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Refinancing




Delaying the inevitable?
As Reliant Resources celebrates a $6.2 billion ref inancing deal, some in the
industry say such deals are merely postponing problems that are bound to
resurface. James Ockenden reports
             eliant Resources’ landmark    restructuring of the companies them-           of an investment-grade company – so,


R            debt restructuring high-
             lights a growing trend
             towards refinancing among
US energy firms. Many companies are
looking to manage their credit and cash-
                                           selves, not just the debt they hold.
                                               With regard to the general refinanc-
                                           ing occurring in the industry, Miller
                                           says: “The debt has simply not been
                                           rationalised. Debt that was there a year
                                                                                          over time, we aim to address that,” he
                                                                                          says. “But it will take some time for us
                                                                                          to get down that road. We need to get
                                                                                          our existing refinancing paid down to a
                                                                                          level where we can refinance on an
flow risk by seeking new terms for the     ago is still there – in fact, it is now        unsecured basis.”
heavy debt they took on to finance the     greater because many of the loans that
plant construction in the post-1997        were rolled over have also been                Hoping for an upturn
boom years. Most of this borrowing was     extended. Companies have taken an              But Jacobs says business conditions in
medium-term, bank-financed money           extra $300–400 million, to give them           the sector have not lent themselves to
due to mature between 2003 and 2006.       something to work with.”                       raising money in capital markets. “One
    Rating agency Standard & Poor’s            As for the Reliant deal, Miller says the   reason we felt strongly about having a
(S&P) estimates as much $90 billion        banks “did not want to touch the               long tenure on this facility was that it
was financed in this way and will need     company with a 10-foot pole, but to roll       may be a year or two before capital
to be refinanced over the next three       the loans over is the lesser of two evils      markets come back in any size,” he
years. But distressed energy companies     for them.” Miller calls it a short-term        adds. “But we will try to be oppor-
are finding refinancing at favourable      solution to a long-term problem. “It’s a       tunistic and very aggressive.”
rates a major challenge, because of        cosmetic solution with some bank holi-             Yet Miller says the banks are doing
depressed wholesale power prices, slow     day, but there’s no way professionals in       exactly what traders are trained not to
growth in demand and weakened              this market can earn their way out of this     do. “The first thing you learn is ‘hope
investor confidence.
    Mark Jacobs, chief financial officer
at Reliant says the overriding objective                      “Rating agencies feel that being a
of refinancing – which included the
extension of $5.9 billion debt and the                        secured borrower is not a characteristic
addition of a new $300 million credit
line – was to stabilise the operation.
                                                              of an investment-grade firm”
“We felt that high levels of near-term                        Mark Jacobs, Reliant Resources
debt would negatively impact our abil-
ity to access capital markets,” he says.
    Reliant needed to maintain adequate    debt problem. There’s too much debt            is not your best friend’,” he says. “The
liquidity to manage the business in a      and it’s way too over-leveraged.”              banks are taking one big gamble on
period of stressed commodity prices,           However, Reliant’s Jacobs suggests         hope – hope that the market will turn
says Jacobs. “It goes without saying you   that the refinancing through banks             around and these assets will be worth
can’t have too much liquidity – as was     using long-term maturity is not                something. But that’s not what capital
shown by the dislocation in the natural    intended to be the final solution. “We         markets are about. When you have a
gas markets in February this year,” he     do not want to continue to rely on bank        loss, you accept your loss, you write it
adds. “We thought it was prudent to        debt,” he says. “We are going to very          off and you move on.”
have a bigger safety cushion.”             aggressive about getting out and refi-             What’s more, the banks are causing
                                           nancing this debt as quickly as we can.”       a “logjam of commerce” by rolling over
Hiding the ball                                One reason for this assertion is the       these loans, says Miller. “If the banks
Critics of such deals say restructuring    company’s plan to improve its credit           hide the ball and won’t accept their
is merely aggravating the problem.         rating. While S&P says it will not base        losses, there’s no way for that money to
Karl Miller, senior partner at New         rating decisions solely on debt outstand-      transact,” he adds. “And the private
York-based asset acquisition firm          ing or risks associated with refinancing       equity and LBO [leveraged buyout]
Miller, McConville, Christen, Hutchi-      energy debt, Jacobs says until the             money – which is really the only money
son & Waffel, is outspoken on the          company can break free of the banks, it        available to the market today – will not
issue. He is doubtful about the ability    will not be able to return to investment       be able to come in.”
of companies such as Reliant to earn       grade. And he admits this may take time.           Steven Stolze, managing director at
themselves out of debt. The time has           “Rating agencies feel that being a         debt consultants Rudden Financial in
come, Miller feels, for a significant      secured borrower is not a characteristic       New York, agrees money is available


S2 ❚ Finance ❚ www.eprm.com
through distressed debt investors,          Ready cash:            have been raising private equity, and         down. Power is a product we have to
which he calls ‘vulture capital’ compa-     venture capital        there is a ton of money around,” says         use – it’s not going to go away, so it’s
nies. But unlike Miller, he envisages       firms are ready to     Stolze. “They have always had an inter-       an attractive opportunity.
good market opportunities on the            offer investment       est in any sector that has been beaten           While Miller is critical of banks
creditor side over the coming years.        to energy firms        down, and right now energy is a high-         “trading on hope”, Stolze says many
   “These vulture capital companies                                profile sector that has been beaten           venture capital (VC) companies are


The terms of the Reliant deal
 The refinancing involved 24 banks, with Bank of America, Barclays and       due in March 2007; and a $2.1 billion revolver loan – also due in
 Deutsche Bank taking the lead roles. Key components of the                  March 2007 – completes the deal. The company has a mandatory
 company’s debt before the restructuring were:                               principal repayment of $500 million due on March 15, 2006. But
                                                                             significantly, Reliant has no other significant maturities before
 ●   a $2.9 billion bridge loan;                                             October 2005, on any of its debt.
 ●   an $800 million revolver loan [which is?] that had matured in August       That said, the company has worked with its bankers to set
     2002, but on which Reliant had taken a one-year term option such        cumulative pay-off targets, which, if not met, will lead to penalties.
     that it fell due in August 2003;                                        “We developed this concept with the lead banks to meet their
 ●   an $800 million revolver loan that matured in August 2004; and          desire to get paid back as quickly as possible on the one hand, but
 ●   a $1.3 billion off-balance sheet synthetic lease, a construction        on the other without leaving us in a position where we did not have
     agency agreement used to build three new power plants, which fell       the amortisation.”
     due in December 2004.                                                      If Reliant has not reduced its debt on the $5.9 billion by $500 million
                                                                             by May 14, 2004, the banks will charge an extra $60 million – 50 basis
   The new structure has removed the synthetic lease facility. Jacobs        points (bp) – in fees.
 says the company wanted to extend payment of this $1.3 billion                 If Reliant has not hit its cumulative pay-off target of $1 billion – that
 beyond 2004. And since this facility had a guarantee attached through       is, $500 million on top of the May 2004 target – by May 2005, the
 holding company Reliant, the company felt it was limited its ability to     company will pay an additional 75bp and 2% of the fully diluted shares
 create collateral in the broader restructuring. “So we decided to fold      of the company.
 that in,” says Jacobs.                                                         Finally, the May 2006 cumulative target is $2 billion, which if not met
   As for the main chunk of new debt – the $5.9 billion – there are          will see additional fees of 1% and the company will grant warrants for
 two components. Term loans account for $3.8 billion, with maturity          another 2% of the fully diluted shares.




                                                                                                                                  May ❚ Finance ❚ S3
Refinancing


buying distressed debt on “gut feel” –
and that they may do well out of it.
    “A large number of these VC
companies are buying debt at, say, 27
cents on the dollar. That’s a steep
reduction in face value,” he says.
“They’re taking the credit risk, they
haven’t had the opportunity to do due
diligence, they can’t see the numbers,
the revenue streams.”

Gut instinct
“Your risk is that the value isn’t even
the 27 cents, and you’re doing all of
this on the basis of public information,
usually not even that,” says Stolze.
“But a lot of these guys are doing this
on gut instinct. They’re saying, ‘If I
can get 50 cents and double my
money, I’m happy.”
    Some VCs will buy debt at 30 cents,       Karl Miller of          “Do they decide to wait for three years,              assumption by most of the companies
hold it for 90 days or six months and         Miller, McConville,     keep the entity going so they can get                 and their lenders was that the debt
sell it on at 45 cents, he says. Another      Christen,               80 cents on their dollar back? Or do                  would be refinanced in the broad capi-
strategy, says Stolze, is to buy the debt     Hutchison &             they write it down now, get 30 cents                  tal markets in the future.
at 30 cents, take equity and control in       Waffel: “the banks      and say ‘I’m happy, I’m out of it’?”                      “Unfortunately, the future is here,
the company and build it up.                  are taking one big                                                            and the outlook is bleak,” it adds. “The
    However, the banks are not as             gamble on hope”         Bleak outlook                                         debt capital that once flowed freely has
happy holding debt, he says – a                                       But S&P says the banks will be the only               all but dried up.”
contrasting view to Miller’s. “The                                    friends to energy companies in the                        Banking relationships have thus
banks are in it for 100% – they loaned                                short term. In a report released at the               become paramount to energy compa-
the full value of that debt,” says Stolze.                            end of 2002, the agency says: “The                    nies, says S&P (see table), and the
                                                                                                                            banks have no choice but to roll matu-
  Energy company ratings, bank exposures and total debt maturities                                                          rities over in order to prevent default
                                                                                                                            or bankruptcy filings. Avoiding bank-
                                                                       Funded bank            Bank maturities               ruptcies – and potentially being left
                                                                    exposure maturing        as % of total debt             holding assets – is a key consideration
                                                                      in 2003–2006              maturities,                 for banks, which have not traditionally
 Company                             Rating     Outlook                 ($ millions)            2003–2006                   been willing to own power generation
 American Electric Power             BBB+       Stable                     1,244                   16                       assets (see pages S10–S11).
 AES Corp                            B+         Watch negative             2,483                   47                           So two schools of thought seem to
 Allegheny Energy                    BB         Watch negative             1,040                   46                       be emerging. There are those, such as
 Aquila                              BBB–       Negative                     356                   36                       Miller, who say enough is enough, and
 Black Hills Corp                    BBB        Stable                       558                   99                       radical restructuring and widespread
 Calpine Corp                        BB         Negative                   5,500                   75                       bankruptcies are the only solution to
 CMS Energy                          BB         Negative                   2,740                   69                       the industry’s woes.
 Constellation Energy Group          A–         Stable                       296                   19                           Others are holding out for more
 Dominion Resources                  BBB+       Stable                       640                   10                       time, hoping the market will recover in
 Duke Energy                         A          Stable                     2,350                   27                       the next couple of years and that assets
 Dynegy                              B+         Watch negative             1,900                   64                       will start to perform as they were
 El Paso Corp                        BBB+       Watch negative               920                   17                       designed to during the construction
 Edison Mission Energy               BBB-       Watch negative             1,838                  100                       boom of the late 1990s.
 Entergy                             BBB        Stable                       950                   36                           With the first wave of near-term debt
 Mirant                              BB         Negative                   3,614                   71                       refinancing only just starting, it is too
 PG&E National Energy Group          B–         Watch negative             2,458                   91                       early to judge the success of the ‘wait
 NRG Energy                          D          –                          4,287                   92                       and see’ approach. Certainly, Stolze is
 PPL                                 BBB        Negative                     248                   16                       not convinced there will be a break-
 Public Service Enterprise Group     BBB        Stable                       833                   27                       through in prices.
 Teco Energy                         BBB        Watch negative               340                   59                           “Power prices over the next 10 years
 TXU                                 BBB        Negative                   1,094                   13                       are looking pretty flat – there’s not a lot
 Williams Companies                  B+         Watch negative             2,000                   32                       of growth,” he says. “But then you have
 Total                                                                   37,570               mean 48                       gas prices out-accelerating electricity
                                                                                 Source: Standard & Poor’s, November 2002
                                                                                                                            prices. How radically do you think
                                                                                                                            that’s going to change?” EPRM


S4 ❚ Finance ❚ www.eprm.com

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Karl miller energy profile

  • 1. Refinancing Delaying the inevitable? As Reliant Resources celebrates a $6.2 billion ref inancing deal, some in the industry say such deals are merely postponing problems that are bound to resurface. James Ockenden reports eliant Resources’ landmark restructuring of the companies them- of an investment-grade company – so, R debt restructuring high- lights a growing trend towards refinancing among US energy firms. Many companies are looking to manage their credit and cash- selves, not just the debt they hold. With regard to the general refinanc- ing occurring in the industry, Miller says: “The debt has simply not been rationalised. Debt that was there a year over time, we aim to address that,” he says. “But it will take some time for us to get down that road. We need to get our existing refinancing paid down to a level where we can refinance on an flow risk by seeking new terms for the ago is still there – in fact, it is now unsecured basis.” heavy debt they took on to finance the greater because many of the loans that plant construction in the post-1997 were rolled over have also been Hoping for an upturn boom years. Most of this borrowing was extended. Companies have taken an But Jacobs says business conditions in medium-term, bank-financed money extra $300–400 million, to give them the sector have not lent themselves to due to mature between 2003 and 2006. something to work with.” raising money in capital markets. “One Rating agency Standard & Poor’s As for the Reliant deal, Miller says the reason we felt strongly about having a (S&P) estimates as much $90 billion banks “did not want to touch the long tenure on this facility was that it was financed in this way and will need company with a 10-foot pole, but to roll may be a year or two before capital to be refinanced over the next three the loans over is the lesser of two evils markets come back in any size,” he years. But distressed energy companies for them.” Miller calls it a short-term adds. “But we will try to be oppor- are finding refinancing at favourable solution to a long-term problem. “It’s a tunistic and very aggressive.” rates a major challenge, because of cosmetic solution with some bank holi- Yet Miller says the banks are doing depressed wholesale power prices, slow day, but there’s no way professionals in exactly what traders are trained not to growth in demand and weakened this market can earn their way out of this do. “The first thing you learn is ‘hope investor confidence. Mark Jacobs, chief financial officer at Reliant says the overriding objective “Rating agencies feel that being a of refinancing – which included the extension of $5.9 billion debt and the secured borrower is not a characteristic addition of a new $300 million credit line – was to stabilise the operation. of an investment-grade firm” “We felt that high levels of near-term Mark Jacobs, Reliant Resources debt would negatively impact our abil- ity to access capital markets,” he says. Reliant needed to maintain adequate debt problem. There’s too much debt is not your best friend’,” he says. “The liquidity to manage the business in a and it’s way too over-leveraged.” banks are taking one big gamble on period of stressed commodity prices, However, Reliant’s Jacobs suggests hope – hope that the market will turn says Jacobs. “It goes without saying you that the refinancing through banks around and these assets will be worth can’t have too much liquidity – as was using long-term maturity is not something. But that’s not what capital shown by the dislocation in the natural intended to be the final solution. “We markets are about. When you have a gas markets in February this year,” he do not want to continue to rely on bank loss, you accept your loss, you write it adds. “We thought it was prudent to debt,” he says. “We are going to very off and you move on.” have a bigger safety cushion.” aggressive about getting out and refi- What’s more, the banks are causing nancing this debt as quickly as we can.” a “logjam of commerce” by rolling over Hiding the ball One reason for this assertion is the these loans, says Miller. “If the banks Critics of such deals say restructuring company’s plan to improve its credit hide the ball and won’t accept their is merely aggravating the problem. rating. While S&P says it will not base losses, there’s no way for that money to Karl Miller, senior partner at New rating decisions solely on debt outstand- transact,” he adds. “And the private York-based asset acquisition firm ing or risks associated with refinancing equity and LBO [leveraged buyout] Miller, McConville, Christen, Hutchi- energy debt, Jacobs says until the money – which is really the only money son & Waffel, is outspoken on the company can break free of the banks, it available to the market today – will not issue. He is doubtful about the ability will not be able to return to investment be able to come in.” of companies such as Reliant to earn grade. And he admits this may take time. Steven Stolze, managing director at themselves out of debt. The time has “Rating agencies feel that being a debt consultants Rudden Financial in come, Miller feels, for a significant secured borrower is not a characteristic New York, agrees money is available S2 ❚ Finance ❚ www.eprm.com
  • 2. through distressed debt investors, Ready cash: have been raising private equity, and down. Power is a product we have to which he calls ‘vulture capital’ compa- venture capital there is a ton of money around,” says use – it’s not going to go away, so it’s nies. But unlike Miller, he envisages firms are ready to Stolze. “They have always had an inter- an attractive opportunity. good market opportunities on the offer investment est in any sector that has been beaten While Miller is critical of banks creditor side over the coming years. to energy firms down, and right now energy is a high- “trading on hope”, Stolze says many “These vulture capital companies profile sector that has been beaten venture capital (VC) companies are The terms of the Reliant deal The refinancing involved 24 banks, with Bank of America, Barclays and due in March 2007; and a $2.1 billion revolver loan – also due in Deutsche Bank taking the lead roles. Key components of the March 2007 – completes the deal. The company has a mandatory company’s debt before the restructuring were: principal repayment of $500 million due on March 15, 2006. But significantly, Reliant has no other significant maturities before ● a $2.9 billion bridge loan; October 2005, on any of its debt. ● an $800 million revolver loan [which is?] that had matured in August That said, the company has worked with its bankers to set 2002, but on which Reliant had taken a one-year term option such cumulative pay-off targets, which, if not met, will lead to penalties. that it fell due in August 2003; “We developed this concept with the lead banks to meet their ● an $800 million revolver loan that matured in August 2004; and desire to get paid back as quickly as possible on the one hand, but ● a $1.3 billion off-balance sheet synthetic lease, a construction on the other without leaving us in a position where we did not have agency agreement used to build three new power plants, which fell the amortisation.” due in December 2004. If Reliant has not reduced its debt on the $5.9 billion by $500 million by May 14, 2004, the banks will charge an extra $60 million – 50 basis The new structure has removed the synthetic lease facility. Jacobs points (bp) – in fees. says the company wanted to extend payment of this $1.3 billion If Reliant has not hit its cumulative pay-off target of $1 billion – that beyond 2004. And since this facility had a guarantee attached through is, $500 million on top of the May 2004 target – by May 2005, the holding company Reliant, the company felt it was limited its ability to company will pay an additional 75bp and 2% of the fully diluted shares create collateral in the broader restructuring. “So we decided to fold of the company. that in,” says Jacobs. Finally, the May 2006 cumulative target is $2 billion, which if not met As for the main chunk of new debt – the $5.9 billion – there are will see additional fees of 1% and the company will grant warrants for two components. Term loans account for $3.8 billion, with maturity another 2% of the fully diluted shares. May ❚ Finance ❚ S3
  • 3. Refinancing buying distressed debt on “gut feel” – and that they may do well out of it. “A large number of these VC companies are buying debt at, say, 27 cents on the dollar. That’s a steep reduction in face value,” he says. “They’re taking the credit risk, they haven’t had the opportunity to do due diligence, they can’t see the numbers, the revenue streams.” Gut instinct “Your risk is that the value isn’t even the 27 cents, and you’re doing all of this on the basis of public information, usually not even that,” says Stolze. “But a lot of these guys are doing this on gut instinct. They’re saying, ‘If I can get 50 cents and double my money, I’m happy.” Some VCs will buy debt at 30 cents, Karl Miller of “Do they decide to wait for three years, assumption by most of the companies hold it for 90 days or six months and Miller, McConville, keep the entity going so they can get and their lenders was that the debt sell it on at 45 cents, he says. Another Christen, 80 cents on their dollar back? Or do would be refinanced in the broad capi- strategy, says Stolze, is to buy the debt Hutchison & they write it down now, get 30 cents tal markets in the future. at 30 cents, take equity and control in Waffel: “the banks and say ‘I’m happy, I’m out of it’?” “Unfortunately, the future is here, the company and build it up. are taking one big and the outlook is bleak,” it adds. “The However, the banks are not as gamble on hope” Bleak outlook debt capital that once flowed freely has happy holding debt, he says – a But S&P says the banks will be the only all but dried up.” contrasting view to Miller’s. “The friends to energy companies in the Banking relationships have thus banks are in it for 100% – they loaned short term. In a report released at the become paramount to energy compa- the full value of that debt,” says Stolze. end of 2002, the agency says: “The nies, says S&P (see table), and the banks have no choice but to roll matu- Energy company ratings, bank exposures and total debt maturities rities over in order to prevent default or bankruptcy filings. Avoiding bank- Funded bank Bank maturities ruptcies – and potentially being left exposure maturing as % of total debt holding assets – is a key consideration in 2003–2006 maturities, for banks, which have not traditionally Company Rating Outlook ($ millions) 2003–2006 been willing to own power generation American Electric Power BBB+ Stable 1,244 16 assets (see pages S10–S11). AES Corp B+ Watch negative 2,483 47 So two schools of thought seem to Allegheny Energy BB Watch negative 1,040 46 be emerging. There are those, such as Aquila BBB– Negative 356 36 Miller, who say enough is enough, and Black Hills Corp BBB Stable 558 99 radical restructuring and widespread Calpine Corp BB Negative 5,500 75 bankruptcies are the only solution to CMS Energy BB Negative 2,740 69 the industry’s woes. Constellation Energy Group A– Stable 296 19 Others are holding out for more Dominion Resources BBB+ Stable 640 10 time, hoping the market will recover in Duke Energy A Stable 2,350 27 the next couple of years and that assets Dynegy B+ Watch negative 1,900 64 will start to perform as they were El Paso Corp BBB+ Watch negative 920 17 designed to during the construction Edison Mission Energy BBB- Watch negative 1,838 100 boom of the late 1990s. Entergy BBB Stable 950 36 With the first wave of near-term debt Mirant BB Negative 3,614 71 refinancing only just starting, it is too PG&E National Energy Group B– Watch negative 2,458 91 early to judge the success of the ‘wait NRG Energy D – 4,287 92 and see’ approach. Certainly, Stolze is PPL BBB Negative 248 16 not convinced there will be a break- Public Service Enterprise Group BBB Stable 833 27 through in prices. Teco Energy BBB Watch negative 340 59 “Power prices over the next 10 years TXU BBB Negative 1,094 13 are looking pretty flat – there’s not a lot Williams Companies B+ Watch negative 2,000 32 of growth,” he says. “But then you have Total 37,570 mean 48 gas prices out-accelerating electricity Source: Standard & Poor’s, November 2002 prices. How radically do you think that’s going to change?” EPRM S4 ❚ Finance ❚ www.eprm.com