The document provides an economic and industry overview for Q3 2017. Key points include:
- Restaurant traffic grew for the first time in over a year, driven by quick service restaurants. Other segments saw declines.
- Morning meals drove overall industry growth, while other dayparts were stable. Deals and quick service visits increased traffic.
- Hurricanes Harvey and Irma impacted the restaurant industry through closures, job losses in affected areas, and temporary food and gas price increases.
- Delivery continues to be the fastest growing service mode for restaurants, though it remains a small percentage of total traffic. Convenience is the primary driver of delivery usage.
April restaurant survey data indicated a -1.0% decline in same-store sales and -3.3% decline in traffic. Although industry same-store sales have remained negative for 12 out of the past 13 months, April results reflected a marginal improvement from the results seen in both February and March. Based on performance, fine dining, upscale casual, and family casual displayed the strongest gains in same-store sales in April, while the previously top performing QSR segment was one of the weakest. Despite challenges faced in the industry, M&A activity remains strong and strategics have increased their appetite in acquiring concepts that provide an avenue for increased growth. Read the report for more detail on industry trends, market indices, public market performance and deal activity.
May restaurant survey data indicated a -1.1% decline in same-store sales and -3.0% decline in traffic. Although industry same-store sales have remained negative for 13 out of the past 14 months, May results reflected a marginal improvement in traffic from April's results.
The demand for expediency and convenience has impacted nearly all forms of the consumer sector in recent years, and the restaurant industry has found itself right in the middle of this seismic shift in preferences. Delivery orders in particular have become the fastest growing trend in the restaurant industry. Read the report for more detail on industry trends, market indices, public market performance and deal activity.
2014 Economic Outlook (Michael Brown, Wells Fargo)PublicFinanceTV
"Economic Outlook for 2014 and Beyond" presented by Michael Brown, Economist with Wells Fargo Securities, on December 13, 2013, at the Winter 2013 NCLGBA Conference, Asheville, NC.
Analysis of recent transactions in Packaged Food & Meat Industry detailing on Transaction Multiples (Revenue & EBITDA), Multiples Chart, Active Buyers & Transaction Data. A goldmine of resource for Entrepreneurs.
April restaurant survey data indicated a -1.0% decline in same-store sales and -3.3% decline in traffic. Although industry same-store sales have remained negative for 12 out of the past 13 months, April results reflected a marginal improvement from the results seen in both February and March. Based on performance, fine dining, upscale casual, and family casual displayed the strongest gains in same-store sales in April, while the previously top performing QSR segment was one of the weakest. Despite challenges faced in the industry, M&A activity remains strong and strategics have increased their appetite in acquiring concepts that provide an avenue for increased growth. Read the report for more detail on industry trends, market indices, public market performance and deal activity.
May restaurant survey data indicated a -1.1% decline in same-store sales and -3.0% decline in traffic. Although industry same-store sales have remained negative for 13 out of the past 14 months, May results reflected a marginal improvement in traffic from April's results.
The demand for expediency and convenience has impacted nearly all forms of the consumer sector in recent years, and the restaurant industry has found itself right in the middle of this seismic shift in preferences. Delivery orders in particular have become the fastest growing trend in the restaurant industry. Read the report for more detail on industry trends, market indices, public market performance and deal activity.
2014 Economic Outlook (Michael Brown, Wells Fargo)PublicFinanceTV
"Economic Outlook for 2014 and Beyond" presented by Michael Brown, Economist with Wells Fargo Securities, on December 13, 2013, at the Winter 2013 NCLGBA Conference, Asheville, NC.
Analysis of recent transactions in Packaged Food & Meat Industry detailing on Transaction Multiples (Revenue & EBITDA), Multiples Chart, Active Buyers & Transaction Data. A goldmine of resource for Entrepreneurs.
The SVB Asset Management Economic Report, Q1 2017, is a review of and outlook on economic and market factors that impact global markets and business health.
In this edition, the team discusses the Fed's recent activity and its intentions to raise benchmark interest rates three times in 2017. The report also focuses on how the new U.S. administration will impact domestic and global economies.
IRI’s Consumer Connect survey provides a quarterly snapshot of shoppers’ behaviors and attitudes as they directly relate to their strategies for learning about, purchasing and utilizing CPG and health care products, as well as information regarding perceptions of economic conditions and their ability to provide for their families.
Four months in, 2017 is shaping up to be a year of harvesting and replanting for the innovation economy.
The SVB Analytics team examined the private-company growth propelled by the large capital raises of 2014-15
and the subsequent plunge in large investments and exits in 2016. Given the activity we’ve seen in the first
quarter of 2017, we are forecasting significant harvesting of returns resulting from the last decade of sweeping
innovations.
Cox Automotive Market Insight Overview March 2019Philip Nothard
“Welcome to the latest Market Insight Overview from Cox Automotive.
Every month, we provide automotive industry professionals with unique intelligence, supported by invaluable insight and market sentiment from our customers, that goes beyond the headlines to uncover what’s driving the new and used car sectors from wholesale, retail and funding perspectives. We hope our holistic analysis arms you with the essential knowledge needed to navigate the fast-paced, ever-changing automotive market.”
PHILIP NOTHARD Customer Insight & Strategy Director - UK
Anika Khan, senior economist, Wells Fargo shares her 2015 Economic Outlook for the construction industry at an AEM regional membership session at Cummins.
IRI’s Consumer Connect™ survey provides a quarterly snapshot of shoppers’ behaviors and attitudes as they directly relate to their strategies for learning about, purchasing and utilizing CPG and health care products, as well as information regarding perceptions of economic conditions and their ability to provide for their families.
This IRI state of the nation report gives a snapshot summary of the Macro and Micro factors affecting the FMCG industry today.
You can also find these on our website here: https://www.iriworldwide.com/en-GB/insights/Publications/UK-State-Of-The-Nation
The SVB Asset Management Economic Report, Q1 2017, is a review of and outlook on economic and market factors that impact global markets and business health.
In this edition, the team discusses the Fed's recent activity and its intentions to raise benchmark interest rates three times in 2017. The report also focuses on how the new U.S. administration will impact domestic and global economies.
IRI’s Consumer Connect survey provides a quarterly snapshot of shoppers’ behaviors and attitudes as they directly relate to their strategies for learning about, purchasing and utilizing CPG and health care products, as well as information regarding perceptions of economic conditions and their ability to provide for their families.
Four months in, 2017 is shaping up to be a year of harvesting and replanting for the innovation economy.
The SVB Analytics team examined the private-company growth propelled by the large capital raises of 2014-15
and the subsequent plunge in large investments and exits in 2016. Given the activity we’ve seen in the first
quarter of 2017, we are forecasting significant harvesting of returns resulting from the last decade of sweeping
innovations.
Cox Automotive Market Insight Overview March 2019Philip Nothard
“Welcome to the latest Market Insight Overview from Cox Automotive.
Every month, we provide automotive industry professionals with unique intelligence, supported by invaluable insight and market sentiment from our customers, that goes beyond the headlines to uncover what’s driving the new and used car sectors from wholesale, retail and funding perspectives. We hope our holistic analysis arms you with the essential knowledge needed to navigate the fast-paced, ever-changing automotive market.”
PHILIP NOTHARD Customer Insight & Strategy Director - UK
Anika Khan, senior economist, Wells Fargo shares her 2015 Economic Outlook for the construction industry at an AEM regional membership session at Cummins.
IRI’s Consumer Connect™ survey provides a quarterly snapshot of shoppers’ behaviors and attitudes as they directly relate to their strategies for learning about, purchasing and utilizing CPG and health care products, as well as information regarding perceptions of economic conditions and their ability to provide for their families.
This IRI state of the nation report gives a snapshot summary of the Macro and Micro factors affecting the FMCG industry today.
You can also find these on our website here: https://www.iriworldwide.com/en-GB/insights/Publications/UK-State-Of-The-Nation
Restaurant Monthly Update - January 2017Duff & Phelps
December marked the ninth month out of the past ten with declining sales for the restaurant industry. Both same-store sales and traffic growth deteriorated from November’s results, officially marking 2016 as the worst year of industry performance since 2009. Despite challenges in the sector, private equity investors with significant dry powder and strong, relatively inexpensive credit, will likely continue to fuel investment in innovative and rapidly expanding restaurant concepts.
CPG growth is anemic and marketplace competition is fierce, so winning in this environment requires a keen understanding of consumers’ evolving path to purchase and dynamic marketplace shifts. To get a clear understanding of the rapidly changing CPG marketplace and the latest growth opportunities, IRI® took a closer look at how consumers’ shopping patterns as well as emerging marketing programs are impacting retail channel trends in its granular analysis, “IRI Channel Performance Report.”
National survey of employer sponsored health plans core presentationAnn Gargis
Mercer’s 2018 National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Plans, now in its 33rd year, is available now. The survey has long been a preeminent source of timely, reliable health benefit information, used by employers, policymakers, the health care industry and the media. Unlike other surveys conducted by benefit professionals, Mercer’s survey is statistically representative of all U.S. health plan sponsors with 10 or more employees – which means we can provide benchmark data for employer groups based on industry, size and location. And unlike government or think-tank surveys, the Mercer survey is focused squarely on the strategic issues that matter most to employer health plan sponsors.
•Most participants – Over 2,400 employers participated in 2018, far more than most other health benefits survey.
•Highest standards – The survey uses scientific sampling and weighting methodologies.
•Sharpest focus – Mercer’s health benefit experts frame the questions so you get the data you need.
IRI’s Consumer Connect survey provides a quarterly snapshot of shoppers’ behaviors and attitudes as they directly relate to their strategies for learning about, purchasing and utilizing CPG and health care products, as well as information regarding perceptions of economic conditions and their ability to provide for their families
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After a +3% point rise in consumer confidence in the third quarter of 2017, the latest Deloitte Consumer Tracker remains flat at -7%. This quarter’s results represent the first time since our survey began in 2011 that confidence has not fallen in the final quarter of the year.
November 2018 Economic Minute with Dennis HoffmanShay Moser
The Director of the L. William Seidman Research Institute and Professor of Economics Dennis Hoffman shares the arithmetic on whether 3 percent gross domestic product and above is sustainable and why it matters. Listen to his presentation here: https://news.wpcarey.asu.edu/20181115-question-du-jour-about-gdp-growth
This Credit Suisse Emerging Consumer Survey Databook provides granular detail of the market research that underpins the conclusions and themes highlighted in the Credit Suisse Emerging Consumer Survey 2014, a comprehensive and exclusive study of the consumption patterns and plans of individuals residing in nine key economies across the emerging world. Specifically, the markets we have incorporated in this survey are China, India, Brazil, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, South Africa and Turkey. In total, these markets account for over 3.5 billion people.
- Download the Emerging Consumer Survey Databook 2014 (PDF): http://bit.ly/1dQ2mGr
- Order the print version of the Global Wealth Report: http://bit.ly/1g3qJQX
Visit the Credit Suisse Research Institute website: http://bit.ly/18Cxa0p
Did you know total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 701,000 in March 2020, measuring the effects of COVID-19 and efforts to contain it? Employment in leisure and hospitality fell by 459,000, mainly in food services and drinking places. Notable declines also occurred in health care and social assistance, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction.
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2. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 2
Q3 News Overview
Amazon
Increased Labor Cost & Labor ShortageU.S. Weather Events
Politics
3. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 3
Key Economic Metrics
PCYA = percent change vs. year ago
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Bureau of Labor Statistics/Confidence Board/Consensus Forecast
1.5 1.4
-1.9
2.7
4.9
103.5
2.3
1.2 0.4
2.2
4.3
119.82016 2017
Food at home
inflation increased
for the first time
since 2015.
Food away from
home inflation
continues at a
steady pace.
GDP, DPI & Inflation PCYA
Real GDP/DPI shown
Unemployment & CCI: Monthly Rates
September 2017
Unemployment
remains at a healthy
rate between 4%
and 5%.
Consumers are more
confident in the
present situation
and expectations
than a year ago.
DPI growth
slowed vs. prior
year.
GDP growth rate
picked up after last
year’s slump.
Q3 2017
Underemployment
Sep’17: 8.3%
Sep’16: 9.7%
GDP DPI
Inflation
at home (AH)
Inflation away
from home (AFH)
Unemployment
Consumer
Confidence
Gap has been a drag
on AFH visits
4. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 4
Food Inflation – Quarterly
The inflation gap between at home and away from home is shrinking, but has been a
strong driver of traffic declines the last 2 years. At home inflation increases in 2017
have helped drive restaurant industry traffic increases for the first time since Q4 2015.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Data through Q2 2017; Graph shows quarterly % change versus year ago
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q3 ‘17
Away from Home: 2.2%
At Home: 0.4%
Away from Home
At Home
5. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 5
Food Inflation & Restaurant Traffic
Since 2010, restaurant traffic has turned negative during periods of large gaps between in-home and away-
from-home inflation
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Data through Q1 2017; Graph shows quarterly % change versus year ago
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Gap AH vs. AFH Restaurant Traffic PCYA
Q3 ‘17
Away from Home: 2.2%
At Home: 0.4%
Restaurant Traffic: 0.5%
How to Read: In Q4’16, the AH inflation
rate was 4-points lower than AFH inflation;
restaurant traffic declined slightly
6. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential 6
Hurricanes Harvey and Irma
Restaurant
Closures Employment Agriculture/
Food Prices Gas Prices
Houston has about
13K restaurant units
and the state of
Florida has about 36K.
In days following
Harvey, shares of
brands with multiple
units in TX fell:
Wingstop -4%, Zoe's
Kitchen -2%, and
Chuy's -1%.
Source: ReCount® & CNBC
The foodservice
industry lost a net
decline of 105K
jobs in September.
The Bureau of
Labor Statistics
reported the
storms as a cause
for loss of jobs.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
“Florida crops took
80-90% losses in parts
of the state” Florida
Agriculture
Commissioner
“Shoppers should
expect some
temporary price
spikes at the grocery
store” Ron Rice,
University of Florida
Source: Sun Sentinel
The national
average for regular
increased 18 cents
in the week after
Hurricane Harvey.
Long-term effects
will depend on
when large
refineries reopen.
Source: Time/GasBuddy
Economic Impact
7. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential
Source: The NPD Group/CREST®
Grey shading indicates NPD Forecast
Total Restaurant Annual Forecast
7
Components of Spending - % Change vs. Year Ago
Dollars 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Check Size: $6.65 $6.78 $6.92 $7.08 $7.22 $7.37 $7.52 $7.70
FORECAST
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0% 0%
0%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2% 2% 2%
YE Dec'11 YE Dec'12 YE Dec'13 YE Dec'14 YE Dec'15 YE Dec'16 F YE Dec'17 F YE Dec'18
Check
Traffic
8. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential
Source: The NPD Group/CREST®
Grey shading indicates NPD Forecast
Total Restaurant Annual Traffic (000)
Forecast
8
FORECAST
61,525,779 61,269,712 61,346,414 61,675,405 61,646,061 61,792,481 62,155,896 61,912,280 61,678,007 61,698,136
YE Dec'09 YE Dec'10 YE Dec'11 YE Dec'12 YE Dec'13 YE Dec'14 YE Dec'15 YE Dec'16 F YE
Dec'17
F YE
Dec'18
9. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential
0.4 0.3
-0.2
0.6
0.1
-0.7 -0.4 -0.2
0.4
1.3
0.4 0.5 0.8 0.6
-0.1 -0.3
-0.8 -0.4 -0.2 -0.5
0.5
JAS'12
OND'12
JFM'13
AMJ'13
JAS'13
OND'13
JFM'14
AMJ'14
JAS'14
OND'14
JFM'15
AMJ'15
JAS'15
OND'15
JFM'16
AMJ'16
JAS'16
OND'16
JFM'17
AMJ'17
JAS'17
Source: NPD CREST®
Industry traffic grew for the first quarter in over a year.
9
Industry traffic trends
% Change Vs. Year Ago
10. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential
9%
80%
8%
JAS'15 OND'15 JFM'16 AMJ'16 JAS'16 OND'16 JFM'17 AMJ'17 JAS'17
-3% -6% -3% -2% -2% -2% -3% -4% -4%
Source: NPD CREST®
QSR was the driver of industry traffic growth in JAS and the only
major segment posting any growth over the last several years
10
Segments traffic trends
% Change Vs. Year Ago
QSR
( )
Midscale
( )
Casual Dining
( )
Fine Dining/
Upscale Hotel
( )1%
2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%
-2% -4% -4% 0% 1% 2% -1% 1% -3%
-4% -3% -4%
-2% -3% -2%
-4% -3% -3%
(Share of Traffic JAS'17)
11. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential
1% 1% 3%
0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2%
33%
30%
15%
22%
Source: NPD CREST®
Morning meal was the daypart driving industry growth on the
quarter, while all other dayparts were stable.
11
Industry daypart trends
Traffic % Change Vs. Year Ago
(Share of Traffic JAS'17)
Morning Meal
( )
Lunch
( )
Dinner
( )
PM Snack
( )
1%
-3% -2% -3% -2% -1%
0%
-1%
0%
-2%
1%
-2%
0%
-1% -1% -2% -1%
0%
6% 8% 4% 3%
-1%
2% 0%
-1%
0%
JAS'15 OND'15 JFM'16 AMJ'16 JAS'16 OND'16 JFM'17 AMJ'17 JAS'17
12. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential
25%
75%
Source: NPD CREST®
Over the last year, deal visits have driven growth in the industry
on a quarter to quarter basis.
12
Industry dealing traffic trends
Deal
( )
$6.73
$7.60
(Share of Traffic JAS'17)
% Change vs. Year Ago
Non-Deal
( )
Check
Check
JAS'15 OND'15 JFM'16 AMJ'16 JAS'16 OND'16 JFM'17 AMJ'17 JAS'17
1% 0%
3%
1%
-2%
4%
2% 1%
3%
1% 1%
-1% -1%
0%
-2% -1% -1%
0%
13. The NPD Group, Inc. | Proprietary and confidential
26%
20% 21%
74%
80% 79%
QSR Midscale Casual Dining
Source: NPD CREST®
QSR deal growth driven by deal visits, while Midscale and
Casual Dining declined across deal and non-deal occasions.
13
Dealing distribution by segment
5%
PCYA = % Change vs. Year Ago
Deal
Non-Deal
PCYA PCYA PCYA
-4%
-3%0%
-8%
-3%
Distribution of Traffic – JAS'17
15. 15
Healthy foods are important
The NPD Group/CREST® Total Restaurant YE Dec’16
Despite the indulgent factor, “healthy” is the top characteristic
consumers would like to see offered at restaurants.
* includes lodging and recreation
16. There’s always a new fad or trend around the corner, waiting to grab consumers’ attention. In recent years
we saw consumers avoid gluten in increasing numbers; simultaneously, more adults tried to get protein in
their diets. In the last year we’ve not only seen a decline in both of those trends, we’re also seeing fewer
consumers interested in avoiding fat. Even the push for more probiotics has slowed. Right now conditions
seem ripe for something else to take center stage.
16
What’s the next opportunity?
Source: The NPD Group/National Eating Trends® Nutrition Survey
Sodium and fat
continue to decline in
importance on the
nutrition facts label
Interest in adding
beneficial ingredients
to our diets appears to
have peaked
The trend toward
checking for protein
looks to have peaked
The trend toward adding
more probiotics and
prebiotics to our diets looks
to have stabilized
The trend toward
avoiding gluten looks
to have peaked
+
17. Source: The NPD Group/National Eating Trends®Nutrition Survey, years ending Feb. ‘17
17
Clean / Purity is the new mantra
Consumers increasingly seek purity in their foods and beverages and are employing different tactics to
achieve this goal. It’s important to understand which tactic is most applicable to our portfolio. Examples
include GMO-free, “clean” labels, natural/organic, and preservative-free. We tend to look at these in
vacuums, but they’re all strategic levers consumers pull to achieve their goal of purity.
ORGANIC
GMO-free
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14
Additives Preservatives
% Who Completely Agree With “A Person Should
Be Very Cautious In Serving Foods With ...”
19. Traffic Trends by Service Mode
39%
38%
20%
3%
Total Restaurants*:
Distribution of Traffic
Delivery has the smallest share but the highest growth rate across all service modes; it’s
estimated to grow at a double-digit rate in the next five years
The NPD Group/CREST® YE Dec’16*includes lodging and recreation ** compounded annual growth rate (2012 – 2016)
12 Months End Dec 2016
On Premise
Carry Out
Drive Thru
Delivery
1.7%
0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
Delivery
Drive Thru
Carry Out
On Premises
Total On/Off Premises
Traffic % Change: 5-Year CAGR**
Restaurant
Delivered
Meals
Excluding
Pizza
Traffic
Forecast
2022 vs.
2016
+20%
20. 20
Delivery Traffic Trends
QSR categories where delivery presence is still minimal posted strong growth in the
service mode; delivery orders placed on mobile apps increased dramatically
* total restaurants incl lodging and recreation
-7% -8%
-1%
1% 1%
5%
++ ++
++
Total Restaurants* QSR FSR
Telephone for Delivery Internet for Pickup/Delivery Mobile App Pickup/Delivery
3-Year CAGR: Delivery by Where Ordered Type
Source: The NPD Group/CREST® YE Dec’16; CAGR Calendar Year 2014-2016, ++ > 20% Traffic Growth
21. 21
Third Party Delivery Providers
There is a plethora of 3rd party delivery providers which help make operators’ entry into the delivery
service mode an easier one
22. 22
Reasons for Delivery Use and Revisit Intent
Convenience is the top reason for delivery; those who visited QSR because delivery is
available or ordered via internet/mobile app show a higher revisit intent.
The NPD Group/Delivery Custom Survey June 2016 and CREST® YE Dec’16
15%
18%
20%
24%
28%
28%
28%
38%
50%
Everyone I'm with can have what
they want
Delivers from restaurants I prefer
The delivery charge is reasonable
I don't have to leave where I'm at
I don't have to go out in bad weather
They are quick to deliver
It's quicker than cooking
It's easier than cooking
I don't have to leave home
Percent Reasons - Users
Q: Why do you choose to use delivery?
36%
48%
% Definitely Will Choose
2015 2016
Delivery* Users Revisit Intent:
QSR excluding Pizza
+12
* Primary reason of visit “Has Take Out/Drive
Thru/Delivery” and Delivery service mode visited
43%
58%
% Definitely Will Choose
2015 2016
Digital Delivery** Users Revisit
Intent: QSR excluding Pizza
** Delivery service mode visited and
ordered via internet/mobile app
+14
23. Satisfaction with Quality of Delivered Products
fries
pancakes
soup
pizza
wings
fried rice
tenders
garlic bread
Fries have below average delivery satisfaction, leading to an opportunity for our
offerings with improved hold times (seasoned/coated); opportunity for a 2nd fry, and
longer term innovation in products and delivery packaging
Source: Datassentials – IFMA Research 2017
Editor's Notes
Damage (property/food), supply chain disruption (Cavendish/other potato manufacturers still having hard time getting trucks in S FL), displaced people (workers and customers), closed days – More fires affecting CA into Q4 with record heat – world series
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/06/us/wildfires-oregon-washington.html
https://www.dallasnews.com/business/economy/2017/08/20/dallas-suburbs-boom-restaurant-labor-shortage-will-likely-mean-bigger-bills-longer-waits
http://www.restaurantbusinessonline.com/workforce/rising-labor-costs-have-restaurants-scaling-back-some-benefits
http://goodtimes.sc/cover-stories/santa-cruz-restaurant-labor-shortage/
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/24/amazons-acquisition-of-whole-foods-is-a-threat-to-everyone-even-restaurants.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/18/amazons-new-meal-kit-is-already-selling-to-some-prime-members.html
http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-hiltzik-graham-cassidy-20170918-story.html
https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoinegara/2017/08/24/amazon-lays-out-its-whole-foods-strategy-and-shakes-up-wall-street-anew/#34140f3256f1
http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-hiltzik-cassidy-obamacare-repeal-charts-20170920-story.html
Food-at-home prices and food-away-from-home prices have recently diverged. Restaurant prices have been rising consistently month-over-month due, in part, to differences in the cost structure of restaurants versus supermarkets or grocery stores. Prices at food-at-home outlets have posted lower year-over-year price increases. Restaurant prices primarily comprise labor and rental costs with only a small portion going toward food. For this reason, decreasing farm-level and wholesale food prices have had less of an impact on restaurant menu prices.
Source: https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings.aspx
Healthy was top mention within QSR and FSR among all age groups.
Commentary from Harry Balzer
It seems we have entered a new phase in marketing health to the American consumer. The first phase, back in the 80s and 90s, focused on avoiding harmful substances in our food, such as fat, cholesterol, and sodium. The second phase, from the mid-90s to just a few years ago, was a move to add more beneficial substances in our diet, such as whole grains, dietary fiber, and probiotics. It appears we are in the third phase of the ‘healthy food revolution.’ In this latest evolution, consumers appear to be avoiding foods and beverages that are better for them and instead going for products that are real and not altered.
Coinciding with this movement…is the increasing concern about genetically altered foods (GMOs). NPD’s latest research finds that more than half, 57%, of Americans are concerned that modified foods pose a health hazard, up from 46% a decade ago.
I think we are looking for foods and beverages are they were meant to be.
Top 3 growing categories for delivery
QSR Burger
QSR Mexican
QSR Chicken