#DWS15 #Gigabit

1. Welcome to the Gigabit era?
IDATE Insight
18 November 2015
Future Networks Forum
Valérie CHAILLOU
Director of studies & Co-Head of FTTx practice,
IDATE

2. Breakdown of FTTx architectures per region, December 2014
Geographical panorama of FTTx access solutions
World = 265.3 million subscribers
Source: IDATE, World FTTx market
2
45%
28%
25%North America: 76.2 million subscribers
Europe: 61.5 million subscribers
Asia-Pacific: 119.7 million subscribers
Africa-Middle East: 3.2 million subscribers
Latin America: 3.7 million subscribers

3. 3
Source: IDATE, World FTTx market
Breakdown of Superfast broadband technologies
Geographical breakdown of the three main superfast broadband architectures, in December 2014
VDSL, 29.5 million subscribers
Europe 43%
North America 49%
Asia-Pacific 1%
FTTH/B, 163.2 million subscribers
Europe 18%
North America 8%
Asia-Pacific 71%
FTTx/D3.0, 72.7 million subscribers
Europe 26%
North America 68%
Asia-Pacific 5%
3
FTTH/B
62%VDSL
11%
FTTx/D3
.0
27%
Weight of the fixed technologies at
end 2014 (in % of subscribers)

4. <
LTE share
50%
LTE share 63%
LTE share 41%
LTE share 38%
LTE share 20%
LTE share 4%
Russia = 10.5 million
Germany = 13.0 million
South Korea = 36.0 million
Japan = 61.9 million
Australia = 11.9 million
Main LTE markets
4
LTE mobile subscriptions, December 2014
UK = 17.5 million
France = 11.0 million
LTE share 14%
LTE share 11%
Source: IDATE, in State of LTE & MBB spectrum worldwide, July 2015
USA = 179.3 million
China = 97.3 million
Spain= 6.9 million
LTE share 13%
Brazil= 6.8 million
LTE share 2%
LTE share 8%

5. Several fixed access technologies can theoretically provide users
with a 1 Gbps connection: FTTH, Docsis 3.1 and G.Fast
Gigabit wireline access technologies
5
Optical fibre: selling 1 Gbps plans is more a marketing than a technical choice
FTTH P2P architecture FTTH GPON architecture
Source: IDATE, The Gigabit Race, September 2015 Source: IDATE, The Gigabit Race, September 2015

6. Gigabit wireline access technologies
6
FTTx/Docsis 3.1: Docsis 3.1 will open up new
prospects for cable companies
FTTx/Docsis 3.1 architecture
G.fast: last chance for legacy copper networks?
G.Fast architecture
Source: IDATE, The Gigabit Race, September 2015

7. USA
How 1 Gbps plans are evolving
7
Providing Gigabit access has
become a goal in itself. The
momentum has been largely
influenced by Google’s initiatives,
since followed by private sector
operators and especially a number of
cities.
At the federal level, the Government
and the FCC have announced new
measures in support of city-led
rollouts.
Europe
The Digital Agenda (DAE) sets
Europe’s connectivity targets: 30
Mbps for all, and 100 Mbps connections
or more for at least 50% of European
households by 2020.
These appear very modest targets
when compared to current technological
possibilities, and the accelerated pace
of the Gigabit race, which more and
more ISPs seem willing to join.
Elsewhere
around the world
In Asia, selling Gigabit-speed access
is a strategic choice for private sector
operators. Government-led initiatives
are more rare, with the exception of
Singapore and New Zealand.
In Latin America and the Middle East,
just providing the entire population
with broadband access is already a
challenge, so Gigabit access is not
really on the table as yet. But a few ISPs
do offer ultra-fast plans, aimed at a very
specific clientele.

8. Disparate regional strategies
8
The combined roles of Gigabit access stakeholders in the United States
The Asian approach to UFB/Gigabit accessThe European approach to UFB/Gigabit access
Source: IDATE, The Gigabit Race, September 2015

9. Status of 1 Gbps plans around the world
9
Where are 1 Gbps plans available?
Source: IDATE, The Gigabit Race, September 2015
Strong initiative from local authorities in support of Gb access
Availability of 1 Gbps plans
New Zealand
Canada
USA
Caribbean
Portugal
Latvia
France
Switerland
Turkey
Ukraine
China
South Korea
Japan
Hong Kong
Singapore

10. Remaining questions
10
• What is the most appropriate solution to deploy considering the
local/national context (geography, demography, market trends, existing
infrastructures…)?
• What is the good combination between private and public investment to
ensure the largest coverage and reduce the risk for a “gigabit divide” in a
country and between regions?
• What those Gigabit networks will be used for?
• And so many others you might have…?