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DAILYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT
27 Mar 2015
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1
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
DHANIYA
APR 8052 8322 7862 8322 +4.00% 34910
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
8015
SUPP. 2
7709
PIVOT
8169
Dhaniya short term
trend is bullish, further
more upside is expected
in coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8475
RES. 2
8629
CASTORSEED
APR. 3680 3694 3670 3670 -0.24% 33140
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3662
SUPP. 2
3654
PIVOT
3678
Castorseed short term
trend is down, Prices
expected to go down in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3686
RES. 2
3702
TURMERIC
APR 7770 7832 7503 7538 -2.44% 17160
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7417
SUPP. 2
7295
PIVOT
7624
Turmeric short term
trend is down and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7746
RES. 2
7953
GUARGUM
APR. 8450 8750 8450 8530 +1.31% 6453
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8403
SUPP. 2
8277
PIVOT
8577
Guargum Short term
trend is down,
Expecting price may go
down in coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8703
RES. 2
8877
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICESTOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 20-04-2015 7538.00 -220.00 -2.84%
CHANA 20-04-2015 3610.00 -10.00 -0.28%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-04-2015 1636.00 -4.00 -0.24%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 20-04-2015 8306.00 346.00 +4.35%
BARLEY 20-04-2015 1130.00 15.00 +1.35%
REFINED SOYA OIL 20-04-2015 591.25 3.65 +0.62%
SOYABEAN 20-04-2015 3376.00 18.00 +0.54%
JEERA 20-04-2015 14590.00 55.00 +0.38%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-04-2015 3383.00 5.00 +0.05%
Index Value Pre. Close % Change
CASTORSEED 3670 3679 -0.24%
CHANA 3610 3624 -0.39%
CORIANDER 8322 8002 +4.00
GUAR SEED 10
MT
3777 3727 +1.34%
JEERA 14605 14510 +0.65%
MUSTARD SEED 3383 3377 +0.18%
SOYABEAN 3377 3365 +0.36%
TURMERIC 7588 7778 -2.44%
Commodities In News
4
 Chana prices were down by 0.22% to Rs 3,616 per quintal in futures trade
today as speculators trimmed position amid sluggish demand in spot market.
At National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, chana for delivery in April
month eased by Rs 8, or 0.22%, to Rs 3,616 per quintal with an open interest
of 1,37,970 lots. Similarly, the commodity for delivery in May contracts
traded lower by Rs 3, or 0.08%, to Rs 3,635 per quintal in 1,02,530 lots.
Analysts said offloading of positions by speculators amid subdued demand in
the spot market mainly influenced chana prices at futures trade.
 Guargum prices spurted by Rs 180 to Rs 8,600 per quintal in futures
trading today after participants enlarged positions, driven by domestic as well
as export demand. At National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange
counter, guargum prices for April contracts jumped by Rs 180, or 2.14 per
cent, to Rs 8,600 per quintal, in an open interest of 11,582 lots. May contracts
also attracted attention of buyers and climbed by same margins of Rs 180, or
2.10 per cent, to Rs 8,750 per quintal, with an open interest of 3,987 lots.
Traders said rising domestic and export demand mainly led to the rise in
guargum prices at futures trade here.
 Jeera future traded lower on NCDEX due to sluggish demand from
retailers and stockists against adequate stocks. Though, reduced domestic
supplies in the physical markets and some export enquiries, capped some
losses in the price of jeera. The contract for April delivery was trading at Rs
14470.00, down by 0.45% or Rs 65.00 from its previous closing of Rs
14535.00. The open interest of the contract stood at 16152.00 lots. The
contract for May delivery was trading at Rs 14780.00, down by 0.44% or Rs
65.00 from its previous closing of Rs 14845.00. The open interest of the
contract stood at 5256.00 lots on NCDEX.
ECONOMIC NEWS
 Ministry of Finance released showed that in terms of Section 90
of the Andhra Pradesh Reorganization Act, 2014, Union
Government has decided to support Andhra Pradesh for setting up of
SPV for the Polavaram Irrigation Project and release Rs. 250 crore
in this financial year. Conceived in the 1940s, the irrigation project
is likely to irrigate over seven lakh acres in Andhra Pradesh and
produce 960 MW of hydel energy.
 Increased productivity is an essential component of a vibrant
agricultural sectorthough improved post harvest handling and
processing is essential to ensure valueaddition, reduction in wastage
and transporting good quality products to markets, notedUnion
Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh, according to a latest press
release.
 The European Union will next season retain its title as the world's
top wheat exporter, by a distance, Canadian grains giant CWB said,
citing constraints to competition from the former Soviet Union and
the US. EU wheat exports will, backed by a decent harvest and a
soft euro, hit a record 32.35m tonnes in 2015-16, according to the
CWB, Canada's former grain export monopoly.
 Thuthukudi district in Tamil Nadu is largely rainfed. Cotton,
sunflower, maize, pulses, millets are some of the crops grown in the
district which has predominantly black soil. Farmers are heavily
dependent on the monsoon for their crops.
5
Fundamental Watch :Castorseed
CASTORSEED ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
 Cash market continued to slip in clueless market as demand from major buyers at
this point of time is below normal. Major players too are not active and it remains
unsupportive to the market fundamentals. Overall sentiment remains bearish.
Besides, stockists too would try to drag market down as much as possible to buy at
lower level. Market participants should start buying around Rs3300/3400 for stock
purpose. Gains in market is expected in the second half of the year. Heavy burden of
carryout is said to be exhausted by 40 percent till now and pipe line is almost
vaccant.So any major dip from current level is unlikely.Demand from oil from
national and international market has improved and it may support market even at
peak arrival month(April).So the best time for seed buying is expected to be April.
Stability in the market is expected by mid April. May onward sowing intention of
the farmer would be clear.Monsoon rains and price of the seed would be crucial for
this year's acerage.Lower price and monsoon rains would decide the future course of
price trend. Castor Oil FoB Kandla was traded at $1190 per tonne last week and no
major improvement is expected in the remaining month of March/April. During last
one week it has decreased from$1200 to $1190 per tonne, almost $10 lower than the
price prevailing in the third week of March. In Feb 2014 it was ruling at $1355 per
tonne, higher by 12.88 percent from from Feb 2015 price.
International Market Report
 Major international buyers are out of the market and they may enter into the market
by mid-April,bythen market is expected to get stabilized. Not much trading activities is
expected in global market this week too and major buyers would remain busy with
March closing. Fresh trading activities are expected by the second week of April.
Continuous banking holidays too would keep trading activities at negligible level. The
weak economic scenario in China and Europe has reflected in castor oil export volume
in 2014. China imported 24 percent lower oil in 2014 in comparison to 2013.This year
Chineese buying may decrease further and import volume may touch 1.5 lakh tonne
under normal condition. Even Europe may end up with1.10 lakh tonne oil import in
2015. Some recovery is expected from US, however it would be lower than the import
of 2013. Castor oil in Rotterdam decreased from $1700 to $1525 per tonne in last one
month and may touch $1500 per tonne in the month of March.
CENTER 26-Mar-15 25-Mar-15 Change
SUMERPUR 960 1200 -240
JODHPUR 80 NR -
RAJKOT CLOSED CLOSED -
GONDAL CLOSED 574 -
PATAN 6000 10500 -4500
DEESA 731 1200 -469
MAHESANA 1200 640 +560
Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER APRIL ABOVE 8270 TARGET 8295 8335 SL
BELOW 8245
BUY GUARGUM APRIL ABOVE 8650 TARGET 8700 8760 SL
BELOW 8590
BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 7750 TARGET 7790 7850 SL
BELOW 7690
SELL CASTORSEED APRIL BELOW 3670 TARGET 3645 3615 SL
ABOVE 3695
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
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Epic research daily agri report 27 march 2015

  • 1. DAILYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT 27 Mar 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL DHANIYA APR 8052 8322 7862 8322 +4.00% 34910 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 8015 SUPP. 2 7709 PIVOT 8169 Dhaniya short term trend is bullish, further more upside is expected in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8475 RES. 2 8629 CASTORSEED APR. 3680 3694 3670 3670 -0.24% 33140 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3662 SUPP. 2 3654 PIVOT 3678 Castorseed short term trend is down, Prices expected to go down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3686 RES. 2 3702 TURMERIC APR 7770 7832 7503 7538 -2.44% 17160 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7417 SUPP. 2 7295 PIVOT 7624 Turmeric short term trend is down and may continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7746 RES. 2 7953 GUARGUM APR. 8450 8750 8450 8530 +1.31% 6453 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 8403 SUPP. 2 8277 PIVOT 8577 Guargum Short term trend is down, Expecting price may go down in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8703 RES. 2 8877
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICESTOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % TURMERIC 20-04-2015 7538.00 -220.00 -2.84% CHANA 20-04-2015 3610.00 -10.00 -0.28% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-04-2015 1636.00 -4.00 -0.24% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CORIANDER 20-04-2015 8306.00 346.00 +4.35% BARLEY 20-04-2015 1130.00 15.00 +1.35% REFINED SOYA OIL 20-04-2015 591.25 3.65 +0.62% SOYABEAN 20-04-2015 3376.00 18.00 +0.54% JEERA 20-04-2015 14590.00 55.00 +0.38% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-04-2015 3383.00 5.00 +0.05% Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3670 3679 -0.24% CHANA 3610 3624 -0.39% CORIANDER 8322 8002 +4.00 GUAR SEED 10 MT 3777 3727 +1.34% JEERA 14605 14510 +0.65% MUSTARD SEED 3383 3377 +0.18% SOYABEAN 3377 3365 +0.36% TURMERIC 7588 7778 -2.44%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4  Chana prices were down by 0.22% to Rs 3,616 per quintal in futures trade today as speculators trimmed position amid sluggish demand in spot market. At National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, chana for delivery in April month eased by Rs 8, or 0.22%, to Rs 3,616 per quintal with an open interest of 1,37,970 lots. Similarly, the commodity for delivery in May contracts traded lower by Rs 3, or 0.08%, to Rs 3,635 per quintal in 1,02,530 lots. Analysts said offloading of positions by speculators amid subdued demand in the spot market mainly influenced chana prices at futures trade.  Guargum prices spurted by Rs 180 to Rs 8,600 per quintal in futures trading today after participants enlarged positions, driven by domestic as well as export demand. At National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange counter, guargum prices for April contracts jumped by Rs 180, or 2.14 per cent, to Rs 8,600 per quintal, in an open interest of 11,582 lots. May contracts also attracted attention of buyers and climbed by same margins of Rs 180, or 2.10 per cent, to Rs 8,750 per quintal, with an open interest of 3,987 lots. Traders said rising domestic and export demand mainly led to the rise in guargum prices at futures trade here.  Jeera future traded lower on NCDEX due to sluggish demand from retailers and stockists against adequate stocks. Though, reduced domestic supplies in the physical markets and some export enquiries, capped some losses in the price of jeera. The contract for April delivery was trading at Rs 14470.00, down by 0.45% or Rs 65.00 from its previous closing of Rs 14535.00. The open interest of the contract stood at 16152.00 lots. The contract for May delivery was trading at Rs 14780.00, down by 0.44% or Rs 65.00 from its previous closing of Rs 14845.00. The open interest of the contract stood at 5256.00 lots on NCDEX. ECONOMIC NEWS  Ministry of Finance released showed that in terms of Section 90 of the Andhra Pradesh Reorganization Act, 2014, Union Government has decided to support Andhra Pradesh for setting up of SPV for the Polavaram Irrigation Project and release Rs. 250 crore in this financial year. Conceived in the 1940s, the irrigation project is likely to irrigate over seven lakh acres in Andhra Pradesh and produce 960 MW of hydel energy.  Increased productivity is an essential component of a vibrant agricultural sectorthough improved post harvest handling and processing is essential to ensure valueaddition, reduction in wastage and transporting good quality products to markets, notedUnion Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh, according to a latest press release.  The European Union will next season retain its title as the world's top wheat exporter, by a distance, Canadian grains giant CWB said, citing constraints to competition from the former Soviet Union and the US. EU wheat exports will, backed by a decent harvest and a soft euro, hit a record 32.35m tonnes in 2015-16, according to the CWB, Canada's former grain export monopoly.  Thuthukudi district in Tamil Nadu is largely rainfed. Cotton, sunflower, maize, pulses, millets are some of the crops grown in the district which has predominantly black soil. Farmers are heavily dependent on the monsoon for their crops.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch :Castorseed CASTORSEED ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update  Cash market continued to slip in clueless market as demand from major buyers at this point of time is below normal. Major players too are not active and it remains unsupportive to the market fundamentals. Overall sentiment remains bearish. Besides, stockists too would try to drag market down as much as possible to buy at lower level. Market participants should start buying around Rs3300/3400 for stock purpose. Gains in market is expected in the second half of the year. Heavy burden of carryout is said to be exhausted by 40 percent till now and pipe line is almost vaccant.So any major dip from current level is unlikely.Demand from oil from national and international market has improved and it may support market even at peak arrival month(April).So the best time for seed buying is expected to be April. Stability in the market is expected by mid April. May onward sowing intention of the farmer would be clear.Monsoon rains and price of the seed would be crucial for this year's acerage.Lower price and monsoon rains would decide the future course of price trend. Castor Oil FoB Kandla was traded at $1190 per tonne last week and no major improvement is expected in the remaining month of March/April. During last one week it has decreased from$1200 to $1190 per tonne, almost $10 lower than the price prevailing in the third week of March. In Feb 2014 it was ruling at $1355 per tonne, higher by 12.88 percent from from Feb 2015 price. International Market Report  Major international buyers are out of the market and they may enter into the market by mid-April,bythen market is expected to get stabilized. Not much trading activities is expected in global market this week too and major buyers would remain busy with March closing. Fresh trading activities are expected by the second week of April. Continuous banking holidays too would keep trading activities at negligible level. The weak economic scenario in China and Europe has reflected in castor oil export volume in 2014. China imported 24 percent lower oil in 2014 in comparison to 2013.This year Chineese buying may decrease further and import volume may touch 1.5 lakh tonne under normal condition. Even Europe may end up with1.10 lakh tonne oil import in 2015. Some recovery is expected from US, however it would be lower than the import of 2013. Castor oil in Rotterdam decreased from $1700 to $1525 per tonne in last one month and may touch $1500 per tonne in the month of March. CENTER 26-Mar-15 25-Mar-15 Change SUMERPUR 960 1200 -240 JODHPUR 80 NR - RAJKOT CLOSED CLOSED - GONDAL CLOSED 574 - PATAN 6000 10500 -4500 DEESA 731 1200 -469 MAHESANA 1200 640 +560
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 BUY CORIANDER APRIL ABOVE 8270 TARGET 8295 8335 SL BELOW 8245 BUY GUARGUM APRIL ABOVE 8650 TARGET 8700 8760 SL BELOW 8590 BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 7750 TARGET 7790 7850 SL BELOW 7690 SELL CASTORSEED APRIL BELOW 3670 TARGET 3645 3615 SL ABOVE 3695
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.