows
Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Myanmar as South Asian hub: Way Ahead
 Regulatory compliance.
 Grid connectivity and transmission charges,
congestion charges.
 Scheduling and coordination.
 Energy accounting and timely settlement.
 Dispute resolution - appropriate authority
for legal recourse and arbitration.
 Role of power exchanges.
 Sovereign
period).

payment

guarantees

(initial

 Promote
competition,
private
sector
participation in cross border power trade.

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Myanmar as South Asian hub: Way Ahead Contd..


Inter-Government Framework for Asian Energy Cooperation may be required.
Transmission planning, capacity addition studies based on load and generation
requirements can follow



Defining role of international investors, public sector/private developers in
construction, maintenance and operation of trans border power lines: Policy framework required for clarifying technical and institutional issues.




Harmonizing regulations for cross border power trade.

Issues in Financing
 Financing projects for development of the South
Asian power grid.


Financial settlement options - escrow, back stop
guarantees from governments.



Managing currency risks.



Setting up an effective payment security mechanism.
Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Indian Power Sector & IPPAI
1910

Private Urban
Licensees
development

1948

Vertically
Integrated
SEBs formed

1992

1995

2003

 Competitive Bidding
Guideline
 Rural Electrification
Policy

IPPs
Development
in Sector

Generation: NTPC (1975), NHPC
(1975), NEEPCO (1976), NPCIL (1987)
Transmission & SO: PGCIL (1989),
Power Trading: PTC (1999),
Financing: REC (1969), PFC (1986),
Planning: CEA (1951 / 1975)
Regulation: CERC (1998)

2006

Electricity Act 2003
Power Trading notified
Open Access
Retail competition
Regional/national
electricity market
Independent system operator
De-licensing of Generation
activity

2008

2009-10

Power
Exchange
Setup
(IEX & PXIL)

POC Charge
in
Transmission

 Connectivity, LTA,
MTOA Regulations
 REC Regulation
(2010)

State Reform Acts
Unbundling
Independent Regulation
Financial restructuring
Institutional development
Distribution efficiency
improvement Planning
Privatization

IPPAI’s active involvement in the sector
Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI

> 2011
About IPPAI:
 An independent body that provides a neutral platform for the discussion and
examination of issues critical to the development of the private power sector

Our Focus:
 IPPAI’s initiatives are focused on policy, strategic, financial, legal, regulatory and
technical issues in the power, oil & gas and allied sectors

Our Credentials’:
 IPPAI has, on its advisory committee, a number of experts from diverse fields
with a unique knowledge base and decades of experience in the Indian energy
sector. IPPAI interacts with Indian and International Organizations
 i.e. Ministries of Power, Petroleum, Finance, the Planning Commission, state
governments and trade associations

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
Energy Independence is not Energy Security…..

Contact us:
Ms. Nayyara Houssian
Independent Power Producers Association of
India (IPPAI)
Shubhanchal Hostel Building,Near Vikas Sadan,
INA Colony,New Delhi - 110023Tel: +91-11-495
56600Fax: +91-11-495 56677Email:

nayyara@ippaimail.org

Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI

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Harry Dhaul, Director General, IPPAI

  • 1. MYANMAR future HUB for South East Asia Power Beltway Harry Dhaul Director General, IPPAI Myanmar Electric Power Convention 2013 16 -18 Oct 2013, Yangon, Myanmar
  • 2. UI mechanism & Indian Power Market Northern Regional Load Despatch Center - POSOCO http://nrldc.org Indian Energy Exchange – Power Market of India http://www.iexindia.com Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 3. Proposed South Asia Grid And Beyond with Myanmar as the Hub of the South East Asia Grid Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 4. Cross Border Power Trade - Asian Developments Pakistan to import 1,300MW power from Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan The News, Islamabad, September 17, 2013 Nawaz approves electricity import from India Pakistan Today, Islamabad, Sep 22, 2013 Advisory group moots a National Power Beltway NPB would enable a nationwide plug-and-play flexibility to generators and consumers (Business Standard, Mumbai, May 30, 2013) Bangladesh begins import of power from India The Hindu, Dhaka, September 27, 2013 Thailand and China to build wind farms in Myanmar Asian Power, Thailand, October 2, 2013 Thailand Plans to Buy More Electricity From Myanmar Bernama, Bangkok, October 8, 2013 Tata Power to set up coal fired plant in Myanmar Business Line, New Delhi, October 7, 2013 Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 5. Co-operation for Energy Security of South Asia  Rapid economic development of South Asian countries not possible without abundant, affordable power.  It is Cost effective for countries to trade power through a common power pool (e.g. Canada – US power trade, Existing Nord Pool, South African Power Pool, Upcoming West African and East African Power Pools).  Nations have different energy resources and different load patterns.  Required: Fostering energy security partnerships and co-operation through pan Asian power pool. Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 6. Cross Border Power Trade : Options  Bulk power - long, medium and short term  Meeting daily and/or seasonal peaking especially when these are non coincidental  Ancillary services  Emergency support  Cross-country and crossregional transfers where transit countries benefit from wheeling charges.  Sharing electricity storage reserves. Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI requirements,
  • 7. Cross Border Power Trade: Potential Tajikistan Per Capita Electricity Generation (2011) kwh/annum 2,111 Afghanistan 10 10.2 Winter Oil, Natural Gas, Coal Pakistan 600 3.7 Summer, Winter Gas , Lignite, Hydro India 700 6.6 Summer, Winter Coal Bhutan Nepal 764 100 9.7 4.6 Winter Winter Hydro Hydro Sri Lanka 500 6.4 Summer Biomass, wind Bangladesh 200 6.1 Summer Gas, Coal Myanmar 116 6.3 Summer Hydro China 2,582 7.8 Summer, Winter Coal, Hydro, Gas Thailand 2,221  6.4 Summer Natural Gas Malaysia 3,700  5.6 Summer Natural Gas, Coal Singapore 8,508  1.3 Summer Natural Gas Iran 2,732 -5.4 Summer Oil and Natural Gas Country GDP Growth % 2011 Peak Load Energy Resources for Power Generation 7.5 Winter Coal and Hydro Source: AF Mercados, Nation Master and Index Mundi. Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 8. Cross Border Power Trade : Benefits  Optimizing fuel mix to improve energy security and address environmental concerns.  Increased access to electricity in importing countries and utilization generation assets.  Exploiting complementarities and comparative advantages :  Primary energy endowments.  Resource development costs.  Complementary demand profiles.  Larger markets – greater certainty for investors, economies of scale.  Manage variability of infirm power.  Fostering cross border competition in electricity  Reduced cost of supply for all participants because it is a large pool of
  • 9. South East Asia Power Beltway Existing & Upcoming Grid Connectivity  500 KV AC & DC lines from Kyrgyz Republic & Tajikistan to Afghanistan & Pakistan are in an advanced stage of design and financing. By 2018 1,300 MW of existing summer-time power surpluses can flow from Central Asia to South Asia.  Pakistan – India and Iran - Pakistan connectivity are under implementation.  India - Bangladesh 500 MW connection is ready.  Existing Bhutan – India connectivity needs to be expanded.  Existing connectivity between Nepal - India is being expanded.  Undersea grid link between Sri Lanka - India is under contemplation.  400-500 MW Thailand - Malaysia existing connection.  Malaysia - Singapore have plans for expanding their existing connectivity. Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 10. Myanmar: Hub for South East Asia Power Beltway Recommended Grid Connectivity  India – Myanmar connectivity is required.  Looking at the terrain, best connectivity could be through Bangladesh or with Manipur/Mizoram with India.  Spur line from Myanmar could connect China to the South Asian Grid.  Spur lines from the South Asian Grid could connect Laos to Vietnam and Thailand to Cambodia. Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 11. Myanmar: Hub for South East Asia Power Beltway Commercial Interest's  Economic Benefits    Low cost power available for Myanmar to build a sophisticated industrial and services economy Cascading benefits of increase in employment, education, health and sanitation using lower cost electricity Financial Benefits  Earnings from     International Investments in    Export of surplus power Transmission /Wheeling charges Facilitating Power Transactions Power Generation Transmission Increase in Forex Inflows Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 12. Myanmar as South Asian hub: Way Ahead  Regulatory compliance.  Grid connectivity and transmission charges, congestion charges.  Scheduling and coordination.  Energy accounting and timely settlement.  Dispute resolution - appropriate authority for legal recourse and arbitration.  Role of power exchanges.  Sovereign period). payment guarantees (initial  Promote competition, private sector participation in cross border power trade. Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 13. Myanmar as South Asian hub: Way Ahead Contd..  Inter-Government Framework for Asian Energy Cooperation may be required. Transmission planning, capacity addition studies based on load and generation requirements can follow  Defining role of international investors, public sector/private developers in construction, maintenance and operation of trans border power lines: Policy framework required for clarifying technical and institutional issues.   Harmonizing regulations for cross border power trade. Issues in Financing  Financing projects for development of the South Asian power grid.  Financial settlement options - escrow, back stop guarantees from governments.  Managing currency risks.  Setting up an effective payment security mechanism. Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 14. Indian Power Sector & IPPAI 1910 Private Urban Licensees development 1948 Vertically Integrated SEBs formed 1992 1995 2003  Competitive Bidding Guideline  Rural Electrification Policy IPPs Development in Sector Generation: NTPC (1975), NHPC (1975), NEEPCO (1976), NPCIL (1987) Transmission & SO: PGCIL (1989), Power Trading: PTC (1999), Financing: REC (1969), PFC (1986), Planning: CEA (1951 / 1975) Regulation: CERC (1998) 2006 Electricity Act 2003 Power Trading notified Open Access Retail competition Regional/national electricity market Independent system operator De-licensing of Generation activity 2008 2009-10 Power Exchange Setup (IEX & PXIL) POC Charge in Transmission  Connectivity, LTA, MTOA Regulations  REC Regulation (2010) State Reform Acts Unbundling Independent Regulation Financial restructuring Institutional development Distribution efficiency improvement Planning Privatization IPPAI’s active involvement in the sector Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI > 2011
  • 15. About IPPAI:  An independent body that provides a neutral platform for the discussion and examination of issues critical to the development of the private power sector Our Focus:  IPPAI’s initiatives are focused on policy, strategic, financial, legal, regulatory and technical issues in the power, oil & gas and allied sectors Our Credentials’:  IPPAI has, on its advisory committee, a number of experts from diverse fields with a unique knowledge base and decades of experience in the Indian energy sector. IPPAI interacts with Indian and International Organizations  i.e. Ministries of Power, Petroleum, Finance, the Planning Commission, state governments and trade associations Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI
  • 16. Energy Independence is not Energy Security….. Contact us: Ms. Nayyara Houssian Independent Power Producers Association of India (IPPAI) Shubhanchal Hostel Building,Near Vikas Sadan, INA Colony,New Delhi - 110023Tel: +91-11-495 56600Fax: +91-11-495 56677Email: nayyara@ippaimail.org Harry Dhaul - Director General, IPPAI

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2013/09/22/news/national/nawaz-approves-electricity-import-from-india/ http://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/bangladesh-begins-import-of-power-from-india/article5176272.ece http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-05-28/news/39580005_1_transmission-project-power-grid-corporation-turnkey http://www.thenews.com.pk/Todays-News-13-25514-Pakistan-to-import-1300MW-power-from-Kyrgyzstan-Tajikistan http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/advisory-group-moots-a-national-power-beltway-113052900855_1.html http://www.asianewsnet.net/news-46519.html http://asian-power.com/project/news/thailand-and-china-build-wind-farms-in-myanmar http://www.bernama.com.my/bernama/v7/wn/newsworld.php?id=984085 http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/companies/tata-power-to-set-up-coalfired-plant-in-myanmar/article5210777.ece Laos plans to produce 12,500 MW electricity by 2020Thailand has agreed to purchase up to 7,000MW of electricity from Laos by 2020. Asia News Network, May 9, 2013
  2. Peak Demand Supply Gap Source: AF Mercados Singapore data: http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/ene_ele_pro_percap-energy-electricity-production-per-capita Per capita : http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=ti&v=79 http://meih.st.gov.my/statistics http://asian-power.com/power-utility/in-focus/malaysia-boost-coal-fired-power-generation GDP : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_real_GDP_growth_rate Iran - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_Iran