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Developing the Reimbursement Story:
It’s Never Too Early
Commercialization of Molecular Diagnostics
23rd International Molecular Medicine Tri-Conference
March 10, 2016
1
For today’s discussion
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 2
ü Study design for technology assessment and
reimbursement dossier
ü Framework
Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS)
Centers for Disease Control EGAPP Initiative/ACCE Model
ü LDTs/IVDs
!Companion diagnostics
!Regulatory trends
!Coding
!Pricing
EGAPP: Evaluation of Genomic Applications in Practice and Prevention
ACCE: Analytical validity, Clinical validity, Clinical utility, Ethical/legal/social implications
Achieving success
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 3
Novel
biomarkers
Robust assay
Clinical
relevance
Excellent
test
performance
Well
characterized
samples
•  Test the market•  Test the market
•  Understand current practice/physician behavior
•  Test the market
•  Understand current practice/physician behavior
•  Achieve literacy in applicable clinical guidelines
•  Test the market
•  Understand current practice/physician behavior
•  Achieve literacy in applicable clinical guidelines
•  Characterize the reimbursement strategy early
Why build the reimbursement case early?
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 4
Design studies
Plan sample accrual
Develop milestones
•  Study completion
•  Product launch
•  Billing
Pricing / revenue / time to cash-positivity
Communicate with investors
Align with TPP / PRD / marketing strategy
TPP: Target Product Profile; PRD: Product Requirements Document
Align study design with commercial strategy
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 5
• Study design
• Test inputs (sample type,
requisition form)
• Test outputs (patient report)
• Market intelligence
• Commercial strategy
• Target product profile
• Product requirements
CMS pathway to reimbursement
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 6
Clinical
Utility
Analytic
Validity
Clinical
Validity
If needed:
Economic
Value
•  Coverage
determination
•  Non-coverage
determination
•  Limited coverage
•  Recommendation
to submit for
Coverage with
Data
Development
(CDD)
Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015
Technical
Assessment
• Publications
• Accepted for
publication
• Subject matter
expert white
papers
• Professional
association
guidance
• Abstracts
Publications
Unique Test
Identifier
(Code)
Registration
Technical Assessment
•  Defined disorder/clinical setting
•  Analytic validity
•  Clinical validity
•  Clinical utility
•  ELSI safeguards
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 7
Centers for Disease Control Evaluation of Genomic
Applications in Practice and Prevention (CDC EGAPP)
•  Independent, non-federal working group that assesses new tests and
publishes evidence reports
ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
Building the reimbursement story
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 8
Set up why the test
matters
•  Who tested/in what
circumstances
•  Information provided that
is not available without
test
•  Resulting actions
•  Outcomes
•  Affordability
•  Medical necessity
Design and
execute studies
•  Analytic validity
•  Clinical validity
•  Clinical utility
Generate evidence
•  Study results
•  Published data
•  Abstracts
•  Guidance from
professional societies
•  Evidence-based
consensus reports
National Academies Planning Committee Roundtable on Translating Genomic-Based Research for Health, 2014
Frueh FW & Quinn B, 2014
Set up why the test matters
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 9
Set up why the test
matters
•  Who tested/in what
circumstances
•  Information provided that
is not available without
test
•  Resulting actions
•  Outcomes
•  Affordability
•  Medical necessity
Design and
execute studies
Generate evidence
Frueh FW & Quinn B, 2014
CMS: Demonstrate test is medically necessary
Falls within a defined Medicare benefit category
Not excluded from coverage by statute, regulation, National Coverage
Determination (NCD), or Local Coverage Determination (LCD)
Reasonable and necessary in the diagnosis or treatment of an illness or injury,
or to rule out or confirm a suspected diagnosis based on patient has sign(s)
and/or symptom(s)
Ordered by a treating physician
Provides data that will be used to manage a specific medical condition
Excludes investigational services
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 10
National Academies Planning Committee Roundtable on Translating Genomic-Based Research for Health, 2014
cms.gov
Define the clinical disorder
Specific condition
Clinical findings defining the condition
Clinical setting in which test will be performed
Tests currently in use for the condition
How patients are identified/screened to be determined appropriate for use
of the test
Stand-alone vs one of a series of tests
If one of a series, situations when all vs only some of tests are performed
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 11
CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
Design and execute studies
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 12
Set up why the test
matters
Design and
execute studies
•  Analytic validity
•  Clinical validity
•  Clinical utility
Generate evidence
Design and execute studies
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 13
•  Well characterized samples – clinically and analytically
•  Cleanly defined standard use with samples from that population
•  Clinical relevance verified by community, literature, guidelines
•  Studies that demonstrate test is medically necessary and actionable
•  Aligned with TPP, PRD, product launch/marketing strategies
Analytic Validity Clinical Validity Clinical Utility
How stable and robust is
the assay?
How reliably does the test
correlate to the clinical
condition?
What difference does the
test make?
• Accuracy and reliability of
measuring analyte
• Accuracy of ability to
diagnose, predict or
measure clinical condition
• Ability to change patient
management/outcomes
• Impact on cost of care
Analytic Validity
Test qualitative vs quantitative
Frequency of test-positivity when mutation/biomarkers present - sensitivity
Frequency of test-negativity when mutation/biomarkers not present - specificity
QC program
Repeated measurements on specimens
Within- and between-laboratory precision
Method for performing confirmatory testing to resolve inaccurate results in a timely manner
Range of specimens tested
Frequency of failure to deliver usable result
Methods for assessing from a clinical perspective the “clinical cost” of delivering a wrong result
and degree of allowable error
Similarity of results across laboratories and technologies, if applicable
Inputs (test requisition, specimens) and outputs (patient report) aligned with commercial plan
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 14
CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
Analytic Validity
How stable and robust
is the assay?
• Accuracy/reliability of
measuring analyt
Analytic Validation Studies
Validation Element Measures
Accuracy Method comparison, e.g., gold standard, target values
Specimen types
Matrix comparisons
Analytic sensitivity Limit of detection
Limits of quantitation, upper and lower, including analytically measurable and clinically
reportable ranges
Linearity and reportable range
Minimum input quantity and quality
Minimum tumor content
Analytic specificity Primer and probe specificity
Interfering substances
Precision Repeatability – single operator, instrument, lot, day, run
Intermediate precision – multiple operators, instruments, lots, days, runs within a lab
Reproducibility – multiple labs
Lot-to-lot reproducibility – multiple reagent, calibrator, controls lots
Reagent stability Closed – shelf life
Open – in use
Freeze-thaw
Reference intervals Specimens from healthy subjects in intended use population
Sample stability Shipping
Primary and intermediate samples (e.g., extracted RNA or DNA)
Freeze-thaw
Software (algorithm) Verification and validation
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 15
Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015; clsi.org
Analytic Validity
How stable and robust
is the assay?
• Accuracy/reliability of
measuring analyt
Clinical Validity
Demonstrate association between test result and clinical condition of
interest
Study population = intended use population – that which is intended to
benefit from decision guided by the test result
Obtain sufficient prior evidence from the intended use population from early
validation studies
Select appropriate gold standard or reference
Define terminology and concepts used
Provide measures of certainty, e.g., 95% confidence intervals
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 16
Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013
Clinical Validity
How reliably does the test
correlate to the clinical
condition?
• Accuracy of ability to
diagnose, predict or
measure clinical condition
Clinical Validity, cont’d
Report strength of association between test and disease state using metrics
most useful to clinicians
Apply appropriate weight to false negatives vs false positives based on clinical
significance – optimize appropriately for NPV vs PPV
Use appropriate reporting standards
•  Binary test: sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values
•  Continuous variable (e.g., risk score): select threshold or cut-off to generate
binary score; when clinical outcome is binary, receiver operating
characteristic (ROC) curves can be used
•  Continuous or time-to-event variable: regression methods to model
relationship between discrete or continuous test result and outcome
•  Predictive marker: use appropriate control group
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 17
Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013
Clinical Validity
How reliably does the test
correlate to the clinical
condition?
• Accuracy of ability to
diagnose, predict or
measure clinical condition
Sensitivity – frequency of test positive when disorder present
Specificity – frequency of test negative when disorder not present
Methods to resolve clinical false positive results in timely manner
Prevalence of disorder in the setting
Adequate validation on all populations to which it may be offered
Positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV)
Genotype/phenotype relationships
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 18
CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
Clinical Validity, cont’d
Clinical Validity
How reliably does the test
correlate to the clinical
condition?
• Accuracy of ability to
diagnose, predict or
measure clinical condition
Clinical Utility
Natural history of disorder
Impact of positive or negative test on patient care
Other diagnostic tests available
Measurable benefit or acceptable action as result of test with access to that
benefit/action
Documentation if test will be offered to socially vulnerable population
Quality assurance measures
Results of pilot trials
Health risk identified for follow-up testing and/or intervention
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 19
CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
Clinical Utility
What difference does the
test make?
• Ability to change patient
management/outcomes
• Impact on cost of care
Clinical Utility, cont’d
Financial costs associated with testing
Economic benefits resulting from testing
Facilities/personnel available
Educational materials validated and available
Informed consent requirements
Methods for long term monitoring
Guidelines for evaluating program performance
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 20
CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
Clinical Utility
What difference does the
test make?
• Ability to change patient
management/outcomes
• Impact on cost of care
Considerations for Clinical Utility
Inability to demonstrate clinical utility most cited reason for failure to obtain coverage
Additional pitfalls
•  Poorly defined population
•  Lack of evidence-based decisions
•  Coding issues
•  Lack of evidence to support medical necessity
If outcomes hard to capture, measure clinical behavior change as proximate to outcomes change
Start clinical utility studies early
Learn from others’ successes and failures
May need to involve private payers and providers early
Patient influences: some patients do not get better even when clinical care is done correctly
Provider influences: Providers practice differently, and occasionally poorly
Study design: appropriate and representative
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 21
A well-designed clinical utility study demonstrates that the test changes patient
management decisions and, ultimately, patient outcomes
Clinical Utility
What difference does the
test make?
• Ability to change patient
management/outcomes
• Impact on cost of care
Jeter E, Palmetto GBA
Peabody et al. Am J Managed Care 2014
Clinical Utility Study Design/Levels of Evidence
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 22
Design Description Level of
Evidence
Randomized, Prospectively
Controlled Trials (RCT)
•  Demonstrates therapeutic intervention based on test results leads to
statistically and clinical significant improvement in patient outcomes versus
standard of care
•  End points widely considered clinically appropriate
3A
Prospective-Retrospective
Trials (PRT)
•  Uses archived samples from a previously reported RCT to demonstrate that
treatment based on test is associated with improved outcomes in a
statistically and clinically significant manner versus standard of care
•  Samples and study design sufficiently characterized and powered to permit
definition of the indications for test use
3B
Prospective Observational
Studies (POS)
•  Enrolls patients prospectively in registry
•  Treatment according to defined pathway using test as part of care plan
•  Demonstrates statistically and clinically significant improvement in
healthcare outcomes versus standard of care
2A
Results from at least one study with Level of Evidence 2A or above must be submitted for acceptance
for full clinical review
Retrospective Data Modeling
(RDM)
•  Uses complex data modeling using large data sets to determine statistically
and clinically significant improvement in outcomes when test used to guide
treatment versus standard of care
2B
Retrospective Observational
Studies (ROS)
•  Does not stipulate treatment pathways based on test result 1
Preclinical Studies (PS) •  Preclinical data only, or related studies 0
Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015
$
Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs)
Biomarker-stratified design
•  Classic clinical trial design
•  All comers randomized
•  Large sample size
Enrichment design
•  All patients tested
•  Only test-positive continue to treatment/management
•  Smaller sample size
Biomarker-strategy design
•  Randomization to arm that uses test to direct therapy or control arm that does not
Prospective-Retrospective Analysis of Previously Conducted RCTs
•  RCT design using existing sample cohort
•  Faster and less expensive
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 23
Frieidlin B, McShane LM, Korn EL. J Natl Cancer Inst 2010
Simon RM, Paik S, Hayes DF. J Natl Cancer Inst 2009
Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013
Clinical Utility
What difference does the
test make?
• Ability to change patient
management/outcomes
• Impact on cost of care
Time and cost of RCTs often exceeds capacity of
small/emerging company
Non-RCT Study Design
Single-arm studies
•  Test developed to be used with a FDA-approved drug
•  Adequate archived samples not available to conduct prospective-retrospective trial
•  Feasible to use response as endpoint
•  Comparable response data in comparative cohort exists
Prospective observational studies
•  Patient registries
•  Multiple group, pretest/posttest design
•  Acceptable if compelling rationale for not doing RCT is addressed
Decision-analytic modeling
Clinical Performance and Value (CPV) vignettes
•  In silico simulation of clinical behavior change
•  Builds clinical utility case early – completion of validation not required
•  Validated against actual practice
•  Not affected by patient variation
Cost-effectiveness
•  Can be compelling for payers
•  May not be sufficient for coverage but should be employed as part of reimbursement strategy
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 24
Peabody et al. Am J Managed Care 2014
Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013
Clinical Utility
What difference does the
test make?
• Ability to change patient
management/outcomes
• Impact on cost of care
Criteria
• Strong evidence analytic and clinical validity
• Potentially significant but unproven potential of clinical utility
• Potential to affect the management of a serious, prevalent disease within Medicare population
Submit study plans to support safety, diagnostic performance and clinical utility (effect on
health outcomes)
Can be realistically completed in 3-4 years or less
Adequate resources to complete study
Study protected from conflicts of interest
Study development guided by key stakeholders (e.g., patients, clinicians, professional
societies)
Study registered on www.ClinicalTrials.gov prior to enrollment
Specified method and timing of public release of results
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 25
Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015
Coverage with Data Development (CDD)
Clinical Utility
What difference does the
test make?
• Ability to change patient
management/outcomes
• Impact on cost of care
Successes | Failures
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 26
Positive coverage Negative coverage
Genomic Health Oncotype DX
• Strong validation studies
• Multiple large, multicenter retrospective and
prospective studies looking at multiple
outcomes
Tethys PreDX diabetes test
• Lack of clinical utility data
• Inability to justify test as screening vs test for
at-risk population
Crescendo Biosciences Vectra DA (RA)
• CPV vignettes in a randomized controlled
study, provider assessments and
comparative review of cases to compare
clinical assessment with test score
Berkeley HeartLab LPA-Aspirin genotype test
• Lack of clinical utility data
• Failure to demonstrate target population
CardioDx Corus CAD
• Large longitudinal study showing significant
and clinically relevant utility combined with
retrospective chart review showing patient
management impact
Agendia subtyping profile tool, breast CA
• Insufficient clinical utility data
Peabody et al. Am J Managed Care 2014
Clinical Utility Strategy
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 27
Physician
surveys
Clinical utility
secondary
outcomes as
part of clinical
validation study
Clinical
Performance
and Value
Vignettes
Economic
modeling
Pre-launch
Build evidence
Prospective
Observational
Study
Cost
effectiveness
study
Post-launch
Higher level
of evidence
Results
March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 28
Set up why the test
matters
Design and
execute studies
Generate evidence
Dossier
Technical
assessment
Coverage decision
THANK YOU
lyssa@lyssafriedman.com
http://lyssafriedman.com
415.250.8356
March 10, 2016 29

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Developing the Reimbursement Story 2016-03-10

  • 1. Developing the Reimbursement Story: It’s Never Too Early Commercialization of Molecular Diagnostics 23rd International Molecular Medicine Tri-Conference March 10, 2016 1
  • 2. For today’s discussion March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 2 ü Study design for technology assessment and reimbursement dossier ü Framework Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Centers for Disease Control EGAPP Initiative/ACCE Model ü LDTs/IVDs !Companion diagnostics !Regulatory trends !Coding !Pricing EGAPP: Evaluation of Genomic Applications in Practice and Prevention ACCE: Analytical validity, Clinical validity, Clinical utility, Ethical/legal/social implications
  • 3. Achieving success March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 3 Novel biomarkers Robust assay Clinical relevance Excellent test performance Well characterized samples •  Test the market•  Test the market •  Understand current practice/physician behavior •  Test the market •  Understand current practice/physician behavior •  Achieve literacy in applicable clinical guidelines •  Test the market •  Understand current practice/physician behavior •  Achieve literacy in applicable clinical guidelines •  Characterize the reimbursement strategy early
  • 4. Why build the reimbursement case early? March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 4 Design studies Plan sample accrual Develop milestones •  Study completion •  Product launch •  Billing Pricing / revenue / time to cash-positivity Communicate with investors Align with TPP / PRD / marketing strategy TPP: Target Product Profile; PRD: Product Requirements Document
  • 5. Align study design with commercial strategy March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 5 • Study design • Test inputs (sample type, requisition form) • Test outputs (patient report) • Market intelligence • Commercial strategy • Target product profile • Product requirements
  • 6. CMS pathway to reimbursement March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 6 Clinical Utility Analytic Validity Clinical Validity If needed: Economic Value •  Coverage determination •  Non-coverage determination •  Limited coverage •  Recommendation to submit for Coverage with Data Development (CDD) Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015 Technical Assessment • Publications • Accepted for publication • Subject matter expert white papers • Professional association guidance • Abstracts Publications Unique Test Identifier (Code) Registration
  • 7. Technical Assessment •  Defined disorder/clinical setting •  Analytic validity •  Clinical validity •  Clinical utility •  ELSI safeguards March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 7 Centers for Disease Control Evaluation of Genomic Applications in Practice and Prevention (CDC EGAPP) •  Independent, non-federal working group that assesses new tests and publishes evidence reports ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
  • 8. Building the reimbursement story March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 8 Set up why the test matters •  Who tested/in what circumstances •  Information provided that is not available without test •  Resulting actions •  Outcomes •  Affordability •  Medical necessity Design and execute studies •  Analytic validity •  Clinical validity •  Clinical utility Generate evidence •  Study results •  Published data •  Abstracts •  Guidance from professional societies •  Evidence-based consensus reports National Academies Planning Committee Roundtable on Translating Genomic-Based Research for Health, 2014 Frueh FW & Quinn B, 2014
  • 9. Set up why the test matters March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 9 Set up why the test matters •  Who tested/in what circumstances •  Information provided that is not available without test •  Resulting actions •  Outcomes •  Affordability •  Medical necessity Design and execute studies Generate evidence Frueh FW & Quinn B, 2014
  • 10. CMS: Demonstrate test is medically necessary Falls within a defined Medicare benefit category Not excluded from coverage by statute, regulation, National Coverage Determination (NCD), or Local Coverage Determination (LCD) Reasonable and necessary in the diagnosis or treatment of an illness or injury, or to rule out or confirm a suspected diagnosis based on patient has sign(s) and/or symptom(s) Ordered by a treating physician Provides data that will be used to manage a specific medical condition Excludes investigational services March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 10 National Academies Planning Committee Roundtable on Translating Genomic-Based Research for Health, 2014 cms.gov
  • 11. Define the clinical disorder Specific condition Clinical findings defining the condition Clinical setting in which test will be performed Tests currently in use for the condition How patients are identified/screened to be determined appropriate for use of the test Stand-alone vs one of a series of tests If one of a series, situations when all vs only some of tests are performed March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 11 CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests
  • 12. Design and execute studies March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 12 Set up why the test matters Design and execute studies •  Analytic validity •  Clinical validity •  Clinical utility Generate evidence
  • 13. Design and execute studies March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 13 •  Well characterized samples – clinically and analytically •  Cleanly defined standard use with samples from that population •  Clinical relevance verified by community, literature, guidelines •  Studies that demonstrate test is medically necessary and actionable •  Aligned with TPP, PRD, product launch/marketing strategies Analytic Validity Clinical Validity Clinical Utility How stable and robust is the assay? How reliably does the test correlate to the clinical condition? What difference does the test make? • Accuracy and reliability of measuring analyte • Accuracy of ability to diagnose, predict or measure clinical condition • Ability to change patient management/outcomes • Impact on cost of care
  • 14. Analytic Validity Test qualitative vs quantitative Frequency of test-positivity when mutation/biomarkers present - sensitivity Frequency of test-negativity when mutation/biomarkers not present - specificity QC program Repeated measurements on specimens Within- and between-laboratory precision Method for performing confirmatory testing to resolve inaccurate results in a timely manner Range of specimens tested Frequency of failure to deliver usable result Methods for assessing from a clinical perspective the “clinical cost” of delivering a wrong result and degree of allowable error Similarity of results across laboratories and technologies, if applicable Inputs (test requisition, specimens) and outputs (patient report) aligned with commercial plan March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 14 CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests Analytic Validity How stable and robust is the assay? • Accuracy/reliability of measuring analyt
  • 15. Analytic Validation Studies Validation Element Measures Accuracy Method comparison, e.g., gold standard, target values Specimen types Matrix comparisons Analytic sensitivity Limit of detection Limits of quantitation, upper and lower, including analytically measurable and clinically reportable ranges Linearity and reportable range Minimum input quantity and quality Minimum tumor content Analytic specificity Primer and probe specificity Interfering substances Precision Repeatability – single operator, instrument, lot, day, run Intermediate precision – multiple operators, instruments, lots, days, runs within a lab Reproducibility – multiple labs Lot-to-lot reproducibility – multiple reagent, calibrator, controls lots Reagent stability Closed – shelf life Open – in use Freeze-thaw Reference intervals Specimens from healthy subjects in intended use population Sample stability Shipping Primary and intermediate samples (e.g., extracted RNA or DNA) Freeze-thaw Software (algorithm) Verification and validation March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 15 Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015; clsi.org Analytic Validity How stable and robust is the assay? • Accuracy/reliability of measuring analyt
  • 16. Clinical Validity Demonstrate association between test result and clinical condition of interest Study population = intended use population – that which is intended to benefit from decision guided by the test result Obtain sufficient prior evidence from the intended use population from early validation studies Select appropriate gold standard or reference Define terminology and concepts used Provide measures of certainty, e.g., 95% confidence intervals March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 16 Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013 Clinical Validity How reliably does the test correlate to the clinical condition? • Accuracy of ability to diagnose, predict or measure clinical condition
  • 17. Clinical Validity, cont’d Report strength of association between test and disease state using metrics most useful to clinicians Apply appropriate weight to false negatives vs false positives based on clinical significance – optimize appropriately for NPV vs PPV Use appropriate reporting standards •  Binary test: sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values •  Continuous variable (e.g., risk score): select threshold or cut-off to generate binary score; when clinical outcome is binary, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves can be used •  Continuous or time-to-event variable: regression methods to model relationship between discrete or continuous test result and outcome •  Predictive marker: use appropriate control group March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 17 Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013 Clinical Validity How reliably does the test correlate to the clinical condition? • Accuracy of ability to diagnose, predict or measure clinical condition
  • 18. Sensitivity – frequency of test positive when disorder present Specificity – frequency of test negative when disorder not present Methods to resolve clinical false positive results in timely manner Prevalence of disorder in the setting Adequate validation on all populations to which it may be offered Positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV) Genotype/phenotype relationships March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 18 CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests Clinical Validity, cont’d Clinical Validity How reliably does the test correlate to the clinical condition? • Accuracy of ability to diagnose, predict or measure clinical condition
  • 19. Clinical Utility Natural history of disorder Impact of positive or negative test on patient care Other diagnostic tests available Measurable benefit or acceptable action as result of test with access to that benefit/action Documentation if test will be offered to socially vulnerable population Quality assurance measures Results of pilot trials Health risk identified for follow-up testing and/or intervention March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 19 CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests Clinical Utility What difference does the test make? • Ability to change patient management/outcomes • Impact on cost of care
  • 20. Clinical Utility, cont’d Financial costs associated with testing Economic benefits resulting from testing Facilities/personnel available Educational materials validated and available Informed consent requirements Methods for long term monitoring Guidelines for evaluating program performance March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 20 CDC ACCE Model Process for Evaluating Genetic Tests Clinical Utility What difference does the test make? • Ability to change patient management/outcomes • Impact on cost of care
  • 21. Considerations for Clinical Utility Inability to demonstrate clinical utility most cited reason for failure to obtain coverage Additional pitfalls •  Poorly defined population •  Lack of evidence-based decisions •  Coding issues •  Lack of evidence to support medical necessity If outcomes hard to capture, measure clinical behavior change as proximate to outcomes change Start clinical utility studies early Learn from others’ successes and failures May need to involve private payers and providers early Patient influences: some patients do not get better even when clinical care is done correctly Provider influences: Providers practice differently, and occasionally poorly Study design: appropriate and representative March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 21 A well-designed clinical utility study demonstrates that the test changes patient management decisions and, ultimately, patient outcomes Clinical Utility What difference does the test make? • Ability to change patient management/outcomes • Impact on cost of care Jeter E, Palmetto GBA Peabody et al. Am J Managed Care 2014
  • 22. Clinical Utility Study Design/Levels of Evidence March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 22 Design Description Level of Evidence Randomized, Prospectively Controlled Trials (RCT) •  Demonstrates therapeutic intervention based on test results leads to statistically and clinical significant improvement in patient outcomes versus standard of care •  End points widely considered clinically appropriate 3A Prospective-Retrospective Trials (PRT) •  Uses archived samples from a previously reported RCT to demonstrate that treatment based on test is associated with improved outcomes in a statistically and clinically significant manner versus standard of care •  Samples and study design sufficiently characterized and powered to permit definition of the indications for test use 3B Prospective Observational Studies (POS) •  Enrolls patients prospectively in registry •  Treatment according to defined pathway using test as part of care plan •  Demonstrates statistically and clinically significant improvement in healthcare outcomes versus standard of care 2A Results from at least one study with Level of Evidence 2A or above must be submitted for acceptance for full clinical review Retrospective Data Modeling (RDM) •  Uses complex data modeling using large data sets to determine statistically and clinically significant improvement in outcomes when test used to guide treatment versus standard of care 2B Retrospective Observational Studies (ROS) •  Does not stipulate treatment pathways based on test result 1 Preclinical Studies (PS) •  Preclinical data only, or related studies 0 Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015 $
  • 23. Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) Biomarker-stratified design •  Classic clinical trial design •  All comers randomized •  Large sample size Enrichment design •  All patients tested •  Only test-positive continue to treatment/management •  Smaller sample size Biomarker-strategy design •  Randomization to arm that uses test to direct therapy or control arm that does not Prospective-Retrospective Analysis of Previously Conducted RCTs •  RCT design using existing sample cohort •  Faster and less expensive March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 23 Frieidlin B, McShane LM, Korn EL. J Natl Cancer Inst 2010 Simon RM, Paik S, Hayes DF. J Natl Cancer Inst 2009 Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013 Clinical Utility What difference does the test make? • Ability to change patient management/outcomes • Impact on cost of care Time and cost of RCTs often exceeds capacity of small/emerging company
  • 24. Non-RCT Study Design Single-arm studies •  Test developed to be used with a FDA-approved drug •  Adequate archived samples not available to conduct prospective-retrospective trial •  Feasible to use response as endpoint •  Comparable response data in comparative cohort exists Prospective observational studies •  Patient registries •  Multiple group, pretest/posttest design •  Acceptable if compelling rationale for not doing RCT is addressed Decision-analytic modeling Clinical Performance and Value (CPV) vignettes •  In silico simulation of clinical behavior change •  Builds clinical utility case early – completion of validation not required •  Validated against actual practice •  Not affected by patient variation Cost-effectiveness •  Can be compelling for payers •  May not be sufficient for coverage but should be employed as part of reimbursement strategy March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 24 Peabody et al. Am J Managed Care 2014 Center for Medical Technology Policy, 2013 Clinical Utility What difference does the test make? • Ability to change patient management/outcomes • Impact on cost of care
  • 25. Criteria • Strong evidence analytic and clinical validity • Potentially significant but unproven potential of clinical utility • Potential to affect the management of a serious, prevalent disease within Medicare population Submit study plans to support safety, diagnostic performance and clinical utility (effect on health outcomes) Can be realistically completed in 3-4 years or less Adequate resources to complete study Study protected from conflicts of interest Study development guided by key stakeholders (e.g., patients, clinicians, professional societies) Study registered on www.ClinicalTrials.gov prior to enrollment Specified method and timing of public release of results March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 25 Palmetto GBA MolDX Program 2015 Coverage with Data Development (CDD) Clinical Utility What difference does the test make? • Ability to change patient management/outcomes • Impact on cost of care
  • 26. Successes | Failures March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 26 Positive coverage Negative coverage Genomic Health Oncotype DX • Strong validation studies • Multiple large, multicenter retrospective and prospective studies looking at multiple outcomes Tethys PreDX diabetes test • Lack of clinical utility data • Inability to justify test as screening vs test for at-risk population Crescendo Biosciences Vectra DA (RA) • CPV vignettes in a randomized controlled study, provider assessments and comparative review of cases to compare clinical assessment with test score Berkeley HeartLab LPA-Aspirin genotype test • Lack of clinical utility data • Failure to demonstrate target population CardioDx Corus CAD • Large longitudinal study showing significant and clinically relevant utility combined with retrospective chart review showing patient management impact Agendia subtyping profile tool, breast CA • Insufficient clinical utility data Peabody et al. Am J Managed Care 2014
  • 27. Clinical Utility Strategy March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 27 Physician surveys Clinical utility secondary outcomes as part of clinical validation study Clinical Performance and Value Vignettes Economic modeling Pre-launch Build evidence Prospective Observational Study Cost effectiveness study Post-launch Higher level of evidence
  • 28. Results March 10, 2016 Lyssa Friedman 28 Set up why the test matters Design and execute studies Generate evidence Dossier Technical assessment Coverage decision