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Expanding a Growth Focused
Power Generation Company
For Illustrative Purposes Only
- 2 -
 Focus on acquiring electricity assets in the $300 billion U.S. power generation
market
• Focus on sub $100MM equity commitment per transaction
• Utilize third party capital and co-investment agreements to expand assets
• Primarily focus on quick start natural gas “peaker” plants to compliment mid
merit and base load assets
 Many deep value acquisition opportunities exist in the sub-250MW asset class with
over 1,500+ power plants across US
• ~700 plants in CA, AZ, and NV alone
• Assets characterized by fragmented ownership
• Capitalize on forced liquidity events w/turmoil in financial markets and non-
core dispositions
 Actively seeking new acquisition and development opportunities primarily in
Western US to compliment and hedge against Midwest based asset portfolio
Overview
New acquisitions, development and re-powering initiatives should generate substantially
greater revenues and cash flows.
- 3 -
CAISO
367 Plants
ERCOT
87 Plants
MISO
213 Plants
PJM
170 Plants
NYISO
126 Plants
ISO-NE
99 Plants
Targets Transmission Constrained Regions
 Focus on regions where:
• High energy demand and tight supply
• Transmission congestion
• Peaker services can be sold at a premium
• Natural gas price is the primary fuel
 Over 700 sub-250MW natural gas plants in CA, NV & AZ alone
AZNV
93 Plants
- 4 -
Focus Expansion on California and Southwestern US
 The Department of Energy
has identified Southern
California as a Critical
Congestion Area
 Two-thirds of California
residents live in Southern
California
 In 2005, Southern California
reached 98% of the
forecasted peak demand
• Well below 10-yr average
temperatures
 In 2006, peak load in
California increased 11%
from pre-2006 levels
Source: Department of Energy, 2006 National Electric Transmission Congestion Study.
- 5 -
Southern California is Dependent on
Imported Electricity
Source: US Department of Energy
- 6 -
Demand in WECC Region is Growing
Source: Northern Lights proposal to California Energy Commission’s Strategic Transmission Investment Plan
- 7 -
Tight Reserve margins – California and
Southwest U.S.-Renewable Energy Adding More
Volatility to Transmission System
California Southwest*
Summer
Peak Demand
50,270 42,227
Summer reserves 6,077 6,040
Summer Reserve
Margins
12% 14%
**Peak day reserve
margin
<5% 9%
**Transmission system very vulnerable
Source: Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Northwest Power and Conservation Council, California Independent System Operator
*Southwest Power Pool
- 8 -
 Within the California region, there are load pockets where
transmission constraints affect local reliability
• San Diego, Los Angeles, and San Francisco are all heavily dependent on imported
electricity to meet peak demand
 Arizona, Southern Nevada and New Mexico areas are experiencing
strong growth in both demand thus limiting available supply to
California
 Transmission constraints limit the ability of hydro and coal/nuclear
resources to meet energy and reliability needs within the sub-region
Many areas of Western U.S. are Transmission
Constrained – Despite Recession
- 9 -
Can’t Ignore California Market-Just too Large
 Southern California is one of the most congested transmission corridors in
the US –Thus one of the premium markets in the U.S.
 Very tight reserve margins during peak summer season, a good example
is July of 2006, reserves were almost non existent (<5%)
 Generally takes 5-7 years to permit and build new transmission lines
 Very difficult to obtain right of way for new transmission
 Power plants in CA are old - many of them are 40+ years old and need to
be re-powered and expanded
 New plants are difficult to construct, hard to get the necessary permit
approvals, water rights, transmission connection and emission credits
 Going green (renewable) strategy presents numerous practical challenges
balancing a transmission load with intermittent resources such as wind,
increasing dependence on base load natural gas facilities, which will not
be built on time
 Given heavy dependence on electricity imports, and neighbors (AZ/NV)
now experiencing load growth themselves, increased prices of the imports
as well as reduced volume of imports available is expected
- 10 -
Source Assets Through Multiple Channels
Asset Universe Transaction Sources
Distressed Assets
Distressed energy companies; Selling assets to create liquidity
Utilities selling non-core assets or forced regulatory
dispositions
Financial investors seeking to sell assets
- 11 -
Western US (WECC) Power plants by State
Table lists Natural Gas plants with capacity of 250MW and below.
- 12 -
Revenue Sources
Revenue earned for “plant availability,” with no-call on energy
• Utilities are required to meet resource adequacy requirements
• Reserve margins (excess of supply over peak demand) of 15-
20% deemed prudent by ISOs
Revenues bid in a daily market for providing:
• Quick start power (10 minute ramp time)
• Black start power (when grid goes down)
• Other supporting services to grid
Generated from supplying actual power to grid (turbines running)
• Spark Spread: gross margin from power sales net of fuel and
variable maintenance cost
• Toll: renting of the facility in exchange for fixed revenue stream
serving as a hedge on spark spread
• Heat Rate Call Option: financially settled synthetic toll
Capacity
Ancillary
Energy
- 13 -
Target
acquisition
Target Optimizing Cash Flow and Reducing
Market Risk
Contracted Revenue Market Revenue
Post acquisition risk reduction
Swap market risk for credit risk
 Target undervalued assets with no contracts for revenue
• Revenue is “at-risk” due to market exposure
 Swap market risk for credit risk by contracting some or all of the revenue,
depending on the asset
• Provides stabilized cash flows for a portion or all of the potential
revenue streams
 Most contracts are signed with parties that have investment grade credit
Less Risk More Risk
- 14 -
Maintain a Lean and Scalable Commercial
Structure
Fuel/Water Supply
Operations and
Maintenance
Energy Management
Services
Interconnection Contracts
to the Transmission
Grid/Pipelines
Internal Engineering
External Engineering
Services
Capacity, Ancillary
Services and Energy
Contracts with
Investment Grade
Counterparties
North America
(Asset Company)
Holding Company

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Expanding A Growth Focused Power Generation Company

  • 2. - 2 -  Focus on acquiring electricity assets in the $300 billion U.S. power generation market • Focus on sub $100MM equity commitment per transaction • Utilize third party capital and co-investment agreements to expand assets • Primarily focus on quick start natural gas “peaker” plants to compliment mid merit and base load assets  Many deep value acquisition opportunities exist in the sub-250MW asset class with over 1,500+ power plants across US • ~700 plants in CA, AZ, and NV alone • Assets characterized by fragmented ownership • Capitalize on forced liquidity events w/turmoil in financial markets and non- core dispositions  Actively seeking new acquisition and development opportunities primarily in Western US to compliment and hedge against Midwest based asset portfolio Overview New acquisitions, development and re-powering initiatives should generate substantially greater revenues and cash flows.
  • 3. - 3 - CAISO 367 Plants ERCOT 87 Plants MISO 213 Plants PJM 170 Plants NYISO 126 Plants ISO-NE 99 Plants Targets Transmission Constrained Regions  Focus on regions where: • High energy demand and tight supply • Transmission congestion • Peaker services can be sold at a premium • Natural gas price is the primary fuel  Over 700 sub-250MW natural gas plants in CA, NV & AZ alone AZNV 93 Plants
  • 4. - 4 - Focus Expansion on California and Southwestern US  The Department of Energy has identified Southern California as a Critical Congestion Area  Two-thirds of California residents live in Southern California  In 2005, Southern California reached 98% of the forecasted peak demand • Well below 10-yr average temperatures  In 2006, peak load in California increased 11% from pre-2006 levels Source: Department of Energy, 2006 National Electric Transmission Congestion Study.
  • 5. - 5 - Southern California is Dependent on Imported Electricity Source: US Department of Energy
  • 6. - 6 - Demand in WECC Region is Growing Source: Northern Lights proposal to California Energy Commission’s Strategic Transmission Investment Plan
  • 7. - 7 - Tight Reserve margins – California and Southwest U.S.-Renewable Energy Adding More Volatility to Transmission System California Southwest* Summer Peak Demand 50,270 42,227 Summer reserves 6,077 6,040 Summer Reserve Margins 12% 14% **Peak day reserve margin <5% 9% **Transmission system very vulnerable Source: Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Northwest Power and Conservation Council, California Independent System Operator *Southwest Power Pool
  • 8. - 8 -  Within the California region, there are load pockets where transmission constraints affect local reliability • San Diego, Los Angeles, and San Francisco are all heavily dependent on imported electricity to meet peak demand  Arizona, Southern Nevada and New Mexico areas are experiencing strong growth in both demand thus limiting available supply to California  Transmission constraints limit the ability of hydro and coal/nuclear resources to meet energy and reliability needs within the sub-region Many areas of Western U.S. are Transmission Constrained – Despite Recession
  • 9. - 9 - Can’t Ignore California Market-Just too Large  Southern California is one of the most congested transmission corridors in the US –Thus one of the premium markets in the U.S.  Very tight reserve margins during peak summer season, a good example is July of 2006, reserves were almost non existent (<5%)  Generally takes 5-7 years to permit and build new transmission lines  Very difficult to obtain right of way for new transmission  Power plants in CA are old - many of them are 40+ years old and need to be re-powered and expanded  New plants are difficult to construct, hard to get the necessary permit approvals, water rights, transmission connection and emission credits  Going green (renewable) strategy presents numerous practical challenges balancing a transmission load with intermittent resources such as wind, increasing dependence on base load natural gas facilities, which will not be built on time  Given heavy dependence on electricity imports, and neighbors (AZ/NV) now experiencing load growth themselves, increased prices of the imports as well as reduced volume of imports available is expected
  • 10. - 10 - Source Assets Through Multiple Channels Asset Universe Transaction Sources Distressed Assets Distressed energy companies; Selling assets to create liquidity Utilities selling non-core assets or forced regulatory dispositions Financial investors seeking to sell assets
  • 11. - 11 - Western US (WECC) Power plants by State Table lists Natural Gas plants with capacity of 250MW and below.
  • 12. - 12 - Revenue Sources Revenue earned for “plant availability,” with no-call on energy • Utilities are required to meet resource adequacy requirements • Reserve margins (excess of supply over peak demand) of 15- 20% deemed prudent by ISOs Revenues bid in a daily market for providing: • Quick start power (10 minute ramp time) • Black start power (when grid goes down) • Other supporting services to grid Generated from supplying actual power to grid (turbines running) • Spark Spread: gross margin from power sales net of fuel and variable maintenance cost • Toll: renting of the facility in exchange for fixed revenue stream serving as a hedge on spark spread • Heat Rate Call Option: financially settled synthetic toll Capacity Ancillary Energy
  • 13. - 13 - Target acquisition Target Optimizing Cash Flow and Reducing Market Risk Contracted Revenue Market Revenue Post acquisition risk reduction Swap market risk for credit risk  Target undervalued assets with no contracts for revenue • Revenue is “at-risk” due to market exposure  Swap market risk for credit risk by contracting some or all of the revenue, depending on the asset • Provides stabilized cash flows for a portion or all of the potential revenue streams  Most contracts are signed with parties that have investment grade credit Less Risk More Risk
  • 14. - 14 - Maintain a Lean and Scalable Commercial Structure Fuel/Water Supply Operations and Maintenance Energy Management Services Interconnection Contracts to the Transmission Grid/Pipelines Internal Engineering External Engineering Services Capacity, Ancillary Services and Energy Contracts with Investment Grade Counterparties North America (Asset Company) Holding Company

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.energy.ca.gov/2007_energypolicy/documents/2007-05-14_workshop/public_comments/TransCanada_2007-05-24.PDF
  2. Ca -&amp;gt; http://www.ferc.gov/market-oversight/mkt-electric/california/2007/archives/02-2007-elec-ca-archive.pdf AZ/NM/SNV - ftp://www.nerc.com/pub/sys/all_updl/docs/pubs/summer2006.pdf ( page 13) http://ferc.gov/market-oversight/mkt-electric/spp/2007/archives/07-2007-elec-spp-archive.pdf