DSD-INT 2019 D-Health - quantifying impacts of water quality - Geerling

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Presentation by Gertjan Geerling, Deltares, at the Delft3D - User Days (Day 4: Water quality and ecology), during Delft Software Days - Edition 2019. Thursday, 14 November 2019, Delft.

Software

D-Health:
quantifying impacts of
water quality
Dr. Gertjan Geerling | gertjan.geerling@deltares.nl

Source: G. Donchyts, Deltares
Over a million
dams in the world
Orange dots are
known dams.

Healthburden
Weeks
0 1 2 3 4
Floods and Health
50% of flood victims die within the year after the flood
Flood
Increased
exposure to
pathogens,
reduced
drinking
water quality
Direct casualties
Increase in
mosquito
vectors and
associated
diseases
Increase in
effects of
mold in
housing,
other
secondary
effects
Source: G. Geerling, Deltares

Source figure: Myers, S. S., Gaffikin, L., Golden, C. D., Ostfeld, R. S., H Redford, K., H Ricketts, T., et al. (2013). Human health impacts of ecosystem alteration. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, 110(47), 18753–18760. http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1218656110
Health inequities

Vision: co-manage water and public health
• Engage: learn the same language
• Trade-off investments in water /
health
• Equity of benefits

WATER
How are humans exposed?
Swimming
Drinking
Cooking
Defecating
Working
Floods
Washing
Inhaling (vapor)
Eating
Bathing
Industry
Pathogens
Open defecation
Domestic effluent
Water-related disease
Agriculture

Emissions Hydrology
Fate and
transport
concentrations
Post-processing of Delft3D FM Suite results
WATER
Swimming
Drinking
Cooking
Defecating
Working
Washing
Inhaling (vapor)
Eating
BathingExisting modules
Health impact module

• Sampling
Pilot project: Upper Citarum Basin, Indonesia

Quantify Exposure
Quantifying exposure to water:
intake pathways
WATER
Swimming
Drinking
Cooking
Defecating
Working
Washing
Inhaling (vapor)
Eating
Bathing

Health risk (not quite impact yet)
Daily probability of infection by Cryptosporidium and the annual mean risk.
Source: Ira Wardani, Deltares. Research in collaboration with Wageningen University.

Example 2: Catchment wide risk assessment
Source: Jos van Gils, Deltares.

Tracing to sources
Trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole
is an antibiotic used to treat a
variety of bacterial infections.
Human and veterinary use.
Source: Jos van Gils, Deltares.

D-Health roadmap
Substances
Pathogens
Ecological (vector borne)
2020 2021
Scoping + Pilot
- Knowledge review
- Engage stakeholders / partners
- Outline framework
- What is available?
- Gather existing methods / tools
- Start pilots in impacted areas
Pilot + Building
- Work with stakeholders
- (pilot) projects
- Apply tools, integrate
- Evaluate impact
Climate and Water management
scenarios for quantifying mosquito
habitat as input to disease outbreak
models (the Netherlands) *)
Looking for international co-
operation and projects
*) https://ncoh.nl/research/phd-research-programme/vector-borne-diseases/preparing-for-vector-borne-virus-
outbreaks-in-a-changing-world-a-one-health-approach/

Dr. Gertjan Geerling | gertjan.geerling@deltares.nl
Thank you!
For collaboration contact me @
Gertjan.Geerling@deltares.nl
LinkedIn: https://nl.linkedin.com/in/ggeerling
Whatsapp: +31 6 511 949 01

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