As oportunidades e desafios da transição demográfica são o tema da apresentação divulgada por membros da SAE/PR durante o seminário “População e Desenvolvimento na Agenda do Cairo: balanço e desafios”, realizado nos dias 21 e 22 de fevereiro, em Brasília. Autores: Ricardo Paes de Barros, Diana Coutinho e Rosane Mendonça. Saiba mais: www.sae.gov.br
The world is ageing rapidly. Globally, there are already more older people than children under the age of five. By 2030 older people will outnumber those aged 10. Despite this, current data systems are not fit for purpose in today's ageing world. Data on older women and men is often not collected. When it does exist, it is not fully analysed, reported or used, leading to older people being neglected in policies and development interventions.
HelpAge International held a unique side event at the Cartagena Data Festival on 20 April 2015 - the only one to focus on the emerging issue of ageing.
Our panel reviewed the progress and challenges of making data on older age more visible, with a view to highlighting gaps and good practice, including making national and global data more accessible.
Part 1 - Global data, demographic change and inequality
Chair: Danny Sriskandarajah, Secretary General and CEO, CIVICUS: Opening comments on importance of use of data by citizens of all ages.
Sabina Alkire, Director OPHI: Multi-dimensional poverty measurement: What lessons can be drawn to improve age- disaggregated data?
Edilberto Loaiza, UNFPA: Population dynamics and SDGs in the context of the "data revolution".
Jane Scobie, HelpAge International: Global AgeWatch Index and the invisibility of data on older people.
Neoliberalism and aggravation of social problems in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The neoliberal economic model implemented in 1990 is largely responsible for worsening Brazil's social problems today. Social devastation has been the main result of the neoliberal economic model in Brazil inaugurated by President Fernando Collor in 1990 and maintained by Presidents Itamar Franco, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Lula da Silva, Dilma Roussef, Michel Temer and Jair Bolsonaro. The current economic recession, social inequality, mass unemployment and the extreme poverty of the country demonstrate the infeasibility of the neoliberal model implemented in Brazil. The social devastation suffered by Brazil with social inequality, mass unemployment and extreme poverty is demonstrated through indicators of concentration of income, unemployment, social inequality and extreme poverty.
Datos de la población mundial 2015. (Population Reference Bureau) 2015 worl...Juan Martín Martín
Datos de la Población Mundial en 2015. Datos de todos los países del Mundo. gráficos, pirámides de población, natalidad, mortalidad, fecundidad, esperanza de vida, maternidad, envejecimiento, previsiones mundiales, etc.
The world is ageing rapidly. Globally, there are already more older people than children under the age of five. By 2030 older people will outnumber those aged 10. Despite this, current data systems are not fit for purpose in today's ageing world. Data on older women and men is often not collected. When it does exist, it is not fully analysed, reported or used, leading to older people being neglected in policies and development interventions.
HelpAge International held a unique side event at the Cartagena Data Festival on 20 April 2015 - the only one to focus on the emerging issue of ageing.
Our panel reviewed the progress and challenges of making data on older age more visible, with a view to highlighting gaps and good practice, including making national and global data more accessible.
Part 1 - Global data, demographic change and inequality
Chair: Danny Sriskandarajah, Secretary General and CEO, CIVICUS: Opening comments on importance of use of data by citizens of all ages.
Sabina Alkire, Director OPHI: Multi-dimensional poverty measurement: What lessons can be drawn to improve age- disaggregated data?
Edilberto Loaiza, UNFPA: Population dynamics and SDGs in the context of the "data revolution".
Jane Scobie, HelpAge International: Global AgeWatch Index and the invisibility of data on older people.
Neoliberalism and aggravation of social problems in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The neoliberal economic model implemented in 1990 is largely responsible for worsening Brazil's social problems today. Social devastation has been the main result of the neoliberal economic model in Brazil inaugurated by President Fernando Collor in 1990 and maintained by Presidents Itamar Franco, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Lula da Silva, Dilma Roussef, Michel Temer and Jair Bolsonaro. The current economic recession, social inequality, mass unemployment and the extreme poverty of the country demonstrate the infeasibility of the neoliberal model implemented in Brazil. The social devastation suffered by Brazil with social inequality, mass unemployment and extreme poverty is demonstrated through indicators of concentration of income, unemployment, social inequality and extreme poverty.
Datos de la población mundial 2015. (Population Reference Bureau) 2015 worl...Juan Martín Martín
Datos de la Población Mundial en 2015. Datos de todos los países del Mundo. gráficos, pirámides de población, natalidad, mortalidad, fecundidad, esperanza de vida, maternidad, envejecimiento, previsiones mundiales, etc.
Apresentação sobre a dinâmica demográfica brasileira exibida durante a reunião plenária da Comissão Nacional sobre População e Desenvolvimento (CNPD), realizada no dia 20 de fevereiro, em Brasília. Autores: Ricardo Paes de Barros, Diana Coutinho e Rosane Mendonça. Leia mais em: www.sae.gov.br
O presidente da Comissão Nacional de População e Desenvolvimento (CNPD) e subsecretário de Ações Estratégicas da Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos (SAE), Ricardo Paes de Barros, participou da primeira reunião da Conferência Regional sobre População e Desenvolvimento na América Latina e no Caribe em 15 de agosto de 2013.
Paes de Barros participou de painel na Conferência que abordou temas como as desigualdades territoriais, a mobilidade espacial e a vulnerabilidade ambiental.
8 maggio 2013. Terzo incontro del ciclo Exhibitionist organizzato da Fondazione Fiera Milano @ Auditorium, Museo della Scienza e della Tecnologia, Milano. Alberto Cairo, professore della University of Miami, ci ha parlato di Infografica, l'arte di visualizzare informazioni
Due Thurs. 4-30-15 4pmPlease answer in 1 ½ two 2 paragraphs, be very.docxjacksnathalie
Due Thurs. 4-30-15 4pmPlease answer in 1 ½ two 2 paragraphs, be very detailed."Growing Cities" Please respond to the following:Based on the Webtext materials and article below, address the following:
Examine the main reasons why people are attracted to urban areas in the developing world, the problems they encounter once they arrive and the key issues that make this rural to urban migration such a difficult problem for governments to deal with.
A Report by the UN Population Fund
By Lisa Schlein and Joe De Capua
June 28, 2007
For humanity’s sake, developing world must prepare for soaring urbanization. In 2008, the world reaches an invisible but momentous milestone: for the first time in history, more than half its human population, 3.3 billion people, will be living in urban areas. By 2030, this is expected to swell to almost five billion. Many of the new urbanites will be poor. Their future, the future of cities in developing countries throughout the world, the future of humanity itself, all depend very much on decisions made now in preparation for this growth.
While the world’s urban population grew very rapidly (from 220 million to 2.8 billion) over the 20th century, the next few decades will see an unprecedented scale of urban growth in the developing world. This will be particularly notable in Africa and Asia where the urban population will double between 2000 and 2030: that is, the accumulated urban growth of these two regions during the whole span of history will be duplicated in a single generation. By 2030, the towns and cities of the developing world will make up 81 percent of our urban humanity.
The United Nation Population Fund, UN agency, says in a new report that humanity will have to undergo a “revolution in thinking” to deal with a doubling of urban populations in Africa and Asia. The UN continues to say that the number of people in African and Asian cities will grow by 1.7 billion by the year 2030. And worldwide, the number of city dwellers will reach five billion or 60 per cent of the world’s population. The report ‘State of the World Population 2007: Unleashing the Potential of Urban Growth’ says globally, all future population growth will take place in cities, nearly all of it in Africa, Asia and Latin America. “What’s more, the growth marks “a decisive shift from rural to urban growth, changing a balance that has lasted for millennia.”
The United Nations also warns that a doubling of urban populations in Africa and Asia by 2030 will have harmful consequences if governments do not prepare now for the coming growth. In this year's State of World Population report, the UN Population Fund says this unprecedented wave of urbanization offers potential opportunities or dismal failures. The report explains that next year, for the first time in history, more than half the world's population will be living in cities. It says that by 2030 almost five billion people will be urban dwellers. It says the populations in Af ...
Datos de La población mundial 2018. (Population Reference Bureau) 2018 world-...Juan Martín Martín
Datos de la Población Mundial en 2018 (en inglés). Datos de todos los países del Mundo. gráficos, pirámides de población, natalidad, mortalidad, fecundidad, esperanza de vida, maternidad, envejecimiento, previsiones mundiales, etc.
The following slides provide the background data and information that have informed the future trends identified under the population theme. This presentation should be viewed alongside those for the other themes in order for the wider picture to be understood.
Demographic analysis, the statistical description of human populations, is a tool used by government agencies, political parties, and manufacturers of consumer goods. Polls conducted on every topic imaginable, from age to toothpaste preference, give the government and corporations an idea of who the public is and what it needs and wants.
Apresentação sobre a dinâmica demográfica brasileira exibida durante a reunião plenária da Comissão Nacional sobre População e Desenvolvimento (CNPD), realizada no dia 20 de fevereiro, em Brasília. Autores: Ricardo Paes de Barros, Diana Coutinho e Rosane Mendonça. Leia mais em: www.sae.gov.br
O presidente da Comissão Nacional de População e Desenvolvimento (CNPD) e subsecretário de Ações Estratégicas da Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos (SAE), Ricardo Paes de Barros, participou da primeira reunião da Conferência Regional sobre População e Desenvolvimento na América Latina e no Caribe em 15 de agosto de 2013.
Paes de Barros participou de painel na Conferência que abordou temas como as desigualdades territoriais, a mobilidade espacial e a vulnerabilidade ambiental.
8 maggio 2013. Terzo incontro del ciclo Exhibitionist organizzato da Fondazione Fiera Milano @ Auditorium, Museo della Scienza e della Tecnologia, Milano. Alberto Cairo, professore della University of Miami, ci ha parlato di Infografica, l'arte di visualizzare informazioni
Due Thurs. 4-30-15 4pmPlease answer in 1 ½ two 2 paragraphs, be very.docxjacksnathalie
Due Thurs. 4-30-15 4pmPlease answer in 1 ½ two 2 paragraphs, be very detailed."Growing Cities" Please respond to the following:Based on the Webtext materials and article below, address the following:
Examine the main reasons why people are attracted to urban areas in the developing world, the problems they encounter once they arrive and the key issues that make this rural to urban migration such a difficult problem for governments to deal with.
A Report by the UN Population Fund
By Lisa Schlein and Joe De Capua
June 28, 2007
For humanity’s sake, developing world must prepare for soaring urbanization. In 2008, the world reaches an invisible but momentous milestone: for the first time in history, more than half its human population, 3.3 billion people, will be living in urban areas. By 2030, this is expected to swell to almost five billion. Many of the new urbanites will be poor. Their future, the future of cities in developing countries throughout the world, the future of humanity itself, all depend very much on decisions made now in preparation for this growth.
While the world’s urban population grew very rapidly (from 220 million to 2.8 billion) over the 20th century, the next few decades will see an unprecedented scale of urban growth in the developing world. This will be particularly notable in Africa and Asia where the urban population will double between 2000 and 2030: that is, the accumulated urban growth of these two regions during the whole span of history will be duplicated in a single generation. By 2030, the towns and cities of the developing world will make up 81 percent of our urban humanity.
The United Nation Population Fund, UN agency, says in a new report that humanity will have to undergo a “revolution in thinking” to deal with a doubling of urban populations in Africa and Asia. The UN continues to say that the number of people in African and Asian cities will grow by 1.7 billion by the year 2030. And worldwide, the number of city dwellers will reach five billion or 60 per cent of the world’s population. The report ‘State of the World Population 2007: Unleashing the Potential of Urban Growth’ says globally, all future population growth will take place in cities, nearly all of it in Africa, Asia and Latin America. “What’s more, the growth marks “a decisive shift from rural to urban growth, changing a balance that has lasted for millennia.”
The United Nations also warns that a doubling of urban populations in Africa and Asia by 2030 will have harmful consequences if governments do not prepare now for the coming growth. In this year's State of World Population report, the UN Population Fund says this unprecedented wave of urbanization offers potential opportunities or dismal failures. The report explains that next year, for the first time in history, more than half the world's population will be living in cities. It says that by 2030 almost five billion people will be urban dwellers. It says the populations in Af ...
Datos de La población mundial 2018. (Population Reference Bureau) 2018 world-...Juan Martín Martín
Datos de la Población Mundial en 2018 (en inglés). Datos de todos los países del Mundo. gráficos, pirámides de población, natalidad, mortalidad, fecundidad, esperanza de vida, maternidad, envejecimiento, previsiones mundiales, etc.
The following slides provide the background data and information that have informed the future trends identified under the population theme. This presentation should be viewed alongside those for the other themes in order for the wider picture to be understood.
Demographic analysis, the statistical description of human populations, is a tool used by government agencies, political parties, and manufacturers of consumer goods. Polls conducted on every topic imaginable, from age to toothpaste preference, give the government and corporations an idea of who the public is and what it needs and wants.
Esta análise tem como objetivo identificar quais as principais tendências de disponibilidade hídrica obtidas a partir dos modelos climáticos regionalizados do INPE; identificar quais as regiões mais críticas em termos de disponibilidade hídrica nesses cenários e apresentar qual o comportamento dos modelos ao longo do tempo.
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG).
Leia mais: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG). Autor: Maurício Palma Nogueira.
Veja mais: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG). Autor: Elvison Nunes Ramos.
Informações em: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG).
Saiba mais: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG). Autor: Bernardo Rudorff.
Detalhes em: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG).
Leia mais: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG). Autores: Fabiano Alvim Barbosa, Britaldo Soares Filho, Henrique Azevedo, Evandro Batista, Tales Maciel.
Veja mais: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado em 11 de dezembro pela Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República, em parceria com a Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG).
Saiba mais: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Projeto “Desenvolvimento de Geotecnologias para Identificação e Monitoramento de Níveis de Degradação em Pastagens” exibido durante o workshop "Radiografia das Pastagens", realizado pela SAE/PR no dia 11 de dezembro de 2014. Autores: Sandra Furlan Nogueira e Ricardo Guimarães Andrade.
Mais informações em: http://ow.ly/Gaoje
Apresentação exibida durante o debate “Adaptación al Cambio Climático en América Latina: Hacia un abordaje transformacional”, promovido pela Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República, em parceria com a Fundação Avina.
Informações em: http://www.sae.gov.br/site/?p=26315#ixzz3LgVZHK1c
Apresentação exibida durante o debate “Adaptación al Cambio Climático en América Latina: Hacia un abordaje transformacional”, promovido durante a COP20 pela SAE/PR, em parceria com a Fundação Avina.
Para saber mais, acesse: http://www.sae.gov.br/site/?p=26315#ixzz3LgVZHK1c
Apresentação exibida durante o debate “Adaptación al Cambio Climático en América Latina: Hacia un abordaje transformacional”, promovido durante a COP20 pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Fundação Avina.
Saiba mais: http://www.sae.gov.br/site/?p=26315#ixzz3LgVZHK1c
Apresentação exibida durante o debate “Adaptación al Cambio Climático en América Latina: Hacia un abordaje transformacional”, promovido pela Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República, em parceria com a Fundação Avina.
Informações em: http://www.sae.gov.br/site/?p=26315#ixzz3LgVZHK1c
Apresentação exibida pela pesquisadora do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (Inpe), Chou Sin Chan, durante o 3º Workshop do projeto Brasil 20º40°: Cenários e Alternativas para mudança do clima, realizado nos dias 25 e 26 de novembro, na sede da SAE, em Brasília (DF).
Saiba mais: http://ow.ly/FBgeX
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
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In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
2. Brazilian demographic transition
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
ratesperthousandpersons
Brazilian Population Dynamics: 1880-2060
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
Crude birth rate
Crude death rate
Net migration rate
Natural growth rate
Population growth rate
Stage I Stage II Stage III Stage IV Stage V
2014
3%
2%
1%
0%
2%
3. 0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
5,5
6,0
6,5
7,0
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
TotalFertilityRate(birthsperwomen)
Actual and Predicted Evolution of Total Fertility Rate : Brazil, 1940-2060
40 years
1/3
6 births
2 births
2014
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
Fertility decline
4. Fonte: Growing old in an older Brazil : implications of population aging on growth, poverty,
public finance and service delivery / Michele Gragnolati, et al. Washington D.C.: The World Bank, 2011. p. 12.
Brazil: Income and Private Consumption, 2008
Labor Income
Consumption
Economic dependency
5. Demographic bonus
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
population(million)
Evolution of the Brazilian Population by Age Groups: 1900 to 2060
Less than 15 or at
least 60 years old
Between 15 and
59 years old
2014
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
6. Demographic bonus
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
population(million)
Evolution of the Brazilian Population by Age Groups: 1900 to 2060
Less than 15 or at
least 60 years old
Between 15 and
59 years old
65
million
2014
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
7. Demographic bonus
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
percentageofthepopulation(%)
Evolution of the Distribution of the Brazilian Population by Age Groups:
1900 to 2060
Between 15 and
59 years old
2014
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
Less than 15 or at
least 60 years old
30 p.p.
8. Evolution of average schooling by birth cohort:
Brazil
Born in 1980
in Brazil
Born in 1952
in Chile 28 years behind
Birth year
Averageschooling
Human capital investment
10. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
ThousandsUS$(2005)perworkerperyear
The Evolution of the Average Labor Productivity
Selected countries: 1950-2011
Japan
Korea
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
China
Source: SAE/PR based on the Penn World Tables.
Labor productivity as GDP/worker (Real GDP at constant 2005 national prices).
Labor productivity
11. 0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
0 10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000
LaborProductivityin2011
(US$(2005)peryearperworker)
Labor Productivity in 1980 (US$ (2005) per year per worker)
Ratio between labor productivity in 1980 and 2011
Brazil
Korea
Source: SAE/PR based on the Penn World Tables.
Labor productivity as GDP/worker (Real GDP at constant 2005 national prices).
China
Labor productivity
12. 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Extremapobreza(%)
Idade
Extrema pobreza por idade: Brasil, 2009
Média nacional
Possibilidades de melhoria
Extreme poverty by age: Brazil, 2009
Age
Extremepoverty(%)
National average
Public and intergenerational transfers
13. 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75
Extremapobreza(%)
Idade
Extrema pobreza por idade: Brasil, 2009
Média nacional
Excluindo transferências
públicas
Incluindo transferências públicas
Possibilidades de melhoria
Extreme poverty by age: Brazil, 2009Extreme poverty by age: Brazil, 2009
Age
Extremepoverty(%)
National average
Including public transfers
Excluding public
transfers
Public and intergenerational transfers
14. Fonte: Growing old in an older Brazil : implications of population aging on growth, poverty,
public finance and service delivery / Michele Gragnolati, et al. Washington D.C.: The World Bank, 2011. p. 12.
Ratio of net per capita public transfers (elderly to children)
Public and intergenerational transfers
15. Fonte: Growing old in an older Brazil : implications of population aging on growth, poverty,
public finance and service delivery / Michele Gragnolati, et al. Washington D.C.: The World Bank, 2011. p. 12.
Public Transfers as a Percent of Total Consumption
Public and intergenerational transfers
16. Fonte: Growing old in an older Brazil : implications of population aging on growth, poverty,
public finance and service delivery / Michele Gragnolati, et al. Washington D.C.: The World Bank, 2011. p. 12.
Brazil: Expenditure per person by age group, 2006
Public and intergenerational transfers
17. Fonte: Growing old in an older Brazil : implications of population aging on growth, poverty,
public finance and service delivery / Michele Gragnolati, et al. Washington D.C.: The World Bank, 2011. p. 12.
Brazil: Income and Private Consumption, 2008
Labor Income
Consumption
Public transfers and economic independence at older ages
18. Public transfers and economic independence at older ages
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
(%)
Anos
Evolution of the percentage of older persons in families with per capita
income below his/her personal income: Brazil, 1981-2012
Source: SAE/PR based on PNADs (IBGE) from 1981 to 2012.
At least 70 years old
At least 60 years old
19. Health transition
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
LifeExpectancyatBirth(years)
Actual and Predicted Evolution of Life Expectancy at Birth: Brazil, 1910-2060
2014
1/2 extra year of life
per calendar year
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
40
70
20. 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
percentageofthepopulation(%)
Evolution of the Distribution of the Brazilian Population by Age Groups:
1900 to 2060
Under 15
years old
At least 60
years old
Between 15 and
59 years old
2014
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
Less than 15 or at
least 60 years old
Population aging
21. 0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Distribuiçãodapopulação(%)
Evolution of the percentage of old-age population:
Brazil, 1990-2060
At least 60
years old
At least 70
years old
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
2014
Population aging
22. 0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Distribuiçãodapopulação(%)
Evolution of the percentage of old-age population:
Brazil, 1990-2060
At least 60
years old
At least 70
years old
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
2014
Population aging
23. Population aging
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
peopleaged65andmoreperhundredchildren
Evolution of the number of people aged 65 and above per
hundred children under age 15: Brazil, 1900 to 2060
2014
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
24. Population aging
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
peopleaged65andmoreperhundredchildren
Evolution of the number of people aged 65 and above per
hundred children under age 15: Brazil, 1900 to 2060
2014
Source: SAE/PR based on population records and projections from IBGE
25. Fonte: Growing old in an older Brazil : implications of population aging on growth, poverty,
public finance and service delivery / Michele Gragnolati, et al. Washington D.C.: The World Bank, 2011. p. 12.
Number of years for population 65+ to increase
from 7% to 14%
Speed of the population aging
26. Caring for dependent old-age persons
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
(%)
Anos
Percentage of old persons living in households without any person younger
than 55 years old: Brazil, 1981-2012
Fonte: SAE/PR, com base nas PNADs (IBGE) de 1981 a 2012.
At least 60
years old
At least 70
years old
27. Challenges to public policy for a older population
1. Increase in life expectancy need to be accompanied by
reduction in morbidity and expansion of the working
life cycle.
2. Exponential increase in social security costs requires
Brazil to adjust social security rules to the real needs
and working potential of the elderly.
3. Adjustment must be fast, since the aging of the
population has been very fast and it takes a life time to
adjust.
4. Inevitable increase in health expenditures.
5. Increase in demand for long-term care for dependent
old persons. Defining the roles for the family and public
services.
28. Economic development and international migration
In 1900, Brazil has
reached 7.3% of the
population composed
of immigrants, today it
has just 0.3%.
International Migration to Brazil
Fonte: Censos Demográficos
29. Region
Immigrants
(millions)
Immigrants over
65years old
(millions)
Immigrants over
65years of age
as a percentage
of the immigrant
population
World 214 24,7 12
Africa 19 0,8 4
Asia 61 6,3 10
Europe 70 9,7 14
North America 50 5,9 12
Latin Amerrica and
Caribbean
7 0,9 13
Oceania 6 1,1 18
Brazil 0,6 0,2 36
Age structure of immigrants in Brazil and in the World
5x
Latin America
Average
10x
World
Average
50x
North America and
Oceania Average
Fonte: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2009) e Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de
Domicílios (PNAD, 2009).
Economic development and international migration
30. Além da pouca mobilidade de pessoas,
há pouca mobilidade de conhecimento
Quase 13 em cada 1000 residentes na
Austrália estão estudando fora ou são
estrangeiros estudando no país.
No Chile, o número cai
para 0,5; no Brasil, para 0,2.