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Work on Stuff that
                            Matters
                             Tim O’Reilly

                           O’Reilly Media, Inc.
                             www.oreilly.com



                                 ETech
                              March 9, 2009




Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
• Photo by Jeff Kubina: http://www.flickr.com/photos/kubina/47264499/in/set-1030659/


Monday, March 9, 2009
Not an investment bubble - a reality
                        bubble!
                        •Financial crises
                        •Worst income inequality since the Gilded Age
                        •Oil price shock
                        •Global warming
                        •Decline in science literacy & education
                        •Water scarcity
                        •Exotic diseases
                        •Aging populations and soaring health costs
                        •Decline in US economic competitiveness and
                         innovation
                        •Dysfunctional political system

Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
A lot of people thought I was saying to
                        work on non-profits, or maybe social
                        ventures...




Monday, March 9, 2009
I’m actually saying that the world’s
                        great challenges are also the world’s
                        great opportunities




Monday, March 9, 2009
What we choose to fight is so tiny!
                        What fights us is so great!
                        If only we would let ourselves be dominated
                        as things do by some immense storm,
                        we would become strong too, and not need names.

                        When we win it's with small things,
                        and the triumph itself makes us small.


                              --Rainer Maria Rilke, The Man Watching



Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
“Big Hairy Audacious Goals”

                        --Jim Collins and Jerry Porras, Built to Last




Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
“We need to connect citizens with each other to
                        engage them more fully and directly in solving the
                        problems that face us. We must use all available
                        technologies and methods to open up the federal
                        government, creating a new level of transparency
                        to change the way business is conducted in
                        Washington and giving Americans the chance to
                        participate in government deliberations and
                        decision-making in ways that were not possible
                        only a few years ago.”

                        - From Barack Obama’s campaign platform on
                        technology



Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Take the long view




Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Scenario Planning and
                         “Robust Strategies”




Monday, March 9, 2009
Scenarios for Oil Drilling: 1980–
                            90


            Active Rigs
         (Yearly Averages)




                             Forecasts by Major Oilfield Equipment Group


Monday, March 9, 2009
Scenarios for Oil Drilling: 1980–
                            90


            Active Rigs
         (Yearly Averages)




                                                                          Actual




                             Forecasts by Major Oilfield Equipment Group


Monday, March 9, 2009
IBM’s original forecast for the PC




Monday, March 9, 2009
IBM’s original forecast for the PC




Monday, March 9, 2009
Scenario Planning

                                            Singularity




                        Government                                  We save
                        saves us                                    ourselves




                             Global Economic & Environmental Collapse

Monday, March 9, 2009
Scenario Planning

                                            Singularity




                        Government                                  We save
                        saves us                                    ourselves




                             Global Economic & Environmental Collapse

Monday, March 9, 2009
Choose your own adventure




Monday, March 9, 2009
1. Work on something that matters to
                              you more than money




Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Taking a Road Trip




                          • http://autos.canada.com/greatcanadianroadtrip/index.html




Monday, March 9, 2009
Taking a Road Trip




                          • http://autos.canada.com/greatcanadianroadtrip/index.html




Monday, March 9, 2009
It’s not a tour of gas stations!




Monday, March 9, 2009
This might be where you end up




                                http://www.nytimes.com/slideshow/2008/06/12/opinion/0613-GASPUMPS_index.html
                            




Monday, March 9, 2009
2. Create more value than you capture




Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Build a simple system - let it evolve




Monday, March 9, 2009
The first IBM PC




Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Be friendly to those who extend you




Monday, March 9, 2009
housingmaps.com - the very first
                        Google maps mashup
                        •It was a “hack.” Google learned from it,
                         quickly, and turned it into a supported feature




Monday, March 9, 2009
Be generous in boosting the work of
                        others




Monday, March 9, 2009
“Changing the world by spreading the
                        knowledge of innovators.”




Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009

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