Robert Dujarric:Debating defense?
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PPT presented at ICAS event "Time for a Real Defense Debate in Japan" on Dec 1, 2014
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This document provides a theoretical framework on how inflation impacts retirement decisions and security. It summarizes several simplified lifecycle models showing how different levels and volatility of inflation can reduce real income, consumption, and savings over a person's working life. Higher and more volatile inflation is shown to lead people to accumulate less savings for retirement. The models also explore how inflation may impact labor supply decisions, finding that higher inflation could cause both earlier retirement through income effects, but also longer work through consumption constraints. The document reviews relevant data on how inflation is negatively impacting households currently and expectations around retirement. It previews how firm behavior and policy tools like COLAs could also be factors.Neutrality in the new Cold War
The Finnish and Swedish accessions to NATO—even though incomplete as of now—have been interpreted in some corners as the beginning of the end for neutrality. Not picking sides in a war of aggression is untenable, they hold, cheering the decisions of some former neutrals to give up their signature foreign policies while berating those who still do not send weapons to Ukraine or sanction Russia. Whatever one’s stance on the policy side is, one point has been lost in the debate: neutrality is not a question of ideology but a fact of conflict dynamics. It just won’t go away. Not even the two World Wars or the 40 years of the Cold War could get rid of the “fence-sitters.”
Neutrality, always and everywhere, is a reaction to conflict(s). The current one over Ukraine is no exception, giving rise to neutral policies in roughly two-thirds of the world. It is a moot question if there should be neutrality or not. Nonaligned behavior of third-party states is a fact of international life and will remain one. There are really only two questions that matter: First, which neutrals will leave the stage, and which ones will be born? Second, will the neutrals play a constructive role in the new global conflict, or will they be relegated to the margins?
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The Jingu Gaien redevelopment controversy: A talk with Rochelle Kopp
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The Jingu Gaien redevelopment plan in Tokyo has faced significant controversy. The plan would redevelop a historic urban park in central Tokyo that has provided a green space for 100 years. It would remove nearly 1000 trees, demolish two historic stadiums used for baseball and rugby, eliminate various sports facilities and cafes, and replace them with high-rise commercial buildings. Opponents argue the plan prioritizes old models of construction-centric development over environmental concerns or public input, and benefits cozy relationships between business and politicians over preservation of the park and community spaces. While an environmental assessment committee granted conditional approval, recent polls show over 69% of Tokyo residents oppose the redevelopment plan. Activists continue lobbying and raising awarenessUnderstanding the 2022 US midterm elections
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8 November 2022 was the last day of voting for the US midterm elections. These elections reflected the mood of American voters and give us some idea of the future course of American policy and of the political and ideological balance of power in the United States. They will also affect the ability of the Biden Administration to pursue its agenda.
ICAS: The results of Abenomics and Kishida's New Capitalism
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Observers of Japanese security and foreign policies have largely focused on analyzing Japanese policies in the area of traditional security. However, they would be remiss to disregard the string of new developments that have been occurring in Japan – namely that of “economic security.”
Prompted by rising U.S.-China competition, Japan has been undergoing rapid change in its economic security policies over the last few years. These changes range from organizational transformation to new legislation as well as increasing support for the private sector. This trend is likely to accelerate under the incoming Kishida administration, which has created a new ministerial post for economic security.
How has Japan’s economic security policy evolved in the last few years? What kind of changes will we likely see in Japan’s economic security policies under the Kishida administration? What impact will this “economic security awakening” in Japan have on Japan-U.S. and Japan-China relations? How should Japan cooperate with other key actors, such as the European Union, the Quad countries, the Five Eyes states, and Southeast Asian countries?
This seminar will address these critical questions and more with Akira Igata, who has been advising international organizations, the Japanese government, bureaucracy, and the private sector in economic security issues for many years.
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Akira Igata is Executive Director and Visiting Professor at the Center for Rule-making Strategies at Tama University. He is also the Economic Security Advisor for the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China and Senior Adjunct Fellow at Pacific Forum, a U.S.-based think tank. He advises Japan’s bureaucracy, politicians, and private sector as well as international organizations on economic security issues.The End of the LDP As We Know It
A half a year ago, the prospect of an LDP presidential election did not inspire flights of the imagination. After all, what could break the hammerlock the top three party factions – the Hosoda, the Aso and the Nikai – had upon the process of selecting the party leader? Who or what could outmaneuver the wily LDP Secretary-General Nikai Toshihiro, whom two prime ministers in a row found themselves powerless to budge from his post at the apex of the party’s secretariat?
Over the summer of 2021, however, several factors became catalysts for changes in the party’s internal power structures. A presidential campaign like any other had unfolded, with the faction leaders and the party’s senior officials left gasping as erstwhile subordinates have run away with the narrative and the initiative. So many assumptions about how the LDP “works” have been challenged that the unprecedented situation of half of the candidates being women has been largely subsumed.
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ICAS Program Book Vol. 3: Spring-Summer 2020
This document summarizes key points about changing demographics and higher education in Japan:
- Japan has 782 universities, most of which are private and located in urban areas like Tokyo. The number of 18-year-olds, and thus potential students, is declining sharply due to low birth rates.
- University enrollments are projected to decrease by 20% by 2040, with rural areas hardest hit. Increased international student recruitment could help offset this.
- Currently, Japanese universities enroll 135,000 international students, most of whom study humanities or social sciences at private universities in the Tokyo area. Greater international student recruitment will be needed to sustain many universities.
ICAS Program Book Vol. 2: Fall 2019
This document provides background information on the Institute of Contemporary Asian Studies (ICAS) at Temple University Japan Campus. It discusses how ICAS has evolved from its origins in the 1990s as the Pacific Rim Lecture Series, focusing initially on Japanese politics and economics. Over time, ICAS expanded its scope to include broader Asian studies and cultural topics like Japanese pop culture. The document outlines ICAS's mission and notable programs, and expresses excitement about collaborating with other universities now that Temple University has moved locations. It provides a short history of ICAS and looks ahead to future events and programming.
ICAS Program Book Vol. 1: Summer 2019
ICAS produces a program publication related to events and scholarly activity taking place during the semester. This is the summer 2019 issue.
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Changing Forms of Buraku Discrimination in Contemporary Japan Institute of Contemporary Asian Studies (ICAS) at TUJ
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Megumu Kamata is a Japanese tattoo artist whose work is influenced by American traditional and Japanese styles. Some of the notable artists who have influenced his work include Ed Hardy, Freddy Corbin, Charlie Roberts, and Lal Hardy. Kamata is known for his backpieces featuring Japanese dragons, as well as tattoos depicting skulls, spiders, ships, snakes, and religious imagery. He often puts his own spin on classic designs from American traditional artists like Bob Roberts, Mike Malone, and Greg Irons.Tattoo and Bathhouse Bans in Contemporary Japan
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Robert Dujarric:Debating defense?
- 1. Debating defense? Robert Dujarric Temple University Japan robertdujarric@gmail.com 1 December 2014
- 2. Voters don’t care • Top issue in for the election: – 35% economic policy – 27% social security. – 10% fiscal rehabilitation. – 8% nuclear power and energy policy. – 53% don’t approve collective self-defense.
- 3. Voters don’t care • Most important tasks for Cabinet (May 2014) – Economy: 55% – Welfare: 50% – Public finance: 18% – Energy/nuke power: 17% – Post 3/11 reconstruction: 16% – Defense/diplomacy: 10% (LDP voters: 16%) – Constitutional revision: 4%
- 4. Japanese security policy • Yoshida Doctrine alive and well.
- 5. Japanese security policy • Reactive/passive: – No effort to shape environment militarily. – Low non-military profile too (aid, public diplomacy, immigration). – Partial attempts develop stronger regional allies: • Ties with ROK hurt by (a) history (b) Tokdo/Takeshima (c) lack of vision in Tokyo, (d) ROK politics. • Relations with SE Asia developing but limited. • Stronger defense ties with Australia, distance is issue. • Budget caps undermine policy.
- 6. Japan military outlays in perspective • Defense expenditures % gdp: – Japan: 1.0-1.5% + no conscription – Singapore: 3.5% + conscription. – South Korea: 2.5% + conscription – Canada: 1.0% + closest integration with US. – W. Germany Cold War 1980: 3.0% + conscription. • SDF not a priority for Japan.
- 7. Effectiveness of Japanese policy? • Keeps Japan safe. • Satisfies US (mostly). • Zero dead. • Low cost 1.0-1.5% gdp. • Enough (with US) to deter China? Unknown. Risk: under-investment in national security hurts deterrence, ability to fight/win.
- 8. Sheep in wolf’s clothing © Kimi Kamei
Editor's Notes
- Not for circulation without authorization
- http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2014/11/29/national/politics-diplomacy/abe-cabinet-disapproval-rating-tops-support-first-time-poll/#.VHqFx6SUeQ4 Japan Times 30 Nov 2014
- http://www.47news.jp/smp/47topics/e/253614.php 30 Nov 2014
- http://aboutjapan.japansociety.org/resources/category/1/7/0/4/images/U978803ACME.jpg http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/56/Yoshida_visits_McArthur_1954.jpg/200px-Yoshida_visits_McArthur_1954.jpg Both 25 Oct 2014
- http://www.wantchinatimes.com/newsphoto/2013-11-02/450/CA27X0264H_2013%E8%B3%87%E6%96%99%E7%85%A7%E7%89%87_N71_copy1.JPG 1 Nov 2014
- http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/27/Mount_Fuji_flight_formation.jpg 1 Nov 2014
- Kimi Kamei drawing 2014