The document discusses the significant growth forecast for Fiber to the Home/Building (FTTH/B) coverage, which is expected to increase from over 363 million homes passed in 2013 to nearly 632 million by the end of 2018. It emphasizes the importance of fiber in mobile backhauling and the rising demand for high-capacity networks, particularly in regions like Asia and North America, while European countries are catching up. Additionally, the document highlights the trend towards integrated fixed and mobile services as operators seek to enhance user experiences through higher data rates and service combinations.

1. Superfast network rollout: the future of wireline and wireless
Frédéric PUJOL, Director of the Wireless Business Unit, IDATE
Valérie CHAILLOU, Director of Studies, Co-head of the FTTx practice, IDATE
19 November 2014
ExecutiveSeminar:FutureNetworks

2. FTTH/B dominates SuperFastBroadband worldwide
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ForecastsforFTTH/Bsubscribers,2013-2018(Numberofsubscribers)
21%
17%
16%
17%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
100
200
300
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Million
FTTH/B subs.
% of growth
ForecastforbroadbandsubscribersworldwideandpartofFTTH/Bsubscribers
17%
20%
22%
25%
28%
29%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Million
Total BB world (million)
% of FTTH/B subscribers
Source:IDATE,WorldFTTxmarket,June2014
Source:IDATE,WorldFTTxmarket,June2014
SuperFastBroadbandtechnologymarketshareatend2013
(in%ofsubscriberspertechnology)
Source:IDATE,WorldFTTxmarket,June2014

3. Geographical snapshot of FTTx access solutions
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Source:IDATE,WorldFTTxmarket,June2014
Regional breakdown of FTTx architectures, December 2013

4. FTTH/Bcoveragewillcontinuetoincreasesignificantlyoverthenext5years,frommorethan363millionhomespassedtonearly632millionhomespassedattheendof2018.
TheexpansionofFTTH/Bcoveragewillbenefitresidentialusers’fixedaccess,andbolsterserviceubiquitythankstowirelessnetworks.
Fibre coverage
4
0
100
200
300
400
500
Middle East & Africa
Latin America
NorthAmerica
Europe
Asia
Million
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
FTTH/Bcoverageforecasts
Source:IDATE,WorldFTTxmarket,June2014

5. Choiceofbackhaulingtechnologydependsonmanycriteria
LTE/LTE-Aneedfibreorhighcapacitymicrowavelinks
Backhaulingoftenrepresents30%oftotalradioaccesscosts
Fibre backhaul common for mobile carriers
5
Re-useoftheFTTHnetworkformobilebackhaul
Source: Ericsson
TheOrangeusecase
Source: Orange
Fibrewidelyusedformobilebackhauling
inAsia(GPON)andindenseareas
DTGER:95%ofbackhaulinginfibre(2012)

6. World LTE market: Top 10 countries in termsof subsribers
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Source: IDATE, in World LTE market, June 2014

7. 100%inSouthKorea,SwedenandHK,andexpectedtoreachalmost100%verysoonintheUSA,JapanandHongKongduetoaggressiverolloutsbyVerizonWireless,NTTDOCOMOandall3HKplayers.
Europeancountriesstilllaggingbehind,butcaughtupinearly2014thankstothe800MHzband
>70%inGermany(VOD,DT),byEEintheUK
69%byOrangeFRatJuly2014
LTE coverage
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100% by the three telcos by mid-2012
DoCoMo:100% expected end March 2015
Softbank: 99% (Dec. 2013)
eMobile: est. 80% (end 2013)
VW: >97% (June 2014)
AT&T: 92% (June 2014)
Source: Players’ information collected by ARCEP, July 2014
Purple: % of Pop, Green: % of territory

8. WirelessaccesscombinescellularandWi-Fi
Offloading
HotSpot2.0/Passpointfacilitateshotspotsidentification&authentication
FixedServices/Usage:towardshigherdatarates
Fibreoffers:new1Gbpsplansrolledoutinthepastfewmonths
Increasinguplinkdatarate
Video,TV,OTT:moretriple-playoffers,quad-playfordifferentiation
Fixedandmobilecomplementarity
LTEwillbecomeoneofthetopclientsforfibre
Integratedoperatorstoleadthewayindevelopedcountries.Weseeverylittleroomforpuremobileplayersinthesecountriesin2020
Key takeaways for superfast networks
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