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Communications
Summer 2016
	
  
THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE
	
  
1
The Opportunities and Risks of
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine and
Healthcare
Dr. Sobia Hamid, The Babraham Institute, University of Cambridge
	
  
	
  
rtificial Intelligence (AI) is
increasingly being applied in
healthcare and medicine, with the
greatest impact being achieved thus far in
medical imaging. These are technologies
that are capable of performing a task that
usually requires human perception and
judgement, which can make them
controversial in a healthcare setting. In this
article we will explore some of the
opportunities and risks in using AI in
healthcare, as well as policy
recommendations for improving their use
and acceptance.
Opportunities
New AI technologies can identify subtle
signs of disease in medical images faster
and more accurately than humans. One
example is the deep learning algorithm
developed by Enlitic, Picture Archiving and
Communications (PAC), which detects signs
of disease in medical imaging modalities
including MRI, CT scans, ultrasound and x-
rays. PAC contextualizes the imaging data
by comparing it to large datasets of past
images, and by analysing ancillary clinical
data, including clinical reports and
laboratory studies. As a result, Enlitic claims
doctors may be able to achieve 50-70%
more accurate results with PAC compared to
human radiologists working alone, and at
50,000 times faster speed.
Another key area of medicine where AI is
impacting is in clinical decision-making, in
particular disease diagnosis. These AI
technologies can ingest, analyse and report
on large volumes of data, across different
modalities, to detect disease and guide
clinical decisions. For example, Lumiata’s
graph-based analytics and risk prediction
system has reportedly “ingested more than
160 million data points from textbooks,
journal articles, public data sets and other
places in order to build graph
representations of how illnesses and
patients are connected.”
2
This new
knowledge can help in understanding the
multifactorial basis of disease and guide the
development of new treatments.
Big data also has a role to play.
Complementary technologies such as ‘smart
wearables’ have the potential to increase the
power of medical AI through the provision of
large volumes of diverse health-relevant
data, collected directly from the user. The
combined impact of these technologies will
help us to move closer towards achieving
‘precision medicine’, an emerging approach
to disease treatment and prevention that
takes into account individual variability in
genes, environment, and lifestyle.
The combined impact of these
technologies will help us to move
closer towards achieving ‘precision
medicine,’ an emerging approach to
disease treatment and prevention.
Hospitals, doctors and nurses are
overworked and cost and time efficiencies
are always being sought. Automating
elements of medical practice means
A
Communications
Summer 2016
	
  
THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE
	
  
2
clinicians will increasingly have more time
to spend with the patient on those tasks
where human-delivered care is key. Focus
will transition to working on more complex
cases, clinical interpretation, and patient
communication. These areas can also
benefit from AI input, and together should
help the medical and technology community
to address a greater number of medical
needs and overall improve the delivery of
healthcare.
Risks
While we can look forward to the benefits of
AI to improve healthcare, the adoption of
these technologies is not without
considerable potential risks. The clinical
setting, healthcare provision and patient
data necessitate the highest level of
accuracy, reliability, security and privacy.
Consistent accuracy is important to
preserve trust in the technology, but AI is
still in its infancy. Whilst AI systems may
have been trained on comprehensive
datasets, in the clinical setting they may
encounter data and scenarios that they have
not been trained on, potentially making them
less accurate and reliable and therefore
putting at risk patient safety. As
aforementioned, medical AI systems may
work with consumer-facing smart
wearables, and use the data they generate.
A recent study showed that the heart rate
readings provided by one of the most
popular smart wearables, the Fitbit
PurePulse Trackers, “do not provide a valid
measure of the users’ heart rate and cannot
be used to provide a meaningful estimate of
a user’s heart rate”, and in fact differed
from ECG readings by an average of 20
bpm.
5
The data collected by these devices is also
sensitive and needs to be safeguarded with
the highest security standards. A study
6
showed that 20 out of the 43 fitness apps
analysed included high-risk data, such as
address, financial information, full name,
health information, location and date of
birth. If we work from the premise that all
personal data can be identifiable, then it is
critical that all data used in a medical setting
is safeguarded. Given that there is an
important distinction between clinical and
non-clinical use, and the fact that data from
non-clinical smart wearables may feed into
clinical AI systems, it will be necessary to
identify where clinical-level accuracy and
reliability needs to be implemented.
Both accuracy and security are required to
foster trust in these new technologies. A
lack of trust in AI systems may significantly
impinge adoption of technologies that may
otherwise offer significant improvements in
patient outcomes. Trust can be gained
through greater transparency in how results
are achieved. For instance, how the AI
system came to a recommendation that the
patient should have a mastectomy. Currently
this is a technological issue that the
technical community is addressing, and so
solutions should come henceforth.
Addressing the risks posed by medical AI is
important as technological development and
implementation ramp up growth. Industry
estimates predict that by 2018, 50 percent
of the more than 3.4 billion smartphone and
tablet users will have downloaded mobile
health apps
7
.
Encouraging the Rapid, Ethical,
and Responsible Growth of
Medical AI
The accuracy, reliability, security and
clinical use of medical AI technologies would
need to be ensured through a combination of
standards and regulation. Existing
regulatory frameworks would need to
develop to address medical AI technologies,
which have their own ethical problems to
Communications
Summer 2016
	
  
THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE
	
  
3
contend with. Artificial intelligence
programs may be able to learn and alter
their recommendations in ways not intended
or foreseen by their creators. That, and the
diversity of development approaches across
the planet,
8
poses challenges for current
regulatory frameworks that would therefore
need to evolve to define guidelines and best
practice.
The development of standards for data
collection and testing of medical AI
technologies should be a community-driven
effort, led by clinicians, industry, academia
and stakeholders. Dedicated research and
open-source development addressing the
key issues would facilitate the growth of
medical AI. A comparable undertaking can
be found in the related field of genomic
medicine. The Global Alliance for Genomics
and Health brings together over 375 leading
institutions working in healthcare, research,
disease advocacy, life science, and
information technology, to provide
recommendations and solutions to mitigate
the risks associated with the accumulation
of large datasets of medical and genetic
information.
As the role of the clinician will evolve,
medical education will need to focus
more on complex disease scenarios,
and developing skillsets to navigate,
understand, and communicate the
myriad of data that may be called upon
for a given medical scenario.
This is very feasible. A ‘Global Alliance for
Artificial Intelligence in Health’ could
collaborate with the planned NHS ‘test bed’
sites, real world sites for ‘combinatorial’
innovations that integrate new technologies,
new staffing models and payment-for-
outcomes
9
. The NHS ‘test beds’, which are
planned over the next 5 years, would
facilitate the implementation of AI
technologies within clinical settings.
Furthermore, putting in place a mechanism
to inform the relevant national and
international public bodies about the results
and outcomes is also important.
Medical education would also need to
expand to better include new technology.
Today’s educational curriculum
encompasses minimal teaching of
technologies that medical practitioners will
use, or come into contact with in their
profession. For AI systems to be fully
appreciated and implemented as they are
intended within clinical practice, there would
need to be dedicated training in
understanding and working with these new
technologies, which will even take on
certain clinical tasks with complete
autonomy, such as diagnosis and surgery.
Furthermore, as the role of the clinician will
evolve, medical education will need to focus
more on complex disease scenarios, and
developing skillsets to navigate, understand
and communicate the myriad of data that
may be called upon for a given medical
scenario. In order to equip medical students
to meet these demands, medical education
will need to be more holistic to incorporate
understanding of the technologies and the
results they generate.
Finally, healthcare IT systems today can be
fragmented and cumbersome to work with,
presenting challenges for implementation of
new technologies. Interoperability and IT
procurement would need to evolve to meet
the growing need for advanced technologies
in clinical practice, and would need to
ensure that the data and outcomes are
integrated seamlessly into an end-to-end
care pathway.
Conclusion
If policymakers, hospitals and universities
consider these policy issues, we would be in
a better place to take advantages of AI’s
Communications
Summer 2016
	
  
THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE
	
  
4
opportunities for healthcare. Without them,
the risks of poor accuracy, security and
understanding may cause untold problems.
With such a controversial technology such
as artificial intelligence, it is imperative that
policymakers make decisions while the
technology is still young, before they are
forced to make policy reactively.
References
[1] Russell, S. J., Norvig, P. and Davis, E. (2009) Artificial
intelligence: A modern approach
[2] Harris, D. (2014) How Lumiata wants to scale medicine
with machine learning and APIs
[3] Health, I. (2015) IMS institute on the App store
[4] Hood, W. (2015) A report on how doctors engage with
digital technology in the workplace
[5] Jo, E., Dolezal B.A. (2016) Validation of the Fitbit®
SurgeTM and Charge HRTM Fitness Trackers
[6] Fact sheet 39: Mobile health and fitness Apps: What
are the privacy risks? (2013)
[7] 500m people will be using healthcare mobile
applications in 2015 (2010)
[8] Danaher, J. (2015) Is Regulation of Artificial
Intelligence Possible?
[9] Timmins, N., COI and NHS (2014) Five Year Forward
View.
[10] Image Credit: http://tinyurl.com/jnhhvhn
About the Author
Dr Sobia Hamid has
been working in the
area of precision
medicine across
academia, venture
capital, biotech and
pharma. Most recently,
she lead the precision
medicine arm of Invoke
Capital, a venture capital firm - supporting
and investing in companies developing
innovative technologies in the area of
machine learning. Sobia completed her PhD
in Epigenetics at the University of
Cambridge, undertaking her research into
genomic imprinting at The Babraham
Institute. In 2011, she founded Data Insights
Cambridge, an 800+ member nonprofit
community of data scientists focussed on
learning and skills exchange.
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

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Hamid_2016-2

  • 1. Communications Summer 2016   THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE   1 The Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Medicine and Healthcare Dr. Sobia Hamid, The Babraham Institute, University of Cambridge     rtificial Intelligence (AI) is increasingly being applied in healthcare and medicine, with the greatest impact being achieved thus far in medical imaging. These are technologies that are capable of performing a task that usually requires human perception and judgement, which can make them controversial in a healthcare setting. In this article we will explore some of the opportunities and risks in using AI in healthcare, as well as policy recommendations for improving their use and acceptance. Opportunities New AI technologies can identify subtle signs of disease in medical images faster and more accurately than humans. One example is the deep learning algorithm developed by Enlitic, Picture Archiving and Communications (PAC), which detects signs of disease in medical imaging modalities including MRI, CT scans, ultrasound and x- rays. PAC contextualizes the imaging data by comparing it to large datasets of past images, and by analysing ancillary clinical data, including clinical reports and laboratory studies. As a result, Enlitic claims doctors may be able to achieve 50-70% more accurate results with PAC compared to human radiologists working alone, and at 50,000 times faster speed. Another key area of medicine where AI is impacting is in clinical decision-making, in particular disease diagnosis. These AI technologies can ingest, analyse and report on large volumes of data, across different modalities, to detect disease and guide clinical decisions. For example, Lumiata’s graph-based analytics and risk prediction system has reportedly “ingested more than 160 million data points from textbooks, journal articles, public data sets and other places in order to build graph representations of how illnesses and patients are connected.” 2 This new knowledge can help in understanding the multifactorial basis of disease and guide the development of new treatments. Big data also has a role to play. Complementary technologies such as ‘smart wearables’ have the potential to increase the power of medical AI through the provision of large volumes of diverse health-relevant data, collected directly from the user. The combined impact of these technologies will help us to move closer towards achieving ‘precision medicine’, an emerging approach to disease treatment and prevention that takes into account individual variability in genes, environment, and lifestyle. The combined impact of these technologies will help us to move closer towards achieving ‘precision medicine,’ an emerging approach to disease treatment and prevention. Hospitals, doctors and nurses are overworked and cost and time efficiencies are always being sought. Automating elements of medical practice means A
  • 2. Communications Summer 2016   THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE   2 clinicians will increasingly have more time to spend with the patient on those tasks where human-delivered care is key. Focus will transition to working on more complex cases, clinical interpretation, and patient communication. These areas can also benefit from AI input, and together should help the medical and technology community to address a greater number of medical needs and overall improve the delivery of healthcare. Risks While we can look forward to the benefits of AI to improve healthcare, the adoption of these technologies is not without considerable potential risks. The clinical setting, healthcare provision and patient data necessitate the highest level of accuracy, reliability, security and privacy. Consistent accuracy is important to preserve trust in the technology, but AI is still in its infancy. Whilst AI systems may have been trained on comprehensive datasets, in the clinical setting they may encounter data and scenarios that they have not been trained on, potentially making them less accurate and reliable and therefore putting at risk patient safety. As aforementioned, medical AI systems may work with consumer-facing smart wearables, and use the data they generate. A recent study showed that the heart rate readings provided by one of the most popular smart wearables, the Fitbit PurePulse Trackers, “do not provide a valid measure of the users’ heart rate and cannot be used to provide a meaningful estimate of a user’s heart rate”, and in fact differed from ECG readings by an average of 20 bpm. 5 The data collected by these devices is also sensitive and needs to be safeguarded with the highest security standards. A study 6 showed that 20 out of the 43 fitness apps analysed included high-risk data, such as address, financial information, full name, health information, location and date of birth. If we work from the premise that all personal data can be identifiable, then it is critical that all data used in a medical setting is safeguarded. Given that there is an important distinction between clinical and non-clinical use, and the fact that data from non-clinical smart wearables may feed into clinical AI systems, it will be necessary to identify where clinical-level accuracy and reliability needs to be implemented. Both accuracy and security are required to foster trust in these new technologies. A lack of trust in AI systems may significantly impinge adoption of technologies that may otherwise offer significant improvements in patient outcomes. Trust can be gained through greater transparency in how results are achieved. For instance, how the AI system came to a recommendation that the patient should have a mastectomy. Currently this is a technological issue that the technical community is addressing, and so solutions should come henceforth. Addressing the risks posed by medical AI is important as technological development and implementation ramp up growth. Industry estimates predict that by 2018, 50 percent of the more than 3.4 billion smartphone and tablet users will have downloaded mobile health apps 7 . Encouraging the Rapid, Ethical, and Responsible Growth of Medical AI The accuracy, reliability, security and clinical use of medical AI technologies would need to be ensured through a combination of standards and regulation. Existing regulatory frameworks would need to develop to address medical AI technologies, which have their own ethical problems to
  • 3. Communications Summer 2016   THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE   3 contend with. Artificial intelligence programs may be able to learn and alter their recommendations in ways not intended or foreseen by their creators. That, and the diversity of development approaches across the planet, 8 poses challenges for current regulatory frameworks that would therefore need to evolve to define guidelines and best practice. The development of standards for data collection and testing of medical AI technologies should be a community-driven effort, led by clinicians, industry, academia and stakeholders. Dedicated research and open-source development addressing the key issues would facilitate the growth of medical AI. A comparable undertaking can be found in the related field of genomic medicine. The Global Alliance for Genomics and Health brings together over 375 leading institutions working in healthcare, research, disease advocacy, life science, and information technology, to provide recommendations and solutions to mitigate the risks associated with the accumulation of large datasets of medical and genetic information. As the role of the clinician will evolve, medical education will need to focus more on complex disease scenarios, and developing skillsets to navigate, understand, and communicate the myriad of data that may be called upon for a given medical scenario. This is very feasible. A ‘Global Alliance for Artificial Intelligence in Health’ could collaborate with the planned NHS ‘test bed’ sites, real world sites for ‘combinatorial’ innovations that integrate new technologies, new staffing models and payment-for- outcomes 9 . The NHS ‘test beds’, which are planned over the next 5 years, would facilitate the implementation of AI technologies within clinical settings. Furthermore, putting in place a mechanism to inform the relevant national and international public bodies about the results and outcomes is also important. Medical education would also need to expand to better include new technology. Today’s educational curriculum encompasses minimal teaching of technologies that medical practitioners will use, or come into contact with in their profession. For AI systems to be fully appreciated and implemented as they are intended within clinical practice, there would need to be dedicated training in understanding and working with these new technologies, which will even take on certain clinical tasks with complete autonomy, such as diagnosis and surgery. Furthermore, as the role of the clinician will evolve, medical education will need to focus more on complex disease scenarios, and developing skillsets to navigate, understand and communicate the myriad of data that may be called upon for a given medical scenario. In order to equip medical students to meet these demands, medical education will need to be more holistic to incorporate understanding of the technologies and the results they generate. Finally, healthcare IT systems today can be fragmented and cumbersome to work with, presenting challenges for implementation of new technologies. Interoperability and IT procurement would need to evolve to meet the growing need for advanced technologies in clinical practice, and would need to ensure that the data and outcomes are integrated seamlessly into an end-to-end care pathway. Conclusion If policymakers, hospitals and universities consider these policy issues, we would be in a better place to take advantages of AI’s
  • 4. Communications Summer 2016   THE OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELIGENCE IN MEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE   4 opportunities for healthcare. Without them, the risks of poor accuracy, security and understanding may cause untold problems. With such a controversial technology such as artificial intelligence, it is imperative that policymakers make decisions while the technology is still young, before they are forced to make policy reactively. References [1] Russell, S. J., Norvig, P. and Davis, E. (2009) Artificial intelligence: A modern approach [2] Harris, D. (2014) How Lumiata wants to scale medicine with machine learning and APIs [3] Health, I. (2015) IMS institute on the App store [4] Hood, W. (2015) A report on how doctors engage with digital technology in the workplace [5] Jo, E., Dolezal B.A. (2016) Validation of the Fitbit® SurgeTM and Charge HRTM Fitness Trackers [6] Fact sheet 39: Mobile health and fitness Apps: What are the privacy risks? (2013) [7] 500m people will be using healthcare mobile applications in 2015 (2010) [8] Danaher, J. (2015) Is Regulation of Artificial Intelligence Possible? [9] Timmins, N., COI and NHS (2014) Five Year Forward View. [10] Image Credit: http://tinyurl.com/jnhhvhn About the Author Dr Sobia Hamid has been working in the area of precision medicine across academia, venture capital, biotech and pharma. Most recently, she lead the precision medicine arm of Invoke Capital, a venture capital firm - supporting and investing in companies developing innovative technologies in the area of machine learning. Sobia completed her PhD in Epigenetics at the University of Cambridge, undertaking her research into genomic imprinting at The Babraham Institute. In 2011, she founded Data Insights Cambridge, an 800+ member nonprofit community of data scientists focussed on learning and skills exchange.