« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Please note that our risk-based benchmark (cross-asset allocation calibrated to a given C-Var), our tilted portfolio (with tactical overlay exposures implied by the market views expressed above), as well as the corresponding main characteristics (usual statistics, risk contributions, backtests…), are available only for our subscribers.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Please note that our risk-based benchmark (cross-asset allocation calibrated to a given C-Var), our tilted portfolio (with tactical overlay exposures implied by the market views expressed above), as well as the corresponding main characteristics (usual statistics, risk contributions, backtests…), are available only for our subscribers.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
These are our views (macro, technical as well as quantitative) on the financial markets for the month to come...
FinLight Research is a quantitative cross-asset research firm with an expertise in real assets analysis and a focus on some specific issues: risk budgeting, asset allocation, trading systems and business intelligence.
From here, we are rethinking, day after day, the investment paradigm, preparing optimally for what lies ahead… This is our pretension!
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Please note that our risk-based benchmark (cross-asset allocation calibrated to a given C-Var), our tilted portfolio (with tactical overlay exposures implied by the market views expressed above), as well as the corresponding main characteristics (usual statistics, risk contributions, backtests…), are available only for our subscribers.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Please note that our risk-based benchmark (cross-asset allocation calibrated to a given C-Var), our tilted portfolio (with tactical overlay exposures implied by the market views expressed above), as well as the corresponding main characteristics (usual statistics, risk contributions, backtests…), are available only for our subscribers.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Please note that our risk-based benchmark (cross-asset allocation calibrated to a given C-Var), our tilted portfolio (with tactical overlay exposures implied by the market views expressed above), as well as the corresponding main characteristics (usual statistics, risk contributions, backtests…), are available only for our subscribers.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
These are our views (macro, technical as well as quantitative) on the financial markets for the month to come...
FinLight Research is a quantitative cross-asset research firm with an expertise in real assets analysis and a focus on some specific issues: risk budgeting, asset allocation, trading systems and business intelligence.
From here, we are rethinking, day after day, the investment paradigm, preparing optimally for what lies ahead… This is our pretension!
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
Please note that our risk-based benchmark (cross-asset allocation calibrated to a given C-Var), our tilted portfolio (with tactical overlay exposures implied by the market views expressed above), as well as the corresponding main characteristics (usual statistics, risk contributions, backtests…), are available only for our subscribers.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
These are our views (macro, technical as well as quantitative) on the financial markets for the month to come...
FinLight Research is a quantitative cross-asset research firm with an expertise in real assets analysis and a focus on some specific issues: risk budgeting, asset allocation, trading systems and business intelligence.
From here, we are rethinking, day after day, the investment paradigm, preparing optimally for what lies ahead… This is our pretension!
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera progressivement enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
Toutes nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
THIRD QUARTER 2015 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE We’ve Seen This Movie BeforeRobert Champion
Global markets remained in turmoil as concerns regarding the global economy persisted. While much of the international focus was centred around the slowing economy in China, there were few places that investors could hide as even cash, paying little to negative interest in some parts of the world, was a relative winner in the quarter.
Market Outlooks
We leverage a global network of investment consultants and researchers to deliver industry specific knowledge and dynamic tools, which allows our clients to make informed strategic investment decisions.
Similar to Finlight Research - Market Perspectives - Jul 2015 (11)
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• Real GDP growth slowed down due to problems with access to electricity caused by the destruction of manoeuvrable electricity generation by Russian drones and missiles.
• Exports and imports continued growing due to better logistics through the Ukrainian sea corridor and road. Polish farmers and drivers stopped blocking borders at the end of April.
• In April, both the Tax and Customs Services over-executed the revenue plan. Moreover, the NBU transferred twice the planned profit to the budget.
• The European side approved the Ukraine Plan, which the government adopted to determine indicators for the Ukraine Facility. That approval will allow Ukraine to receive a EUR 1.9 bn loan from the EU in May. At the same time, the EU provided Ukraine with a EUR 1.5 bn loan in April, as the government fulfilled five indicators under the Ukraine Plan.
• The USA has finally approved an aid package for Ukraine, which includes USD 7.8 bn of budget support; however, the conditions and timing of the assistance are still unknown.
• As in March, annual consumer inflation amounted to 3.2% yoy in April.
• At the April monetary policy meeting, the NBU again reduced the key policy rate from 14.5% to 13.5% per annum.
• Over the past four weeks, the hryvnia exchange rate has stabilized in the UAH 39-40 per USD range.
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...Amil baba
Contact with Dawood Bhai Just call on +92322-6382012 and we'll help you. We'll solve all your problems within 12 to 24 hours and with 101% guarantee and with astrology systematic. If you want to take any personal or professional advice then also you can call us on +92322-6382012 , ONLINE LOVE PROBLEM & Other all types of Daily Life Problem's.Then CALL or WHATSAPP us on +92322-6382012 and Get all these problems solutions here by Amil Baba DAWOOD BANGALI
#vashikaranspecialist #astrologer #palmistry #amliyaat #taweez #manpasandshadi #horoscope #spiritual #lovelife #lovespell #marriagespell#aamilbabainpakistan #amilbabainkarachi #powerfullblackmagicspell #kalajadumantarspecialist #realamilbaba #AmilbabainPakistan #astrologerincanada #astrologerindubai #lovespellsmaster #kalajaduspecialist #lovespellsthatwork #aamilbabainlahore#blackmagicformarriage #aamilbaba #kalajadu #kalailam #taweez #wazifaexpert #jadumantar #vashikaranspecialist #astrologer #palmistry #amliyaat #taweez #manpasandshadi #horoscope #spiritual #lovelife #lovespell #marriagespell#aamilbabainpakistan #amilbabainkarachi #powerfullblackmagicspell #kalajadumantarspecialist #realamilbaba #AmilbabainPakistan #astrologerincanada #astrologerindubai #lovespellsmaster #kalajaduspecialist #lovespellsthatwork #aamilbabainlahore #blackmagicforlove #blackmagicformarriage #aamilbaba #kalajadu #kalailam #taweez #wazifaexpert #jadumantar #vashikaranspecialist #astrologer #palmistry #amliyaat #taweez #manpasandshadi #horoscope #spiritual #lovelife #lovespell #marriagespell#aamilbabainpakistan #amilbabainkarachi #powerfullblackmagicspell #kalajadumantarspecialist #realamilbaba #AmilbabainPakistan #astrologerincanada #astrologerindubai #lovespellsmaster #kalajaduspecialist #lovespellsthatwork #aamilbabainlahore #Amilbabainuk #amilbabainspain #amilbabaindubai #Amilbabainnorway #amilbabainkrachi #amilbabainlahore #amilbabaingujranwalan #amilbabainislamabad
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
NO1 Uk Black Magic Specialist Expert In Sahiwal, Okara, Hafizabad, Mandi Bah...Amil Baba Dawood bangali
Contact with Dawood Bhai Just call on +92322-6382012 and we'll help you. We'll solve all your problems within 12 to 24 hours and with 101% guarantee and with astrology systematic. If you want to take any personal or professional advice then also you can call us on +92322-6382012 , ONLINE LOVE PROBLEM & Other all types of Daily Life Problem's.Then CALL or WHATSAPP us on +92322-6382012 and Get all these problems solutions here by Amil Baba DAWOOD BANGALI
#vashikaranspecialist #astrologer #palmistry #amliyaat #taweez #manpasandshadi #horoscope #spiritual #lovelife #lovespell #marriagespell#aamilbabainpakistan #amilbabainkarachi #powerfullblackmagicspell #kalajadumantarspecialist #realamilbaba #AmilbabainPakistan #astrologerincanada #astrologerindubai #lovespellsmaster #kalajaduspecialist #lovespellsthatwork #aamilbabainlahore#blackmagicformarriage #aamilbaba #kalajadu #kalailam #taweez #wazifaexpert #jadumantar #vashikaranspecialist #astrologer #palmistry #amliyaat #taweez #manpasandshadi #horoscope #spiritual #lovelife #lovespell #marriagespell#aamilbabainpakistan #amilbabainkarachi #powerfullblackmagicspell #kalajadumantarspecialist #realamilbaba #AmilbabainPakistan #astrologerincanada #astrologerindubai #lovespellsmaster #kalajaduspecialist #lovespellsthatwork #aamilbabainlahore #blackmagicforlove #blackmagicformarriage #aamilbaba #kalajadu #kalailam #taweez #wazifaexpert #jadumantar #vashikaranspecialist #astrologer #palmistry #amliyaat #taweez #manpasandshadi #horoscope #spiritual #lovelife #lovespell #marriagespell#aamilbabainpakistan #amilbabainkarachi #powerfullblackmagicspell #kalajadumantarspecialist #realamilbaba #AmilbabainPakistan #astrologerincanada #astrologerindubai #lovespellsmaster #kalajaduspecialist #lovespellsthatwork #aamilbabainlahore #Amilbabainuk #amilbabainspain #amilbabaindubai #Amilbabainnorway #amilbabainkrachi #amilbabainlahore #amilbabaingujranwalan #amilbabainislamabad
2. “Oxi!”
– Greek voters, July 5, 2015
“The stock market is a voting machine rather
than a weighing machine. It responds to factual
data not directly, but only as they affect the
decisions of buyers and sellers. ”
- Graham and Dodd
2
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
3. Executive Summary: Global Asset Allocation
Major asset markets are flat YTD… Global financial markets declined in June
as volatility increased into month end as a result of uncertainty over the
Greek Drama and collapse in Chinese stocks
We believe that the market is underestimating the current situation in Greece
and the systemic contagion it can induce. Greece is the symptom of a
much more profound disease that affects the entire EMU, if not the entire
QE-addicted economic system.
We still believe that equity markets are living on borrowed time., and now
teetering dangerously close to the point of no return.
Rising inflationary expectations are about to change the existing
dynamic in place, on interest rates, stocks, forex and commodities
We continue to expect higher default rates and higher volatility as banks
are likely to be more restrictive in their lending standards
The prospect of rising interest rates, a stronger US dollar and economic
uncertainty , could also be a trigger for higher cross-asset volatility.
Thus, a confluence of forces are converging to disrupt global equity and debt
markets.
We reiterate our view: A perfect storm is building… It combines historically
overvalued stocks with stretched government bonds and corporate credits.
Unlike previous storms (2000, 2008), investors would be left with almost
no place to hide.
We summarize our views as follows
3
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4. MACRO VIEW
The Good
Earnings estimates have halted the recent decline and are looking better
Consumer confidence stands is in a good shape
Real PCE, as Real disposable personal income, are showing signs of strength
Existing home sales hit the highest level since 2009
ISM manufacturing remained solid
The Bad
Labor force participation rate tumbled to its lowest level since October 1977
Economic activity momentum in China is slowing. The carnage in stocks is continuing.
Credit growth in China is now in uncharted territory, with total volume of credit growth 3x that of
2007
The drama in Greece is driving up uncertainty
The Ugly
Greece remains the wild card. With recurrent failures in finding a deal, the door seems now
opened to uncharted waters…
Main systemic risk resides in China: After a decade of economic boom, China has
accumulated significant imbalances. China’s economy is supported by approximately six trillion
dollars of 'shadow debt', coupled with an unprecedented credit-fueled construction madness.
4
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5. 5
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The Big Four Economic Indicators
The overall picture had been one of a slow recovery, but there is no indication of a recession using the
indicators monitored by the NBER.
Over the last months, Industrial Production has been the weak outlier
The current picture is characterized by relatively strong Employment and Income, and erratic Real
Sales.
6. 6
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Capacity Utilization
Capacity utilization for the
industrial sector
decreased 0.2% in May to
78.1%
It stands 2% below its
long-run (1972–2014)
average.
An interim peak is now
visible at the end of
2014
7. 7
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
Retail Sales
After 4 months of anemic growth, Retail Sales jumped up: +1.2% in May and the previous 2 months
revised higher. May is the third month of growth following three months of contraction
Real Retail Sales have returned to its growth trendline. Thus, the dip in sales we witnessed in early
2015 seems to be linked to the severe winter.
Retail Sales have been boosted by well oriented PCE and Personal Income: On a YoY basis, Real
PCE rose 3.4%. Real Disposable Personal Income rose 3.5%, with real wages and salaries rising 4.8%.
8. 8
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Consumer Sentiment
The University of Michigan final
Consumer Sentiment for June came in at
96.1, a small increase from the 94.6 June
preliminary reading
the Conference Board's consumer
confidence jumped up from 94.6 to 101.4.
Both measure confirm the uptrend in
consumer optimism.
9. 9
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Households Net Worth
Consumer optimism is closely linked to its net worth…
10. 10
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Real Estate
The US housing market is rebounding
Existing home sales hit the highest level since 2009. Sales in May (5.35 million SAAR) are up 5.1%
MoM and 9.2% YoY
The Case Shiller Index was up 4.9% YoY
11. 11
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GS – Global Leading Indicator (GLI)
The May Final GLI came in at
1.7%yoy. It momentum stands at
0.22%.
According to last estimation, GLI
growth has been positive and
increasing since February. But this
‘Expansion’ phase is anemic and
crossing the border to the
“Slowdown” phase could occur
anytime.
Four of the ten underlying
components of the GLI improved in
June
We continue to think that the
acceleration we’ve been
witnessing since Jan. ‘15 is quite
modest for a typical expansion
phase
12. 12
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Velocity of Money
The velocity of money (GNP/Money Supply) has been declining since 2006. The velocity of money
is now at its lowest level since at least 1959
This decline is the proof that the GNP growth we’ve seen since 2009 is mainly due to the growth in
money supply.
Could that be a sign of a healthy economy?
13. 13
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
Chinese Economy
Latest PMI data signaled a further
loss of growth momentum in China’s
economy at the end of Q2-2015
Both manufacturing and services PMI's
are weakening, and are now close to
multi-year bottoms.
Manufacturing is flirting with contraction
14. 14
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EQUITY
From our June Report: “the market seems trapped in a sideways trading range, probably awaiting a
catalyst to breakout one way or another”.
Finally, the market seems to be getting out of its lethargy, as the Chinese equity bubble bursts and
the drama in Greece shakes investors’ nonchalance. Market is teetering dangerously close to the
point of no return.
At this stage, there is no sign yet of a bearish trend formation… A rebound is still possible if the
Greek issue is solved (at least temporarily) and EPS forecasts improve
Recent data shows more evidence of lower productivity, lower potential GDP growth and higher
inflation risk. This is a bad scenario for stocks
We still believe that equity markets are living on borrowed time because…Earnings season hasn't
provided the catalyst needed for the breakout to the upside
Stocks are sailing a seasonally unfavorable period, with no earnings growth expected in the first half
of 2015
Valuations are well above historical norms, especially when we take into account the slower
revenue growth, the lower margins and the starting wage pressures
The coming rate hikes will depress all asset prices for at least a part of next year
Bottom line :
Nothing new compared to our previous report. We remain Neutral equities as long as they stay
trapped in their sideways trading range
15. 15
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
EQUITY
We may revise our view to OW after a clean break of the 2075-2125 range to the upside on the
S&P500, and to UW below the trend since Nov. ‘12 lows
We still think it is wise to incrementally "de-risk" your portfolios by focusing on higher quality / more
defensive / more favorably priced companies
We remain OW on Japan (always on an FX hedged basis) as we see further upside for
Japanese stocks driven by an exit from deflation, the improvement in macro data and corporate
earnings momentum.
Despite outperforming, Japan is still cheap compared to the US / Europe
European equities had given up all of their post QE outperformance before recent developments
We remain Neutral on Europe vs. US despite the policy divergence between the Fed and the
ECB.
According to the 12 month forward P/E, Europe is trading at 15 year highs, relative to the
US
Relative data surprises are turning in favor of the US.
We remain OW EM stocks (ex-China) given the improvement in relative growth forecasts in EM
vs DM and the strong momentum in place. For months, we’ve advised to stay away of Chinese
stocks. And we proved correct.in that.
We remain UW in US small caps vs large caps.
16. 16
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US Earnings
For Q2 2015, 80 companies have issued negative
EPS guidance and 27 companies have issued
positive EPS guidance
The 12-month forward P/E ratio for the S&P 500 now
stands at 16.5, well above historical averages: 5-
year (13.9), 10-year (14.1)
The earnings momentum for the S&P 500 has
deteriorated a lot since Jan.. ‘15
Factset is expecting +2.2% q2 ’15 earnings growth
if Energy is excluded, and -4.5% if the sector is
included.
For Q2 2015, year-over-year earnings for the S&P
500 are projected to decline by 4.5%. The energy
sector remains the largest contributor to earnings
decline for the index.
Based on Factset data, analysts predict YoY
earnings declines to continue through Q3-2015, but
still expect EPS to reach record levels in Q4-2015
17. 17
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
US Earnings
Crestmont's graph presents the
historical trend for actual
reported EPS (as well as S&P’s
EPS forecasts), and puts into
perspective current and
forecast EPS relatively to the
long-term trend for EPS
S&P's EPS forecasts for 2015
have been decreasing, so far.
18. 18
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EPS Consensus
Over the last 18 months, EPS consensus saw strong downgrades in all main regions except in Japan
where earnings have seen a strong upgrade
19. 19
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US vs European Equities
Relative performance of European
equities vs US equities could
decomposed into 3 phases:
H2-2014: Europe lagged the US
on disappointing growth data
Q1-2015: Europe caught up and
outperformed thanks to ECB QE;
Since April: The dynamic has
turned south. Most of the
previous outperformance is
erased.
We keep our previous positioning
and remain Neutral on Europe vs.
US
20. 20
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
Transportation Sector
Transports are giving a negative Dow
Theory signal.
The DJ Transportation Average:
continues to lag the DJ Industrial
Average by about 10%
momentum has been negative since
April
Has already broken major supports to
the downside
21. 21
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S&P500 – A Long-Term Perspective
The market remains in overvaluation territory. This is the message sent by Q-Ratio.
It’s worth noting that Q-Ratio is appropriate for judging long-run expected returns, but clearly not for
short-term moves.
22. 22
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S&P500 – A Technical Perspective
The S&P500 has preserved its 55-
wma during the last 162 weeks, the
third longest period since the 80’s.
The level to focus on into Friday’s
close is the 55-wma at 2,039…
23. 23
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S&P500 – A Medium-Term Perspective
S&P500 momentum is waning
The level to focus on into Friday’s
close is the 55-wma at 2,040…
A clear earnings improvement is
probably the only way (except Fed
intervention) to keep the index
afloat…
… Because it looks like we’ve never
been closer to a decided
downtrend, overs the last years
Breaking through the trendline across
the lows since Oct. ‘11 (~1980) would
completely change the picture.
24. 24
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Trading Model – S&P500
As of July 6th, our prop. Short-Term trading model is modestly long on the S&P500 (2068.76).
The model is long since June 29th (2057.64)
Out of the 8 active systems, 5 are long with 2082 and 2103 as targets, when the 3 others are short
with targets at 2026 and 2041
Below 2041, the trading model becomes massively long… 2041 is again the level to watch closely!
25. 25
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
Investor Sentiment
According to the latest American
Association of Individual Investors
Sentiment Survey, bulls are now as
rare as during the 2008 meltdown:
Only 22.6% of individual investors are
bullish over the next 6 months, well
below the long-term average of 38.8%.
Given the contrarian nature of this
indicator, we don’t feel comfortable
with a short positioning right now
26. 26
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
Investor Sentiment - S&P500 Skew
US equity options already appear to
price a less optimistic scenario.
The 6 month &P500 skew stands at
very high levels, similar to those seen
in 2010 (double-dip scare) and 2011-
2012 (first European financial crisis)
27. 27
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Cross-Asset Volatility
With the Greek drama, we saw a broad-
based rise in implied vols, led by
equities (VIX, VSTOXX) and credit (vol in
iTraxx Main and CDX.IG)
28. 28
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
Chinese Stocks: SHCOMP
Shanghai Composite Index is now
breaking below its trend across the
lows since Oct. ’14 (~3770). Next
level to watch: 3600
The index has to find a base
somewhere above 3,450. Otherwise,
the picture will become scaring…
The present carnage is amazingly
in line with the “bubble scenario”
we presented in our May report
(graph below)
29. 29
FIXED INCOME & CREDIT
Rates should rise. Sentiment is shifting on inflation expectations, Treasuries falling across the
board and volatility going up.
We believe the higher volatility regime in fixed-income is here to stay.
Inflationary signs should be watched closely as they will foreshadow a steepening decline in govies.
We still expect the Fed to raise rates in September, when the market continues to price such a
scenario at about 40% chance (little more than two 25bp tightening over the next year). UST yields
remain underpriced relative to this scenario.
We expect negative total returns on USTs. We still look for the bear market on USTs to resume.
We’ve been Neutral UST since end of Nov. ’14 and decided to remain so as far as the 10y UST yield
remains below 2.25. Given the last yield move, we are now UW 10y USTs and moved to 2.30 the
threshold below which we become Neutral again. Our ultimate target on 10y yields stands at
2.75 by the end of 2015.
On German Bund, our target zone of 0.75-0.90 were reached and, as expected, we switched from
UW to Neutral. We remain Neutral on German Bund (within the sovereign FI asset class) as long as
the 10-year yield stays above the 0.45 – 0.50 area.
We will switch to UW again as the 10-year yield breaks above 1.00.
Inflation breakevens have risen since the start of the year. We remain OW HICP Inflation through 5y
inflation swaps (long HICP inflation breakevens = receiving HICP vs payind fixed rate) as we expect
a steady pick-up in HICP inflation over 2H15
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
30. 30
FIXED INCOME & CREDIT
EM corporate credit outperformed most major asset classes in June
Credit quality deteriorates further in Q1 both in IG and HY, as the releveraging continues to rise at
a sustained pace
Fundamentals in US HY continued to deteriorate with 3 more defaults pushing the US default rate to
over 2% for the first time since 2013
Credit spreads have widened as credit markets have de-risked on rising uncertainty around Greece.
Lower rated new-issue volume has been increasing since the financial crisis. That should drive the
default rate higher and HY spreads wider.
2Q15 is on track to see the highest volume of M&A since 2007 this is usually credit negative as
corporates focus on shareholder returns at the expense of creditors.
We remain UW on corporate credit, due to valuation, to rising corporate leverage (specially in the
US), to rising volatility, to position within the credit cycle and given the weak total return forecast
Within the credit pocket, and over the very short-term, we stick with our preference for Eurozone HY
corps vs US HY corps, because of the ECB massive QE, more resilient macro in the Eurozone, and
the still elevated beta of US credit spreads to oil prices. Institutional allocation to HY is completely
influenced by the ECB-QE. That should support European HY till the Fed hikes its rates.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
31. 31
FIXED INCOME & CREDIT
However, we still prefer US IG over Eurozone.IG, as we think that more attractive spread valuations
and higher carry should fuel a stronger bid for US credit.
our view, lower EUR yields relative to the USD market should fuel a stronger bid for US spreads given
more attractive spread valuations and higher carry.
We still prefer IG over HY on a risk-adjusted basis as we expect higher volatility on spreads
Bottom line : UW Govies, UW US vs Eurozone Govies, remain long flatteners on the US yield curve,
UW credit, OW Eurozone vs US HY credit, UW Eurozone vs US IG credit, Neutral TIPS and OW HICP
Inflation, UW High Yield vs High Grade, Neutral on EM corporates
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
32. 32
US Govies – 10y UST
We’ve been Neutral UST since end
of Nov. ’14.
Our previous positioning : “Our
medium-term outlook would stay
neutral as far as the 10y UST yield
remains below 2.25., and move
UW above to play the long awaited
bear market on USTs.”
Thus, we are now UW 10y USTs
and moved to 2.30 the threshold
below which we become Neutral
again.
We think that the risk is still
biased to the upside on the 10y
yield.
In order to confirm our bearish
view, a clean break above 2.50 is
needed.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
33. 33
US Credit – HY Default Rates
At this stage, the risk of rising
defaults / downgrades remains low
But the picture could change
quickly.
Net percentage of senior loan
officers that are tightening lending
C&I standards provides a good
predictor of realized default rates
At just -5.3% net tightening, a
jump to net tightening seems
imminent.
Such a move would give a negative
signal for credit and induce an
increase in its volatility.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
34. 34
Credit – Corporate Leverage
Credit quality deteriorates
further in Q1 both in IG and HY,
as the releveraging continues to
rise at a sustained pace
Leverage is drifting up, in the US
as in Europe, and has reached the
levels at the height of the last credit
cycle
This drift in leverage is driven by:
rising net debt in the US
Falling EBIDTA in Europe
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
35. 35
Credit – US IG vs EUR IG
we remain UW on Eurozone vs
US IG, mainly for 2 reasons:
Spread valuation remains
more attractive in the US
relative to Europe
The carry differential
between the US and
Eurozone (like other DM
markets) would support US
credit through a sustained
foreign demand.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
36. 36
EXCHANGE RATES
As expected, the weakness in USD was temporary. We reiterate our bullish view on USD over the
medium-term.
Historically, USD cycles have been persistent, lasting 5-6 years in the appreciation phase. We thus see
further medium term USD gains against the major crosses (especially EUR and JPY) and expect a
cyclical low in EUR/USD somewhere in 2016 (with the ECB tapering)
The DXY uptrend is still intact even if the pace slows. But current dollar valuation implies 25 to 50 bps
higher rates in the US. Without a September hike the uptrend on the US dollar may be damaged
seriously.
Our positioning on USD is driven by the same trading rules:
The sharp reversal on EUR-USD we’ve seen last month (mainly driven by Bunds) failed to break the
July ‘14 downtrend. We remain Neutral on EUR-USD as long as it stays between 1.1040 and
1.145. We will move back to UW if the spot breaks below 1.1040 (always with the same targets at
1.0843 and 1.07), and to OW above 1.145
On USD-JPY, we remain Neutral for the moment
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
37. 37
EUR-USD
EUR-USD is still consolidating
below its July ‘14 downtrend
(currently around 1.124).
We remain Neutral as long as
the pivot stays between 1.1040
and 1.145
We will move back to UW if the
spot breaks below 1.1040 (always
with the same targets at 1.0843
and 1.07), and to OW above 1.145
Only a clean break in either
direction is able to shed light on
the next short-term move.
We keep our bearish bias, for
the moment.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
38. 38
COMMODITY
Commodities continued their slide in June, despite the sharp gains posted by agricultural
commodities (near 13% on the S&P GSCI Agri. Index).
We are still neutral-to-bearish across many complexes in the near term. To mid-2016, return forecasts
are negative for commodities as a whole.
Despite the rally seen in April (mainly driven by a weaker US dollar and expectation of more
stimulus in China), the trend remains bearish. There is no indication of a bottom formation yet.
Global commodity prices could stay suppressed as less demand from China leads to greater
oversupply
Energy remains a large share of operating costs for the commodity complex. Decreasing oil prices
(coupled with a stronger dollar) would induce a cost deflation across the commodity asset class and
drive prices lower.
We think that it is still too early to get in the “reflation trade” of a weaker dollar and higher
commodity prices
We remain UW commodities. We continue, however, to like owning the GSCI index, and think
that commodities hold value as cross-asset portfolio diversifiers and as an inflation hedge.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
39. 39
COMMODITY
Bottom Line :
Base Metals: Base metals don’t appear to be stabilizing yet. We remain Neutral on base metals, but
do not like holding Copper as it appears highly overvalued relative to the dollar and the global growth.
Agriculture: In our May Report, we decided to tactically switch from UW to Neutral because of the
bearish bets on agricultural commodities accumulated by managed money. A crowded deal we didn’t
like. We stay Neutral despite the sharp gains posted over June (especially on last days of Q2),led by
Wheat, Corn and Soybeans.
We are tempted by an OW on Agris but that is now a crowded deal (again). Two weeks ago, HFs swung
bullish by the most on record. We also expect an increase in volatility due to less cooperative wheather
conditions.
OW temptation could be justified by:
After two straight years of strong crops, this year is starting to look different for weather reasons.
The potential for a strong El Nino will completely change the path of grain prices for the coming
months.
For Wheat, the U.S. Department of Agriculture has already reported that both inventories and
acreage planted this year are below analyst expectations.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
40. 40
COMMODITY
Energy: We remain of the view that the oil market is oversupplied, and still seems ripe for a downside
price correction, as OPEC is unlikely to cut.
On July 2nd, we moved from Neutral to UW, as the spot dropped below 56
We will move to Neutral again if the WTI goes above 56.5 and to OW if the it breaks above 63
We still think it is too early to expect major upside for the price of oil as the US is sinking
deeper in a glut of excess oil
We expect WTI to retrace its recent lows of $45/bbl by October. Our S&P GSCI return forecasts
point to negative total returns.
Precious Metals: Nothing new since our previous report. Gold prices are still caught within range-bound
trading. Higher rates set to continue to exert fundamental pressure on gold price.
We change nothing to our view on precious metals. The stimulus provided by the ECB & BoJ is
already factored in gold prices. Precious metals are vulnerable to higher US real yields and
stronger dollar We maintain the view that Q3 15 is likely to be the weakest quarter for gold
We think that as long as gold is trading below 1225, it could be heading back down to test the
March low
We remain UW above 1150-1170 band. We will move Neutral below 1150 and switch
progressively to OW (accumulate) as the spot slides down towards 1000-980, which is likely
the final leg down. Only a clean break above 1225 may push us to reconsider our view.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
41. 41
COMMODITY
Silver is supported by Chinese imports. Our first target on silver stands at 14.70. We still think that
Silver (like gold) is probably ready for its final leg down towards 12.50. At current levels, we are
UW. we will switch progressively to OW (accumulate) as the spot breaks the first material
resistance around 14.70 and slides down towards 12.50
We may reconsider our UW position if the Silver breaks above 16.7-17.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
42. 42
Commodity Performance
In Q2, agricultural commodities posted sharp gains led by Wheat, Corn & Soybeans
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
43. 43
Crude Oil – Tech. Perspective
In our May report, we emphasized
the signs of exhaustion the spot
has shown near 63.
The report also says: “We will
move to OW if the WTI breaks
above 63, and to UW again if it
trades below 56.5 (to target March
lows)”
Thus, we’ve been UW since July
2nd.
The next important support to
watch stands at 52.3
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
44. 44
Gold
Since Feb ‘15, Gold has ranged
between 1150 and 1225.
We change nothing to our
strategy: We remain UW Gold. We
move Neutral below 1150 and
switch progressively to OW
(accumulate) as the spot slides
down towards 1000-980, which
is likely the final leg down.
Only a clean break above 1225
may push us to reconsider our
view.
We think that as long as gold is
trading below 1225, it could be
heading back down to test its
March lows.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
45. 45
ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES
Hedge funds posted significant declines for June, with the HFRX Absolute Return Index declining -
0.38%, while the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index declined -1.24%
Macro hedge fund strategies (both CTA and Discretionary Macro strategies) led the decline for the
month, with the HFRX Macro/CTA Index posting -2.66%.
The HFRX Macro Systematic Diversified/CTA Index did even worse and declined by -3.82%, the
worst performance since October 2011. Main sources of losses are exposures to equity, currencies
and commodities (especially short Agris).
HFRX Market Neutral Index gained +1.09%, its best monthly performance since October 2013 on
gains in factor based strategies and fundamental managers
HFRX Event Driven Index posted -1.00% as the global risk appetite declined, deteriorating deal
spreads.
Nonetheless, the HF industry outperformed U.S. equities (and most traditional assets) over 1H-
2015
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
46. 46
ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES
We stick to our preference for risk diversifiers (pure alpha generation strategies) over return
enhancers.
We believe that diversifying portfolios with an increased allocation to alternatives is particularly
attractive at this stage of the cycle.
We are not changing our recommendations on alternatives which we consider to be suited to current
market conditions. We maintain our OW positioning on:
Equity Market Neutrals both for their “intelligent” beta and their alpha contribution.
CTA’s and Global Macro as a diversifier and tail hedge.
Vol. Arb strategy and prefer funds that trade volatility globally (all assets / all regions). This is our
way to position for a higher volatility regime.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
47. 47
Macro Hedge Funds
Over the past six years, the Fed QE policy has driven equity volatility lower, weighing on hedge fund
returns…
We continue to like HFs as we think that volatility is currently switching to a higher regime
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
48. 48
Macro Hedge Funds
June 29 was a massive drawdown for Macro funds. Only the drawdowns in 2007 were larger.
Macro fund equity beta has surged to extreme levels, probably due to their important exposure to
peripheral govies.
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
49. 49
CTA Funds
A tight relationship has prevailed
between CTA returns and 10 year
yields till the end of May. ’15
this points to the significant long
duration positioning of CTAs till end
of May
luckily, this position has been
reduced on the beginning of June
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
50. Bottom Line: Global Asset Allocation
Major asset markets are flat YTD… Global financial markets declined in June
as volatility increased into month end as a result of uncertainty over the
Greek Drama and collapse in Chinese stocks
We believe that the market is underestimating the current situation in Greece
and the systemic contagion it can induce. Greece is the symptom of a
much more profound disease that affects the entire EMU, if not the entire
QE-addicted economic system.
We still believe that equity markets are living on borrowed time., and now
teetering dangerously close to the point of no return.
Rising inflationary expectations are about to change the existing
dynamic in place, on interest rates, stocks, forex and commodities
We continue to expect higher default rates and higher volatility as banks
are likely to be more restrictive in their lending standards
The prospect of rising interest rates, a stronger US dollar and economic
uncertainty , could also be a trigger for higher cross-asset volatility.
Thus, a confluence of forces are converging to disrupt global equity and debt
markets.
A perfect storm is building… It combines historically overvalued stocks with
stretched government bonds and corporate credits. Unlike previous storms
(2000, 2008), investors would be left with almost no place to hide.
We summarize our views as follows
50
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51. 51
Disclaimer
FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
This writing is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an
offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation regarding any
securities transaction, or as an offer to provide advisory or other services
by FinLight Research in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation,
purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such
jurisdiction. The information contained in this writing should not be
construed as financial or investment advice on any subject matter.
FinLight Research expressly disclaims all liability in respect to actions
taken based on any or all of the information on this writing.
52. About Us…
FinLight Research is a research-centric company focused on Asset Allocation from a top-down
perspective, on Portfolio Construction, and all related quantitative aspects and risk management issues.
Our expertise expands along 3 axes:
Asset Allocation with risk control and/or risk budgeting techniques
Allocation to alternative investments : Hedge funds, rule-based strategies (momentum, value,
carry, volatility), real assets (real estate, infrastructure, farmland, timberland and natural resources).
Private equity and venture capital should be the next step…
Allocation with a factorial approach built on the understanding (profiling) of the risk/return drivers of
the different asset classes
FinLight Research is an innovation-oriented company. We target to fill the gap between the
academic research and the investment community, especially on real assets and alternatives. We survey
on a continuous basis the academic literature for interesting published and working papers related to
quantitative investing, non-linear profiling, asset allocation, real assets...
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FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com
53. Our Standard Offer
Provide tailor-
made quantitative
analysis of your
portfolios in terms
of asset allocation,
risk profiling and
risk contribution
Provide tailor-
made quantitative
analysis of your
portfolios in terms
of asset allocation,
risk profiling and
risk contribution
•Risk Profiling
Offer a turnkey 3-
step factor-based
process in GAA
with factor
selection, risk
budgeting and
dynamic portfolio
protection
Offer a turnkey 3-
step factor-based
process in GAA
with factor
selection, risk
budgeting and
dynamic portfolio
protection
•Factor-based GAA Process
Provide assistance
with alternative
investments
(including real
assets) in terms of
profiling, and
integration in a
GAA
Provide assistance
with alternative
investments
(including real
assets) in terms of
profiling, and
integration in a
GAA
•Alternative Investments
Provide assistance
with asset
allocation and
related risk control
and/or risk
budgeting
techniques
Provide assistance
with asset
allocation and
related risk control
and/or risk
budgeting
techniques
•Global Asset Allocation
(GAA)
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FinLight Research | www.finlightresearch.com