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Research for Global Sustainability
Photo: Sun on earth from the International Space Station © ESA / NASA
Future Earth Science for the Technium
David Oram
Future Earth Secretariat
March 9th, 2016
McGill Sustainability Technology Symposium
Future Earth Science for the Technium
Overview:
• Current Status of Planetary Operations
• Future Earth Science + Technology
• Technology Evolution = the Technium – The Seventh
Kingdom of Life
Planetary Boundaries Social Aspirations & Human Agency
Epoch Acceleration
Contuning
Computing
Acceleration
http://www.singularity.com/charts/page70.htmlhttp://www.bostondynamics.com/robot_Atlas.html
Photo: Sun on earth from the International Space Station © ESA / NASA
@
The Challenge
1. Unite around a common research
agenda for
Global Sustainability Science
1
2. Engage societies in new
ways
2
3. Create high-quality research,
products and networks that
support transformation
3
Sources:
Photo: Fishing in the Mekong © Tan Someth Bunwath / WWF-Cambodia
Societal Challenges
Resilient
Cities
Health Consumption &
Production
Food,
water, energy
Decarbonisation
Rural
landscapes
Natural
capital
Risk &
Governance
Globally, 2015 was a big year . . .
Photo: Sun on earth from the International Space Station © ESA / NASA
Sustainable Development (Global) Goals
…And 2015 was a big year for
10s of
thousands
8+
Future Earth structure
KNOWLEDGE-
ACTION
NETWORKS
structured networks
catalyzing new
research and deep
engagement with
society
ecoHEALTH
Future (Earth) Coasts
ecoHEALTH
Future (Earth) Coasts
Future Earth Technologies
• Developments in the area of new and emerging sciences and
technologies (NEST)
• such as synthetic biology, new materials, further digitalization,
sensor technologies
• Concerning the sustainability transformation of large infrastructures
• mobility, energy, water, information
• the task could be to explore processes of socio-technical change
which emphasizes the necessity of interdisciplinary approaches
• In specific cases it might also be that the potential of existing
technologies with respect to sustainability has not been exhausted
yet and to determine more adequate strategies of dissemination and
diffusion to integrate those technologies
Global Operating Systems
• Science – Knowledge creation and dissemination through academic papers and
adoption in media.
- Depending on the field, up to 90% of academic papers NEVER cited1.
• Technology – via Disruptive Innovations, Sustaining Innovations, or Efficiency
Innovations [Christensen, 2016]
- Ever increasing investment in efficiency has led to cash hordes.
• Business – maximize shareholder financial value
- Natural assets and environment impact cost rarely built in
• Economics – GDP & GNI Measures / country
- $6T in government bonds trading at –ve Interest Rates2
• Policy – large bureaucracies, using traditional decision making tools
- Decisions NOT embedded in scientific knowledge
1. http://staff.aub.edu.lb/~lmeho/meho-physics-world.pdf 2. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-29/55-trillion-government-bonds-now-have-negative-yields-covering-
23-global-gdp
Technology life cycles are not static, and have their
own evolutionary path:
The Technium = The Seventh Kingdom of Life
• Technology = Is anything the mind produces and begins with life
• Scientific Methodology = is a process technology which is
continually expanding [ie. Double blind, placebos, etc]
• Business = Tech facilitates a winner take all phenomenon – while
also increasing the number of ways to win.
• Economics = New Economy is based on remaining different, but
connected.
• Policy = we manage technology by use.
Ref: Kevin Kelly, edge.org – 2.3.14 + What Technology Wants
Technology can no longer be developed in
isolation . . .
@futureearth www.futureearth.org
David.Oram@futureearth.org@futureearth_do
Thank you! I look forward to your
questions and please reach Future
Earth at any of the above addresses

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"Future Earth Science in the Technium"

  • 1. Research for Global Sustainability Photo: Sun on earth from the International Space Station © ESA / NASA Future Earth Science for the Technium David Oram Future Earth Secretariat March 9th, 2016 McGill Sustainability Technology Symposium
  • 2. Future Earth Science for the Technium Overview: • Current Status of Planetary Operations • Future Earth Science + Technology • Technology Evolution = the Technium – The Seventh Kingdom of Life
  • 3.
  • 4. Planetary Boundaries Social Aspirations & Human Agency
  • 7. Photo: Sun on earth from the International Space Station © ESA / NASA @
  • 9. 1. Unite around a common research agenda for Global Sustainability Science 1
  • 10. 2. Engage societies in new ways 2
  • 11. 3. Create high-quality research, products and networks that support transformation 3
  • 12. Sources: Photo: Fishing in the Mekong © Tan Someth Bunwath / WWF-Cambodia Societal Challenges Resilient Cities Health Consumption & Production Food, water, energy Decarbonisation Rural landscapes Natural capital Risk & Governance
  • 13. Globally, 2015 was a big year . . . Photo: Sun on earth from the International Space Station © ESA / NASA
  • 15.
  • 16. …And 2015 was a big year for
  • 21. Future Earth Technologies • Developments in the area of new and emerging sciences and technologies (NEST) • such as synthetic biology, new materials, further digitalization, sensor technologies • Concerning the sustainability transformation of large infrastructures • mobility, energy, water, information • the task could be to explore processes of socio-technical change which emphasizes the necessity of interdisciplinary approaches • In specific cases it might also be that the potential of existing technologies with respect to sustainability has not been exhausted yet and to determine more adequate strategies of dissemination and diffusion to integrate those technologies
  • 22. Global Operating Systems • Science – Knowledge creation and dissemination through academic papers and adoption in media. - Depending on the field, up to 90% of academic papers NEVER cited1. • Technology – via Disruptive Innovations, Sustaining Innovations, or Efficiency Innovations [Christensen, 2016] - Ever increasing investment in efficiency has led to cash hordes. • Business – maximize shareholder financial value - Natural assets and environment impact cost rarely built in • Economics – GDP & GNI Measures / country - $6T in government bonds trading at –ve Interest Rates2 • Policy – large bureaucracies, using traditional decision making tools - Decisions NOT embedded in scientific knowledge 1. http://staff.aub.edu.lb/~lmeho/meho-physics-world.pdf 2. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-29/55-trillion-government-bonds-now-have-negative-yields-covering- 23-global-gdp
  • 23.
  • 24. Technology life cycles are not static, and have their own evolutionary path: The Technium = The Seventh Kingdom of Life • Technology = Is anything the mind produces and begins with life • Scientific Methodology = is a process technology which is continually expanding [ie. Double blind, placebos, etc] • Business = Tech facilitates a winner take all phenomenon – while also increasing the number of ways to win. • Economics = New Economy is based on remaining different, but connected. • Policy = we manage technology by use. Ref: Kevin Kelly, edge.org – 2.3.14 + What Technology Wants
  • 25. Technology can no longer be developed in isolation . . .
  • 26. @futureearth www.futureearth.org David.Oram@futureearth.org@futureearth_do Thank you! I look forward to your questions and please reach Future Earth at any of the above addresses

Editor's Notes

  1. First published in IGBP’s 2004 Synthesis – Global Change and the Earth System: a planet under pressure. Updated in January 2015 by IGBP and Stockholm Resilience Centre. This time analyzing the origins of the drivers of change by separating out socio-economic trends by country blocks.
  2. First
  3. 27.5 at end 1. Deliver water, energy, and food for all, and manage the synergies and trade-offs among them, by understanding how these interactions are shaped by environmental, economic, social and political changes. 2. Decarbonise socio-economic systems to stabilise the climate by promoting the technological, economic, social, political and behavioural changes enabling transformations, while building knowledge about the impacts of climate change and adaptation responses for people and ecosystems. 3. Safeguard the terrestrial, freshwater and marine natural assets underpinning human well-being by understanding relationships between biodiversity, ecosystem functioning and services, and developing effective valuation and governance approaches. 4. Build healthy, resilient and productive cities by identifying and shaping innovations that combine better urban environments and lives with declining resource footprints, and provide efficient services and infrastructures that are robust to disasters. 5. Promote sustainable rural futures to feed rising and more affluent populations amidst changes in biodiversity, resources and climate by analysing alternative land uses, food systems and ecosystem options, and identifying institutional and governance needs. 6. Improve human health by elucidating, and finding responses to, the complex interactions amongst environmental change, pollution, pathogens, disease vectors, ecosystem services, and people’s livelihoods, nutrition and well-being. 7. Encourage sustainable consumption and production patterns that are equitable by understanding the social and environmental impacts of consumption of all resources, opportunities for decoupling resource use from growth in well-being, and options for sustainable development pathways and related changes in human behaviour. 8. Increase social resilience to future threats by building adaptive governance systems, developing early warning of global and connected thresholds and risks, and testing effective, accountable and
  4. FE is sponsored by this set of institutions – won’t go into detail but includes ICSU and ISSC, UN bodies, and others.
  5. We now have the structure in place, the KANs will be launched in the next weeks, and what gets done in these core challenges is very much up to the Future Earth Community
  6. https://docs.google.com/document/d/1GP1okg5fvtCwsNdqWw8vgL-fJtQYtnvyeAl7QO52VuM/edit
  7. http://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/half-academic-studies-are-never-read-more-three-people-180950222/?no-ist http://www.psmag.com/books-and-culture/killing-pigs-weed-maps-mostly-unread-world-academic-papers-76733
  8. Call for action, that must take the state of our planetary system, with our socio-economic needs, and use the benefits of our hyper connected world to constantly alpha-beta test the technologies needed to transform our world to sustainable living. As information technology has developed, we are not in a position to allow us to be able to be “open source” with much of our research and business development. The coming
  9. Call for action, that must take the state of our planetary system, with our socio-economic needs, and use the benefits of our hyper connected world to constantly alpha-beta test the technologies needed to transform our world to sustainable living. As information technology has developed, we are not in a position to allow us to be able to be “open source” with much of our research and business development. The coming
  10. Call for action, that must take the state of our planetary system, with our socio-economic needs, and use the benefits of our hyper connected world to constantly alpha-beta test the technologies needed to transform our world to sustainable living. As information technology has developed, we are not in a position to allow us to be able to be “open source” with much of our research and business development. The coming
  11. FE is sponsored by this set of institutions – won’t go into detail but includes ICSU and ISSC, UN bodies, and others.
  12. Lets take one of these organizations that is probably not too well known to folks here, FUTURE EARTH, because it represents the product of a 35 year evolution within the global change research programs.
  13. Call for action, that must take the state of our planetary system, with our socio-economic needs, and use the benefits of our hyper connected world to constantly alpha-beta test the technologies needed to transform our world to sustainable living. As information technology has developed, we are not in a position to allow us to be able to be “open source” with much of our research and business development. The coming