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Financial Results Q4 and Full Year 2012

CEO Jouko Karvinen and CFO Karl-Henrik Sundström

5th February 2013
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts. including. without
limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth
and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”. “expects”. “anticipates”. “foresees”. or similar
expressions. are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates and
projections. they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from
those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include. but are not limited to: (1)
operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of
efficiencies therein. continued success of product development. acceptance of new products or services
by the Group’s targeted customers. success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements.
changes in business strategy or development plans or targets. changes in the degree of protection
created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights. the availability of capital on
acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions. such as strength of product demand. intensity of competition.
prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto.
price fluctuations in raw materials. financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the
Group. the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3)
general economic conditions. such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic
markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.




                              Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013               2
Q4 Operational EBIT Improved due to lower costs y-on-y
Cash Flow from Operations continued Strong




        *Operational EBIT comprises the operating profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of the segments and Stora Enso’s share of the operating
       profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of its equity accounted investments (EAI). Fair valuations include equity incentive schemes. synthetic
                     options net of realised and open hedges. CO2 emission rights and valuations of biological assets related to forest assets in EAI.

                                    Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                             3
Q4 Performance


•    Operational EBIT at EUR 155 million

•    Strong cash flow from Operations at
     EUR 471 million

•    Strong liquidity EUR 1 845 million

•    Operational ROCE 7.1%

•    Stable dividend
      – Dividend proposal of EUR 0.30




                         Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   4
Printing and Reading Operational EBITDA Improved y-
on-y and q-on-q even without capacity cuts




      Printing and Reading, EUR million                                   2009     2010   2011   2012
      Operational EBITDA                                                    497     411   548    489
      Cash Flow from Operations                                             710     415   406    506


                      Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                        5
European paper* Demand 2007-2012
                          Jan/2007 = 100%


                                          105%                                                                                                                                        5%




                                                                                                                                                                                                European paper demand growth y-o-y [%]
European paper demand [Jan-2007 = 100%]




                                          100%                                                                                                                                        0%


                                          95%                                                                                                                                         -5%


                                          90%                                                                                                                                         -10%


                                          85%                                                                                                                                         -15%


                                          80%                      SA European paper demand y-o-y                                                                                     -20%
                                                                   SA European paper demand
                                          75%                                                                                                                                         -25%
                                                          Jul-07




                                                                                 Jul-08




                                                                                                             Jul-09




                                                                                                                                        Jul-10




                                                                                                                                                           Jul-11




                                                                                                                                                                             Jul-12
                                                 Jan-07




                                                                       Jan-08




                                                                                               Jan-09




                                                                                                                           Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                 Jan-11




                                                                                                                                                                    Jan-12
                                                                                                                                    *Paper: News, UMO, UMI, SC, CM, WFC & WFU
                                                                                                                                    Source: EuroGraph & PPPC

                                                                                                                                    SA = seasonally adjusted

                                                                                Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results     5 February 2013                                                6
European paper* Demand & Forecasting Track Record

                               46000


                               44000


                               42000
European paper demand [kt/a]




                               40000


                               38000


                               36000
                                                Monthly SA demand (annualized)
                               34000            RISI forecast Mar-2010

                                                RISI forecast Feb-2011
                               32000
                                                RISI forecast Feb-2012

                               30000
                                       Jan-07           Jan-08                    Jan-09                        Jan-10              Jan-11             Jan-12

                                                                                                                  * Paper: News, UMO, UMI, SC, CM, WFC & WFU
                                                                                                                  SA = seasonally adjusted

                                                                   Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                   7
Reducing Capacity to meet declining Paper Demand
    Printing and Reading plans to shut down 475 000 tonnes



•     PM 2 Hylte Mill and PM11 Kvarnsveden Mill,
      Sweden

•     475 000 tonnes newsprint
       – Shut down in Q2 2013


•     Annual cost savings EUR 24 million
       – Fixed assets and working capital write-down
         of EUR 42 million in Q1 2013
       – Provisions with cash impact EUR 40 million


•     300 people impacted




                           Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   8
Building and Living
Evident Improvement needs




         Building and Living, EUR million                                             2010    2011    2012
         Operational EBITDA                                                             111     102      59
         Cash Flow from Operations                                                       82      95      63


                         Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                           9
Adjusting Cost Structure
Building and Living plans to streamline operations




•   Annual cost reductions EUR 30 million
     – full impact early 2014


•   Provision with cash impact of EUR 6
    million

•   Up to 300 employees impacted




                         Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   10
Strategic Investments
Montes del Plata, Ostroleka and Skoghall




                                                                                    Montes del Plata
                                                                                    Over 80% completed,
                                                                                    Start-up mid-year 2013
                                                Ostroleka
                                                Investment started up in
                                                Jan 2013, 6 weeks
                                                ahead of schedule



           Skoghall
           Investment
           started up on
           time, on 8 Nov
           2012
                       Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                            11
Guangxi Board and Pulp mills project

•   Preparations proceeding

•   The construction and production schedule will be updated when the final
    approvals are given and detailed plans are in place




                       Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   12
Business Area ROOC %, excl. and incl. Strategic Projects
Impact to Group ROCE % was 1.5% in Q4 2012



                                   Renewable Packaging                                                               Biomaterials
         30


         25


         20


         15
     %                                                                         13,0                                                                     13,4

         10
                                                                                 9,2
                                                                                                                                                            7,7

          5


          0
              11Q1   11Q2   11Q3    11Q4      12Q1     12Q2     12Q3      12Q4              11Q1     11Q2     11Q3     11Q4     12Q1   12Q2   12Q3   12Q4

                     ROCE            ROCE excl. Strategic inv                    Q4 2012                 Q4 2012 excl. Strategic inv          Current WACC




                                           Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results    5 February 2013                                                            13
Stable Cash flow enabling the transformation
Cash flow from operation is EUR 1 253 million in 2012




                      Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   14
Summary financials
   Q4 and Full Year 2012

                                                                                                               Change %      Change %
EUR million                    Q4/12            Q3/12               2012               Q4/11         2011
                                                                                                               Q4 12/Q4 11   2012/2011
Sales                          2 727.0 2 694.1 10 814.8                                 2 681.6 10 964.9               1.7              -1.4
Operational EBITDA                272.8             299.6            1 082.6                 242.9   1 308.0          12.3             -17.2
Operational EBITDA margin, %         10.0              11.1                10.0                9.1      11.9           9.9             -16.1
Operational EBIT                  155.0             174.7                 618.3              144.9    866.7            7.0             -28.7
Operational EBIT margin, %             5.7               6.5                 5.7               5.4       7.9           5.6             -27.8
Profit before tax excl, NRI          83.5           102.2                 318.5              141.4    639.1          -40.9             -50.2
EPS excl. NRI, EUR                   0.11              0.10                0.33               0.10     0.63           10.0             -47.6
EPS (basic), EUR                     0.33              0.10                0.61               0.12     0.43          175.0             41.9
Operational ROCE, %                    7.1               8.0                 7.1               6.7     10.0            6.0             -29.0

Cash Flow from Operations         471.0             312.4            1 252.7                 302.3   1 034.3          55.8             21.1
Net debt/last 12 months’
                                       2.5               2.8                 2.5               2.1       2.1          19.0             19.0
operational EBITDA



                               Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results    5 February 2013                                        15
Group Variance – Operational EBIT
    Positive impact from lower cost


•   Q4 vs. Q3                                                                  •       Q4 y-on-y




                          Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013               16
Efficient operative working capital management
Q1 2010 – Q4 2012




                    Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   17
Balance Sheet enabling the transformation
Q1 2010 – Q4 2012




                                                                                 *Last twelve months’ operational EBITDA


                    Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                      18
Guidance for Q1 2013



•   Compared to Q4 2012:

     – Sales at roughly similar level

     – Operational EBIT in the order of
       magnitude one-third lower due to
       deterioration in European paper and
       Building and Living markets

•   The restructuring plans to impact the
    Group’s result from H2 2013 onwards




                          Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   19
Projected Capex and Equity Injections for 2013
Excluding China investment

Capital Expenditure, Equity injections and Depreciation Forecast 2013


EUR million                                                               Forecast 2013

                                                                          350-400
Capital expenditure*

                                                                          110-130
Equity injections

                                                                          460-530
Total


                                                                          600-620
Depreciation

                                                                                          * Excluding China investment


                       Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                 20
Summary

• Improved Q4 EBIT year-on-year

•   Strong cash flow and liquidity

•   Paper capacity reductions plans to
    address declining paper markets and
    adjusting Building and Living cost
    structure

•   Skoghall and Ostroleka investments
    started up and ramping up

•   Montes del Plata start up mid-year 2013



                        Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   21
Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   22
Permanent pulp, paper and board capacity reductions
since 2006

Mill                          Date                         Grade                                 Capacity reduction, t
Corbehem PM 3 and PM 4        Jun 2006                     LWC                                                    250 000
Varkaus PM 1                  End 2006                     WFC                                                     95 000
Berghuizer Mill               Oct 2007                     WFU                                                    235 000
Reisholz Mill                 End 2007                     SC                                                     215 000
Summa Mill                    Jan 2008                     Newsprint, uncoated mag, book paper                    415 000
Anjala Mill PM1               Feb 2008                     Coated magazine paper                                  155 000
Baienfurt Mill                End 2008                     FBB                                                    190 000
Kabel Mill PM 3               End 2008                     Coated magazine                                        140 000
Kemijärvi Pulp Mill           April 2008                   Long-fibre (SW) pulp                                   250 000
Norrsundet Pulp Mill          Dec 2008                     Long-fibre (SW), pulp                                  300 000
Varkaus Mill coreboard machine Dec 2008                    Coreboard                                              100 000
Imatra PM 8                   Mar 2010                     WFU                                                    210 000
Varkaus PM 2 and PM 4         Sep 2010                     Newsprint, directory paper                             290 000
Maxau PM 7                    Nov 2010                     Newsprint                                              195 000
Hylte PM1                     Dec 2012                     Newsprint                                              180 000
Total                                                                                                           3 220 000




                               Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                23
Permanent sawn wood capacity reductions
since 2006

Mill                                      Date                                     Capacity reduction, m3
Veitsiluoto Sawmill                       2006                                                               100 000
Honkalahti Sawmill                        2006                                                                90 000
Sauga Sawmill                             Jun 2007                                                           130 000
Sollenau Sawmill                          2007                                                               110 000
Näpi Sawmill                              2007-2008                                                          100 000
Kotka Sawmill                             2007-2008                                                           70 000
Paikuse Sawmill                           End 2008                                                           220 000
Zdirec Sawmill                            2008                                                               120 000
Ybbs Sawmill                              2008 & Jun 2009                                                    200 000
Kitee Sawmill                             2008 & Jun 2009                                                    130 000
Varkaus Sawmill                           Jun 2009                                                            60 000
Tolkkinen Sawmill                         End 2009                                                           260 000
Kopparfors Sawmill                        End 2011                                                           310 000
Total                                                                                                       1 900 000




                      Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                 24
Operational EBIT by segments

                                                                                               Change %         Change %
EUR million            Q4/12             2012                Q4/11               2011
                                                                                              Q4 12/ Q4 11      2012/ 2011
Printing and Reading      58.0              218.1                   55.6              285.3               4.3              -23.6
  % of sales                4.9                   4.5                4.3                5.7            14.0                -21.1
Biomaterials              27.7                 82.1                 27.2              169.2               1.8              -51.5
  % of sales              10.8                    8.1               10.6               15.5               1.9              -47.7
Building and Living         6.8                28.8                  6.0               62.8            13.3                -54.1
  % of sales                1.5                   1.7                1.6                3.8             -6.3               -55.3
Renewable Packaging       54.8              271.9                   32.8              301.3            67.1                 -9.8
 % of sales                 6.9                   8.5                4.3                9.4            60.5                 -9.6
Other                       7.7                17.4                 23.3               48.1           -67.0                -63.8
  % of sales                1.1                   0.6                3.6                1.8           -69.4                -66.7




                         Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                   25
Net Financial Items

                                                                                                                        Change              Change
EUR million                                                  Q4/2012                 Q3/2012            Q4/2011
                                                                                                                      Q412/Q411           Q412/Q312
Net interest expense                                               -47.3                    -44.0          -35.1               -34.8                  -7.5


Foreign exchange gains and losses                                     -1.0                       -0.4        -3.0               66.7             -150.0


Other financial items. of which                                        0.9                  -14.7          -21.1                  n/a                  n/a
 PIK notes                                                             2.7                       2.7          2.0
 Fair valuation of interest rate derivatives*                         -8.6                  -16.4            -4.4
 Fair valuation of long-term debt                                          -                     -0.2        -0.4
 NewPage lease provision                                             10.5                           -             -
 Arktos write-off                                                          -                        -      -10.2
 Other items                                                          -3.7                       -0.8        -8.1


Total net financial items                                          -47.4                    -59.1          -59.2                19.9                  19.8

                                                                                                         *Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives.

                                    Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                                   26
Transaction risk and hedges
as at 31 December 2012


 EUR million                                                                                      USD     SEK    GBP

 Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure                                                1 030   -930    600

 Transaction hedges as at 31 Dec 2012                                                             -530    470    -270

 Hedging percentage as at 31 Dec 2012 for the next 12 months                                        51     51      45

    Additional GBP hedges for 13-15 months increase the hedging percentages by 3 .



    Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10                              EUR million
    USD                                                                                  103
    SEK                                                                                   -93
    GBP                                                                                    60

     The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The
     calculation does not take into account currency hedges. and assumes no changes occur
     other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the
     opposite impact.




                                     Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                    27
Softwood pulp prices
Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood




                                                                     Source: FOEX


                   Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013       28
Pulp wood and saw log prices
Wood prices in Finland




                                                                                Source: METLA


                   Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                   29
Wood prices in Sweden




                                                                           Pulpwood includes pine. spruce and birch.
                                                                                  Sawlogs include pine and spruce.

                                                                                       Source: SDC. Skogsstyrelsen
              Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                       30
Paper for Recycling prices




                                                                                   German RCP price development. free delivered
                                                                            Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso



               Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                                     31
Maturity profile Q4 2012




               Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   32
Energy balance* Q4 2012


     Total energy self
      sufficiency 59


  Self sufficiency 47                  Self sufficiency 63
                                                                                        Impact** on operating profit from
                                                                                                                                  EUR million p.a.
                                                                                        10 change in:




                                                                                        Electricity market price                       ~5


                                                                                        Fossil fuel price                              ~15




 *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas                                             **) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume




                                    Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013                                               33
Stora Enso Electricity procurement* Q4 2012




    *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas
                               Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results   5 February 2013   34

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Stora Enso Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results 2012

  • 1. Financial Results Q4 and Full Year 2012 CEO Jouko Karvinen and CFO Karl-Henrik Sundström 5th February 2013
  • 2. It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts. including. without limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”. “expects”. “anticipates”. “foresees”. or similar expressions. are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates and projections. they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include. but are not limited to: (1) operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein. continued success of product development. acceptance of new products or services by the Group’s targeted customers. success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements. changes in business strategy or development plans or targets. changes in the degree of protection created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights. the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions. such as strength of product demand. intensity of competition. prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto. price fluctuations in raw materials. financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the Group. the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions. such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates. Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 2
  • 3. Q4 Operational EBIT Improved due to lower costs y-on-y Cash Flow from Operations continued Strong *Operational EBIT comprises the operating profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of the segments and Stora Enso’s share of the operating profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of its equity accounted investments (EAI). Fair valuations include equity incentive schemes. synthetic options net of realised and open hedges. CO2 emission rights and valuations of biological assets related to forest assets in EAI. Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 3
  • 4. Q4 Performance • Operational EBIT at EUR 155 million • Strong cash flow from Operations at EUR 471 million • Strong liquidity EUR 1 845 million • Operational ROCE 7.1% • Stable dividend – Dividend proposal of EUR 0.30 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 4
  • 5. Printing and Reading Operational EBITDA Improved y- on-y and q-on-q even without capacity cuts Printing and Reading, EUR million 2009 2010 2011 2012 Operational EBITDA 497 411 548 489 Cash Flow from Operations 710 415 406 506 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 5
  • 6. European paper* Demand 2007-2012 Jan/2007 = 100% 105% 5% European paper demand growth y-o-y [%] European paper demand [Jan-2007 = 100%] 100% 0% 95% -5% 90% -10% 85% -15% 80% SA European paper demand y-o-y -20% SA European paper demand 75% -25% Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 *Paper: News, UMO, UMI, SC, CM, WFC & WFU Source: EuroGraph & PPPC SA = seasonally adjusted Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 6
  • 7. European paper* Demand & Forecasting Track Record 46000 44000 42000 European paper demand [kt/a] 40000 38000 36000 Monthly SA demand (annualized) 34000 RISI forecast Mar-2010 RISI forecast Feb-2011 32000 RISI forecast Feb-2012 30000 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 * Paper: News, UMO, UMI, SC, CM, WFC & WFU SA = seasonally adjusted Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 7
  • 8. Reducing Capacity to meet declining Paper Demand Printing and Reading plans to shut down 475 000 tonnes • PM 2 Hylte Mill and PM11 Kvarnsveden Mill, Sweden • 475 000 tonnes newsprint – Shut down in Q2 2013 • Annual cost savings EUR 24 million – Fixed assets and working capital write-down of EUR 42 million in Q1 2013 – Provisions with cash impact EUR 40 million • 300 people impacted Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 8
  • 9. Building and Living Evident Improvement needs Building and Living, EUR million 2010 2011 2012 Operational EBITDA 111 102 59 Cash Flow from Operations 82 95 63 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 9
  • 10. Adjusting Cost Structure Building and Living plans to streamline operations • Annual cost reductions EUR 30 million – full impact early 2014 • Provision with cash impact of EUR 6 million • Up to 300 employees impacted Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 10
  • 11. Strategic Investments Montes del Plata, Ostroleka and Skoghall Montes del Plata Over 80% completed, Start-up mid-year 2013 Ostroleka Investment started up in Jan 2013, 6 weeks ahead of schedule Skoghall Investment started up on time, on 8 Nov 2012 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 11
  • 12. Guangxi Board and Pulp mills project • Preparations proceeding • The construction and production schedule will be updated when the final approvals are given and detailed plans are in place Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 12
  • 13. Business Area ROOC %, excl. and incl. Strategic Projects Impact to Group ROCE % was 1.5% in Q4 2012 Renewable Packaging Biomaterials 30 25 20 15 % 13,0 13,4 10 9,2 7,7 5 0 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 ROCE ROCE excl. Strategic inv Q4 2012 Q4 2012 excl. Strategic inv Current WACC Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 13
  • 14. Stable Cash flow enabling the transformation Cash flow from operation is EUR 1 253 million in 2012 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 14
  • 15. Summary financials Q4 and Full Year 2012 Change % Change % EUR million Q4/12 Q3/12 2012 Q4/11 2011 Q4 12/Q4 11 2012/2011 Sales 2 727.0 2 694.1 10 814.8 2 681.6 10 964.9 1.7 -1.4 Operational EBITDA 272.8 299.6 1 082.6 242.9 1 308.0 12.3 -17.2 Operational EBITDA margin, % 10.0 11.1 10.0 9.1 11.9 9.9 -16.1 Operational EBIT 155.0 174.7 618.3 144.9 866.7 7.0 -28.7 Operational EBIT margin, % 5.7 6.5 5.7 5.4 7.9 5.6 -27.8 Profit before tax excl, NRI 83.5 102.2 318.5 141.4 639.1 -40.9 -50.2 EPS excl. NRI, EUR 0.11 0.10 0.33 0.10 0.63 10.0 -47.6 EPS (basic), EUR 0.33 0.10 0.61 0.12 0.43 175.0 41.9 Operational ROCE, % 7.1 8.0 7.1 6.7 10.0 6.0 -29.0 Cash Flow from Operations 471.0 312.4 1 252.7 302.3 1 034.3 55.8 21.1 Net debt/last 12 months’ 2.5 2.8 2.5 2.1 2.1 19.0 19.0 operational EBITDA Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 15
  • 16. Group Variance – Operational EBIT Positive impact from lower cost • Q4 vs. Q3 • Q4 y-on-y Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 16
  • 17. Efficient operative working capital management Q1 2010 – Q4 2012 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 17
  • 18. Balance Sheet enabling the transformation Q1 2010 – Q4 2012 *Last twelve months’ operational EBITDA Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 18
  • 19. Guidance for Q1 2013 • Compared to Q4 2012: – Sales at roughly similar level – Operational EBIT in the order of magnitude one-third lower due to deterioration in European paper and Building and Living markets • The restructuring plans to impact the Group’s result from H2 2013 onwards Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 19
  • 20. Projected Capex and Equity Injections for 2013 Excluding China investment Capital Expenditure, Equity injections and Depreciation Forecast 2013 EUR million Forecast 2013 350-400 Capital expenditure* 110-130 Equity injections 460-530 Total 600-620 Depreciation * Excluding China investment Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 20
  • 21. Summary • Improved Q4 EBIT year-on-year • Strong cash flow and liquidity • Paper capacity reductions plans to address declining paper markets and adjusting Building and Living cost structure • Skoghall and Ostroleka investments started up and ramping up • Montes del Plata start up mid-year 2013 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 21
  • 22. Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 22
  • 23. Permanent pulp, paper and board capacity reductions since 2006 Mill Date Grade Capacity reduction, t Corbehem PM 3 and PM 4 Jun 2006 LWC 250 000 Varkaus PM 1 End 2006 WFC 95 000 Berghuizer Mill Oct 2007 WFU 235 000 Reisholz Mill End 2007 SC 215 000 Summa Mill Jan 2008 Newsprint, uncoated mag, book paper 415 000 Anjala Mill PM1 Feb 2008 Coated magazine paper 155 000 Baienfurt Mill End 2008 FBB 190 000 Kabel Mill PM 3 End 2008 Coated magazine 140 000 Kemijärvi Pulp Mill April 2008 Long-fibre (SW) pulp 250 000 Norrsundet Pulp Mill Dec 2008 Long-fibre (SW), pulp 300 000 Varkaus Mill coreboard machine Dec 2008 Coreboard 100 000 Imatra PM 8 Mar 2010 WFU 210 000 Varkaus PM 2 and PM 4 Sep 2010 Newsprint, directory paper 290 000 Maxau PM 7 Nov 2010 Newsprint 195 000 Hylte PM1 Dec 2012 Newsprint 180 000 Total 3 220 000 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 23
  • 24. Permanent sawn wood capacity reductions since 2006 Mill Date Capacity reduction, m3 Veitsiluoto Sawmill 2006 100 000 Honkalahti Sawmill 2006 90 000 Sauga Sawmill Jun 2007 130 000 Sollenau Sawmill 2007 110 000 Näpi Sawmill 2007-2008 100 000 Kotka Sawmill 2007-2008 70 000 Paikuse Sawmill End 2008 220 000 Zdirec Sawmill 2008 120 000 Ybbs Sawmill 2008 & Jun 2009 200 000 Kitee Sawmill 2008 & Jun 2009 130 000 Varkaus Sawmill Jun 2009 60 000 Tolkkinen Sawmill End 2009 260 000 Kopparfors Sawmill End 2011 310 000 Total 1 900 000 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 24
  • 25. Operational EBIT by segments Change % Change % EUR million Q4/12 2012 Q4/11 2011 Q4 12/ Q4 11 2012/ 2011 Printing and Reading 58.0 218.1 55.6 285.3 4.3 -23.6 % of sales 4.9 4.5 4.3 5.7 14.0 -21.1 Biomaterials 27.7 82.1 27.2 169.2 1.8 -51.5 % of sales 10.8 8.1 10.6 15.5 1.9 -47.7 Building and Living 6.8 28.8 6.0 62.8 13.3 -54.1 % of sales 1.5 1.7 1.6 3.8 -6.3 -55.3 Renewable Packaging 54.8 271.9 32.8 301.3 67.1 -9.8 % of sales 6.9 8.5 4.3 9.4 60.5 -9.6 Other 7.7 17.4 23.3 48.1 -67.0 -63.8 % of sales 1.1 0.6 3.6 1.8 -69.4 -66.7 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 25
  • 26. Net Financial Items Change Change EUR million Q4/2012 Q3/2012 Q4/2011 Q412/Q411 Q412/Q312 Net interest expense -47.3 -44.0 -35.1 -34.8 -7.5 Foreign exchange gains and losses -1.0 -0.4 -3.0 66.7 -150.0 Other financial items. of which 0.9 -14.7 -21.1 n/a n/a PIK notes 2.7 2.7 2.0 Fair valuation of interest rate derivatives* -8.6 -16.4 -4.4 Fair valuation of long-term debt - -0.2 -0.4 NewPage lease provision 10.5 - - Arktos write-off - - -10.2 Other items -3.7 -0.8 -8.1 Total net financial items -47.4 -59.1 -59.2 19.9 19.8 *Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives. Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 26
  • 27. Transaction risk and hedges as at 31 December 2012 EUR million USD SEK GBP Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure 1 030 -930 600 Transaction hedges as at 31 Dec 2012 -530 470 -270 Hedging percentage as at 31 Dec 2012 for the next 12 months 51 51 45 Additional GBP hedges for 13-15 months increase the hedging percentages by 3 . Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10 EUR million USD 103 SEK -93 GBP 60 The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The calculation does not take into account currency hedges. and assumes no changes occur other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the opposite impact. Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 27
  • 28. Softwood pulp prices Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood Source: FOEX Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 28
  • 29. Pulp wood and saw log prices Wood prices in Finland Source: METLA Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 29
  • 30. Wood prices in Sweden Pulpwood includes pine. spruce and birch. Sawlogs include pine and spruce. Source: SDC. Skogsstyrelsen Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 30
  • 31. Paper for Recycling prices German RCP price development. free delivered Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 31
  • 32. Maturity profile Q4 2012 Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 32
  • 33. Energy balance* Q4 2012 Total energy self sufficiency 59 Self sufficiency 47 Self sufficiency 63 Impact** on operating profit from EUR million p.a. 10 change in: Electricity market price ~5 Fossil fuel price ~15 *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas **) Remaining impact on non-hedged volume Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 33
  • 34. Stora Enso Electricity procurement* Q4 2012 *) Pulp. paper and board mills. Europe and overseas Stora Enso Q4 and Full Year 2012 Results 5 February 2013 34