Demographic dividend of emerging economies like India is talked about but does it really exist. The population split by age shows a significant young population… but is that a dividend? Or is there devil in the details?

1. Thought Provoker
Demographic Dividend… An Indian myth?... (1/2)
1. In absolute numbers dividend exist but most are not literate enough… how can dividend manifest?
2. A lot have crossed their basic education age… alternate forms of education needed?
Source: NSS 2009-10 66th round , frameworks2go analysis; For explanations see blog www.frameworks2go.quora.com
38%
The “Dividend”
The “Reality”
Of Indians
less than 35
years of age
18% Are not literate 43%
Have less than
secondary
education
54%
Have less
education than
what they
should have at
their age
Age not literate
literate
without
formal
schooling
literate &
upto
primary primary middle secondary
higher
secondary
diploma/
certificate
course graduate
post
graduate &
above
15-19 2% 0% 1% 4% 9% 8% 4% 0% 0% 0%
20-24 4% 0% 2% 3% 5% 4% 4% 0% 3% 0%
25-29 5% 0% 2% 3% 5% 3% 2% 0% 2% 1%
30-34 6% 0% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2% 1%

2. Thought Provoker
Demographic Dividend… An Indian myth?...(2/2)
1. Rural demographics & women especially in rural areas needs to be key focus areas?
2. What industries can absorb the current demographics given literacy levels? Where will shortages be
seen?
Source: NSS 2009-10 66th round , frameworks2go analysis; For explanations see blog www.frameworks2go.quora.com
38%
The “Dividend” The “Reality”
Of Indians
less than 35
years of age
70%
are in rural areas
35%
Are women in rural
areas
Rural Urban
Age Male Female Male Female
15-19 417020 327322 155887 127301
20-24 300185 315726 142827 131240
25-29 275773 304707 129713 124698
30-34 265773 284099 117110 114782
Rural Urban
Age Male Female Male Female
not literate
literate &
upto
secondary
secondary
& above not literate
literate &
upto
secondary
secondary
& above not literate
literate &
upto
secondary
secondary &
above not literate
literate &
upto
secondary
secondary &
above
15-19 1% 6% 5% 1% 5% 3% 0% 2% 2% 0% 1% 2%
20-24 1% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 2%
25-29 1% 4% 3% 3% 4% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2%
30-34 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2%
11%
are women in rural
areas who are not
literate
26%
Are women in rural areas
with less than secondary
education
8%
Are graduates & above

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