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Four Pillars for Economic Growth
         and Job Creation
             Making it in Washington
                  February 1, 2012




                Egils Milbergs
                Executive Director
   Washington Economic Development Commission
                www.wedc.wa.gov
Commission Members
Recovery: Non-farm Employment
                                            Monthly difference with start of recession (Q4 2007)
                                              50




                                              0
Difference with Initial Period Employment
         (Thousands of Workers)




                                             -50




                                            -100




                                            -150




                                            -200
                                                                                                                                                         -208.1
                                                                     2001 Recession (3 quarters)                      Since Q4 2007

                                            -250
                                                   1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

                                                                                                         Months of Recovery
Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics
Non-farm Employment
        Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area

1,500
                                       Line indicates employment level in April 2008 (recent max)

1,480

1,460
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     -71.2
1,440
                                                                                                                                        -118.9
1,420

1,400

1,380

1,360

1,340
                                              Apr-08




                                                                                                    Apr-09




                                                                                                                                                          Apr-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                Apr-11
          Aug-07




                                                                Aug-08




                                                                                                                      Aug-09




                                                                                                                                                                            Aug-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Aug-11
                            Dec-07
                                     Feb-08




                                                                                  Dec-08
                                                                                           Feb-09




                                                                                                                                        Dec-09
                                                                                                                                                 Feb-10




                                                                                                                                                                                              Dec-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Feb-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Dec-11
                   Oct-07




                                                       Jun-08


                                                                         Oct-08




                                                                                                             Jun-09


                                                                                                                               Oct-09




                                                                                                                                                                   Jun-10


                                                                                                                                                                                     Oct-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jun-11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct-11
Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics
Key Performance Comparisons
                                 (by range, state rank and trend)

                           Washington’s Rank

  Real per capita GDP, 2010     #14       $29,318                           $45,464 $63,090       AK, DE, CT


    Non-farm employment                                                        1.8%               ND, OK, UT
                                #11      -0.8%                                          4.9%
    growth, Nov ‘11 3mma

        Per capita personal
                                #14      $31,046                            $43,564 $54,877       CT, MA, NJ
income, 2010 (current USD)


           Gini Coefficient,    #19      0.499                      0.442              0.411      UT, AK, NH
                 2005-2009               (Scale in reverse)

            Computer and
mathematical occupations,        #3      0.8%                       4.0%                5.1%    VA, MD, WA
as % total workforce, 2010
                                                                               (More than double 2005)

Patents (all types) per 100k     #2                                                        86     VT, WA, CA
                                         4.6
                   residents                            WEDC 1.4
                                                                                          106.8
                                                                                                         5
Non-farm Absolute Gains and Losses, Year-over-Year
                 Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area, November 2011 (1000s workers)
Largest Gains




                                        Transportation Equipment Mfg                                8.63
                        Computer Systems Design and Related Services                         3.73
                                                   Software Publishers                1.83
                        Architectural, Engineering and Related Services              1.77
                                   Administrative and Support Services              1.30


                                                     Air Transportation     -0.03
Largest Losses




                                                  Truck Transportation     -0.33
                  Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping and Payroll     -0.33
                               Insurance Carriers and Related Activities   -0.33
                           Credit Intermediation and Related Activities -0.63




Data source: Washington State Employment Security Department.
The Good and the Bad
  Reasons for Optimism                         Reasons for Pessimism
• Young, connected, smart people          •    Global uncertainty
• Strong anchor companies:                •    Long term unemployed
  aerospace, food, information            •    Skills mismatch
  technology, medical, non-profit         •    Short on engineering talent
• Intellectual property hotspot           •    Underperforming schools
• Attractive place to live                •    Poor transport infrastructure
• No income tax                           •    Lagging regions
• Pacific Rim location                    •    Income disparity
• Potential defense opportunities         •    Cost/complexity to start a new
• Growing entrepreneurial sector               business.
• Abundant energy sources



                                    WEDC 1.4                                    7
To accelerate job creation, WA must make
       progress on four dimensions
                       Emphasize career transition, access to learning
        Intellect      resources and the skills that employers need.



                       Create innovation ecosystem to foster
      Investment       new products, start-ups and manufacturing.



                       Design a 21st century infrastructure, an efficient
      Infrastructure   regulatory system and align to regional objectives.



      International    Grow the global presence of Washington’s business.



                        WEDC 1.4                                     8
Policy Specifics Around the Four Pillars
   TALENT and                      INVESTMENT                  INFRASTRUCTURE                      INTERNATIONAL
   WORKFORCE                           and                     and REGULATIONS                        BUSINES
                                 ENTREPRENEURSHIP                                                     (Exports)
1. Channel talent                                            1. Assess economic
   pipeline to             1. Recruit STARs                     development                    1. Optimize export
   industry needs             research teams                    outcomes.                         services to SMEs

2. Shift focus of UI       2. Provide                        2. Create Lean                    2. Modernize
   to support new             operational funds                 Institute for                     transportation
   career prep.               for IPZs                          regulatory                        infrastructure for
                                                                efficiency                        freight mobility
3. Retain foreign          3. Turn on FDI
   student                                                   3. Align infrastructure           3. Intensify
   graduates               4. Enhance tax policy                investments to                    innovation
                              to close gaps in                  local priorities                  collaboration in the
4. Navigate career            commercialization                                                   Pacific Northwest.
   choices with                                              4. Pilot self financing
   personalized                                                 of collaborative
   information                                                  innovation.


   SOURCE: Statement of Priorities for Kick-starting Job Creation, Washington Economic Development Commission, Nov 22 , 2011
                                                             WEDC 1.4                                                      9
Workforce Challenge

                                                   Prof

    Prof


 Technical
                                                Technical

Unskilled
                                                 Unskilled



           WA Economic Development Commission                10
Washington STAR Researchers

                   Smart Grid
                        UW


                                     WSU – BSEL Center for Bioproducts and Bioenergy

                   Hugh Hillhouse




Michael Hochberg                                                      Birgitte Ahring
                   Daniel Kirschen

                       WSU




                   Chen-Ching Liu
Faces of Emerging Industries
 Entrepreneurs-in-Residence




Lars Johansson    Henry Berg        David Kaplan    Lewis Rumpler   Kevin Petersen     Chris Leyerle




Ronald Berenson Stephanie Amoss    David Croniser          Bryan Zetlan       Karen Fleckner




Terri Butler       Ken Myer       Thomas Schulte             Peter Quinn        Jeff Canin
Startup Weekend




  WA Economic Development Commission   13
Opportunities in Defense Technology
                                                                       191,000 jobs
               Whidbey Island                                    $12.2 billion in output
                 Naval Air
                                                             $10.5 billion in labor income
                                    Naval Station           $5.2 billion in defense contracts
Naval Submarine                       Everett
  Base Bangor                                                                    Spokane
                                                                               Fairchild AFB
                                   US Coast Guard


                                                                 Intelligence, Surveillance, and Recon
                                                                 Special forces and special operations
                                   WA Nat’l Guard                Network-centric operations
   Puget Sound                                                   Cyber security
  Naval Shipyard                                                 Composite materials
                                 Joint Base                       Unmanned systems – both air and sea
                              Lewis McChord
                                                                  Energy efficiency
                           Madigan Medical Center
                                                                 Environmental stewardship
                                                                 Health care for veterans

                                                    US Army, Yakima
                                                    US Marine Corps




                                                                                                    14
Transforming Infrastructure
Leave oil
before it
leaves us!



             Post “ICE” Age?
              Internal Combustion Engine



               WA Economic Development Commission   15
                                                    15
Innovation Partnership Zones
                 Bellingham Innovation Zone
                 Aerospace Convergence Zone
                 North Olympic IPZ
                 Tri-Cities Research District
                 South Lake Union Life Science IPZ
                 Spokane University District IPZ
                 Bothell Biomedical Manufacturing
                 Corridor
                 Central Washington Resource
                 Energy Collaborative
                 Grays Harbor Sustainable
                 Industries
                 Pullman –Clean Tech Industries
                 Walla Walla IPZ
                 Interactive Media and Digital Arts
                 King County Financial Services
                 Collaborative
                 Urban Clean Water Technology
                 Zone
Washington’s Global
 Health Ecosystem




                      WA Economic Development Commission   17
•University based research centers
 Innovation                                         •National Labs (gov’t)
                                                    •Corporate Labs
 Ecosystem                         R&D Assets       •Inventors (patent owners)
Not just ingredients but the                        •Entrepreneurs
       relationships
                                                    •Start-ups
                                       T            •Incubators
                                                    •Technology Development Initiatives
                                Transformers
                                                    •Industry University Collaborations

                                                    •Government Policies/Programs/Incentives
                                                    •Venture Capital
                                    S               •Angel/Seed Networks
                                                    •Corporate R&D
      T                             Funders
                                                    •IPOs
                                                    •Regional Innovation Clusters
                                                    •Talent pool

                 S                  Support
                                                    •Professional (Legal, Accounting, HR , Mentors)
                                                    •Marketing and Branding
                               WA Economic Development Commission Adapted from Navi Radjou, Forrester Research
                                                                                                         18
Innovation Ecosystems Evolve
                                                                                          Transformational


          Innovation
                                                                        Growth
            Triggers

                                                   Emerging
                                                                                            Many nodes
                                                                                           Dense linkages
                                                                       Accelerated
Talent                                                                                    Region to Region
                              Nascent                                 collaboration
                                                                                          Next generation
              IPZs                                                    Many linkages
    STARS                                                           Attraction of firms
                                                Few to many firms
               EIRs                                Fast growth
Patents                                           Some linkages
                            None or few firms
         Incubators         Growth potential

                  Tax
    R&D
               Incentives
          Gap
         Funding       SBIR
                                  WA Economic Development Commission                                   19
Fiscal constraints require new priorities
         Some difficult choices for economic development


                                                           Jobs
                Reduce           Create
                                                          Income
                                                        Distribution
 Economic
Development
                         Tough                         Per capita GDP
                                            Outcomes
 Programs             Trade-offs
                                                           growth


               Eliminate         Invest                Quality of life

                                                       Tax revenues

                                 WEDC 1.4                          21
Current Economic Development System
                      Many pieces, but how do they work together?
                                              Governor’s Office
                                                                                                  Dept. of
                                          Strategic Reserve Account
                                                                                                  Defense

                                                  Dept. of Social &
Dept of Commerce               WSDOT                                      Dept. of Agriculture    Federal
                                                   Health Service
  18 Programs                2 Programs                                      5 Programs            Labs
                                                    3 Programs




                                                                                                                    Federal Programs
                            Employment                                                              SBA
   OSPI /Early                                                             Workforce Training
                              Security               WA SBCTC
    Learning                                                                    Board
                            Department              10 Programs
   3Programs                                                                 2 Programs
                            15 Programs                                                           Dept. of
                                                                                                 Agriculture
                          Washington State                                   Recreation &
 University of WA                                   Innovate WA
                             University                                   Conservation Office
   6 Programs                                        8 Programs
                            5 Programs                                       14 Programs         SBIR/STTR

                              36 other state economic programs
                                                                                                  Dept of
                                                                                                 Commerce
                    Business and Local Economic Development Organizations

  Associate          Economic                                    Innovation
                                                                                 City & County
Development         Development       Trade Associations         Partnership
                                                                                 Government
Organizations         Councils                                     Zones
                                                     WEDC 1.4                                                  22
Pacific Northwest is an innovation powerhouse
                                                      PNWER Region (GDP/Pop.)
                                                 State/Prov. GDP*      Population
                                               Wash. 322,778                           6,549,224
                                               Alberta 291,300                         3,735,086
                                               B.C.    191,006                         4,551,853
                                               Oregon 161,573                          3,782,991
                                               Idaho    52,747                         1,545,801
                                               Alaska 47,912                             686,293
                                               Sask.    41,296                         1,049,701
                                               Montana 29,885                            974,989
     If PNWER were a                           NW Terr. 4,124                             41,464
  If PNWER were a
     separate country,
  separate country,th in                       Yukon     2,026                            34,157
   it would rank 14
         total 14th
it would rankGDP in                            Total 1,144,647                        22,901,559
       total GDP
                                               *2009 population & GDP in $US Million
                                               Data provided by PNWER – Pacific Northwest Economic Region
                           WA Economic Development Commission                                         23
WA Economic Development Commission   24

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Four pillars for economic growth and job creation by Egils Milbergs

  • 1. Four Pillars for Economic Growth and Job Creation Making it in Washington February 1, 2012 Egils Milbergs Executive Director Washington Economic Development Commission www.wedc.wa.gov
  • 3. Recovery: Non-farm Employment Monthly difference with start of recession (Q4 2007) 50 0 Difference with Initial Period Employment (Thousands of Workers) -50 -100 -150 -200 -208.1 2001 Recession (3 quarters) Since Q4 2007 -250 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 Months of Recovery Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics
  • 4. Non-farm Employment Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area 1,500 Line indicates employment level in April 2008 (recent max) 1,480 1,460 -71.2 1,440 -118.9 1,420 1,400 1,380 1,360 1,340 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Aug-07 Aug-08 Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Dec-07 Feb-08 Dec-08 Feb-09 Dec-09 Feb-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Dec-11 Oct-07 Jun-08 Oct-08 Jun-09 Oct-09 Jun-10 Oct-10 Jun-11 Oct-11 Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics
  • 5. Key Performance Comparisons (by range, state rank and trend) Washington’s Rank Real per capita GDP, 2010 #14 $29,318 $45,464 $63,090 AK, DE, CT Non-farm employment 1.8% ND, OK, UT #11 -0.8% 4.9% growth, Nov ‘11 3mma Per capita personal #14 $31,046 $43,564 $54,877 CT, MA, NJ income, 2010 (current USD) Gini Coefficient, #19 0.499 0.442 0.411 UT, AK, NH 2005-2009 (Scale in reverse) Computer and mathematical occupations, #3 0.8% 4.0% 5.1% VA, MD, WA as % total workforce, 2010 (More than double 2005) Patents (all types) per 100k #2 86 VT, WA, CA 4.6 residents WEDC 1.4 106.8 5
  • 6. Non-farm Absolute Gains and Losses, Year-over-Year Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area, November 2011 (1000s workers) Largest Gains Transportation Equipment Mfg 8.63 Computer Systems Design and Related Services 3.73 Software Publishers 1.83 Architectural, Engineering and Related Services 1.77 Administrative and Support Services 1.30 Air Transportation -0.03 Largest Losses Truck Transportation -0.33 Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping and Payroll -0.33 Insurance Carriers and Related Activities -0.33 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities -0.63 Data source: Washington State Employment Security Department.
  • 7. The Good and the Bad Reasons for Optimism Reasons for Pessimism • Young, connected, smart people • Global uncertainty • Strong anchor companies: • Long term unemployed aerospace, food, information • Skills mismatch technology, medical, non-profit • Short on engineering talent • Intellectual property hotspot • Underperforming schools • Attractive place to live • Poor transport infrastructure • No income tax • Lagging regions • Pacific Rim location • Income disparity • Potential defense opportunities • Cost/complexity to start a new • Growing entrepreneurial sector business. • Abundant energy sources WEDC 1.4 7
  • 8. To accelerate job creation, WA must make progress on four dimensions Emphasize career transition, access to learning Intellect resources and the skills that employers need. Create innovation ecosystem to foster Investment new products, start-ups and manufacturing. Design a 21st century infrastructure, an efficient Infrastructure regulatory system and align to regional objectives. International Grow the global presence of Washington’s business. WEDC 1.4 8
  • 9. Policy Specifics Around the Four Pillars TALENT and INVESTMENT INFRASTRUCTURE INTERNATIONAL WORKFORCE and and REGULATIONS BUSINES ENTREPRENEURSHIP (Exports) 1. Channel talent 1. Assess economic pipeline to 1. Recruit STARs development 1. Optimize export industry needs research teams outcomes. services to SMEs 2. Shift focus of UI 2. Provide 2. Create Lean 2. Modernize to support new operational funds Institute for transportation career prep. for IPZs regulatory infrastructure for efficiency freight mobility 3. Retain foreign 3. Turn on FDI student 3. Align infrastructure 3. Intensify graduates 4. Enhance tax policy investments to innovation to close gaps in local priorities collaboration in the 4. Navigate career commercialization Pacific Northwest. choices with 4. Pilot self financing personalized of collaborative information innovation. SOURCE: Statement of Priorities for Kick-starting Job Creation, Washington Economic Development Commission, Nov 22 , 2011 WEDC 1.4 9
  • 10. Workforce Challenge Prof Prof Technical Technical Unskilled Unskilled WA Economic Development Commission 10
  • 11. Washington STAR Researchers Smart Grid UW WSU – BSEL Center for Bioproducts and Bioenergy Hugh Hillhouse Michael Hochberg Birgitte Ahring Daniel Kirschen WSU Chen-Ching Liu
  • 12. Faces of Emerging Industries Entrepreneurs-in-Residence Lars Johansson Henry Berg David Kaplan Lewis Rumpler Kevin Petersen Chris Leyerle Ronald Berenson Stephanie Amoss David Croniser Bryan Zetlan Karen Fleckner Terri Butler Ken Myer Thomas Schulte Peter Quinn Jeff Canin
  • 13. Startup Weekend WA Economic Development Commission 13
  • 14. Opportunities in Defense Technology 191,000 jobs Whidbey Island $12.2 billion in output Naval Air $10.5 billion in labor income Naval Station $5.2 billion in defense contracts Naval Submarine Everett Base Bangor Spokane Fairchild AFB US Coast Guard Intelligence, Surveillance, and Recon Special forces and special operations WA Nat’l Guard Network-centric operations Puget Sound Cyber security Naval Shipyard Composite materials Joint Base  Unmanned systems – both air and sea Lewis McChord  Energy efficiency Madigan Medical Center Environmental stewardship Health care for veterans US Army, Yakima US Marine Corps 14
  • 15. Transforming Infrastructure Leave oil before it leaves us! Post “ICE” Age? Internal Combustion Engine WA Economic Development Commission 15 15
  • 16. Innovation Partnership Zones Bellingham Innovation Zone Aerospace Convergence Zone North Olympic IPZ Tri-Cities Research District South Lake Union Life Science IPZ Spokane University District IPZ Bothell Biomedical Manufacturing Corridor Central Washington Resource Energy Collaborative Grays Harbor Sustainable Industries Pullman –Clean Tech Industries Walla Walla IPZ Interactive Media and Digital Arts King County Financial Services Collaborative Urban Clean Water Technology Zone
  • 17. Washington’s Global Health Ecosystem WA Economic Development Commission 17
  • 18. •University based research centers Innovation •National Labs (gov’t) •Corporate Labs Ecosystem R&D Assets •Inventors (patent owners) Not just ingredients but the •Entrepreneurs relationships •Start-ups T •Incubators •Technology Development Initiatives Transformers •Industry University Collaborations •Government Policies/Programs/Incentives •Venture Capital S •Angel/Seed Networks •Corporate R&D T Funders •IPOs •Regional Innovation Clusters •Talent pool S Support •Professional (Legal, Accounting, HR , Mentors) •Marketing and Branding WA Economic Development Commission Adapted from Navi Radjou, Forrester Research 18
  • 19. Innovation Ecosystems Evolve Transformational Innovation Growth Triggers Emerging Many nodes Dense linkages Accelerated Talent Region to Region Nascent collaboration Next generation IPZs Many linkages STARS Attraction of firms Few to many firms EIRs Fast growth Patents Some linkages None or few firms Incubators Growth potential Tax R&D Incentives Gap Funding SBIR WA Economic Development Commission 19
  • 20.
  • 21. Fiscal constraints require new priorities Some difficult choices for economic development Jobs Reduce Create Income Distribution Economic Development Tough Per capita GDP Outcomes Programs Trade-offs growth Eliminate Invest Quality of life Tax revenues WEDC 1.4 21
  • 22. Current Economic Development System Many pieces, but how do they work together? Governor’s Office Dept. of Strategic Reserve Account Defense Dept. of Social & Dept of Commerce WSDOT Dept. of Agriculture Federal Health Service 18 Programs 2 Programs 5 Programs Labs 3 Programs Federal Programs Employment SBA OSPI /Early Workforce Training Security WA SBCTC Learning Board Department 10 Programs 3Programs 2 Programs 15 Programs Dept. of Agriculture Washington State Recreation & University of WA Innovate WA University Conservation Office 6 Programs 8 Programs 5 Programs 14 Programs SBIR/STTR 36 other state economic programs Dept of Commerce Business and Local Economic Development Organizations Associate Economic Innovation City & County Development Development Trade Associations Partnership Government Organizations Councils Zones WEDC 1.4 22
  • 23. Pacific Northwest is an innovation powerhouse PNWER Region (GDP/Pop.) State/Prov. GDP* Population Wash. 322,778 6,549,224 Alberta 291,300 3,735,086 B.C. 191,006 4,551,853 Oregon 161,573 3,782,991 Idaho 52,747 1,545,801 Alaska 47,912 686,293 Sask. 41,296 1,049,701 Montana 29,885 974,989 If PNWER were a NW Terr. 4,124 41,464 If PNWER were a separate country, separate country,th in Yukon 2,026 34,157 it would rank 14 total 14th it would rankGDP in Total 1,144,647 22,901,559 total GDP *2009 population & GDP in $US Million Data provided by PNWER – Pacific Northwest Economic Region WA Economic Development Commission 23
  • 24. WA Economic Development Commission 24