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Current Financial Health of Michigan Agriculture from a Lender’s Perspective Dave Armstrong– CEO
Remarks Overview of GreenStone Payment Delinquencies Credit Quality Provisions for Loan Losses Foreclosures GreenStone Key Business Measures 08 vs.09 Financial Outlook Credit Availability Loan Pricing
GreenStone Overview $5.1 Billion - Assets 19,000 Customers $761 Million Surplus Paid member/borrowers $67 million in patronage since 2005 $10 Million Annual Revenue from Financial Services 37 Office locations serving Michigan and Eleven Counties in NE Wisconsin 440 Employees
GreenStone History 2000 – 2009 Annual growth in loan volume   12.5% per year compounded   $1.6 billion to $5.1 billion Number of customers:  14,000 to 19,000 Net Operating Rate:  Reduced .6%+ Loan Spreads:  Reduced .9%+ Financial Services:  Increased from $5.6 MM to $10.3 MM
As Michigan Agriculture Goes – 				So Goes GreenStone Market Penetration
Investments in Agriculture (Loan Balances Outstanding)
Commodity Mix
GreenStone Number of Loans by Segment
GreenStone Volume by Segment
Delinquencies
GFCS Long Term Delinquency
GFCS Short Term Delinquency
AgriConsumer
Traditional Farmers
Commercial Borrowers
Capital Markets
Portfolio Quality
Quality of Agriculture
Quality of Agriculture
Quality of Dairy Portfolio
Quality of Hog Portfolio
Quality of Poultry Portfolio
Quality of Cash Crop Portfolio
Quality of Timber Portfolio
Quality of Ethanol Portfolio
Provision for Loan Losses
Provisions
Foreclosure Activity
Foreclosure
Foreclosure
Foreclosure
GreenStone Key Measure Comparison
GreenStone Key Measure Comparison –December 2008 – December 2009 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Financial and Credit Outlook
Financial and Credit Outlook  Income levels – A mixed bag Dairy Positive recent movement - slow recovery through 2010 but significant restructuring of debt needed to replenish working capital Hogs – Timber Light isn’t quite at the end of the tunnel yet Key is cutting costs and slowing the cash drain for long-term players Crops 2009 should be OK (they need to watch Accts Receivable) 2010 and 2011 will be a challenge Marketing/procurement planning  (AKA margin management) and risk management will be critical to successful financing Non-Traditional Crops – Profitable based on current supply /demand fundamentals
Financial Outlook Land values have softened slightly since the peak of last year, but remain stable today actually increasing in a few areas. Working Capital for all but crop farmers is very low. Producers will need higher lines of credit and increased leverage needs in 2010 even before CAPEX. Energy prices will increase from current levels –  significantly if federal Cap and Trade legislation is enacted . Interest rates will increase slowly over 2010 and then increase at a faster pace thereafter depending on the overall economic recovery. Locking rates a good bet
Credit Availability
Credit - Availability Capital position drives credit availability at banks GreenStone has 13% capital Substandard credit has increased but our capital position remains strong GreenStone remains committed to our roots - Agriculture Many banks have more serious capital issues Development and housing lending have taken their toll Commercial real estate is “next shoe to drop” Some banks have communicated that they are exiting Ag Lending Others are being very selective Others remain in the market, but pricing and conditions are higher/tighter National players are very selective due, particularly, to weakness in West Coast Dairies
 Credit Availability Credit is available for “bankable units”, but controls and conditions of lending will be more stringent. Foreign investments have basically ceased outside of purchasing US Treasuries Affects FCS Bonds Affects commercial paper market Creates uncertainty in funding Sound record keeping and business planning are critical.
Credit - Availability Risk mitigation more important than ever – Much more volatility! FSA guarantees will enhance credit availability. Any weakening of land values will create conservatism in some lenders.
Loan Pricing
Loan Pricing
 Loan Pricing Pricing Expectations Yield curve will lift and flatten Rates should be near their low Inflation will rise which will take interest rates with it (when? and how far?) Financial Institutions Have New Rules Capital requirements Liquidity requirements Servicing regulations TARP  (NOT Farm Credit) Financial,  banking, and consumer protection regulations All these will tend to increase cost and raise spreads and retail rates in the marketplace

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Greenstone Presentation to Michigan Commission of Agricultural Commission, January 12, 2010

  • 1. Current Financial Health of Michigan Agriculture from a Lender’s Perspective Dave Armstrong– CEO
  • 2. Remarks Overview of GreenStone Payment Delinquencies Credit Quality Provisions for Loan Losses Foreclosures GreenStone Key Business Measures 08 vs.09 Financial Outlook Credit Availability Loan Pricing
  • 3. GreenStone Overview $5.1 Billion - Assets 19,000 Customers $761 Million Surplus Paid member/borrowers $67 million in patronage since 2005 $10 Million Annual Revenue from Financial Services 37 Office locations serving Michigan and Eleven Counties in NE Wisconsin 440 Employees
  • 4. GreenStone History 2000 – 2009 Annual growth in loan volume 12.5% per year compounded $1.6 billion to $5.1 billion Number of customers: 14,000 to 19,000 Net Operating Rate: Reduced .6%+ Loan Spreads: Reduced .9%+ Financial Services: Increased from $5.6 MM to $10.3 MM
  • 5. As Michigan Agriculture Goes – So Goes GreenStone Market Penetration
  • 6. Investments in Agriculture (Loan Balances Outstanding)
  • 8. GreenStone Number of Loans by Segment
  • 11. GFCS Long Term Delinquency
  • 12. GFCS Short Term Delinquency
  • 20. Quality of Dairy Portfolio
  • 21. Quality of Hog Portfolio
  • 22. Quality of Poultry Portfolio
  • 23. Quality of Cash Crop Portfolio
  • 24. Quality of Timber Portfolio
  • 25. Quality of Ethanol Portfolio
  • 33. GreenStone Key Measure Comparison –December 2008 – December 2009 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
  • 35. Financial and Credit Outlook Income levels – A mixed bag Dairy Positive recent movement - slow recovery through 2010 but significant restructuring of debt needed to replenish working capital Hogs – Timber Light isn’t quite at the end of the tunnel yet Key is cutting costs and slowing the cash drain for long-term players Crops 2009 should be OK (they need to watch Accts Receivable) 2010 and 2011 will be a challenge Marketing/procurement planning (AKA margin management) and risk management will be critical to successful financing Non-Traditional Crops – Profitable based on current supply /demand fundamentals
  • 36. Financial Outlook Land values have softened slightly since the peak of last year, but remain stable today actually increasing in a few areas. Working Capital for all but crop farmers is very low. Producers will need higher lines of credit and increased leverage needs in 2010 even before CAPEX. Energy prices will increase from current levels – significantly if federal Cap and Trade legislation is enacted . Interest rates will increase slowly over 2010 and then increase at a faster pace thereafter depending on the overall economic recovery. Locking rates a good bet
  • 38. Credit - Availability Capital position drives credit availability at banks GreenStone has 13% capital Substandard credit has increased but our capital position remains strong GreenStone remains committed to our roots - Agriculture Many banks have more serious capital issues Development and housing lending have taken their toll Commercial real estate is “next shoe to drop” Some banks have communicated that they are exiting Ag Lending Others are being very selective Others remain in the market, but pricing and conditions are higher/tighter National players are very selective due, particularly, to weakness in West Coast Dairies
  • 39. Credit Availability Credit is available for “bankable units”, but controls and conditions of lending will be more stringent. Foreign investments have basically ceased outside of purchasing US Treasuries Affects FCS Bonds Affects commercial paper market Creates uncertainty in funding Sound record keeping and business planning are critical.
  • 40. Credit - Availability Risk mitigation more important than ever – Much more volatility! FSA guarantees will enhance credit availability. Any weakening of land values will create conservatism in some lenders.
  • 42.
  • 44. Loan Pricing Pricing Expectations Yield curve will lift and flatten Rates should be near their low Inflation will rise which will take interest rates with it (when? and how far?) Financial Institutions Have New Rules Capital requirements Liquidity requirements Servicing regulations TARP (NOT Farm Credit) Financial, banking, and consumer protection regulations All these will tend to increase cost and raise spreads and retail rates in the marketplace