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Techniques and evidence for
assessing market power
Ricardo Medeiros de Castro
DISCLAIMER
The views and opinions expressed
in this presentation are those of
the author and do not necessarily
represent official policy or position.
Federal Law 12.529/2011
(Formed by Tribunal; General Superintendence; Federal Attorney; Department of Economic Studies)
Mission: To protect competition process
Advocacy effort
https://www.gov.br/cade/pt-br/centrais-de-conteudo/publicacoes/estudos-
economicos/documentos-de-trabalho
(1) it is truly difficult to present a closed and
uncontestable manner of screening dualistically
what dominance is or is not, since such concept
means different things, in different situations, to
different interpreters
(2) it is not possible, in abstract terms, to determine
whether an enterprise has market power or not
Dominance is cause or
effect of a conduct?
DOMINANCE CAN BE THE OUTCOME OF A CONDUCT:
In Administrative Proceeding nº 08012.011508/2007-91 ,
Former Counselour Ana Frazão stated that: the
configuration of sham litigation,(...) does not require the
market share assessment of the represented company.”
A similar conclusion is found in the vote of Former
Counselour Eduardo Pontual in Administrative Proceeding nº
08012.010648 / 2009-11: “In fact, the smaller the
represented company's presence in the market, the smaller
its share, the greater the damage that a sham litigation can
cause. “
• Decety, J., Jackson, P. L., Sommerville, J. A.,
Chaminade, T., & Meltzoff, A. N. (2004). The neural
bases of cooperation and competition: an fMRI
investigation. NeuroImage, 23(2), 744–751.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neuroimage.2004.05.025
COOPERATION
COMPETITION
Nowadays, certainly, it is not feaseble and available for Competition Authorities....
but maybe, in future, it could be possible to use neuroscience in order to analyze
market power.
Votinov M, Aso T, Fukuyama H, Mima T. A Neural Mechanism of Preference
Shifting Under Zero Price Condition. Front Hum Neurosci. 2016 Apr 20;10:177.
doi: 10.3389/fnhum.2016.00177. PMID: 27148024; PMCID: PMC4837161.
https://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/scientist-uses-brainwaves-to-test-ideal-prices-for-
products-a-926807.html#bild-6fb5a2d4-0001-0004-0000-000000554621
• Market shares (static and dynamic)
• Profit margin (Lerner Index)
o Average profit of market agents;
o Profit obtained before/after specific conduct;
• Prices
– Average prices
– Price changes or price increases due to the practice
• Costs (marginal cost, variable costs, fixed costs,... )
• Diversion ratio
• Price elasticity of demand (own and cross)
• Minimum Viable scale
• Minimum efficient scale
Dominance and
Presumption of market power
Panzar-Rosse test
Panzar, J. C., and J. N. Rosse. 1987. “Testing for “Monopoly” Equilibrium.” The
Journal of Industrial Economics 35 (4): 443–56, https://doi.org/10.2307/2098582
ψ (also called H statistic) is the sum of equilibrium gross
revenue elasticities with respect to each input price
Conduct Parameter (𝜆)
Competition:
Cournot:
Perfect collusion:
𝜆 = 0
𝜆 = 1
𝜆 =
𝑄
𝑞𝑘
= 𝑁
𝑞𝑘
𝜕𝑃
𝜕𝑄
𝜆 + 𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0
𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0
𝑞𝑘
𝜕𝑃
𝜕𝑄
+ 𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0
𝑄
𝜕𝑃
𝜕𝑄
+ 𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0
Price
Quantity
P
MgC in competition
MgC in Monopoly
Q
MgR
• BRESNAHAN, T. F. The oligopoly solution
concept is identified. Economics Letters , 10,
87-92, 1982.
• LAU, L. J. On identifying the degree of
competitiveness from industry price and
output data. Economics Letters, 10, 93- 99,
1982.
Competition
Market
power
These tests sometimes are wrongfully used in cartel cases!
Refusal to deal case ( 08700.001831/2014-27)
Tank trunks
Hydrant network
Kerosene Brazilian Market
It was used in this
case Bresnahan
Lau test by the
incumbents to
demonstrate that
although they
have significant
market shares, they
compete very
fiercelly in the
market
The case is still pending.
DEE did not accepted the result of Bresnahan Lau
exercise, because parties did not try to rotate the
demand curve.
Thank you
Ricardo.Castro@Cade.gov.br

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Economic analysis and evidence in abuse cases – Break-out Session 1 – Techniques and evidence for assessing market power – BRAZIL – December 2021 OECD discussion

  • 1. Techniques and evidence for assessing market power Ricardo Medeiros de Castro
  • 2. DISCLAIMER The views and opinions expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily represent official policy or position.
  • 3. Federal Law 12.529/2011 (Formed by Tribunal; General Superintendence; Federal Attorney; Department of Economic Studies) Mission: To protect competition process
  • 4. Advocacy effort https://www.gov.br/cade/pt-br/centrais-de-conteudo/publicacoes/estudos- economicos/documentos-de-trabalho (1) it is truly difficult to present a closed and uncontestable manner of screening dualistically what dominance is or is not, since such concept means different things, in different situations, to different interpreters (2) it is not possible, in abstract terms, to determine whether an enterprise has market power or not
  • 5.
  • 6. Dominance is cause or effect of a conduct? DOMINANCE CAN BE THE OUTCOME OF A CONDUCT: In Administrative Proceeding nº 08012.011508/2007-91 , Former Counselour Ana Frazão stated that: the configuration of sham litigation,(...) does not require the market share assessment of the represented company.” A similar conclusion is found in the vote of Former Counselour Eduardo Pontual in Administrative Proceeding nº 08012.010648 / 2009-11: “In fact, the smaller the represented company's presence in the market, the smaller its share, the greater the damage that a sham litigation can cause. “
  • 7. • Decety, J., Jackson, P. L., Sommerville, J. A., Chaminade, T., & Meltzoff, A. N. (2004). The neural bases of cooperation and competition: an fMRI investigation. NeuroImage, 23(2), 744–751. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neuroimage.2004.05.025 COOPERATION COMPETITION Nowadays, certainly, it is not feaseble and available for Competition Authorities.... but maybe, in future, it could be possible to use neuroscience in order to analyze market power.
  • 8. Votinov M, Aso T, Fukuyama H, Mima T. A Neural Mechanism of Preference Shifting Under Zero Price Condition. Front Hum Neurosci. 2016 Apr 20;10:177. doi: 10.3389/fnhum.2016.00177. PMID: 27148024; PMCID: PMC4837161.
  • 10. • Market shares (static and dynamic) • Profit margin (Lerner Index) o Average profit of market agents; o Profit obtained before/after specific conduct; • Prices – Average prices – Price changes or price increases due to the practice • Costs (marginal cost, variable costs, fixed costs,... ) • Diversion ratio • Price elasticity of demand (own and cross) • Minimum Viable scale • Minimum efficient scale
  • 12. Panzar-Rosse test Panzar, J. C., and J. N. Rosse. 1987. “Testing for “Monopoly” Equilibrium.” The Journal of Industrial Economics 35 (4): 443–56, https://doi.org/10.2307/2098582 ψ (also called H statistic) is the sum of equilibrium gross revenue elasticities with respect to each input price
  • 13. Conduct Parameter (𝜆) Competition: Cournot: Perfect collusion: 𝜆 = 0 𝜆 = 1 𝜆 = 𝑄 𝑞𝑘 = 𝑁 𝑞𝑘 𝜕𝑃 𝜕𝑄 𝜆 + 𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0 𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0 𝑞𝑘 𝜕𝑃 𝜕𝑄 + 𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0 𝑄 𝜕𝑃 𝜕𝑄 + 𝑃 − 𝑐𝑘′ = 0
  • 14. Price Quantity P MgC in competition MgC in Monopoly Q MgR • BRESNAHAN, T. F. The oligopoly solution concept is identified. Economics Letters , 10, 87-92, 1982. • LAU, L. J. On identifying the degree of competitiveness from industry price and output data. Economics Letters, 10, 93- 99, 1982. Competition Market power
  • 15. These tests sometimes are wrongfully used in cartel cases!
  • 16. Refusal to deal case ( 08700.001831/2014-27) Tank trunks Hydrant network
  • 17. Kerosene Brazilian Market It was used in this case Bresnahan Lau test by the incumbents to demonstrate that although they have significant market shares, they compete very fiercelly in the market
  • 18. The case is still pending. DEE did not accepted the result of Bresnahan Lau exercise, because parties did not try to rotate the demand curve.