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1. Brazilian spatial disparities: inequality in municipal HDI
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
HDI
Percentage of municipalities
Distributionof Brazilian municipalities according to HDI, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
Brazil - 2010
1. Brazilian spatial disparities: inequality in municipal HDI
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
HDI
Percentage of municipalities and countries
Distributionof Brazilian municipalities and countries of the World according to
HDI, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
Brazil - 2010
World- 2010
Uganda
Netherlands
85%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
1. Brazilian spatial disparities: HDI bimodal distribution
Legend
1. Brazilian spatial disparities: HDI bimodal distribution
2. Why spatial inequality is so important for development
Development as a result of local collective
action
Local protagonism
Advantages of local development
Common knowledge of local specificities
Mutual acquaintance promote trust and solidarity
Logistic lower cost
Spatial inequality: external solidarity
Legend
3. Brazilian progress: HDI by municipality - Brazil, 2000
Legend
3. Brazilian progress: HDI by municipality - Brazil, 2010
3. Reducing spatial inequality: HDI growth by percentile
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
Growthratebetween2000and2010(%)
Percentageof municipalities
HDI growth rate curve by percentile: Brazil, 2000 to 2010
Municipalities
with lower HDI
Municipalities
with higher HDI
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2000
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90
Percentageofmunicipalities
HDI
HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2000 - 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
2000
2010
3. Reducing inequality: evolution of the HDI distribution around the median
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Below 80% of the HDI median value Between 80% and 120% of the HDI median value Above 120% of the HDI median value
Percentageofmunicipalities(%)
Municipalities according to its position with respect to the HDI median value
Distributionof Brazilian municipalities with respect to the HDI median value,
2000 and 2010
2000
2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
0.50
0.52
0.54
0.56
0.58
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.70
0.72
0.74
0.76
0.78
0.80
1 10 100 1000
HDI
Population Size (in thousands of people)
HDI according to municipality population , Brazil, 2010
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
3. Differentials among municipalities with distinct population sizes
27.0
27.5
28.0
28.5
29.0
29.5
30.0
First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth
Growthratebetween2000and2010(%)
Municipalities ordered by population size (deciles)
Growth rate in HDI by municipal population: Brazil, 2000-10
Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development ReportSource: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
Municipalities with
smaller population size
Municipalities with
larger population size
3. Equating differentials among municipalities with different population sizes
3. Differentials in informal labor relations among municipalities with
different population sizes
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth
Proportionofthelaborforceemploeyedwihtoutaa
formallaborcontract(%)
PopulationDeciles
Degree of informality by population size of municipality, 2000 e 2010
Source:SAE/PR, based on DemographicCensus2000 and 2010
2010
2000
Municipalities with
smaller population size
Municipalities with
larger population size
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth
Annualgrowthrate(%)
Average annual growth rate of income in Brazilian rural areas, 2001-2011
Source:SAE/PR, basedonnational HouseholdSample Survey2001 e 2011
Bottom10%
Top
10%
3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011
Percentageofthetotalpopulationineacharea(%)
Year
Evolution of extreme poverty in Brazilian urban and rural areas, 2001-2011
Source: SAE/PR,basedonNationalHouseholdSample Surveybetween2001and 2011
Rural
Urban
3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011
Percentageofpopulationineacharea(2001=100)
Year
Evolution of extreme poverty in Brazilian urban and rural areas, 2001-2011
Source: SAE/PR,basedonNationalHouseholdSample Surveybetween2001and 2011
Rural
Urban
3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
Brazilian 120 “TERRITÓRIOS DA CIDADANIA”
Municipalities covered by the Program
4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Federal programs
Legend
4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Provincial programs
ACRE
Socioeconomic Relations between rural communities and EDZs
CAU
Communities with universal basic services
COP
Reference community
CAP
Communities with some non-basic services
ZED
SPECIAL DEVELOPMENT ZONE
4. Provincial programs: ProAcre - Program for Social Inclusion and Sustainable
Economic Development in the State of Acre
33 UPPs
already
implemented
1,5 million
beneficiaries
Goal:
40 UPPs
implemented
up to 2014.
4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Local programs
Rio de Janeiro Social UPP Program
Fonte: MI, MDA
Program Objective
Ministério da Integração Nacional - MI
Programa de Desenvolvimento Regional, Territorial Sustentável e
Economia Solidária (antigo PROMESO)
Esse programa se subdivide nas seguintes ações:
Formular e implementar os marcos legais das Políticas Nacionais de
Desenvolvimento Regional e de Ordenamento Territorial, contribuindo
para a redução das desigualdades regionais e ocupação racional do
território.
PNDR - Política Nacional de Desenvolvimento Regional
Reduzir as desigualdades entre as regiões brasileiras e a promover a
equidade no acesso a oportunidades de desenvolvimento, estimulando o
desenvolvimento regional em múltiplas escalas, com foco particular nos
territórios selecionados e de ação prioritária.
PAPL - Política Nacional para APLs
Estruturar e adensar arranjos produtivos locais e cadeias produtivas nos
territórios, por meio da dinamização econômica e da inclusão produtiva.
ZEE - Política de Implementação do Zoneamento Ecológico
Econômico
Elaborar e implementar o Zoneamento Ecológico-Econômico para a
promoção do ordenamento e da gestão ambiental territorial.
RIDES - Regiões Integradas de Desenvolvimento
Articular e harmonizar as ações administrativas da União, dos Estados e
dos Municípios para a promoção de projetos que visem à dinamização
econômica de territórios de baixo desenvolvimento
Ministério do Desenvolvimento Agrário – MDA
PTC - Programa Territórios da Cidadania
Implementar ações de organização e gestão territorial; inclusão
produtiva; infraestrutura rural e gestão social.
PRONAT - Programa Nacional de Desenvolvimento Sustentável de
Territórios Rurais
Acelerar processos de desenvolvimento locais e sub-regionais que
ampliem as oportunidades de geração de renda de forma
descentralizada e sustentável, articulados a redes de apoio e cooperação
solidária.
4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Federal programs
5. Local and regional management matter
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
AnnualGrowthRate(%)
Income percentile
Average annual growth rate in per capita income by percentile for two
neighboring Brazilian states, 2001-2011
Neighboring
State A
Neighboring
State B

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Apresentação utilizada por Ricardo Paes de Barros na Conferência Regional sobre População e Desenvolvimento na América Latina e no Caribe

  • 1.
  • 2. 1. Brazilian spatial disparities: inequality in municipal HDI 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 HDI Percentage of municipalities Distributionof Brazilian municipalities according to HDI, 2010 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report Brazil - 2010
  • 3. 1. Brazilian spatial disparities: inequality in municipal HDI 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 HDI Percentage of municipalities and countries Distributionof Brazilian municipalities and countries of the World according to HDI, 2010 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report Brazil - 2010 World- 2010 Uganda Netherlands 85%
  • 4. 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90 Percentageofmunicipalities HDI HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2010 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report 1. Brazilian spatial disparities: HDI bimodal distribution
  • 5. Legend 1. Brazilian spatial disparities: HDI bimodal distribution
  • 6. 2. Why spatial inequality is so important for development Development as a result of local collective action Local protagonism Advantages of local development Common knowledge of local specificities Mutual acquaintance promote trust and solidarity Logistic lower cost Spatial inequality: external solidarity
  • 7. Legend 3. Brazilian progress: HDI by municipality - Brazil, 2000
  • 8. Legend 3. Brazilian progress: HDI by municipality - Brazil, 2010
  • 9. 3. Reducing spatial inequality: HDI growth by percentile 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Growthratebetween2000and2010(%) Percentageof municipalities HDI growth rate curve by percentile: Brazil, 2000 to 2010 Municipalities with lower HDI Municipalities with higher HDI
  • 10. 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90 Percentageofmunicipalities HDI HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2000 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report 3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
  • 11. 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90 Percentageofmunicipalities HDI HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2010 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report 3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution
  • 12. 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90 Percentageofmunicipalities HDI HDI of Brazilian municipalities:frequency distribution, 2000 - 2010 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report 3. Reducing inequality: HDI frequency distribution 2000 2010
  • 13. 3. Reducing inequality: evolution of the HDI distribution around the median 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Below 80% of the HDI median value Between 80% and 120% of the HDI median value Above 120% of the HDI median value Percentageofmunicipalities(%) Municipalities according to its position with respect to the HDI median value Distributionof Brazilian municipalities with respect to the HDI median value, 2000 and 2010 2000 2010 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report
  • 14. 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.80 1 10 100 1000 HDI Population Size (in thousands of people) HDI according to municipality population , Brazil, 2010 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report 3. Differentials among municipalities with distinct population sizes
  • 15. 27.0 27.5 28.0 28.5 29.0 29.5 30.0 First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth Growthratebetween2000and2010(%) Municipalities ordered by population size (deciles) Growth rate in HDI by municipal population: Brazil, 2000-10 Source: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development ReportSource: SAE/PR, based on Demographic Census 2000 and 2010 and HDI as calculated by the UNDP, Human Development Report Municipalities with smaller population size Municipalities with larger population size 3. Equating differentials among municipalities with different population sizes
  • 16. 3. Differentials in informal labor relations among municipalities with different population sizes 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth Proportionofthelaborforceemploeyedwihtoutaa formallaborcontract(%) PopulationDeciles Degree of informality by population size of municipality, 2000 e 2010 Source:SAE/PR, based on DemographicCensus2000 and 2010 2010 2000 Municipalities with smaller population size Municipalities with larger population size
  • 17. 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Tenth Annualgrowthrate(%) Average annual growth rate of income in Brazilian rural areas, 2001-2011 Source:SAE/PR, basedonnational HouseholdSample Survey2001 e 2011 Bottom10% Top 10% 3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
  • 18. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 Percentageofthetotalpopulationineacharea(%) Year Evolution of extreme poverty in Brazilian urban and rural areas, 2001-2011 Source: SAE/PR,basedonNationalHouseholdSample Surveybetween2001and 2011 Rural Urban 3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
  • 19. 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 Percentageofpopulationineacharea(2001=100) Year Evolution of extreme poverty in Brazilian urban and rural areas, 2001-2011 Source: SAE/PR,basedonNationalHouseholdSample Surveybetween2001and 2011 Rural Urban 3. Reducing inequality in rural areas
  • 20. Brazilian 120 “TERRITÓRIOS DA CIDADANIA” Municipalities covered by the Program 4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Federal programs
  • 21. Legend 4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Provincial programs ACRE
  • 22. Socioeconomic Relations between rural communities and EDZs CAU Communities with universal basic services COP Reference community CAP Communities with some non-basic services ZED SPECIAL DEVELOPMENT ZONE 4. Provincial programs: ProAcre - Program for Social Inclusion and Sustainable Economic Development in the State of Acre
  • 23. 33 UPPs already implemented 1,5 million beneficiaries Goal: 40 UPPs implemented up to 2014. 4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Local programs Rio de Janeiro Social UPP Program
  • 24. Fonte: MI, MDA Program Objective Ministério da Integração Nacional - MI Programa de Desenvolvimento Regional, Territorial Sustentável e Economia Solidária (antigo PROMESO) Esse programa se subdivide nas seguintes ações: Formular e implementar os marcos legais das Políticas Nacionais de Desenvolvimento Regional e de Ordenamento Territorial, contribuindo para a redução das desigualdades regionais e ocupação racional do território. PNDR - Política Nacional de Desenvolvimento Regional Reduzir as desigualdades entre as regiões brasileiras e a promover a equidade no acesso a oportunidades de desenvolvimento, estimulando o desenvolvimento regional em múltiplas escalas, com foco particular nos territórios selecionados e de ação prioritária. PAPL - Política Nacional para APLs Estruturar e adensar arranjos produtivos locais e cadeias produtivas nos territórios, por meio da dinamização econômica e da inclusão produtiva. ZEE - Política de Implementação do Zoneamento Ecológico Econômico Elaborar e implementar o Zoneamento Ecológico-Econômico para a promoção do ordenamento e da gestão ambiental territorial. RIDES - Regiões Integradas de Desenvolvimento Articular e harmonizar as ações administrativas da União, dos Estados e dos Municípios para a promoção de projetos que visem à dinamização econômica de territórios de baixo desenvolvimento Ministério do Desenvolvimento Agrário – MDA PTC - Programa Territórios da Cidadania Implementar ações de organização e gestão territorial; inclusão produtiva; infraestrutura rural e gestão social. PRONAT - Programa Nacional de Desenvolvimento Sustentável de Territórios Rurais Acelerar processos de desenvolvimento locais e sub-regionais que ampliem as oportunidades de geração de renda de forma descentralizada e sustentável, articulados a redes de apoio e cooperação solidária. 4. Programs to promote spatial integration: Federal programs
  • 25. 5. Local and regional management matter 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 AnnualGrowthRate(%) Income percentile Average annual growth rate in per capita income by percentile for two neighboring Brazilian states, 2001-2011 Neighboring State A Neighboring State B