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Delivering Machine Learning
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For experienced Product Managers
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for top leadership roles
Product
Leadership
C O U R S E S
Corporate
Training
Level up your team’s Product
Management skills
Kuleen Mehta
T O N I G H T ’ S S P E A K E R
Building Successful ML
Products
Kuleen Mehta
Overview
● ML Opportunity & Challenges
● ML Development Process
● Key Contributions of PM
○ Case Study
What is Machine Learning ?
Machine Learning is the field of study that gives Computers the
ability to learn without being explicitly programmed.
- Arthur Samuelson (circa. 1959) Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Deep Learning
Machine
Learning
Classical
Programming
Answers
Rules
Data
Data
Answers
Rules
The Fourth Industrial Revolution
$ 35.8 Best. spend on AI in 2019 (IDC)
8 out of 10AI projects are stalled and 96% report running into data
issues (Dimensional Research Survey)
Key Considerations for applying ML
User Needs
UX solutions
Heuristics
MLaaS options
User Experience
Expected Accuracy
Impact of Errors
Understandability
Data Availability
Sourcing (labelled) data
Representative &
Unbiased
Privacy Policy
Iterate and
Improve
Close the Loop
Fail Forward
ML when: Lots of data, Dynamic patterns, Personalized Experience at scale…
The ML Product Process
CRISP-DM workflow courtesy: Kenneth Jensen
Saving unnecessary ER trips - Hypothetical
Health Care System Goals
● Fast resolution of (real) Emergencies
○ Better patient outcomes
○ Higher patient satisfaction (wait times..)
● Save Money
○ Lower staffing Capacity
○ Reduce Overtime pay
○ Improved staff morale and retention
Patient Goals
● Fast Resolution
○ No long ER waits
○ Get DIY remedy if possible
● Save Money
○ ER $ > Doctor’s office $ > OTC Medicine $
Business Understanding
• Understand the problem
• Define the Solution
• Define Success criteria (MTMM)
• Define the User Experience
• MVP vs. v1
• Map to Model Efficacy goals (PR, AUC...)
• Define Constraints – e.g.
Interpretability, Understandability
Define
Target
Customer
Underserved
Needs
Value
Proposition
Feature Set
UX
Test with the
customers
Courtesy: Dan Olson
Product-Market Fit
Define the Solution - FBM Chatbot
ScheduleTriage Consult an Expert ($)
Natural Language dialog with AI bot
Natural Language Search
through Knowledge base
Select from “common”
symptoms and remedies
Live audio/video chat
Offline diagnosis through
pictures / video
Text chat with an expert
Find a Doctor / Specialist
Find nearest ER / Request Ambulance
Schedule Appointment
Data Acquisition
•Internal
•External
•None - Cold Start (Build UX for collection, Unsupervised techniques)
Sources
•Recruit Users (Crowdsource)
•Internal Content Experts
•Paid(Mechanical turk, CrowdFlower etc).
Labels
•Standards: Enterprise vs. Consumer, By Industry (HIPAA)
•Encryption, Audit trails, GDPR Req.
•Privacy conscious ML techniques - FL, DP
Privacy and
Governance
•Instrument your UI (1st and 3rd party Analytics)
•Ask the user (In-situ, surveys , NPS scores)Feedback Loop
Data Understanding
Collaborate
Data Preparation, Modeling & Evaluation
● Be Curious, not prescriptive
● Create Checkpoints, measure progress
● Communicate and Manage Stakeholders
● Know when to pivot
Evaluation
Precision-Recall /
AUC Targets
Modeling
Model Architecture
Hyper Param
tuning,Reg.
Data Preparation
Feature selection,
Cleanup, Feat.
Engineering
Communicate
Deployment
• ML Pipelines are expensive to build and maintain - set stakeholder expectations
• Sensitivity Analysis on Models
• Design for the long term, build for your MVP
• Prioritize your Feedback loop Deliver
Test with Customers & Iterate
ScheduleTriage Consult an Expert ($)
NL Dialog Agent
NL Search through Knowledge
base
Select from “common”
symptoms-remedies
Live audio / video chat
Offline diagnosis through
pictures / video
Text chat with an expert
Find nearest ER / Request Ambulance
20% Resolve
Personalize
56% Abandon
Find a Doctor / Specialist
Schedule Appointment 65% Compltn.
90% TP rate
The ML Process
CRISP-DM workflow courtesy: Kenneth Jensen
Define
Acquire
Collaborate
Communicate
Iterate
Deliver
PM Contributions
Test & Iterate
Questions ?
Linkedin: https://linkedin.com/kuleenmehta
Medium: https://medium.com/@kuleenm
Deep vs. Shallow Learning
Courtesy: Andrew Ng
www.productschool.com
Part-time Product Management, Coding, Data Analytics, Digital
Marketing, UX Design, Product Leadership courses and
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Delivering Machine Learning Solutions by fmr Sears Dir of PM

  • 2. Join 35,000+Product Managers on Free Resources Discover great job opportunities Job Portal prdct.school/PSJobPortalprdct.school/events-slack
  • 3. C O U R S E S Product Management Learn the skills you need to land a Product Manager job
  • 4. C O U R S E S Coding for Managers Build a website and gain the technical knowledge to lead software engineers
  • 5. C O U R S E S Data Analytics for Managers Learn the skills to understand web analytics, SQL and machine learning concepts
  • 6. C O U R S E S Learn how to acquire more users and convert them into clients Digital Marketing for Managers
  • 7. C O U R S E S UX Design for Managers Gain a deeper understanding of your users and deliver an exceptional end-to- end experience
  • 8. C O U R S E S For experienced Product Managers looking to gain strategic skills needed for top leadership roles Product Leadership
  • 9. C O U R S E S Corporate Training Level up your team’s Product Management skills
  • 10. Kuleen Mehta T O N I G H T ’ S S P E A K E R
  • 12. Overview ● ML Opportunity & Challenges ● ML Development Process ● Key Contributions of PM ○ Case Study
  • 13. What is Machine Learning ? Machine Learning is the field of study that gives Computers the ability to learn without being explicitly programmed. - Arthur Samuelson (circa. 1959) Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning Deep Learning Machine Learning Classical Programming Answers Rules Data Data Answers Rules
  • 14. The Fourth Industrial Revolution $ 35.8 Best. spend on AI in 2019 (IDC) 8 out of 10AI projects are stalled and 96% report running into data issues (Dimensional Research Survey)
  • 15. Key Considerations for applying ML User Needs UX solutions Heuristics MLaaS options User Experience Expected Accuracy Impact of Errors Understandability Data Availability Sourcing (labelled) data Representative & Unbiased Privacy Policy Iterate and Improve Close the Loop Fail Forward ML when: Lots of data, Dynamic patterns, Personalized Experience at scale…
  • 16. The ML Product Process CRISP-DM workflow courtesy: Kenneth Jensen
  • 17. Saving unnecessary ER trips - Hypothetical Health Care System Goals ● Fast resolution of (real) Emergencies ○ Better patient outcomes ○ Higher patient satisfaction (wait times..) ● Save Money ○ Lower staffing Capacity ○ Reduce Overtime pay ○ Improved staff morale and retention Patient Goals ● Fast Resolution ○ No long ER waits ○ Get DIY remedy if possible ● Save Money ○ ER $ > Doctor’s office $ > OTC Medicine $
  • 18. Business Understanding • Understand the problem • Define the Solution • Define Success criteria (MTMM) • Define the User Experience • MVP vs. v1 • Map to Model Efficacy goals (PR, AUC...) • Define Constraints – e.g. Interpretability, Understandability Define Target Customer Underserved Needs Value Proposition Feature Set UX Test with the customers Courtesy: Dan Olson Product-Market Fit
  • 19. Define the Solution - FBM Chatbot ScheduleTriage Consult an Expert ($) Natural Language dialog with AI bot Natural Language Search through Knowledge base Select from “common” symptoms and remedies Live audio/video chat Offline diagnosis through pictures / video Text chat with an expert Find a Doctor / Specialist Find nearest ER / Request Ambulance Schedule Appointment
  • 20. Data Acquisition •Internal •External •None - Cold Start (Build UX for collection, Unsupervised techniques) Sources •Recruit Users (Crowdsource) •Internal Content Experts •Paid(Mechanical turk, CrowdFlower etc). Labels •Standards: Enterprise vs. Consumer, By Industry (HIPAA) •Encryption, Audit trails, GDPR Req. •Privacy conscious ML techniques - FL, DP Privacy and Governance •Instrument your UI (1st and 3rd party Analytics) •Ask the user (In-situ, surveys , NPS scores)Feedback Loop
  • 22. Data Preparation, Modeling & Evaluation ● Be Curious, not prescriptive ● Create Checkpoints, measure progress ● Communicate and Manage Stakeholders ● Know when to pivot Evaluation Precision-Recall / AUC Targets Modeling Model Architecture Hyper Param tuning,Reg. Data Preparation Feature selection, Cleanup, Feat. Engineering Communicate
  • 23. Deployment • ML Pipelines are expensive to build and maintain - set stakeholder expectations • Sensitivity Analysis on Models • Design for the long term, build for your MVP • Prioritize your Feedback loop Deliver
  • 24. Test with Customers & Iterate ScheduleTriage Consult an Expert ($) NL Dialog Agent NL Search through Knowledge base Select from “common” symptoms-remedies Live audio / video chat Offline diagnosis through pictures / video Text chat with an expert Find nearest ER / Request Ambulance 20% Resolve Personalize 56% Abandon Find a Doctor / Specialist Schedule Appointment 65% Compltn. 90% TP rate
  • 25. The ML Process CRISP-DM workflow courtesy: Kenneth Jensen Define Acquire Collaborate Communicate Iterate Deliver PM Contributions Test & Iterate
  • 27. Deep vs. Shallow Learning Courtesy: Andrew Ng
  • 28. www.productschool.com Part-time Product Management, Coding, Data Analytics, Digital Marketing, UX Design, Product Leadership courses and Corporate Training

Editor's Notes

  1. "As you checked in we sent you an email to join our online communities, events, and to apply for product management jobs. As members of the Product School community we'd like to provide you with these resources at your disposal."
  2. Led ML intiatives at MS, Smartsheet and SHS Key Learnings from building ML solns ML in different domains
  3. Who has worked on ML products… Prod, Devs, Data Sci
  4. AI : Can computers Think ? Differnces between ML AI and Deep Learning Symoblic AI : Handcrafted rules … Expert Systems
  5. Transform Industries - Sooner or later Retail, Transportation, Medicine. Defend and Grow their Market share, Protect information. Ecommerce was 15 yrs ago Huge opportunities for Prod Mgmt to make impact - Strategic, Incremental investments to get to the promiseland
  6. ML practitioners neglect to understand the Problem space first, and jump to ML solution. ML Problem Space: Lots of data, changes Dynamically, Personalized… Heuristics - Help set a baseline and may also expose holes in your Arch Expected Accuracy - Premium feature, Error - (Spam) Recovery, Understand - Mental model Significant Data risks - assume you have the data and patterns exist but hard to tell
  7. Cross-industry Standard Process for Data Mining
  8. Close parallels to problems we were solving at S Home Services - Home appliance repair You are the PM responsible coming up with Tech Solution Ignore HIPPA and Liability issues in healthcare.
  9. Target Customers : Millennials, New Parents etc. Need : Is this an emergency ? -NO- Whats the diagnosis / remedy ? MTMM : % of False ER visits
  10. MLTriage: Prod Metrics : Abandonment rate, Search Success rate, NPS with Bot Structured Search (DTree) - Personalized ranking NLP to Normalize Symptoms NLP for Error Handling
  11. Diagnosis Chatbot: Mostly internal data, Labelled by medical pros (Some manual interpretation) INternal - Work across Org and centralize Siloed data External - Find / Buy
  12. Diagnostic: Are they underreporting to save patients money ? Are folks who come to ER representative of Customers using Chatbot (illnesses, demographics) ? Do Anecdotes match the Analytics
  13. You are not a Data Scientist don’t pretend to be one. Ask Good questions Pivot : Sunk Cost Fallacy
  14. ML has significant Technical Debt Sensitivity Analyisis : Discard low value features to reduce tech debt, Re-training period
  15. Shipped an MVP and used Analytics, User Surveys and User studies to identify problems. Refined roadmap based on results.
  16. To Summarize the impact of PM at various stages