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Global Mobile Vision 2012
How to enter the European Mobile Market

      CEO & Founder Rumble Media
               David An
           Executive MBA HSG, M.Sc.



              November 2012
About Rumble Media

                                                     Rumble Media GmbH
                                                    CEO: David An 안종혁
                                                         Foundation: 2007
                                             Major Shareholder: Holtzbrinck
                                                HQ in Karlsruhe, Germany
                                                  Number of employees: 11


                                                           Mobile
                   Portal
                                                          Publishing
                  Business
                                                          Solutions


  Online Gaming              Mobile Gaming          Mobile SaaS Reseller




                                                                         2
Agenda




 - European Mobile Market
 - Current Challenges
 - Potential Growth Strategies
 - Solution
 - Conclusion




                                 3
European Mobile
 Market




                  4
How big is the market

            Largest 6 European Countries

                                    Population   Population      3G        3G
                                      (Mio)          %        Subscriber    %
                                                                (Mio)
             Germany                    82          23%           38       18%
             France                     61          17%           30       14%
            Great                       62          18%           42       20%
            Britain
             Italy                      61          17%           44       20%
             Poland                     39          11%           28       13%
             Spain                      47          13%           33       15%
                  Total                351                       215


         The top 6 countries make up 350 million inhabitants which is about ~50%
         of total Europe and 70% of EU (500 M).


Source: Morgan Stanley, Wikipedia                                                  5
Statistics – German Market




                              82 Million total

                        38 Million Mobile 3G
                           Subscriber
                      26 Million Smartphone
                         Users


                 Germany has a ~ 68% smartphone penetration.


Source: Bitcom                                                 6
OS Penetration Germany

                                                                Incumbent App Stores




In Germany, Android has become market leader. There are only 3 significant appstores
Source: Madvertise                                                               7
New Smartphone Sales




                            Symbian                 5%
                            RIM                     6%

                            iOS                     14%

                            Windows                 5%

                            Android                 68%

                            Bada                    2%

                            Other                   0%



       Currently, in the top 6 European countries 2/3 of every newly sold
       smartphone is an Android phone.


Source: Kantar worldpanel                                                   8
Revenue Models Germany




                                                       0.6%         13%




                                                        19%        46%

 Android apps are more advertising driven with only 0.6% pure paid apps and 13% in-
 app-purchase apps.
 Apple iOS paid apps still have 20% share.

Source: xyologic                                                                 9
Current
Challenges




             1
New Smartphone Sales




            A game on Android will make only 24% of the iOS version. Amazon is ~ 89%
            Lower payment conversion for Android in Europe is due to the lack of Google
            Wallet accounts → which Google is working on of course.
Source: Madvertise                                                                 11
Current Challenge: Customer Acquisition Costs




                                                   $2.50


                                                       $2.00
              $2.00



              $1.50



              $1.00
                             $0.75

              $0.50



              $0.00




      According to Pocketgamer user acquisition costs have recently jumped
       from 0.75$ to 2$.
          This is due to incumbent players currently buying themselves at a loss into
             the future (→ Zynga, Gree, DeNA)


                                                                                     12
Current CPI Levels are not sustainable




      Cost per User (Cost per install)   $2     $1.86   $0.75   $0.75

      Conversion Rate                    5%      5%      5%      5%

      Break-Even                         $40     $37     $15     $15


      Target Margin                      30%     30%     30%     50%


      Life-Time Value (LTV) Target       $57     $53     $21     $30



       Buying users at 2$ equals to burning money.
       Assuming a low target margin of 30%, 0.75$ CPI seems feasible.
       But the question is: Can you get the right audience ?



                                                                         13
Potential Growth
 Strategies




                   1
Overview of Growth Strategies
1.Viral
     Out of product itself (Kakaotalk, Anipang)
     Social media (Social graph)
                                                  Free
2. Organic
    SEO (Google)
    PR (Public Relations)
    Appstore Relations (Have good relations)

3. Advertising Networks
    CPM (Cost per Mille)
    CPC (Cost per Click)
    CPI (Cost per Install)

4. Special Paid Networks                          Pay
        Incentivized (Tapjoy, Sponsorpay)
        Free App a Day (FAAD)
        Chart Booster

         5. M&A

     6. Partnerships                              Share
        Channelling (LTV)
                                                          15
Paid Advertising - CPC


                         Some real numbers!

                              Clickrate 2.5%
                              CPC 20cents
                             1 Million Banner
                             Impressions

                          1 Million x 2.5% x .2€
                          = 5,000 Euro
                            → 25,000 Clicks




                                                   16
Paid Advertising – Facebook Ads CPI




      Advertise in the timeline

            - high CTR
         - good targeting
      - however high costs
            - ~1 $ CPI

            In addition:
        - use social graph
      features like requests,
      challenges, invitations,
      score API, open graph




                                      17
M&A



 Most deals were bought at a high premium:

      - Zynga bought OMGPOP for $ 180 - 210 Million → 6$ / user




      - Gree bought Pokelabo ($7m revenues $2m profit 2011)
      for $170m by Gree 25 Price/Sales and 85 Price/Earnings
      multiple




                                                                  18
In addition, build your own distribution eco-system




         Eco-system approach (channeling) forces you to build a good monetizing
         game right from from scratch and build long-term partnerships.

          You need an external solution to manage all the tracking and analytics.

                                                                                    19
Solution




           2
First step into the right direction




                 TinyCo shares up to 75% of realized revenues (at least 30%
                     needed)
                           Incremental revenues for app publishers
                           Drawbacks:
            •      Limited to apps
            •      SDK for app publishers needed
            •      No detailed reporting
                                                                               21
Mobile PS is a solution that supports your eco-system




                               Game Publishers
               Build a longterm global network of affiliate partners
               Don't waste marketing dollars & ad network fees
               Flexibility to mix different revenue models
                                                                        22
Mobile PS – SaaS Technology




                              23
Conclusion




             2
Conclusion




   - Don't inflate your business plan on Android
   - Control your conversion funnel at any time
   - Public Relations builds awareness & word-of-mouth
   - Don't outspend your competition
   - Hire Managers with cultural empathy
   - Build a long-term distribution network & ecosystem
   - Outsource solutions which are not a core competence
    - Use Mobile PS as Software-as-a-service




                                                           25
Any questions?




             Please visit our website for
               further information
                    www.mobile-ps.com




            david_an@rumblemedia.de

                                            26

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GMV Global Mobile Vision 2012 Seoul

  • 1. Global Mobile Vision 2012 How to enter the European Mobile Market CEO & Founder Rumble Media David An Executive MBA HSG, M.Sc. November 2012
  • 2. About Rumble Media Rumble Media GmbH CEO: David An 안종혁 Foundation: 2007 Major Shareholder: Holtzbrinck HQ in Karlsruhe, Germany Number of employees: 11 Mobile Portal Publishing Business Solutions Online Gaming Mobile Gaming Mobile SaaS Reseller 2
  • 3. Agenda - European Mobile Market - Current Challenges - Potential Growth Strategies - Solution - Conclusion 3
  • 5. How big is the market Largest 6 European Countries Population Population 3G 3G (Mio) % Subscriber % (Mio) Germany 82 23% 38 18% France 61 17% 30 14% Great 62 18% 42 20% Britain Italy 61 17% 44 20% Poland 39 11% 28 13% Spain 47 13% 33 15% Total 351 215 The top 6 countries make up 350 million inhabitants which is about ~50% of total Europe and 70% of EU (500 M). Source: Morgan Stanley, Wikipedia 5
  • 6. Statistics – German Market 82 Million total 38 Million Mobile 3G Subscriber 26 Million Smartphone Users Germany has a ~ 68% smartphone penetration. Source: Bitcom 6
  • 7. OS Penetration Germany Incumbent App Stores In Germany, Android has become market leader. There are only 3 significant appstores Source: Madvertise 7
  • 8. New Smartphone Sales Symbian 5% RIM 6% iOS 14% Windows 5% Android 68% Bada 2% Other 0% Currently, in the top 6 European countries 2/3 of every newly sold smartphone is an Android phone. Source: Kantar worldpanel 8
  • 9. Revenue Models Germany 0.6% 13% 19% 46% Android apps are more advertising driven with only 0.6% pure paid apps and 13% in- app-purchase apps. Apple iOS paid apps still have 20% share. Source: xyologic 9
  • 11. New Smartphone Sales A game on Android will make only 24% of the iOS version. Amazon is ~ 89% Lower payment conversion for Android in Europe is due to the lack of Google Wallet accounts → which Google is working on of course. Source: Madvertise 11
  • 12. Current Challenge: Customer Acquisition Costs $2.50 $2.00 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.75 $0.50 $0.00  According to Pocketgamer user acquisition costs have recently jumped from 0.75$ to 2$.  This is due to incumbent players currently buying themselves at a loss into the future (→ Zynga, Gree, DeNA) 12
  • 13. Current CPI Levels are not sustainable Cost per User (Cost per install) $2 $1.86 $0.75 $0.75 Conversion Rate 5% 5% 5% 5% Break-Even $40 $37 $15 $15 Target Margin 30% 30% 30% 50% Life-Time Value (LTV) Target $57 $53 $21 $30  Buying users at 2$ equals to burning money.  Assuming a low target margin of 30%, 0.75$ CPI seems feasible.  But the question is: Can you get the right audience ? 13
  • 15. Overview of Growth Strategies 1.Viral Out of product itself (Kakaotalk, Anipang) Social media (Social graph) Free 2. Organic SEO (Google) PR (Public Relations) Appstore Relations (Have good relations) 3. Advertising Networks CPM (Cost per Mille) CPC (Cost per Click) CPI (Cost per Install) 4. Special Paid Networks Pay Incentivized (Tapjoy, Sponsorpay) Free App a Day (FAAD) Chart Booster 5. M&A 6. Partnerships Share Channelling (LTV) 15
  • 16. Paid Advertising - CPC Some real numbers! Clickrate 2.5% CPC 20cents 1 Million Banner Impressions 1 Million x 2.5% x .2€ = 5,000 Euro → 25,000 Clicks 16
  • 17. Paid Advertising – Facebook Ads CPI Advertise in the timeline - high CTR - good targeting - however high costs - ~1 $ CPI In addition: - use social graph features like requests, challenges, invitations, score API, open graph 17
  • 18. M&A Most deals were bought at a high premium: - Zynga bought OMGPOP for $ 180 - 210 Million → 6$ / user - Gree bought Pokelabo ($7m revenues $2m profit 2011) for $170m by Gree 25 Price/Sales and 85 Price/Earnings multiple 18
  • 19. In addition, build your own distribution eco-system Eco-system approach (channeling) forces you to build a good monetizing game right from from scratch and build long-term partnerships. You need an external solution to manage all the tracking and analytics. 19
  • 20. Solution 2
  • 21. First step into the right direction  TinyCo shares up to 75% of realized revenues (at least 30% needed)  Incremental revenues for app publishers  Drawbacks: • Limited to apps • SDK for app publishers needed • No detailed reporting 21
  • 22. Mobile PS is a solution that supports your eco-system Game Publishers  Build a longterm global network of affiliate partners  Don't waste marketing dollars & ad network fees  Flexibility to mix different revenue models 22
  • 23. Mobile PS – SaaS Technology 23
  • 25. Conclusion - Don't inflate your business plan on Android - Control your conversion funnel at any time - Public Relations builds awareness & word-of-mouth - Don't outspend your competition - Hire Managers with cultural empathy - Build a long-term distribution network & ecosystem - Outsource solutions which are not a core competence - Use Mobile PS as Software-as-a-service 25
  • 26. Any questions? Please visit our website for further information www.mobile-ps.com david_an@rumblemedia.de 26