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Epic research daily agri report 20th july 2015
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
20 July 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
AUG 7418 7520 7390 7426 +0.11 8600
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7371
SUPP. 2
7315
PIVOT
7445
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7501
RES. 2
7575
CORIANDER
AUG 11948 12040 11821 11890 -0.39 10960
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11794
SUPP. 2
11698
PIVOT
11917
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12013
RES. 2
12136
GUARGUM
OCT 9650 9670 9340 9340 -3.91 12141
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
9230
SUPP. 2
9120
PIVOT
9450
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9560
RES. 2
9780
CASTORSEED
AUG 4039 4048 4003 4014 -0.57 28140
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3995
SUPP. 2
3976
PIVOT
4022
Castorseed short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4040
RES. 2
4067
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4014 4037 -0.57
CHANA 4537 4564 -0.59
CORIANDER 11890 11936 -0.39
GUARGUM 9340 9720 -3.91
JEERA 15825 16030 -1.28
MUSTARD
SEED
4229 4232 -0.07
SOYABEAN 3482 3542 -1.69
TURMERIC 7426 7418 +0.11
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
JEERA 20-07-2015 15805.00 -275.00 -1.71%
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3478.00 -55.00 -1.56%
CHANA 20-07-2015 4520.00 -58.00 -1.27%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-07-2015 4206.00 -33.00 -0.78%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 576.25 -3.60 -0.62%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-07-2015 3917.00 -24.00 -0.61%
TURMERIC 20-07-2015 7362.00 -38.00 -0.51%
CORIANDER 20-07-2015 11750.00 -54.00 -0.46%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
BARLEY 20-07-2015 1178.00 13.00 1.12%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The Centre has come out with draft operational guidelines for
implementation of Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana (PMKSY) and
has sought comments from the state governments on the same.Early this
month, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) had approved
the PMKSY, which aims to converge existing irrigation schemes being
implemented by various ministries.About Rs 5,300 crore budget allocation
has been made for it for this fiscal."Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan
Singh has approved the Draft Operational Guidelines of PMKSY, which
was formulated in consultation with different ministries, including other
stakeholders," Agriculture Ministry said in a release.The PMKSY
guidelines have also been circulated to Chief Secretaries of all state
governments for their views, it added.PMKSY has been conceived as an
amalgamation of ongoing schemes: Accelerated Irrigation Benefit
Programme (AIBP), Integrated Watershed Management Programme
(IWMP) and On Farm Water Management (OFWM).As per the draft
guidelines, a district level and if required, sub-district level water use plan
will be prepared to achieve convergence of investments in irrigation at the
field level.The scheme would aim to enhance the physical access of water
on the farm and expand cultivable area under assured irrigation, while also
focus on integration of water source, distribution and its efficient use, to
make best use of water through appropriate technologies and
practices.Efforts would be made to improve on-farm water use efficiency
to reduce wastage and increase availability both in duration and extent and
also enhance the adoption of precision-irrigation and other water saving
technologies.On irrigation plan, the draft norms said that both the district
and state irrigation plans will emphasize on convergence by eliminating
overlap of resources and efforts and ensuring optimal utilisation of funds
available through various centrally sponsored and state plan schemes.
National Rain-fed Area Authority (NRAA) will be associated in
preparation of state irrigation plan and providing advisories to state
governments for comprehensive irrigation development, the guidelines
said.
Chana settled up led by strong demand at the spot market. Besides,
fall in supplies from the producing regions of Rajasthan and Madhya
Pradesh too supported the uptrend in prices. Improved weather
conditions in Central and North-West India too kept sentiments slight
down as well as Govt initiatives to import more Pulses to improve its
supply. As per latest Govt reports, the area under Kharif Pulses has
risen to 32.61 lakh ha as on 10th July vs 22.71 lakh ha same period last
year. Above normal rains in Central and South India have improved
sowing, keeping prices down for Chana in June.Monsoon in July would
remain a strong factor influencing price direction as sowing of kharif
Pulses continue. Govt initiatives to improve supply could limit the
uptrend as it proposes to import 5000 tons Urad and has floated tender
for import of 5000 tons. However with prices having fallen a lot, some
recovery in demand could support the prices. India's 2014-15 total
chana output is at 7.59 million tons as compared to 9.93 million tons a
year ago due to lower sowing and untimely rains. Domestic chana
prices rose to Rs 4,885 per quintal due to lower output estimates.
Guarseed futures have mostly trended lower this week. NCDEX
Guarseed futures for October have dropped to lifetime contract lows,
nearing Rs 4000 per quintal mark in intraday moves.The NCDEX
Guargum futures for October are trading at Rs 9340 per tonne, down
3.90% on friday.The fresh arrivals are expected to start soon and
traders are anticipating a strongharvest unless monsoon plays truant in
coming weeks.A larger part of the country has received excess/normal
rainfall from June 1 to July15, the India Meteorological Department
stated, according to media reports. From June 1 toJuly 15, the country
received 280 mm of rainfall as compared to normal precipitation of
298.9 mm. All regions in the country, except Northwest India-which
has recorded 12% morerainfall than its normal limit, have witnessed
deficient rainfall. Rainfall is excess/normal in 61% (371 districts) and
deficient/scanty in 39% (238 districts).
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Cotton
COTTON ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) is getting good response for its e-
auctions, said India Cotton Federation (ICF). Miller, traders and exporters are
buying cotton from CCI according to their current and future requirements.
Currently CCI is holding the unsold stock of approximately 62 lakh bales out
of approximately 87 lakh, which it procured in the current season under the
MSP operation.
Around 85.08% of the cotton sowing has been completed in Gujarat,
according to State Agriculture Department. Area sown under cotton as on 13
July 2015 stood 23.19 lakh hectares in Gujarat against the total normal area of
27.26 lakh hectares and previous year as on date area of 10.19 lakh hectares.
In Andhra Pradesh, around 18.21% of the cotton planting has been
completed so far. Around 1.064 lakh hectares of cotton has been planted as on
08 July 2015 which is around 14.4% higher when compared to the area sown
for cotton during the same period last year.
Cotton output in India is likely to be around 6.423 million tones (377.8 lakh
bales of 170 kg each.) in the season 2015-16, same as the output of season
2014-15, according to USDA. The country is likely to export 1.023 million
tones (60.17 lakh bales of 170 kg each.) of cotton in 2015-16, around 17.45%
higher when compared to export in season 2014-15 which was 0.871 million
tones (51.23 lakh bales of 170 kg each), said USDA.
According to the latest estimates by USDA, cotton production on global
front is likely to be around 24.26 million tones in 2015-16, around 6.32%
lower when compared to the production in 2014-15.
CENTER 16-July-15 15-July-15 Change
RAJKOT 4755 4765 -10
BHIWANI 4600 4650 -50
ADAMPUR 4750 4700 +50
AHMEDABAD NA NA -
GONDAL 4840 4845 -5
GUNTUR NA 4050 -
RAICHUR 4782 4782 UNCH
6. Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER AUG BELOW 11870 TARGET 11845 11805 SL
ABOVE 11900
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 9700 TARGET 9750 9820 SL
BELOW 9640
SELL TURMERIC AUG BELOW 7400 TARGET 7360 7300 SL
ABOVE 7460
BUY CASTORSEED AUG ABOVE 4027 TARGET 4052 4082 SL
BELOW 3997
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