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© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
NRC Carriere | The Netherlands April 2014
Presented by Kevin Wheeler
Future of Talent
Trends 2014 & Beyond
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
38-40 million fewer workers with a
college/postgraduate degree than needed.
13% more demand than supply.
45 million too few workers with secondary
education. 15% fewer than needed.
90-95 million low-skill workers (without college
or secondary education) than employers will
need. 11% oversupply.
State of Global Labour Supply
2
Source: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/employment_and_growth/the_world_at_work
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Conflicting Worlds. . .
Make all the Difference for HR
Serial Processing
Planning
Mindset: permanence
Complicated world
Past & future similar
Whenever
Real time processing/Streaming
Intuition
Mindset: all is transitory
Chaotic World
Past & Future different
Now
3
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Rise of Career Mosaics
Entrepreneurial Mindset Dominates
GUIDING PRINCIPLE:
Deliberate CHOICE
rather than social
pressure.
4
DEFINE SUCCESS
EMBRACE TRAIL & ERROR
DISCOVER YOUR STRENGTHS
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
The Augmented Individual
Internet &
software are
augmenting
the human
mind
The “Engine” of the 21st Century
5
“Every experience is being mediated and
conceived around how it can be captured
and augmented by our devices."
Mathias Crawford, Stanford University
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Social Power of
Automation & Robotics
-McKinsey Global Institute.
6
Capital is substituting for Labour
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
7
What’s the
Probability
YOUR Job
will be
Automated?
HIGHLYLIKELYNOTLIKELY
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Beyond Words
Video,Texting,IM,Twitter
Shift away from lengthy discourse
wordstocontext
Changing nature of communication
“People of the Screen”
8
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
“Employees will work in more decentralized, specialized
firms, and employer-employee relationships will become
less standardized and more individualized.”
-Rand Report, Future Work Trends, 2004
Lower cash investment needed
Smaller, Leaner, networked Firms
Fun, satisfying, meaningful
Lower cost structure
-Collaborative partnerships
-Virtual organizations
-Co-work
New Ways of Organizing Work
Core
Employees
Core
Employees
Partners
Consultants
Customers
Suppliers
Temps
9
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
The industrial age separated people, organized
them into functions and silos that actually prohibited
sharing and, hence, in many ways inhibited
invention and innovation.
New organizational structures are emerging.
10
Firms will need people
with broad, diverse
skills who can learn
quickly,
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
11
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Agile Recruiting Becomes Vital
Ability to meet
client needs as
fast as (or faster
than)
expectations.
Systems built for
flexibility and
quick change.
Proactive
sourcing – able
to anticipate
market
direction.
Capable of
quickly assessing
candidates
through
automated tools.
Lower costs;
remain
profitable.
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Market Knowledge Drive Profits
SUPPLY TIMEDEMAND MONEY
Economy, Demographics, Workforce, Workplace
Hot Jobs, Hot Sources, Hot Clients
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Social Media is key to
candidate awareness and
engagement.
14
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
15
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
16
Social Media Influence
16
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Candidates & Hiring Managers are Center
Mobile Grows Exponentially
17
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
The rise of mobile
“23% of all
Google
searches
that contain
the word
„job‟ come
from mobile
devices.”
http://www.socialtalent.co/resources
In a survey from Glassdoor,
89% of employees who admit
they’ll look for a new job in the
next year say their mobile
device is an important tool and
resource for their job search.
55% of adults have a
smartphone.
http://pewinternet.org/~/media//Files/Reports/2014/PI
P_E-reading_011614.pdf
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Employers will make decisions about
candidates based on everything about
them on the web.
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Candidates will Showcase Their Skills
20
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Assessment will go Automated
21
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Sourcing will be about
drawing information from
candidate data22
Search will be composed of a mix of structured and
unstructured, aggregated and integrated data,
streaming and static data.
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Big Data Sourcing Tools
23
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
What’s Possible in 3-5 Years?
Aggregation and Intelligent Analysis of multiple,
seemingly unrelated datasets.
Access to vast amounts of unstructured data.
Ranking of quality/trustworthiness/and other factors
based on recorded behaviors.
Ability to prescribe who would best fit a need based on
multiple past searches and probability analysis.
Includes video and audio data
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
25
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Jobs that are DYNAMIC,
evolving, global and highly
varied.
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Typical Worker 2020-2024
• Half of workforce Typical workers is 35. Has
never had a “normal” job or has had one briefly.
Valued by network with strong social influence scores
and endorsements.
• Finds work via skills marketplaces, peer networks,
collaboration, social media.
• Recruiting is about matching, fit, “now needs,” “now
fulfillment.”
• Mobile, wearable tools abound
27
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
Typical Worker 2020-2024
• Cycles between projects & longer term contracts.
• Expects to be guided by process and goals, not a
manager.
• Self-learning dominates.
• Measure of success is peer respect, goal achievement
(performance), and flexibility.
• Performance measured by social media, web presence,
peer comments, analysis of work output.
• Workplace may be anywhere - mobile/fixed/remote/virtual.
28
© 2014, Future of Talent Institute
www.futureoftalent.org
Kevin Wheeler
Founder & Chairman
kwheeler@futureoftalent.org
Follow me on Twitter: @kwheeler
29

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Future of Talent by Kevin Wheeler (presentatie 14 april 2014)

  • 1. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute NRC Carriere | The Netherlands April 2014 Presented by Kevin Wheeler Future of Talent Trends 2014 & Beyond
  • 2. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute 38-40 million fewer workers with a college/postgraduate degree than needed. 13% more demand than supply. 45 million too few workers with secondary education. 15% fewer than needed. 90-95 million low-skill workers (without college or secondary education) than employers will need. 11% oversupply. State of Global Labour Supply 2 Source: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/employment_and_growth/the_world_at_work
  • 3. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Conflicting Worlds. . . Make all the Difference for HR Serial Processing Planning Mindset: permanence Complicated world Past & future similar Whenever Real time processing/Streaming Intuition Mindset: all is transitory Chaotic World Past & Future different Now 3
  • 4. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Rise of Career Mosaics Entrepreneurial Mindset Dominates GUIDING PRINCIPLE: Deliberate CHOICE rather than social pressure. 4 DEFINE SUCCESS EMBRACE TRAIL & ERROR DISCOVER YOUR STRENGTHS
  • 5. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute The Augmented Individual Internet & software are augmenting the human mind The “Engine” of the 21st Century 5 “Every experience is being mediated and conceived around how it can be captured and augmented by our devices." Mathias Crawford, Stanford University
  • 6. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Social Power of Automation & Robotics -McKinsey Global Institute. 6 Capital is substituting for Labour
  • 7. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute 7 What’s the Probability YOUR Job will be Automated? HIGHLYLIKELYNOTLIKELY
  • 8. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Beyond Words Video,Texting,IM,Twitter Shift away from lengthy discourse wordstocontext Changing nature of communication “People of the Screen” 8
  • 9. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute “Employees will work in more decentralized, specialized firms, and employer-employee relationships will become less standardized and more individualized.” -Rand Report, Future Work Trends, 2004 Lower cash investment needed Smaller, Leaner, networked Firms Fun, satisfying, meaningful Lower cost structure -Collaborative partnerships -Virtual organizations -Co-work New Ways of Organizing Work Core Employees Core Employees Partners Consultants Customers Suppliers Temps 9
  • 10. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute The industrial age separated people, organized them into functions and silos that actually prohibited sharing and, hence, in many ways inhibited invention and innovation. New organizational structures are emerging. 10 Firms will need people with broad, diverse skills who can learn quickly,
  • 11. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute 11
  • 12. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Agile Recruiting Becomes Vital Ability to meet client needs as fast as (or faster than) expectations. Systems built for flexibility and quick change. Proactive sourcing – able to anticipate market direction. Capable of quickly assessing candidates through automated tools. Lower costs; remain profitable.
  • 13. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Market Knowledge Drive Profits SUPPLY TIMEDEMAND MONEY Economy, Demographics, Workforce, Workplace Hot Jobs, Hot Sources, Hot Clients
  • 14. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Social Media is key to candidate awareness and engagement. 14
  • 15. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute 15
  • 16. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute 16 Social Media Influence 16
  • 17. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Candidates & Hiring Managers are Center Mobile Grows Exponentially 17
  • 18. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute The rise of mobile “23% of all Google searches that contain the word „job‟ come from mobile devices.” http://www.socialtalent.co/resources In a survey from Glassdoor, 89% of employees who admit they’ll look for a new job in the next year say their mobile device is an important tool and resource for their job search. 55% of adults have a smartphone. http://pewinternet.org/~/media//Files/Reports/2014/PI P_E-reading_011614.pdf
  • 19. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Employers will make decisions about candidates based on everything about them on the web.
  • 20. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Candidates will Showcase Their Skills 20
  • 21. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Assessment will go Automated 21
  • 22. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Sourcing will be about drawing information from candidate data22 Search will be composed of a mix of structured and unstructured, aggregated and integrated data, streaming and static data.
  • 23. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Big Data Sourcing Tools 23
  • 24. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute What’s Possible in 3-5 Years? Aggregation and Intelligent Analysis of multiple, seemingly unrelated datasets. Access to vast amounts of unstructured data. Ranking of quality/trustworthiness/and other factors based on recorded behaviors. Ability to prescribe who would best fit a need based on multiple past searches and probability analysis. Includes video and audio data
  • 25. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute 25
  • 26. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Jobs that are DYNAMIC, evolving, global and highly varied.
  • 27. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Typical Worker 2020-2024 • Half of workforce Typical workers is 35. Has never had a “normal” job or has had one briefly. Valued by network with strong social influence scores and endorsements. • Finds work via skills marketplaces, peer networks, collaboration, social media. • Recruiting is about matching, fit, “now needs,” “now fulfillment.” • Mobile, wearable tools abound 27
  • 28. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute Typical Worker 2020-2024 • Cycles between projects & longer term contracts. • Expects to be guided by process and goals, not a manager. • Self-learning dominates. • Measure of success is peer respect, goal achievement (performance), and flexibility. • Performance measured by social media, web presence, peer comments, analysis of work output. • Workplace may be anywhere - mobile/fixed/remote/virtual. 28
  • 29. © 2014, Future of Talent Institute www.futureoftalent.org Kevin Wheeler Founder & Chairman kwheeler@futureoftalent.org Follow me on Twitter: @kwheeler 29