The document discusses future projections and policy recommendations for the region following the US drawdown from Afghanistan. It predicts that regional instability could spread from Afghanistan to Pakistan if political tensions grow along ethnic or religious lines. An unstable Pakistan could further destabilize Afghanistan. It recommends that the US engage in trilateral counter-terrorism cooperation with India, Pakistan, and China while also continuing to support the Afghan peace process and encouraging economic development through projects like the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Strengthening relationships and cooperation between regional powers could help address security challenges in a sustainable manner.

1. Future Projections and Policy Recommendations
In light of the previous examination, the going with could depict the future commonplace
indispensable environment:
I. As the United States draws down from Afghanistan, it will be less blocked in military
methods, yet have the augmentation for a greater imperative engagement in the region.
Maintaining incalculable advice in key capricious regions close by a considerable
measure of stores mixed would give U.S. engagement a substitute character yet may not
entirety to complete division.
II. Regional intermittence of Afghanistan may happen, given the method for political
weights that indicated until the national solidarity government confined in September
2014. If the political strains tackle ethnic and Islamist shades and spread to the Pashtun
belt of North Waziristan through get-togethers like the TTP and the Afghan Taliban, it
could hugely destabilize Pakistan.
III. An unstable Pakistan would simply destabilized Afghanistan quickly. China, India and
rest of the world proposed a security plan in this regard. Quicken a further destabilized
Afghanistan whilst having security proposals for India, China, and the worldwide
gathering.
Given the potential future course of the common environment, a couple of threats could be
tended to by capable engagement by the neighborhood accomplices (i.e., India, Pakistan and
China) supported by the United States. US policy makers requires some key recommendations
that are as follows:
1. Washington could engage a trilateral counter-terrorism segment with individual
exchanges as an untimely idea where the United States accept fundamentally the
facilitator's part. This incorporates the relationship of Pakistan-China, China-India,
Pakistan-India and Pakistan US. While the trilateral instrument would permit the three
accomplices to attract together, their two-sided differentiations could wind up being
obstructions. Consequently, an additional two-sided framework would be major for the
determination of perpetual India-Pakistan, China-India, and China-Pakistan
disagreements on terrorism.

2. This instrument getting the chance to keep another provincial tries:
a) Inventive dialog structures
b) Expanded time of hobby
c) Non-official yet establishment neighborly assistants as starting stages
2. Washington must empower Beijing and New Delhi to end up basic accomplices in
Afghan unfaltering quality through extended joint Sino-Indian non-military faculty
wanders. Remembering the finished objective to ensure that Sino-Indian general subject
interest does not stretch Islamabad, a second track of Sino-Pakistani non-military faculty
cooperation ought to enable.
3. The United States must continue engaging the Afghan trade off procedure with the
neighborhood accomplices, as it has been performing.
In April 205, Chinese President Xi Jinping's visited to Pakistan. It was a to an incredible degree
discriminating change for Pakistan-China relations and for the zone and past. It enabled the two
countries to reaffirm the essentialness that they affixed to their key relationship and purport their
mean to brace it advance.
They in like manner assented to different courses of action and MOU's away to ace the China-
Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and a couple of distinctive errands in essentialness,
correspondence and base sections in Pakistan incorporating in all Chinese hypothesis and cash
related reinforce signifying $46 billion.
The two countries furthermore agreed to raise the level of corresponding trade from the present
level of $15 billion to $20 billion within the accompanying three years. The getting to be key and
security associations amidst China and Pakistan, highlighted in the midst of the visit, served the
explanation behind regional strength. Genuine forces from diverse locale could not however
watch these essential headways and their recommendations for common and overall security.1
On the separate side, the CPEC errands uniting Kashgar in the western Chinese domain of
Xinjiang with Pakistan's significant water resources. Gawadar port on the Arabian Sea through
an orchestrated arrangement of lanes, railways, fiber optic connections and gas pipelines was the
1 BBC, News (2015). China's Xi Jinping agrees $46bn superhighway to Pakistan. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-
32377088/Access on 25-5-2015

3. program's centerpiece of money related interest stamped between the two countries. It would
contract the course for China's trade with the outside world bypassing the Straits of Malacca, a
bottleneck at the peril of blockade in wartime.
The endeavor, thusly, passes on enormous monetary and security regard for China. For Pakistan,
it would be the harbinger of money related progression by getting the exceedingly obliged
Chinese enthusiasm for system, correspondence and essentialness portions in Pakistan. The
lobby exercises imagine $34 billion enthusiasm for the essentialness part and about $12 billion in
base.
The early accumulate wanders worth $28 billion, whose use would start rapidly, include: 1000
MW sun arranged power park in Punjab, 870 MW Suki Kanari hydropower wander in KPK, 720
MW Karot hydropower wander in AJK and three wind power assignments of 200 MW in Thatta.
The second time of up gradation of KKH from Havelian to Thakot, Multan to Sukkur motorway,
Gawadar worldwide plane terminal and Gawadar Port east-contracts interstate undertaking.
Moreover, assertions have also been side for Gawadar-Nawabshah LNG terminal and pipeline
wander. Lahore Orange Line Metro Train expand, two coal-let go plants of 660 MW each at Port
Qasim and two coal-ended power endeavors of 330 MW each at Thar. Another declaration
pleasing the mining of 3.8 million tons of coal for each annum at Thar Block II has in like
manner settled upon.
These and diverse endeavors checked in the midst of President Xi Jinping's visit, if completed
adequately and with straightforwardness and dependability, would help the system of money
related change in the country. The organization must make critical walks so that these errands
don't transform into the loss of bureaucratic delays.
It is judicious to set up a conferred office staffed by all around readied and reasonable officers to
ensure their smooth use. It is cheering to hear that the governing body has formally settled a
conferred security division staffed by 10,000 workforce from the furnished compel, police and
basic military for giving blockhead check security to Chinese engineers and distinctive
inhabitants managing CPEC ventures.2
2 Planning Commission (2015). Pakistan and China today set in motion. http://www.pc.gov.pk/?p=4013/Access on
27-5-2015

4. The visit, then again, was not limited to the thought about the distinctive endeavors for money
related and business coordinated effort. As the joint decree issued after the exchanges
demonstrates, the two sides in like manner had a wide exchange of points of view on key and
security issues. They saw that Pakistan-China relationship had acquired more unmistakable
basics and assented to lift it to the level of "All Weather Strategic Cooperative Partnership" in
"worldwide and nearby circumstances." In this association, they decided to enhance key
coordination to shield their fundamental interests, develop further insurance investment and
development normal joint effort in space advancements and their application.
Pakistan-China long-term collaboration qualitatively goes at higher level with these decisions.
Moreover, this would assess background of security collaboration and strategic burgeoning
between India and United States. On the other hand, United States explained its intention to
support India and develop as big world power of the current Century in March 2005. Purpose of
this strategy behind is to make India as powerful ally of US in Asian region. In addition, this also
helps to influence in Indian Ocean and South Asia in regions and counterweight to the expansion
of Chinese power.
United States supports India in many fields especially in security that carries the risk from
Pakistan’s point of view. The immediate effect of this support is disturbing the strategic balance
in South Asia.
Pakistan-China security and strategic collaboration is essential to increase for development of
region. This will help to keep balance and strengthening in South Asia. Pakistan is an economic
corridor for China. This path gives an easy access of the Arabian Sea. The US is making efforts
for its influence and expansion in southward. However, the overall impact of this development is
global and regional implications. Relationship, friendship, collaboration between China and
Pakistan serve the basic interest of two nations. This easily noted in the joint statement. Both the
countries agree to contribute to peace, development, growth and stability in the region and
beyond.
Chins conveys a message of caution to restrain dealings of India in Pakistan. China highly
appreciates and supports the efforts of Pakistan for keeping peace and solving issues with India.
The peace between India and Pakistan is important for stability and development of this region.

5. The Asian security concept features sustainable security, cooperation, comprehensive and
common collaborating purpose in trade and business. In addition, India has to participate in this
concept.
There requires a prosperous, stable, cooperative and peaceful South Asia in mutual agreement of
all concerning parties. On the other hand, China makes positive efforts to establish collaborating
and relations with South Asian countries. The visit of Indian Prime Minister to China and Beijing
shows developing strategic and sustainable policy for cooperative relations and peace with
neighbors including India. In result, there is increase in trade of Sino-India about $80 billion per
annum. The future estimates of trade would increase the level of $100 billion.3
Bilateral cooperation in civil nuclear energy and support solution of the issue based on the UN
Security Council reform between the two countries. The visit of Indian delegation to China also
includes their support to Afghan-led and owned reconciliation and peace in Afghanistan. In
addition, China supports efforts of Pakistan to become a full member of the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization.
President of China Mr. Xi Jinping visits Pakistan to increase the relationship and collaboration in
economic, strategic and security fields. This gives signs to other world of moving two nations in
the interest if global peace, stability and strengthening regional cooperation. Economic
agreements especially the CPEC project signed during this visit will help Pakistan and China in
economic fields, acceleration of business and control the energy crisis.4
However, history shows that economic development and growth is possible due to self-efforts of
nations. The ultimate analysis shows that foreign help would only play a marginal role and
supports the system to work effectively and efficiently. Pakistan as a nation resolves to carry
forward this vital task successfully with wisdom and effective leadership.
3 MOFA (2015). Pak Chaina Joint Statement. http://www.mofa.gov.pk/Access on 2-6-2015
4 Global Times (2015). Investment-drives-Pakistans-prosperity-through-One-Belt-One-Road
http://backup.globaltimes.cn/NEWS/tabid/99/ID/918165/ Access on 4-5-2015

6. The world's sole super power was overpowered by displeasure and lost no time in deciding the
nature and size of its reaction. President Bush debilitated solid activity against the terrorists and
pledged that the US would do "whatever it takes" to rebuff them.
At the discretionary front, the US rushed to prepare universal backing for building a worldwide
coalition to battle terrorism. Other than enrolling NATO support in this battle, it got solid
resolutions received overwhelmingly the following day, i.e. 12 September in the UN Security
Council and the General Assembly along these lines clearing the ground for the legitimization of
US military activity.
The worldwide group talked with uncommon suddenness and unanimity censuring the terrorist
assaults and setting out to cooperate to convey the culprits to equity as well as to avoid and
annihilate terrorism. After two weeks, the US had the capacity have a more particular activity
situated determination embraced in the UN Security Council on execution of worldwide
measures to stifle terrorism through an UN Counter-Terrorism Committee.
Secretary of State Colin Powell marshaled an expansive political exertion conversing with
unified governments and repeating the unambiguous message to different nations that they could
no unbiased in the battle against terrorism.
No country had any decision in its association with the United States. The choice was a stark
dark or white. In the expressions of a senior Administration authority: "You're either with us or
against us." To that end, extraordinary center was carried on Pakistan relationship with the
Taliban of Afghanistan who blamed for supporting Osama container Laden, and giving his
activist association, Al Qaida, the opportunity to work. Indeed, even at the level of the American
open, there was a voluble passionate reaction against Pakistan for its charged complicity with the
terrorist bunches.
The signs to Islamabad were both intense and unfavorable. The New York Times on its front
page saying that US activity will be gone for uprooting the asylums, emotionally supportive
networks, and completion states, which support terrorism, cited Delegate Secretary of Defense
Paul D. Wolfowitz. Representative Joseph Biden, Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations

7. Committee likewise cited as having cautioned Pakistan that it must choose whether it is a
companion or a foe.
The hostile state of mind of the Administration further feed by the American media, which
straightforwardly discussed picking sides as the main alternative for Pakistan. Islamabad needed
to choose whether it needed to be an accomplice or an objective. In its article on 13 September,
the New York Times expressed that Pakistan was the main nation, which, in spite of universal
assents, had been maintaining the Taliban in the course of the most recent five years.
As per another report, the Bush organization authorities had made it clear that they will not fulfill
by sympathies and standard offers of assistance from Pakistan. President Musharraf was among
the first universal pioneers to inform that inability to coordinate in the battle against worldwide
fear would put his nation on an impact course with the US.