This document provides an overview of the Decision Sciences Laboratory (DSL) including its mission, philosophy, background, staff, and projects. Key points:
- DSL conducts exploratory research on human performance in military information systems to improve interaction between people and machines.
- With a highly educated staff including many PhDs, DSL seeks to better understand cognitive processes like decision-making to enhance system design.
- DSL has operated for 20 years under different names, currently as a lab within the Air Force's Electronic Systems Division.
- DSL uses an automated laboratory with a computer to increase experimental efficiency and capabilities like dynamic study designs.
- Projects address Technical Development Objectives through research
integrated dynamic landscape analysis and modeling systemChristopher Klaus
An integrated, dynamic modeling and decision-support system called the Integrated Dynamic Landscape Analysis and Modeling System (IDLAMS) has been developed by Argonne National Laboratory and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Construction Engineering Research Laboratories to provide a long-term strategic approach for land resource management. IDLAMS uses a core vegetation dynamics model linked to geographic information systems, remote sensing, and field data to predict land conditions under different land use scenarios. A user-friendly interface allows land managers to operate the system as a predictive decision-support tool without extensive modeling expertise.
Elaborar un mapa conceptual acerca del Signo lingüístico. Concepto. Elementos que lo forman: Significante y significado. Características. Investigar a partir de su creador, Ferdinand de Saussure
This document provides contact information for DXN ROMANIA, a company that produces and does business involving Ganoderma. The contact listed is Veres Marta, who can be reached by phone, Skype, or email. The company's website is also listed for additional information.
Marc Anthony is a singer born in New York to Puerto Rican parents who sings salsa, bolero, and pop music. He started his career singing in night clubs in New York and has had commercial success with albums like "The Singer" featuring duets with Jennifer Lopez, who he was married to and had two children with. Some of his other relationships include marriages to Dayanara Torres and Debbie Rosado.
River21 is an transboundary project about the river Scheldt. You can read more about this on my blog (Dutch) http://www.pjcr.be/2010/03/river21/ and http://www.pjcr.be/2010/05/maas-symposium_meuse/
The document discusses how Jesus Christ is portrayed in the Gospel of John. It covers three main points: that Christ as the Son of God is exclusive, providing the only path, way and knowledge to God; that He is life, offering everlasting, abundant and gift of life; and that He is salvation, being the only name, grace and purpose for salvation.
integrated dynamic landscape analysis and modeling systemChristopher Klaus
An integrated, dynamic modeling and decision-support system called the Integrated Dynamic Landscape Analysis and Modeling System (IDLAMS) has been developed by Argonne National Laboratory and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Construction Engineering Research Laboratories to provide a long-term strategic approach for land resource management. IDLAMS uses a core vegetation dynamics model linked to geographic information systems, remote sensing, and field data to predict land conditions under different land use scenarios. A user-friendly interface allows land managers to operate the system as a predictive decision-support tool without extensive modeling expertise.
Elaborar un mapa conceptual acerca del Signo lingüístico. Concepto. Elementos que lo forman: Significante y significado. Características. Investigar a partir de su creador, Ferdinand de Saussure
This document provides contact information for DXN ROMANIA, a company that produces and does business involving Ganoderma. The contact listed is Veres Marta, who can be reached by phone, Skype, or email. The company's website is also listed for additional information.
Marc Anthony is a singer born in New York to Puerto Rican parents who sings salsa, bolero, and pop music. He started his career singing in night clubs in New York and has had commercial success with albums like "The Singer" featuring duets with Jennifer Lopez, who he was married to and had two children with. Some of his other relationships include marriages to Dayanara Torres and Debbie Rosado.
River21 is an transboundary project about the river Scheldt. You can read more about this on my blog (Dutch) http://www.pjcr.be/2010/03/river21/ and http://www.pjcr.be/2010/05/maas-symposium_meuse/
The document discusses how Jesus Christ is portrayed in the Gospel of John. It covers three main points: that Christ as the Son of God is exclusive, providing the only path, way and knowledge to God; that He is life, offering everlasting, abundant and gift of life; and that He is salvation, being the only name, grace and purpose for salvation.
Gary Watkins has extensive experience as a Marine Corps non-commissioned officer and as a program manager at Boeing. He has managed multi-million dollar aircraft modification projects and teams of 10-50 people. He holds several professional certifications including Project Management Professional (PMP) and Six Sigma Black Belt. He actively mentors others and volunteers in his community.
Este documento proporciona instrucciones para instalar y usar VMware Workstation 6.0 para crear máquinas virtuales. Explica cómo instalar el programa en Windows, crear una máquina virtual usando el asistente de configuración, y seleccionar opciones como el sistema operativo, memoria, discos duros y más. Finalmente, describe cómo iniciar la máquina virtual y realizar la instalación de un sistema operativo.
Dow Day: Historical Inquiry Game AERA 2009jmmathews
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
How does Optimism impact on Entrepreneurs’ Overconfidence?CSCJournals
Optimism and overconfidence are well documented cognitive biases in the entrepreneurship literature (see Shepherd et al., 2015). Although these sentiments are typically thought to be almost overlapped, empirical studies make evidence of their different construct (see Trevelyan, 2008, 2011). In the paper at hand we investigate the descriptive and normative motivations inducing misconfidence biases to arise. First, we introduce the definition of optimism as underestimation of the task difficulty to meet a strategic Key Performance Indicator (KPI). Second, we define overconfidence as the tendency to overestimate the probability to achieve an uncertain task. To calculate this probability we set up a prescriptive benchmarking-based model. Third, we spotlight situations in enterprise risk management (ERM) where misconfidence biases in judgment emerge. Complementing Bordley et al. (2015) and Tibiletti and Uberti (2015) results, we show that overconfidence arises in presence of two extreme circumstances: (1) underestimation of task difficulty coupled with extremely poor entrepreneurial projects, and (2) overestimation of task difficulty coupled with extremely good entrepreneurial projects. Our theoretical findings match with accounted biased behaviors recognized among entrepreneurs known as the escalation and de-escalation of commitment effect biases. The study is based on the normative foundation for overconfidence set up by Bordley et al. (2015) and casts light on which circumstances that occurs. Our results have also practical implications. In fact, it is important for entrepreneurs be aware of situations where self-confidence is normatively biased.
Invited talk: Second Search Computing workshopPaolo Missier
This document discusses workflows in the context of an ecosystem of models, tools, and technologies that can benefit or complement the SeCo paradigm. It focuses on some elements of a workflow's lifecycle, including importing services, benefits of domain-specific service collections, and collecting and querying provenance traces. Well-curated domain-specific service collections have advantages like easier discoverability and built-in interoperability compared to general collections. Provenance metadata captured during workflow runs can provide important context about the data and process.
Looking into the Crystal Ball: From Transistors to the Smart EarthThe Innovation Group
This paper is based on a keynote talk presented by Prof. Sangiovanni-Vincentelli at the 50th DAC. It discusses the evolution of cyber-physical and bio-cyber systems leading us to a smarter planet, and it predicts how EDA and embedded systems have to expand into this new field.
This document discusses several applications of expert systems for military use. It provides background on expert systems and techniques for dealing with uncertainty. The applications discussed include a system for resource allocation called BATTLE, a system for ship identification, systems for maintenance and troubleshooting of electronic equipment, and interpretation of radar images. Distributed expert systems for battle management are also examined. The document concludes that while expert systems still have limitations, they show promise for helping to solve complex military problems and reduce manpower needs through capabilities like learning, reasoning, and processing multiple sensor data.
What to expect in the next 4 years of Computer Science in SportKeith Lyons
1. Computer science in sport will see increased use of ubiquitous computing technologies like miniaturized sensors and wireless networks to capture extensive biometric and positional data from athletes in real time.
2. Advances in data analysis methods and intelligent systems will enable automated analysis and classification of sports performance, as well as simulated training environments and adaptive feedback systems.
3. Within the next 4 years, it is expected that social networks and markerless motion analysis will be more widely adopted, and data-driven coaching, training, and decision support systems will start to integrate model-based analyses and artificial intelligence.
This document describes the initial development of an information system for air/space defense identification and raid recognition. It examines the evolution of identification and raid recognition procedures in the SAGE and BMEWS systems, and hypothesizes how a similar system could be developed for a satellite threat environment. The key considerations in developing such a system include defining appropriate threat states and system response levels, determining identification and raid recognition techniques, and sequencing the application of techniques. This information is used to propose six initial steps for systematically developing an identification and raid recognition information system.
This document provides an overview of an Operating Systems lecture presented by Dr. Nilam Choudhary at Jaipur Engineering College and Research Centre. It includes the vision and mission of the computer science department, program outcomes, program specific outcomes, course outcomes for Operating Systems, and a mapping of course outcomes to program outcomes and program specific outcomes. It also includes the syllabus and a lecture plan that outlines the main topics and number of lectures planned for each unit of the Operating Systems course.
Psychophysiological aspects of Human-System Integration i C4 and operation sa...Jerzy Achimowicz
This document discusses psychophysiological challenges in integrating humans with communication, control, and command systems, and how this relates to operational safety. It covers:
1. Current trends in autonomous weapons systems like drones and challenges in integrating humans into complex automated systems.
2. A new HSI (Human-System Integration) paradigm that treats humans not as a source of errors but as key to system reliability.
3. Examples of how considering human factors like cognition can improve system design and decision making, illustrated through drone operator selection and training systems using techniques like augmented cognition and reality and biofeedback.
A Survey Of Applications Of Wireless Sensors And Wireless Sensor NetworksRick Vogel
This document summarizes applications of wireless sensor networks. It discusses how wireless sensors and networks have enabled new applications by making smaller, networked devices. It then surveys four main application areas: 1) Military applications like tracking enemies and objects on battlefields. 2) Environmental monitoring inside and outside buildings to optimize conditions and detect threats. 3) Commercial applications for industries and humans like infrastructure monitoring. 4) Applications in robotics like tracking objects. The document aims to record recent applications and trends to identify new research problems from a control systems perspective.
This is a power-point presentation prepared for the students who are studying SYSTEM ENGINEERING in Fourth Semester (CBCS) of the branches of colleges affiliated to RGPV, Bhopal (M.P.). In this presentation, topics of the first unit in the syllabus are covered. I hope it will be helpful to the students.
This document discusses the development of an experimental test bed called Project Alchemy, which uses serious gaming technologies to support human factors investigations of advanced interfaces for semi-autonomous vehicles. Project Alchemy evolved from an earlier demonstrator called TOMSAV that explored interface requirements for controlling multiple underwater vehicles. Project Alchemy features a virtual representation of a small hovering unmanned aerial vehicle and its deployment from a marsupial ground vehicle. It allows operators to investigate supervising and directly controlling the UAV in simulated urban environments, including a 3D model of buildings on the University of Birmingham campus. The test bed is intended to generate new knowledge about interface needs for semi-autonomous systems in an affordable and accessible way using desktop virtual environment technologies.
Preprint-WCMRI,IFERP,Singapore,28 October 2022.pdfChristo Ananth
Call for Papers- Special Session: World Conference on Multidisciplinary Research and Innovation (WCMRI-22), (Session 1: Information and Communication Technology), Singapore
Christo Ananth
Professor, Samarkand State University, Uzbekistan
The document discusses the challenges and current solutions of cyber physical systems. It begins by defining cyber physical systems as systems that tightly integrate computation, networking, and physical processes. It then outlines three main challenge areas for cyber physical systems: 1) monitoring and actuation infrastructure challenges related to dependability, accuracy, efficiency, robustness, availability, and cost, 2) communication network challenges related to wiring, power/energy, mobility, data rate, security, and signal fading, and 3) computation and control operation challenges related to complexity, scalability, real-time operation, and fault tolerance. Current solutions discussed include developing common languages for dependability analysis, improving sensor accuracy, implementing energy efficient sensing, and using error control for improved data
This document summarizes a research paper that proposes the design and implementation of an intelligent laser warning system using fuzzy logic. The system uses four laser sensors to detect the incident laser angle from 0 to 360 degrees and an additional sensor to distinguish the laser from background sunlight. A fuzzy logic algorithm is used to fuse the sensor data and estimate the angle of incidence. The system is first simulated in MATLAB and then implemented using a TI-430 microcontroller. The goal is to develop a low-cost laser detection system that can accurately detect laser threats and distinguish them from other light sources like the sun.
This paper demonstrates a framework that entails a bottom-up approach to
accelerate research, development, and verification of neuro-inspired sensing
devices for real-life applications. Previous work in neuromorphic
engineering mostly considered application-specific designs which is a strong
limitation for researchers to develop novel applications and emulate the true
behaviour of neuro-inspired systems. Hence to enable the fully parallel
brain-like computations, this paper proposes a methodology where a spiking
neuron model was emulated in software and electronic circuits were then
implemented and characterized. The proposed approach offers a unique
perspective whereby experimental measurements taken from a fabricated
device allowing empirical models to be developed. This technique acts as a
bridge between the theoretical and practical aspects of neuro-inspired
devices. It is shown through software simulations and empirical modelling
that the proposed technique is capable of replicating neural dynamics and
post-synaptic potentials. Retrospectively, the proposed framework offers a
first step towards open-source neuro-inspired hardware for a range of
applications such as healthcare, applied machine learning and the internet of
things (IoT).
The document discusses the involvement of the Military Institute of Aviation Medicine (WIML) in ESA and NASA projects. It describes three projects:
1) The NEUROSPAT project, a study with ESA on the effects of gravity on EEG dynamics.
2) Verification of Autogenic Feedback Training (AFTE) with NASA to increase flight safety.
3) A 2011 NASA/WIML workshop on psychophysiological aspects of flight safety.
Report on Enhancing the performance of WSNDheeraj Kumar
This seminar report discusses enhancing the performance of wireless sensor networks (WSNs). It describes WSNs and their architecture. It discusses key performance parameters like energy consumption, delay, and throughput. It also covers challenges in WSNs like congestion control and routing/energy problems. It presents approaches to address these challenges, including a Priority Based Congestion Control Protocol and the Low Energy Adaptive Clustering Hierarchy (LEACH) protocol. Finally, it outlines several applications of WSNs such as healthcare monitoring, environmental sensing, and forest fire detection.
What is Artificial Intelligence AI? What is its origin? How Bio-Intelligence BI is being Harnessed as a Power in modern times?
These and and more are answer in this Videnar (Video-Seminar) which is the summary of my recent seminars given at various universities in Canada and abroad (https://lnkd.in/e2CHjPW).
I explain herein how BI has inspired AI in many ways at various engineering and modern technologies. Furthermore, I extend this inspiration to suggest a remedy to the modern education crisis to engage and motivate young student and adults alike using STEM and Blended Learning.
This is summary of my research and teaching statement and mission over the course of my career to include all my seminars presented at various universities across the world (see https://lnkd.in/e2CHjPW)
It also includes my teaching philosophy and proposition by embedding intelligence in modern teaching/education and Blended learning. This method has been published at the 124th conference of American Society for Engineering Education, Columbus, OH, USA on July 2017. Paper: https://lnkd.in/e3HdetC and its presentation talk: https://lnkd.in/ewADAbE
Gary Watkins has extensive experience as a Marine Corps non-commissioned officer and as a program manager at Boeing. He has managed multi-million dollar aircraft modification projects and teams of 10-50 people. He holds several professional certifications including Project Management Professional (PMP) and Six Sigma Black Belt. He actively mentors others and volunteers in his community.
Este documento proporciona instrucciones para instalar y usar VMware Workstation 6.0 para crear máquinas virtuales. Explica cómo instalar el programa en Windows, crear una máquina virtual usando el asistente de configuración, y seleccionar opciones como el sistema operativo, memoria, discos duros y más. Finalmente, describe cómo iniciar la máquina virtual y realizar la instalación de un sistema operativo.
Dow Day: Historical Inquiry Game AERA 2009jmmathews
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
How does Optimism impact on Entrepreneurs’ Overconfidence?CSCJournals
Optimism and overconfidence are well documented cognitive biases in the entrepreneurship literature (see Shepherd et al., 2015). Although these sentiments are typically thought to be almost overlapped, empirical studies make evidence of their different construct (see Trevelyan, 2008, 2011). In the paper at hand we investigate the descriptive and normative motivations inducing misconfidence biases to arise. First, we introduce the definition of optimism as underestimation of the task difficulty to meet a strategic Key Performance Indicator (KPI). Second, we define overconfidence as the tendency to overestimate the probability to achieve an uncertain task. To calculate this probability we set up a prescriptive benchmarking-based model. Third, we spotlight situations in enterprise risk management (ERM) where misconfidence biases in judgment emerge. Complementing Bordley et al. (2015) and Tibiletti and Uberti (2015) results, we show that overconfidence arises in presence of two extreme circumstances: (1) underestimation of task difficulty coupled with extremely poor entrepreneurial projects, and (2) overestimation of task difficulty coupled with extremely good entrepreneurial projects. Our theoretical findings match with accounted biased behaviors recognized among entrepreneurs known as the escalation and de-escalation of commitment effect biases. The study is based on the normative foundation for overconfidence set up by Bordley et al. (2015) and casts light on which circumstances that occurs. Our results have also practical implications. In fact, it is important for entrepreneurs be aware of situations where self-confidence is normatively biased.
Invited talk: Second Search Computing workshopPaolo Missier
This document discusses workflows in the context of an ecosystem of models, tools, and technologies that can benefit or complement the SeCo paradigm. It focuses on some elements of a workflow's lifecycle, including importing services, benefits of domain-specific service collections, and collecting and querying provenance traces. Well-curated domain-specific service collections have advantages like easier discoverability and built-in interoperability compared to general collections. Provenance metadata captured during workflow runs can provide important context about the data and process.
Looking into the Crystal Ball: From Transistors to the Smart EarthThe Innovation Group
This paper is based on a keynote talk presented by Prof. Sangiovanni-Vincentelli at the 50th DAC. It discusses the evolution of cyber-physical and bio-cyber systems leading us to a smarter planet, and it predicts how EDA and embedded systems have to expand into this new field.
This document discusses several applications of expert systems for military use. It provides background on expert systems and techniques for dealing with uncertainty. The applications discussed include a system for resource allocation called BATTLE, a system for ship identification, systems for maintenance and troubleshooting of electronic equipment, and interpretation of radar images. Distributed expert systems for battle management are also examined. The document concludes that while expert systems still have limitations, they show promise for helping to solve complex military problems and reduce manpower needs through capabilities like learning, reasoning, and processing multiple sensor data.
What to expect in the next 4 years of Computer Science in SportKeith Lyons
1. Computer science in sport will see increased use of ubiquitous computing technologies like miniaturized sensors and wireless networks to capture extensive biometric and positional data from athletes in real time.
2. Advances in data analysis methods and intelligent systems will enable automated analysis and classification of sports performance, as well as simulated training environments and adaptive feedback systems.
3. Within the next 4 years, it is expected that social networks and markerless motion analysis will be more widely adopted, and data-driven coaching, training, and decision support systems will start to integrate model-based analyses and artificial intelligence.
This document describes the initial development of an information system for air/space defense identification and raid recognition. It examines the evolution of identification and raid recognition procedures in the SAGE and BMEWS systems, and hypothesizes how a similar system could be developed for a satellite threat environment. The key considerations in developing such a system include defining appropriate threat states and system response levels, determining identification and raid recognition techniques, and sequencing the application of techniques. This information is used to propose six initial steps for systematically developing an identification and raid recognition information system.
This document provides an overview of an Operating Systems lecture presented by Dr. Nilam Choudhary at Jaipur Engineering College and Research Centre. It includes the vision and mission of the computer science department, program outcomes, program specific outcomes, course outcomes for Operating Systems, and a mapping of course outcomes to program outcomes and program specific outcomes. It also includes the syllabus and a lecture plan that outlines the main topics and number of lectures planned for each unit of the Operating Systems course.
Psychophysiological aspects of Human-System Integration i C4 and operation sa...Jerzy Achimowicz
This document discusses psychophysiological challenges in integrating humans with communication, control, and command systems, and how this relates to operational safety. It covers:
1. Current trends in autonomous weapons systems like drones and challenges in integrating humans into complex automated systems.
2. A new HSI (Human-System Integration) paradigm that treats humans not as a source of errors but as key to system reliability.
3. Examples of how considering human factors like cognition can improve system design and decision making, illustrated through drone operator selection and training systems using techniques like augmented cognition and reality and biofeedback.
A Survey Of Applications Of Wireless Sensors And Wireless Sensor NetworksRick Vogel
This document summarizes applications of wireless sensor networks. It discusses how wireless sensors and networks have enabled new applications by making smaller, networked devices. It then surveys four main application areas: 1) Military applications like tracking enemies and objects on battlefields. 2) Environmental monitoring inside and outside buildings to optimize conditions and detect threats. 3) Commercial applications for industries and humans like infrastructure monitoring. 4) Applications in robotics like tracking objects. The document aims to record recent applications and trends to identify new research problems from a control systems perspective.
This is a power-point presentation prepared for the students who are studying SYSTEM ENGINEERING in Fourth Semester (CBCS) of the branches of colleges affiliated to RGPV, Bhopal (M.P.). In this presentation, topics of the first unit in the syllabus are covered. I hope it will be helpful to the students.
This document discusses the development of an experimental test bed called Project Alchemy, which uses serious gaming technologies to support human factors investigations of advanced interfaces for semi-autonomous vehicles. Project Alchemy evolved from an earlier demonstrator called TOMSAV that explored interface requirements for controlling multiple underwater vehicles. Project Alchemy features a virtual representation of a small hovering unmanned aerial vehicle and its deployment from a marsupial ground vehicle. It allows operators to investigate supervising and directly controlling the UAV in simulated urban environments, including a 3D model of buildings on the University of Birmingham campus. The test bed is intended to generate new knowledge about interface needs for semi-autonomous systems in an affordable and accessible way using desktop virtual environment technologies.
Preprint-WCMRI,IFERP,Singapore,28 October 2022.pdfChristo Ananth
Call for Papers- Special Session: World Conference on Multidisciplinary Research and Innovation (WCMRI-22), (Session 1: Information and Communication Technology), Singapore
Christo Ananth
Professor, Samarkand State University, Uzbekistan
The document discusses the challenges and current solutions of cyber physical systems. It begins by defining cyber physical systems as systems that tightly integrate computation, networking, and physical processes. It then outlines three main challenge areas for cyber physical systems: 1) monitoring and actuation infrastructure challenges related to dependability, accuracy, efficiency, robustness, availability, and cost, 2) communication network challenges related to wiring, power/energy, mobility, data rate, security, and signal fading, and 3) computation and control operation challenges related to complexity, scalability, real-time operation, and fault tolerance. Current solutions discussed include developing common languages for dependability analysis, improving sensor accuracy, implementing energy efficient sensing, and using error control for improved data
This document summarizes a research paper that proposes the design and implementation of an intelligent laser warning system using fuzzy logic. The system uses four laser sensors to detect the incident laser angle from 0 to 360 degrees and an additional sensor to distinguish the laser from background sunlight. A fuzzy logic algorithm is used to fuse the sensor data and estimate the angle of incidence. The system is first simulated in MATLAB and then implemented using a TI-430 microcontroller. The goal is to develop a low-cost laser detection system that can accurately detect laser threats and distinguish them from other light sources like the sun.
This paper demonstrates a framework that entails a bottom-up approach to
accelerate research, development, and verification of neuro-inspired sensing
devices for real-life applications. Previous work in neuromorphic
engineering mostly considered application-specific designs which is a strong
limitation for researchers to develop novel applications and emulate the true
behaviour of neuro-inspired systems. Hence to enable the fully parallel
brain-like computations, this paper proposes a methodology where a spiking
neuron model was emulated in software and electronic circuits were then
implemented and characterized. The proposed approach offers a unique
perspective whereby experimental measurements taken from a fabricated
device allowing empirical models to be developed. This technique acts as a
bridge between the theoretical and practical aspects of neuro-inspired
devices. It is shown through software simulations and empirical modelling
that the proposed technique is capable of replicating neural dynamics and
post-synaptic potentials. Retrospectively, the proposed framework offers a
first step towards open-source neuro-inspired hardware for a range of
applications such as healthcare, applied machine learning and the internet of
things (IoT).
The document discusses the involvement of the Military Institute of Aviation Medicine (WIML) in ESA and NASA projects. It describes three projects:
1) The NEUROSPAT project, a study with ESA on the effects of gravity on EEG dynamics.
2) Verification of Autogenic Feedback Training (AFTE) with NASA to increase flight safety.
3) A 2011 NASA/WIML workshop on psychophysiological aspects of flight safety.
Report on Enhancing the performance of WSNDheeraj Kumar
This seminar report discusses enhancing the performance of wireless sensor networks (WSNs). It describes WSNs and their architecture. It discusses key performance parameters like energy consumption, delay, and throughput. It also covers challenges in WSNs like congestion control and routing/energy problems. It presents approaches to address these challenges, including a Priority Based Congestion Control Protocol and the Low Energy Adaptive Clustering Hierarchy (LEACH) protocol. Finally, it outlines several applications of WSNs such as healthcare monitoring, environmental sensing, and forest fire detection.
What is Artificial Intelligence AI? What is its origin? How Bio-Intelligence BI is being Harnessed as a Power in modern times?
These and and more are answer in this Videnar (Video-Seminar) which is the summary of my recent seminars given at various universities in Canada and abroad (https://lnkd.in/e2CHjPW).
I explain herein how BI has inspired AI in many ways at various engineering and modern technologies. Furthermore, I extend this inspiration to suggest a remedy to the modern education crisis to engage and motivate young student and adults alike using STEM and Blended Learning.
This is summary of my research and teaching statement and mission over the course of my career to include all my seminars presented at various universities across the world (see https://lnkd.in/e2CHjPW)
It also includes my teaching philosophy and proposition by embedding intelligence in modern teaching/education and Blended learning. This method has been published at the 124th conference of American Society for Engineering Education, Columbus, OH, USA on July 2017. Paper: https://lnkd.in/e3HdetC and its presentation talk: https://lnkd.in/ewADAbE
From Bio-Intelligence BI to Artificial-Intelligence AI in Engineering and STE...Dr. Fayçal Saffih
This is summary of my research and teaching statement and mission over the course of my career to include all my seminars presented at various universities across the world (see http://bit.ly/Seminars_Map_FaycalS)
It included my journey in embedding intelligence in imaging from the device level, to circuit level and up to the system level.
It also includes my teaching philosophy and proposition by embedding intelligence in modern teaching/education and Blended learning. This method has been published at the 124th conference of American Society for Engineering Education, Columbus, OH, USA on July 2017. You may download the paper here: http://bit.ly/AIM4STEM2017_FaycalS and watch the talk here: http://bit.ly/AIM4STEM_ASEE2017_Talk_FaycalS
You can also watch these slides presented here: http://bit.ly/From-BI-for-AI-Research-Teaching-Vision_FaycalS
Enjoy!
Computer science is the systematic study of computation and computational processes. It involves determining what problems can be solved efficiently using algorithms and studying approaches like programming languages and computer systems implementation. While it makes use of computers, computer science is not just about building hardware and software but rather how we use tools to solve problems and further our understanding. It is a broad, multidisciplinary field that fuels its own advancement through computational methods and has transformed nearly all other domains through its applications.
Scientific computation is a crucial tool across diverse fields like astrophysics, agriculture, and engineering. It involves using advanced mathematics and simulations on computers to analyze complex problems and data. Some key uses of scientific computing include modeling black holes and galaxy formation in astrophysics, optimizing crop growth and supply chains in agriculture, and designing control systems and processing signals in engineering applications. Scientific computing has significantly increased understanding and progress across many domains by processing and visualizing vast amounts of data.
This document discusses the development of exaflop technologies, which can perform quintillion (1018) calculations per second. It outlines the investments and plans of countries like the US, EU, and China to develop exascale supercomputers by the 2020s. Exaflop technologies will have major applications in industries like aerospace, nuclear power, and biotechnology that require extremely high-powered computing. The document argues that Russia needs to develop its own exascale supercomputers and related technologies to remain competitive globally and power industries like energy that could utilize new technologies like cold nuclear transmutation. It proposes a new adaptive network model of production, finance, and exchange to enable large-scale innovation projects requiring coordination between industries.
Similar to Decision sciences laboratory biennial progress report, july 1962 june 1964 (20)
The document discusses the design of magnetic sail (magsail) systems for spacecraft propulsion. It describes a proposed demonstrator magsail with a 200m radius and 25.7kg mass, and an operational magsail with 20,000m radius and 7,060 metric tonne mass. The operational design could accelerate at 0.003185 m/s^2 and deliver over 100,000kg payloads to Mars or Saturn. Future advances in superconductors could enable magsails to deliver payloads of over 400,000kg to Jupiter and millions of kilograms to the outer planets.
I. X-ray astronomy will play an increasingly important role in studies of the early universe and large scale structure, but these studies are ultimately limited by sparse photon numbers. There is a need to develop progressively larger collecting area telescopes under increasingly severe mass constraints.
II. The challenge is greater in the X-ray band than optical, as X-ray telescopes reflect X-rays twice, requiring reflectors two orders of magnitude larger than the effective aperture. Large mass is currently problematic for Constellation-X mission.
III. Looking beyond Constellation, a radically different approach is needed based on super lightweight reflectors and perhaps in situ assembly of the telescope. This could enable an ultra high throughput X-
This document discusses the concept of an X-ray interferometer called MAXIM that could achieve micro-arcsecond resolution. It would consist of an optics spacecraft holding multiple flat mirrors in formation with a detector spacecraft to form interference patterns. The goal is to image phenomena like black hole accretion disks and supernovae with much higher resolution than current telescopes. A pathfinder mission is proposed with 100 microarcsecond resolution using two spacecraft separated by 1.4 meters as a technology demonstration.
USAF intercepted a report of a Cuban pilot's encounter with a UFO. In the 1970s, reliable military personnel sighted unidentified aerial objects near nuclear weapons facilities. Though the Air Force said these were isolated incidents, an Air Force document revealed they implemented increased security measures. Newly declassified documents from the CIA, FBI and other agencies indicate unidentified flying objects exist and some pose a threat to national security by demonstrating technologies beyond present human capability. However, the government has misled the public about the true nature and implications of the UFO phenomenon.
This document summarizes the agenda for the NIAC Phase I Fellows Meeting held on October 23-24, 2002. It provides an overview of the presentations and speakers, including status reports on various advanced aerospace concepts from NIAC fellows, as well as keynote speeches from experts in the fields of aerial robotics and the search for extraterrestrial intelligence.
The document discusses the possibility of controlling global weather through small, precise perturbations to the atmosphere. It describes how the chaotic nature of the atmosphere implies sensitivity to small changes and suggests a series of small perturbations may control weather evolution. It outlines components a global weather control system may have, including advanced numerical weather prediction, satellite sensing, and methods to introduce perturbations. It also presents an experiment using data assimilation to calculate perturbations needed to slightly alter a hurricane's track as a proof of concept.
The document discusses observations of various amphibian and reptile species' behavior in microgravity during a flight experiment. It was found that none of the animals vomited, possibly because they did not eat before the flight or because amphibians and reptiles have a weaker vomiting response than mammals. Different species reacted variably based on their ecology and phylogeny. Flexible limbed lizards tended to roll more, while geckos commonly displayed a "skydiving posture" related to their arboreal ancestry. Overall reactions to microgravity varied significantly between species based on both ecology and evolutionary history.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise has also been shown to boost self-esteem and can serve as a healthy way to manage stress.
This document describes an operational analysis conducted as part of the Air Force 2025 study to identify
high-value future air and space system concepts and their enabling technologies. A value model called
Foundations 2025 was developed to quantify and compare different system concepts. Various futuristic
systems and technologies were identified, described, and scored using the model. The analysis determined
the most valuable system concepts and technologies that could enhance future air and space capabilities.
This document discusses a research paper presented to Air Force 2025 that argues the US Air Force should transition from being an atmospheric force to an infospheric force focused on controlling information and the battlespace. It proposes three new missions for the Air Force in the 21st century: extended information dominance to empower allies, global transparency to deter potential adversaries, and strategic defense. The paper advocates for the Air Force to develop a "metasystem" to integrate information and capabilities from all services and envisions the Air Force guiding the development and maintenance of this system.
This document summarizes potential paths to the extinction of the US Air Force by 2025. Externally, extinction could occur through the ascendancy of other military services, economic constraints, changes in strategic environment/policy, technological changes, or the rise of jointness. Internally, extinction could result from losing its vision/mission, mismanaging people/programs, choosing wrong future paths, being too effective at strategic war, or failing to adapt. The document argues the USAF risks becoming extinct unless it reverses trends threatening its viability and ability to evolve appropriately on external and internal challenges.
This document presents a research paper on Planetary Defense, which proposes establishing a system to protect Earth from catastrophic impacts by asteroids and comets. It discusses the threat posed by near-Earth objects, the social, economic and political implications of impacts, and recommends developing a three-tiered Planetary Defense System. The system would include detection subsystems to find threats, command and control systems, and mitigation subsystems to deflect objects, including kinetic impactors, mass drivers, solar sails and nuclear devices. It argues such a system could help ensure humanity's survival and have dual-use benefits from related technologies.
This document presents a research paper on space operations and a potential future system called the Global Area Strike System (GASS). It discusses issues around space operations in 2025, including manned vs unmanned systems and military vs cooperative operations. It then outlines the required capabilities for GASS, including timeliness, responsiveness, flexibility, and precision. It proposes an integrated system-of-systems for GASS using various weapon platforms and classes, including directed energy weapons, projectile weapons, and a transatmospheric vehicle. It concludes with concept of operations and recommendations.
This document provides a historical overview of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and their use by various militaries. It discusses early UAV development in the 1950s-1960s for reconnaissance and weapons delivery missions. During the Vietnam War, UAVs conducted thousands of reconnaissance missions with a high recovery rate. Experimental armed UAVs were also tested. Later, UAVs were used effectively by Israel in the 1970s-1980s and by the US during the Gulf War for reconnaissance. Following the Gulf War, the US began developing longer endurance UAVs like the Predator and Global Hawk to address reconnaissance needs. The document suggests expanding UAVs' role beyond reconnaissance to include lethal strike missions.
This document proposes an integrated hypersonic weapons platform called the S3 concept to fulfill three broad missions for US air and space forces in 2025: deliver decisive early blows, provide cost-effective in-theater dominance, and maintain access to space. The S3 concept involves three vehicles: the SHAAFT hypersonic attack aircraft, the SHMAC standoff hypersonic missile, and the SCREMAR reusable spaceplane. The SHAAFT would use a zero-stage flying wing to stage to Mach 3.5 and then cruise at Mach 12, able to launch the SHMAC missile or SCREMAR spaceplane. Together these vehicles aim to provide global reach, in-theater dominance, and access to space with
This document summarizes a research paper presented to Air Force 2025 that outlines special operations forces capabilities needed to conduct precision operations against weapons of mass destruction, high-value targets, and assets in the hypothetical world of 2025. The paper identifies communications, mobility, and destruction/neutralization as the top three enabling capabilities required for these missions. It then proposes various futuristic technologies that could fulfill requirements for these capabilities by 2025, such as stealth airlifters, extraction rockets, and targeting systems, to allow special operations forces to accomplish their missions with zero tolerance for error.
This document proposes a concept for Special Operations Regional Engagement (SORE) forces in 2025. The core capability of SORE forces would be engaging in less developed, first- and second-wave nations while not disrupting their evolution. SORE forces would exploit third-wave technology to operate effectively in these environments without introducing advanced technology prematurely. The proposed concept of operations involves SORE forces conducting defensive and offensive operations like training, advising, and assisting host nations. To enable these operations, the document outlines key tasks for SORE forces including recruitment, training, observation, communication, decision-making, countermeasures, and sustainment. It argues that SORE forces will need systems and technologies to complete these tasks while
This document proposes concepts and technologies for counterspace operations in 2025, including space detection, anti-satellite weapons, space interdiction nets, miniaturized satellites, satellite cloaking, kinetic and directed energy weapons. It outlines offensive and defensive counterspace architectures and recommends further analysis of miniaturization, stealth, detection and targeting concepts as well as kinetic and directed energy weapons. The goal is to maintain US space superiority as space becomes increasingly vital to national security and more countries and commercial entities access space.
Decision sciences laboratory biennial progress report, july 1962 june 1964
1. J
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DECISION SCIENCES LABORATORY
BIENNIAL PROGRESS REPORT
JULY 1962 THROUGH JUNE 1964
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TECHNICAL DOCUMENTARY REPORT ESD-TDR-64-609
OCTOBER I964~~
DECISION SCIENCES LABORATORY
ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS DIVISION
AIR FORCE SYSTEMS COMMAND
L. G. HANSCOM FIELD, BEDFORD, MASS.
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DECISION SCIENCES LABORATORY
BIENNIAL PROGRESS REPORT
JULY 1962 THROUGH JUNE 1964
RECORD COPY
RETURN TO
* TECHNICAL INFORMATION DIVISION
(ESTI), BUILDING 1211 *
0F COPIES
TECHNICAL DOCUMENTARY REPORT ESD-TDR-64-609
OCTOBER 1964
DECISION SCIENCES LABORATORY
ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS DIVISION
AIR FORCE SYSTEMS COMMAND
L. G. HANSCOM FIELD, BEDFORD, MASS,
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3. When US Government drawings, specifications or other data are used for any purpose
other than a definitely related government procurement operation, the government
thereby incurs no responsibility nor any obligation whatsoever; and the fact that the
government may have formulated, furnished, or in any way supplied the said draw-ings,
specifications, or other data is not to be regarded by implication or otherwise
as in any manner licensing the holder or any other person or conveying any rights
or permission to manufacture, use, or sell any patented invention that may in any
way be related thereto.
Qualified requesters may obtain copies from Defense Documentation Center (DDC). Orders
will be expedited if placed through the librarian or other person designated to request docu-ments
from DDC.
Copies available at Office of Technical Services, Department of Commerce.
4. ESD-TDR-64-609
DECISION SCIENCES LABORATORY
BIENNIAL PROGRESS REPORT
JULY 1962 THROUGH JUNE 1964
TECHNICAL DOCUMENTARY REPORT ESD-TDR-64-609
OCTOBER 1964
L.
DECISION SCIENCES LABORATORY
ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS DIVISION
AIR FORCE SYSTEMS COMMAND
G. HANSCOM FIELD, BEDFORD, MASS.
5. ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The Decision Sciences Laboratory gratefully acknowledges the
effort of Walton F. Dater, Jr. , Capt. , USAF, who assembled the
material and developed the organization and format for this progress
report while participating in the USAF Academy Summer Field Program,
June through August 1964.
11
6. FOREWORD
This report summarizes the activites of the Decision Sciences
Laboratory and describes achievements, progress, results obtained
by the Laboratory scientists in the past two years.
FOR THE COMMANDER
i3pirf^yyw*<-4'
ROY MORGAN, Colonel USAF
Director, Decision Sciences Laboratory
111
7. TABLE OF CONTENTS
PAGE
I About the Decision Sciences Laboratory 1
II Projects 8
III Progress 10
Data Presentation and Display 10
Learning, Decision Making and 18
Problem Solving
Programmed Teaching and Automated 2 6
Training
Communications 30
Applications 36
IV Future Programs 40
IV
8. ABOUT THE DECISION SCIENCES LABORATORY
General Definition
The Decision Sciences Laboratory (DSL) is a laboratory concerned
primarily with the behavior of man in complex military environments
involving the presentation and processing of information. It is a lab-oratory
especially interested in exploring, defining, and effecting the
most efficient interaction between man and machines in Military Infor-mation
Systems currently in use or anticipated by the United States
Air Force and related Department of Defense agencies.
DSL is an Air Force organization, directed by an Air Force officer,
and its mission is totally military. As a military organization, however,
it is unique in that the professional staff is approximately 68 percent
civilian. The predominant scientific dicipline of the staff is psychology,
but is augmented by electronic engineering, mechanical engineering,
mathematics, psycholinguistics, and operations analysis. The academic
achievement level of the professionsals is, in almost every case, well
beyond the Master's Degree.
In the organizational structure, the laboratory is a component of the
Electronic Systems Division (ESD), and is directly under the Deputy for
Engineering and Technology. ESD, along with several related facilities,
form the complex of technological activities on and in the environs of
L. G. Hanscom Field, Bedford, Massachusetts. Approximately eight
thousand people are employed by ESD, which is a major branch of the
Air Force Systems Command (AFSC), one of the major Air Force
Commands.
Mission
The Decision Sciences Laboratory initiates exploratory development
programs; that is, it estimates and examines future operational require-ments
of the Air Force, primarily in the area of information processing
systems, and determines from such investigation and consideration the
9. implications for man-machine interaction. Attempts to fill critical gaps
in knowledge about human performance which become evident by this
process are made through exploratory development projects under each
program. Most of the experimental work on these projects is conducted
at the laboratory, although it is sometimes expedient to carry on certain
portions through contracts negotiated with particular industries or academic
institutions where critical or otherwise unavailable facilities can be uti-lized.
DSL is also responsible for designing, developing, procuring,
evaluating, managing, and updating certain display components of Air
Force electronic systems. Further, it provides engineering services to
all elements of the Electronic Systems Division within the area on display
characteristics, human performance, and man-machine relationship prob-lems
for both present and future Air Force Military Information Systems,
needs.
Philosophy
In general. The paraphrase of the formal mission statement in the
preceding paragraph only barely suggests the import of the Decision
Sciences Laboratory's function for electronic system design technology.
In its present state of development, the technology is very advanced in
the production of sophisticated hardware - computers, sensors, and so
on. The state-of-the-art is advancing rapidly in developing means by
which to use this equipment more effectively - in programming computers,
for instance. But it is embryonic in its comprehension of how man might
be used most efficiently in electronic systems - in knowing how man uses
the information supplied by the system to make decisions, in recognizing
the implications of decision making behavior on displayed information
from computers, and in understanding how men and computers interact.
In particular. In the Decision Sciences Laboratory, ESD possesses
a unique professional and technical potential in a most critical part of
total system design, namely in defining man's part in a system. Elec-tronic
systems are merely hardware - impressive, maybe, but little more
without their users. Total electronic systems include people. And man,
10. in the chain of related events from observing physical phenomena through
collecting and analyzing data about them, to choosing one from many
possible courses of action, is probably the most important link. He is
most important in two ways. (1) Man has the "last word". He is the
agent which must effect the appropriate decision after sensors and
computers have collected, processed, and presented the data about an
attacking enemy force. And that decision may have consequences affect-ing
the future of civilizations. (2) Very little is known about man, or
about the human element in the pressures of a multi-machine information
system environment, about man's behavior as he operates such complex
equipment, evaluates a complex military situation, acts as commander
and controller, and ultimately makes an involved decision. These
functions, along with the most "human" of all man's capabilities -
improvisation, inventiveness, imagination, can doubtless never be
duplicated electronically.
So we must make most efficient usage of this most important part of an
information system and augment his unique capabilities. To do this, we
must learn a great deal more about him than is now known. What processes
underlie his very long-term memory for material which would take literally
millions of binary decisions to describe? Is man a single-channel infor-mation
processor? What data does he use in selecting alternative actions?
How does he weigh and manipulate these data? How much data can he be
expected to evaluate? How fast? What form should the data take to be
most useful to him, and thus the system mission? The answers to these
and many similar questions are vital, both in specific, concrete situations
in the "real world" and in more general theoretical settings, not only so we
can better use man in military systems, but so we can better understand man
himself. The technical program at the Decision Sciences Laboratory is di-rected
at answering these types of questions about man as the modern mili-tary
commander, controller, and information processor, and man in his own
right, so that it can design and develop machines to serve him better.
Mode of operation. Finally a word should be said about how the labora-tory
must proceed in order to accomplish the goals embodied in its philosophy.
11. The ability of DSL to make significant contributions to systems, either
in the design or in the operational stage, is entirely dependent on its
being involved in research which is in the context of total system design.
That is, in order that the findings of research might have direct application,
be useful here and now in information systems, the laboratory must be
aware of the direction and extent of progress in all the other technological
areas. Only by so doing can it direct and advance its own research so as
to advance the whole state-of-the-art purposefully.
Background and History
The history of solving problems arising from man's interacting with
machines has, of course, been long. We need not trace it here. Suffice
it to say that laboratories, functioning much as DSL does, have an estab-lished
place throughout the whole range of modern industry. They are
usually called human factors departments, experimental psychology labora-tories,
or human engineering groups, and they all seek more knowledge
about man's capabilities and limitations when he operates, maintains, and
derives benefits from machines.
The Decision Sciences Laboratory has been in existence for nearly
twenty years under many and various organizations and aliases. It grew
out of the Aviation Psychology Program of World War II. Shortly after the
war it became a part of the Medical Section of the Strategic Air Command
at Andrews Air Force Base, Washington, D. C. In 1948, it was housed at
the Naval Research Laboratory, also in Washington, and, as the Human
Resources Research Laboratory, was responsible directly to Air Force
Headquarters. In 1952, it became part of the newly formed Air Research
and Development Command (now AFSC), and was renamed the Human
Factors Operational Research Laboratory. The Research and Development
Command organized a group of "research centers" located throughout the
country, and in 1954, it was renamed the Operational Applications Labora-tory
and attached to the Cambridge Research Center at Hanscom. Finally,
in 1961, when the Research and Development Command was renamed the
Systems Command and reorganized into Systems Divisions, the laboratory
12. became part of the Electronic Systems Division, and shortly thereafter
it assumed its present name, the Decision Sciences Laboratory.
All this time, DSL's primary mission has been to conduct research
in human information processing to provide technical support for the
development and testing of Air Force systems. Despite name changes,
the effort has all been in one direction and in line with Air Force
mission requirements.
I
Character of Manpower
As mentioned earlier, one of the singular features of DSL is the
stature of the professional capability which is unique in the federal
service.
Deqree Number
4
Percent
Bachelor's only 10%
Bachelor's "plus" 6 15%
Master's only 1 2%
Master's "plus" 16 40%
Ph.D. 13 33%
40 100%
At this writing, five of the people working on Ph. D. programs will
complete them within the year, raising the number with doctorates to
18 or nearly 50%.
The number of years of professional experience ranges from two to
twenty-three, and the average per man is eleven and a half. The back-grounds
and interests of the staff members cover almost the whole gamut
of psychology, except the primarily clinical. It is worth noting, however,
that the great weight of experience has been in working with human factors
problems of primarily military significance.
The "Automated Laboratory Facility "
Since the fall of 1961, DSL has been developing and using what has
come to be called its "Automated Laboratory Facility". The nerve center
is a small, rapidly operating and expandable digital computer which is
13. designated the PDP-1 by its manufacturer, the Digital Equipment Corp-oration
of Maynard, Massachusetts. This computer is not used merely
as a data collector, processor and evaluator. It really has two major
purposes: (1) to increase greatly the efficiency of experimentation in
terms of time and experimental control and (2) to permit kinds of exper-imentation
not possible with conventional techniques. In addition,
and probably of most immediate importance to the Air Force mission,
some programming techniques developed specifically as experimentation
devices evolve as products which are directly applicable to information
systems.
Increased efficiency. The computer increases the efficiency of exper-iments
in three ways. (1) It saves time. Computer programs, which
will generate enormous quantities of precisely defined stimulus materials
in minutes instead of weeks or months, can now be written almost as
easily as a description of the experimental design. Programming is
constantly being functionally modified so that the experimenter needs
very little specialized knowledge of computers, per se. (2) It guarantees
that specialized equipment, made compatible with the computer, will be
more reliable and effective apparatus. Steps are being taken which will
permit the computer to be used in conjunction with many specialized
stimulus generation and presentation devices. It will soon be possible
for the computer to select, connect, continuously calibrate, maintain,,
and operate such devices as audio-signal generators, monochromators,
and other equipment needed to provide stimuli for particular experiments.
All this can be accomplished in a matter of seconds by the program
written for the experiment. This type of control will permit, in time,
several experimenters to use the same specialized reliable devices con-currently
instead of reserving them for a single job at a time for the some-times
long duration of the experiment. (3) It conserves manpower. The
computer can effect great economy, and also a much higher level of
standardization, by actually monitoring experiments. It can instruct sub-jects,
test their understanding of instructions, present stimuli, record
14. responses, and process data. It thus frees experimenters and assistants
from the drudgery of collecting data, and allows more time for intellectual
evaluation and study of the relevance of the results. It assures perfect
standardization of conditions, and it does, at least, preliminary data
processing before the subjects leave the experimental room. Such
immediate processing could take the experimenter days or weeks to
accomplish.
Increased experiment potential. Few of the features of the "Automated
Psychological Laboratory" described above permit very much really new
at the present time. Taken together, however, they now greatly speed
the research process, making results available in a fraction of the time
taken up by conventional methods, allowing the design and completion
of experiments, heretofore prohibited by complexity, and signalling the
entrance of "blind alleys" before really significant effort has been ex-pended
in their direction. The real "breakthrough" realized by using
these new techniques is not nearly so obvious, or so simple to illustrate,
but its nature can be indicated. An experimental design need not be
nearly so detailed as it formerly had to be. Stimulus values need not be
exactly specified before the data are collected, and the exact amount of
data to be collected can be "played by ear" because statistical evalu-ation
of the adequacy of the data can be carried on almost simultaneous
with the evaluation of data. Experiments themselves can be dynamic:
the character of the next stimulus presentation can be made to be a
function of the sequence of responses preceding it. In a decision
making study, for example, it might well be desirable to play a two-sided
"game" in which the subject's decision determines what sort of
information about an attacking enemy force must be displayed to him
next. Flexibility in experimental design and a dynamic experimental
procedure then, are the two features afforded by the computer which
greatly increase DSL's potential at the present time.
15. PROJECTS
DSL's professional staff identify and define the problems to be
solved, by examining both current and future operational needs of the
Air Force. These are embodied in Technical Development Objectives
(TDO's) which specify the entire range of operational requirements. The
laboratory searches those areas likely to be significant for reliable infor-mation
systems development - areas such as Human Performance, Computer
and Information Processing Techniques, Intelligence Techniques, and
Communications. As the outline of mission requirements states, the pro-cedure
is to analyze from the TDO's implications for man-machine inte-gration,
and to identify critical gaps in the knowledge about human per-formance
which are brought to light. Once a gap is identified, the prob-lem
of filling it is attacked through an exploratory development project
which is directed by one of the division chiefs. This scientist is respon-sible
for initiating the project - for justifying it in terms of Air Force needs,
for specifying the objectives and the approach, for subdividing it into a
number of workable tasks, for estimating cost and manpower requirements,
and for obtaining ESD approval for its exploitation. Then the scientist is
responsible for its general administration, and for documenting its progress
in terms of solution of the ow^H problem.
Project Titles
DSL has for some time been pursuing three projects and one task which
is part of a project managed by another activity. These are (1) Project
7682: "Man-Computer Information Processing", (2) Project 2806:
"Dynamic Man-Computer Interaction", (3) Project 2808: "Psychoacoustic
Standards in Voice Communication System Evaluation", and (4) Task
469003: "Human Information Processing" (under Project 4690: "Infor-mation
Processing in Command and Control").
Nature of the Projects
Each project embraces an area approaching a main branch of the science;
even the tasks into which each is divided are major efforts, and are further
16. broken down into a number of related studies and experiments. One
experiment leads logically to another. The projects, therefore,have
no completion dates; they are continuing in nature. Occasionally, as
new fields of inquiry are opened, a new project will be split off from
an old one, or as tasks progress toward completion, several projects
will be incorporated into one, as when "Man-Computer Information
Processing" was recently realigned to incorporate four other projects.
The projects themselves do not mutually exclude one another, and
much of the experimental work is directly relevant to more than one
project, all of which are directed toward the specification of human
behavior. Studies of human information processing, for instance, are
of great importance to all the projects. The projects do not represent
the whole continuum of psychological inquiry. As mentioned above,
they are designed to fill system needs which are evaluated as being
pressing. So by its nature the total research effort cannot possibly
be exhaustive.
Each project has had a rather long history during which it has in-corporated
some tasks and concluded others. As implied, there are
tasks under particular projects which quite logically could be justi-fied
as being part of another. For this reason, the following section
on progress is organized into research areas which will be more
meaningful and cohesive to readers not completely acquainted with
the projects. The purpose of including this section is to indicate
more concretely the direction DSL's work is taking, and to list some
results realized under the current projects for the record.
17. BIENNIAL PROGRESS
The labor represented by DSL's total output over the last two years
(July 1962 through June 1964) can be conveniently divided into five
areas. Studies have been made of (1) data presentation and display,
(2) learning, problem solving and decision making, (3) programmed
teaching and automated training, (4) communications and (5) applications,
that is, studies and consultations done in direct technical support of a
planned or existing system. In this section, a description of each of
these areas appears. It is followed by a bibliography of papers and
reports, having meaning for the area, completed during the two year
period.
Most of the entries in the bibliography have been given ESD Technical
Documentary Report (TDR) numbers: a report is assigned a number if it is
published either as a TDR, or as an article in a journal or other profes-sional
publication. The entries that do not have TDR numbers are un-published
papers which were read at professional meetings. Several
entries, which apply to two areas, are included in the two sections of
the bibliography to which they apply. The bibliography is designed as
a listing of research carried on since the publication of Bibliography of
Human Factors Research with Abstracts, 1954 through 1962, (ESD-TDR-
63-603).
Data Presentation and Display
Because the reliability of any semi-automated information system
depends so heavily on the man involved, it is necessary to describe
and measure man's characteristic information processing behavior as
precisely and completely as possible. Such behavior is the result of
a number of closely related processes which have been intentionally
isolated from one another, to as great an extent as possible, so that
they can be measured individually. One such process is the manner by
which man perceives and stores information.
Objective. The purpose of studies in data presentation and display,
then, is to quantify the variables which affect perception and memory so
10
18. that it will be possible to specify the particular display features most
useful to the human user in a particular information processing task.
For example, DSL seeks to be able to specify what sizes, colors, and
shapes of symbols, letters, numbers and other coding techniques are
best for transmitting data, and what kinds and amounts of data to pre-sent
so that man can transform them into meaningful information effec-tively.
Approach. The approach to studies of perception generally involves
manipulating quantifiable display characteristics, and measuring the
effect of such manipulations on man's ability to detect or identify
signals. The display characteristics which have been studied are of
many sorts, both auditory and visual. The approach is complicated by
the fact that it is extremely difficult to say where man's perception of
data stops and his processing of them begins. With the introduction of
increasingly complex displays, the approach will be extended in scope
to include the increasingly complex effect of "display interpretability",
which in this context refers to consolidating, integrating, and evalu-ating
information, and not simply to detection, or the legibility of the
display itself.
Progress. Summaries of some of the research efforts will afford some
idea of the amount of work accomplished in the area of data presentation
and display, and also indicate the diversity of such investigations.
(1) Accuracy and confidence in identifying the unmarked destination
of several moving radar blips (targets) decreased as the size of the
destination area on the scope was decreased. When targets disappeared
for several display sweeps and then reappeared, identification of the
correct destination was delayed more than when a target simply did not
move for several sweeps or when other targets were present that followed
courses in direction other than the destination. Maintaining the positions
of targets (trails) on previous moves greatly improved accuracy.
(2) A study has shown that the effect of removing a narrow band of
color from white light (daylight ) causes the eye to be more sensitive to
the removed band. Results indicate that there is more rapid detection of
11
19. signals when the target color matches that filtered from the room
illumination.
(3) A study was carried on investigating the possibility of utilizing
some aspects of shape as a coding dimension. Task difficulty was manip-ulated
by varying the degree of tilt of each form from a standard, and by
varying the possible number of tilt positions a form could assume. Results
indicate that for most forms, e.g. , circles, squares, etc. , percent correct
identification decreased as difficulty increased, although the absolute
number of correct judgments increased.
(4) When accuracy of information processing was compared in situa-tions
involving presentation of simple information to a single modality
(the ear or the eye) with that involving presentation of similar information
to two modalities either successively or simultaneously, the following
were indicated: (1) Processing is more accurate when information is
presented to two modalities; (2) Processing is more accurate when the
information is presented successively to two modalities than when it
is presented simultaneously; (3) Accuracy is inversely related to pre-sentation
rate and message length, regardless of the manner of pre-sentation.
(5) Evaluation of three reference backgrounds in which three dimen-sional
space is reduced to two dimensional representation revealed that
all yield significant increases in viewing time and error rate as either the
number of vehicles or the number of orbits per vehicle increases.
(6) It was learned that the binocular field of search in human subjects
is ovaloid in shape, with the longer axis horizontal, and with the center
lying above the center of the search field. The field expands in area as
a function of exposure time. There are frequent irregularities in shape.
12
20. BIBLIOGRAPHY
Adams, J. A. (Univ. of Illinois). EXPERIMENTAL STUDIES OF HUMAN VIGI-LANCE,
February 1963. ESD-TDR-63-320, ASTIA No. 408279, Project
9678, Task 967803, Contract No. AF19(604)-5705.
. SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL UNCERTAINTY AS DETERMINANTS OF
VIGILANCE BEHAVIOR, April 1963. ESD-TDR-63-125, Project 9678, Task
967803, Contract No. AF19(604)-5705.
Adams, J. A. and Boulter, L. R. (Univ. of Illinois). VIGILANCE DECREMENT,
THE EXPECTANCY HYPOTHESIS, AND INTERSIGNAL INTERVAL, June 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-114, Project 9678, Task 967803, Contract No. AF19(604)-
5705.
Adams, J. A. and Humes, J. M. (Univ. of Illinois). MONITORING OF COM-PLEX
VISUAL DISPLAYS IV: TRAINING FOR VIGILANCE. Human Factors,
Vol. 5, 147-153, 1963. ESD-TDR-63-115, Project 9678, Task 967803,
Contract No. AF19(604)-5705.
Adams, J. A. and Others (Univ. of Illinois). MONITORING OF COMPLEX
VISUAL DISPLAY V: EFFECTS OF REPEATED SESSIONS AND HEAVY VISU-AL
LOAD ON HUMAN VIGILANCE. Human Factors, 385-389, August 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-193, Project 9678, Task 967803, Contract No. AF19(604)-
5705.
Baker, J. D. and Organist, W. E. (DSL). SHORT-TERM MEMORY: NON-EQUIVALENCE
OF QUERY AND MESSAGE ITEMS, February 1964. ESD-TDR-
64-254, Project 4690 Task 469003.
Baker, J. D. and Whitehurst, A. J. (DSL). A COMPARISON OF TWO LOGIC
SYMBOL CODING TECHNIQUES IN A SIMULATED DIGITAL DEVICE MAIN-TENANCE
ENVIRONMENT, July 1962. ESD-TDR-62-196, ASTIA No.
283487, Project 9678, Task 967801.
Botha, Beverly and Shurtleff, D. (MITRE Corp.). STUDIES OF DISPLAY SYM-BOLOGY
LEGIBILITY: THE EFFECTS OF LINE CONSTRUCTION , EXPOSURE
TIME, AND STROKE WIDTH. ESD-TDR-63-249, Contract No. AF33(600)-
39852.
. STUDIES OF DISPLAY SYMBOL LEGIBILITY II:
THE EFFECTS OF THE RATIO OF WIDTHS OF INACTIVE TO ACTIVE ELE-MENTS
WITHIN A TV SCAN LINE AND THE SCAN PATTERN USED IN SYM-BOL
CONSTRUCTION, September 1963. ESD-TDR-63-440 , Contract No.
AF19(628)-2390.
13
21. Chaikin, Joyce D. and Others (Mount Holyoke Col.). MAPPING A FIELD
OF SHORT-TIME VISUAL SEARCH. Science, Vol. 138, 1327-1328, 1962.
ESD-TDR-62-215, Project 7682, Task 768204, Contract No. AF19(604)-
3037.
Clarke, F. R. and Bilger, R. C. (Univ. of Michigan). THE THEORY OF SIGNAL
DETECTABILITY AND THE MEASUREMENT OF HEARING, December 1962.
ESD-TDR-62-212, Project 7682, Task 768202, Contract No. AF19(628)-
257.
Coules, J. and Lekarczyk M. A. (DSL). OBSERVER TOLERANCE OF FORM
TRANSFORMATION AS A FUNCTION OF FORM COMPLEXITY, June 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-135, ASTIA No. 411240, Project 7682, Task 768201.
Debons, A. , Col, USAF (DSL). DISPLAYS IN MANNED SPACE FLIGHT. Pa-per
presented at the American Psychological Association Meeting, 3
September 1963.
. MAN-COMPUTER TRANSFER PROBLEMS: SOME THOUGHTS
ON DISPLAY AND SIMULATION RESEARCH. Paper presented at the Human
Factors Society Meeting, Palo Alto, Cal. , 24 October 1963.
Duva, J. S. and Others (DSL). DISPLAY SHARING THROUGH COLOR FILTER-ING,
II, October 1962. ESD-TDR-62-228, ASTIA No. 288879, Project
9674, Task 967405.
Egan, J. P. (Indiana Univ.) and Clarke, F. R. (Univ. of Michigan). PSYCHO-PHYSICS
AND SIGNAL DETECTION, November 1962. ESD-TDR-62-305,
ASTIA No. 291450, Project 7682, Task 768202, Contract No. AF19(628)-
266.
Forsyth, D. M. (DSL). TEMPORAL MECHANISMS ASSOCIATED WITH INFOR-MATION
PROCESSING BY THE VISUAL SYSTEM, August 19 62. ESD-TDR-
62-207, ASTIA No. 291577, Project 9670, Task 967001, Prepared under
Contract No. AFl9(604)-8502 with Gaucher Col.
Freeberg, N. E. (Airborne Instruments Laboratory). FORM PERCEPTION IN
VIDEO VIEWING: EFFECTS OF RESOLUTION DEGRADATION AND STEREO
ON FORM THRESHOLDS, December 1962. ESD-TDR-63-136. ASTIA No.
401654, Project 9674, Task 967403, Contract No. AF19(628)-328.
Gardner, J. R. (SDL) and Hayes, J. R. (DSL). INQUIRY INTO METHODS USED
TO OBTAIN MILITARY INFORMATION REQUIREMENTS, May 1962. ESD-TDR-
62-302, ASTIA No. 298254.
14
22. Goldberg, Susan and Roby.T. B. (Tufts Univ.). INFORMATION ACQUISITION
IN A PATTERN IDENTIFICATION PROBLEM, February 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-141, ASTIA No. 412275, Project 9678, Task 967802, Contract No.
AF19(604)-5727.
Green, D. M. and Sewall, Susan T. (MIT). EFFECTS OF BACKGROUND
NOISE ON AUDITORY DETECTION OF NOISE BURSTS. I. Acoust. Soc.
Amer. , Vol 34, 1207-1216, 1962. ESD-TDR-62-186, Project 7682,
Task 768202, Contract No. AF19(604)-7459.
Gruber, A. (Dunlap & Associates, Inc.). SENSORY ALTERNATION AND
PERFORMANCE IN A VIGILANCE TASK, September 1963. ESD-TDR-63-
605, ASTIA No. 417444, Project 9670, Task 967001, Contract No.
AF19(628)-1654.
Hall, R. J. and Others (Hughes Aircraft Co.). A STUDY OF VISUAL DIS-PLAY
ENHANCEMENT AND TECHNIQUES OF COLOR FILTERING,
October 1963. ESD-TDR-63-635, ASTIA No. 426265, Project 7684,
Task 768402, Contract No. AF19(628)-2906.
Kershner, A. M. (DSL). SPEED OF READING IN AN ADULT POPULATION
UNDER DIFFERENTIAL CONDITIONS. T. Applied Psychol. , Vol. 48,
25-29, 1964. ESD-TDR-62-192, Project 7682, Task 768201.
Martell, J. (DSL). FOREIGN DISPLAY TECHNOLOGY: STATE OF THE ART.
Paper presented at the National Academy of Sciences Meeting, Work-ing
Group VI (Visual Displays), L. G. Hanscom Field, Massachusetts,
July 1963.
Pollack, I. (DSL). DISCRIMINATION OF SHARP SPECTRAL CHANGES WITH-IN
BROAD BAND NOISES. T. Auditory Research, Vol. 3, 165-168, 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-405, Project 7682.
. INTERACTION OF FORWARD AND BACKWARD MASKING T. Auditory
Research. ESD-TDR-63-636, Project 7682.
. INTERFERENCE, REHEARSAL AND SHORT-TERM RETENTION OF
DIGITS. Canadian T. of Psychol. , Vol. 17, No. 4, ?963. ESD-TDR-
63-345, Project 7682.
. VERBAL REACTION TIMES TO BRIEFLY PRESENTED WORDS. Per-ceptual
and Motor Skills, Vol. 17, 137-138, 1963. ESD-TDR-63-341,
Project 7682.
Pollack, I. and Boynton, J. (DSL). IDENTIFICATION OF ELEMENTARY AUDI-TORY
DISPLAYS: EFFECT OF UN-BALANCED PROBABILITIES OF OCCUR-RENCE.
T. Acoust. Soc. Amer. , Vol. 34, No. 11, 1963. ESD-TDR-63-
352, Project 7682, Task 768203.
15
23. Pollack, I. and Johnson, L. (DSL). CONTINUING MEMORY SPAN FOR DIG-ITS
. Perceptual and Motor Skills. Vol 17, 731-734, 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-430, Project 7682.
. MONITORING OF SEQUENTIAL BINARY PAT-TERNS.
Perceptual and Motor Skills, Vol. 16, 911-913, 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-342, ASTIA No. 415147, Project 7 682.
. KEEPING TRACK OF THE IMMEDIATELY PAST
STATES OF VARIABLES. Perceptual and Motor Skills, Vol. 18, 55-58,
1964. ESD-TDR-63-429.
Pollack, I. and Rubenstein H. (DSL). RESPONSE TIMES TO KNOWN MES-SAGE
SETS IN NOISE. Language and Speech, Vol. 6, Part 2, April-
June 1963. ESD-TDR-63-337.
Roby, T. B.and Roazen, H. (Tufts Univ.). SIGNAL AND CHANNEL LOAD IN
VIGILANCE TASKS. Perceptual and Motor Skills, Vol. 16, 641-647,
1963. ESD-TDR-63-140, Contract No. AF19(604)-5727.
Rubenstein, H. and Pollack, I. (DSL). WORD PREDICTABILITY AND INTEL-LIGIBILITY.
T. Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior, Vol. 2, 147-158,
1963. ESD-TDR-62-303, ASTIA No. 420088, Project 7682.
Sorkin, R. D. (Univ. of Michigan). AN EXTENSION OF THE THEORY OF
SIGNAL DETECTABILITY TO MATCHING PROCEDURES IN PSYCHOACOUS-TICS,
November 1962. ESD-TDR-62-210, Project 7682, Task 768202,
Contract No. AF19(628)-257.
Swets, J. A. (MIT). CENTRAL FACTORS IN AUDITORY FREQUENCY SELEC-TIVITY.
Psychol. Bulletin, Vol. 60, 429-440, 1963. ESD-TDR-62-193,
Project 7682, Task 768202, Contract No. AF19(604)-7459.
Swets, J. A. and Green, D. M. (MIT). SIGNAL DETECTION BY HUMAN OB-SERVERS,
October 19 63. ESD-TDR-64-174, ASTIA No. 434825, Project
7682, Task 768202, Contract No. AF19(604)-7459.
Taub, H. A. and Teichner, W. H. (Univ. of Mass.). EFFECTS OF DIFFER-ENTIAL
VALUE AND EXPOSURE TIME UPON THE DETECTION AND MEM-ORY
SYMBOLS IN A VISUAL SEARCH TASK, June 1963. ESD-TDR-63-343,
ASTIA No. 408743, Project 9674, Task 967404, Contract No. AF19(628)-
290.
Teichner, W. H. (Univ. of Mass.). INFORMATION PROCESSING UNDER
SYSTEM STRESS, November 1963. ESD-TDR-63-657, ASTIA No. 430412,
Project 9674, Task 967404, Contract No. AF19(628)-290.
16
24. Teichner, W. H. and Others (Univ. of Mass.). EXPERIMENTS ON THE
EFFECTS OF INPUT VARIABLES ON MULTI-TARGET ALPHABETIC DIS-PLAYS
, July 1963. ESD-TDR-63-546, Project 9674, Task 967404,
Contract No. AF19(628)-290.
Vaughan, W. S. , Jr. and Virnelson, T. R. (Human Sciences Research, Inc.).
INITIAL STEPS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR
IDENTIFICATION AND RAID RECOGNITION IN AIR/SPACE DEFENSE VOL. 1
July 1963. ESD-TDR-64-189, ASTIA No. 600538, Project 4690, Task
469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-289.
Watkins, W. H. , Maj, USAF (DSL). EFFECT OF CERTAIN NOISES UPON DE-TECTION
OF VISUAL SIGNALS. T. Experimental Psychol. , Vol. 67, 72-
75, 1963. ESD-TDR-63-202, ASTIA No. 435009.
Watkins, W. H. , Maj, USAF, and Others (DSL). AN AUTOMATED FACILITY
FOR FORCED CHOICE SIGNAL DETECTION EXPERIMENTATION, April 1964.
ESD-TDR-64-383, Project 7682.
17
25. Learning, Decision-Making and Problem Solving
Obviously information is displayed for a purpose, and it is man's
task to realize the purpose and process such information accordingly.
What happens after a man detects the display information with his senses?
Initially he must store the information in such a manner that at some point
later in time he can retrieve it. Can the behavioral sciences enhance
these processes, that is the processes of storage and retrieval, so that
such information will be readily available at the time when a problem
must be solved or a decision made? Lumped together here are questions
the many answers to which are only barely tentative, and in attempting
to arrive at valid answers, human factors scientists are investigating
extremely complex intellectual processes. The vast amount of scientific
research literature focused on such questions does not in all cases apply
explicitly to information system problems. Typically, such problems are
extremely complex. The research, therefore, must tease out seemingly
minor and unimportant bits of knowldge, which eventually can be inte-grated
and allow explicit answers in complex situations. Ultimately we
must be able to answer the question, "What is the most effective method
by which man can process information, and make decisions in a dynamic,
time constrained, multiple-choice situation, in which the task is vital,
and the environment stressful?"
Objective. The DSL objective within this general problem area is the
investigation of the particular aspects of man's information processing
behavior which should be at optimum level in a man-computer, infor-mation
and communication situation. As in the data presentation studies,
the problem is to specify and quantify adequately the myriad of variables
which could conceivably affect man as he stores information, solves
problems and makes decisions, especially while under pressure or stress.
The problem is further complicated by the fact that information and commu-nication
functions typically involve a number of people, so the intricacies
of group interaction must be brought under study as well.
Approach. Attempts are being made to simulate the complex conditions
26. described previously so that experimental studies can be made of the
relevant variables leading to the most effective dynamic decision-making.
The many variables such as the experience and training levels
of the operating personnel, levels of complexity of the tactical situation,
various levels of work load, amount of pertinent information which must
be accessible, and uncertainty of the action outcome, must be manipulated
to specify optimum values.
Progress. A number of methods, techniques, and experimental designs
have been formulated to provide the best possible interface between men
and their computer-centered environments. Further, a number of studies
have been completed in an attempt to specify the variables of influence.
Summaries of some of the work are presented below.
(1) In a series of studies,the characteristics and limitations of the
learning process involved in the immediate retrieval of random information
were examined using long series of unrelated words as stimuli. The results
indicate the following: (1) As the length of the series is increased, the
absolute number of words retrieved increased, on the other hand, the
percent retrieved was about the same for all series lengths. (2) Memory
for material presented in series can be enhanced by presenting the material
in clusters, such as pairs, or quadruples, rather than singly and suc-cessively.
(3) By manipulation of the number and size of identifiable word
classes, e.g. , animals, verbal memory is enhanced. (4) Adding novel
type material to typical series of material will increase the amount of recall.
(5) The Sensory mode or modes of material presentation will affect recall.
(2) Two methods of aiding humans in problem-solving have been devel-oped
which have been shown to enhance problem-solving measurably. One
method involves the coding of relevant information, the other specific
groupings of information. It was also found that under certain circumstances
sub-goals may actually impede problem-solving performance.
(3) Since a large class of problems may be represented as verbal mazes,
an investigation of verbal maze solution appeared to provide information
basic to the general study of problem-solving. In this study, verbal mazes
19
27. were designated by lists of paired words, or associates. Each associate
defined a connection between two points in the maze. Solution was
carried out without the aid of pencil and paper or other visual aid. Both
the length of the solution path and the extent of branching in the maze
are shown to influence problem-solving behavior. Both results have
implications for models of the solution process.
(4) Several experiments have successfully utilized rating scales or
measurement techniques by means of which individual decision makers
provide additional information beyond their mere choice of alternatives
in arriving at a decision. Such information proves to be an important
adjunct in evaluating their decision-making performance.
(5) A study concerned with the effect of interoperator interaction
patterns upon group performance in problem-solving tasks was carried
out. Matrix representations of interaction structures provided indices
for ordering tasks along several dimensions. To determine the relevance
of the theoretical measures to actual group performance, four-man groups
were timed in cooperative problem-solving tasks. Nine groups were given
seven trials on each of nine basic types of problems, each requiring a
different interaction structure. Significant results from statistical analyses
indicate the relevance of the theoretical classification scheme for measure-ment
of actual group problem-solving performance.
(6) A study related to the previous investigation indicated: (1) that
problems requiring reaction to environmental changes are more quickly
solved under a shared responsibility condition; (2) that problems involving
coordination of action among operators are more efficiently solved with a
competent centralized authority. Designation of a low aptitude group
member as leader produced inferior performance.
(7) Differential effects of speed stress were sought in a complex task
including five information processing activities differing in: (1) Spatial
and temporal uncertainty of events requiring response. (2) Location in
display channels varying in frequency of occurrence of response events.
(3) Short-term memory requirements. (4) Perceptual requirements in
20
28. event recognition. Highly practiced individuals were found to have
evolved a priority strategy based primarily on frequency of response
events in different display locations. High frequency tasks, not re-quiring
search, were relatively impervious to stress effects. Lower
frequency events, occurring in low priority display locations, gave
rise to poorer performance at all levels of stress. Significant per-formance
decrement under stress occurred first in the most complex
low probability task which required search and short-term memory.
(8) A computer simulation model has been developed for use in
estimating the effectiveness of the human component in man-machine
systems with varying task requirements. An operating computer pro-gram
simulates a hypothetical warehouse inventory problem in which
a small team of operators has the task of maintaining certain levels
of inventory.
(9) A second computer model has been developed in an effort to
simulate certain aspects of group behavior. The elements of the
model include a continually fluctuating environment, a set of action
agents (sensors and effectors) to operate on it, and a decision agent
with the responsibility of maintaining the environment in an optimal
steady state by deploying the sensor and effector agents in a way to
best counteract the tendency of the environment to deteriorate over
time. The focus of interest is the steady state condition of the en-vironment
as a function of interaction between such parameters as
the following: (1) the change characteristic of the environment;
(2) the reliability of the sensing agents; (3) the precision and
activity level of the effector agents; (4) information delay within
sensor-effector communication link; (5) decision rules with respect
to the assignment of sensors and effectors to environmental regions.
21
29. BIBLIOGRAPHY
'Cameron, D. B. (DSL). POST-DISCRIMINATION GRADIENTS AROUND
STIMULI WITH DIFFERENTIAL RATES OF OCCURRENCE IN A DISCRETE
RESPONSE TASK, December 1962. ESD-TDR-62-352, ASTIA No. 295583,
Project 9674, Task 967406.
.ACQUISITION OF A PROBABILISTIC DISCRIMINATION BE-TWEEN
SUBSEQUENT ALTERNATIVE EVENTS, March 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-134, ASTIA No. 402493, Project 9674, Task 967406.
Debons, A. , Col. USAF (DSL). MAN-COMPUTER TRANSFER PROBLEMS:
SOME THOUGHTS ON DISPLAY AND SIMULATION RESEARCH. Paper
presented at the Human Factors Society Meeting, Palo Alto, Cal. ,
24 October 1963.
Edwards, W. (Univ. of Mich.). PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION PROCESSING
IN COMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEMS, March 1963. ESD-TDR-62-345,
ASTIA No. 299291, Project 4690, Task 469003 Contract No. AF19(604)-
7393.
Farrell, F. and Others (DSL). THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION STRUC-TURES
ON SPEED OF GROUP PROBLEM SOLVING. Paper presented at
the American Psychological Association Meeting, Philadelphia, Pa.
3 September 1963.
Goldberg, Susan and Roby, T. B. (Tufts Univ.) INFORMATION ACQUISITION
IN A PATTERN IDENTIFICATION PROBLEM, February 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-141, ASTIA No. 412275, Project 9678, Task 967802, Contract No.
AF19(604)-5727.
Hayes, J. R. (DSL). HUMAN DATA PROCESSING LIMITS IN DECISION
MAKING, July 1962. ESD-TDR-62-48, ASTIA No. 283384, Project
2806, Task 280603.
. RESEARCH IN PROBLEM SOLVING, PARTS I & II. Paper pre-sented
at the Air Force Cambridge Research Laboratory Colloquia,
L. G. Hanscom Field, Mass. , July and October 1963.
. ON THE DESCRIPTION OF SIMPLE LOGICAL PROBLEMS (to be
published). ESD-TDR-63-616, Project 7682, Task 768203.
. PROBLEM TOPOLOGY AND THE SOLUTION PROCESS (to be
published). ESD-TDR-64-441, Project 7682.
. ON THE SOLUTION OF VERBAL MAZES. Paper presented at the
American Psychological Association Meeting, Philadelphia , Pa. ,
3 September 1963.
22
30. Huggins, W. H. (Johns Hopkins Univ. ). INVESTIGATION AND EVALUATION
OF NEW APPROACHES TO TEACHING SYSTEM THEORY, September 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-602, ASHA No. 420840, Project 7684, Task 768403,
Contract No. AF19(628)-263.
Nakahara, J. and Toda, M. (Tufts Univ.). OPTIMAL STRATEGIES AND HUMAN
BEHAVIOR IN FUNGUS-EATER GAME -4, February 1964. ESD-TDR-64-237,
ASTIA No. 600823, Project 4690, Task 469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-
2450 and -2968.
Nickerson, R. S. (DSL). RESPONSE TIMES FOR "SAME" - "DIFFERENT"
JUDGMENTS. Perceptual and Motor Skills (in press). ESD-TDR-64-536,
Project 7682, Task 768203.
. RECOGNITION MEMORY FOR COMPLEX MEANINGFUL
VISUAL CONFIGURATIONS - A DEMONSTRATION OF CAPACITY (to be
published). ESD-TDR-64-558, Project 7682, Task 768201.
Nickerson, R. S. and McGoldrick, C. C. , Jr. , (DSL). CONFIDENCE CORRECT-NESS
AND DIFFICULTY WITH NON-PSYCHOPHYSICAL COMPARATIVE
JUDGMENTS. Perceptual and Motor Skills, Vol. 17, 159-167, 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-324, Project 7682.
. CONFIDENCE RATINGS
AND LEVEL OF PERFORMANCE ON A JUDGMENTAL TASK (to be published).
ESD-TDR-64-236, Project 7682.
. EFFECT OF EXPERIMENTER'S
VERBAL RESPONSE COMBINATIONS ON CRITERION SHIFTS IN A CARD
SORTING TASK: REINFORCEMENT OR INFORMATION? (to be published).
ESD-TDR-63-333, Project 7682.
Nicol, Elizabeth H. and Others (DSL). GROUP PROBLEM SOLVING UNDER
TWO TYPES OF EXECUTIVE STRUCTURE. J. Abnormal and Social Psychol.,
Vol. 67, 550-556, 1963. ESD-TDR-63-139, Project 4690, Contract No.
AF19(604)-5727.
Roby, T. B. (Tufts Univ.). BEHAVIORAL FREEDOM AND CONSTRAINT (to be
published). ESD-TDR-63-547, Project 9678, Task 967802, Contract No.
AF19(604)-5727.
. BELIEF STATES: A PRELIMINARY EMPIRICAL STUDY, March 1964.
ESD-TDR-64-238, Project 4690, Task 469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-
2450.
23
31. Roby, T. B. (Tufts Univ.) and Nickerson, R. S. (DSL). STEPS TOWARD
SIMULATION OF GROUP PERFORMANCE, October 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-629, Project 7682, Contract No. AF19(628)-2450.
. STEPS TOWARD COMPUTER
SIMULATION OF SMALL GROUP BEHAVIOR. Paper presented at the
Digital Equipment Corporation Computer Users Meeting, Livermore, Cal. ,
14 - 18 November 1963.
Sheridan, T. B. (M. I. T.) STUDIES OF ADAPTIVE CHARACTERISITCS OF THE
HUMAN CONTROLLER, December 1962. ESD-TDR-62-351, Project
4690, Task 469002, Contract No. AF19(628)-242.
Shuford, E. H. (Institute for Research). SOME BAYESIAN LEARNING PROC-ESSES,
October 1963. ESD-TDR-63-623, ASTIA No. 424756, Project
4690, Task 469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-2968.
Sumby, W. H. (DSL). WORD FREQUENCY AND SERIAL POSITION EFFECTS.
I. Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior, Vol. 1, No. 6, 443-450. May 1963
Project 7 682, Task 7 68202.
. IMMEDIATE RETRIEVAL OF VERBAL SERIES: I. EFFECT OF
LENGTH (to be published). ESD-TDR-64-442, Project 7 682, Task 7 68201.
. IMMEDIATE RETRIEVAL OF VERBAL SERIES: II. STIMULUS
GROUPING (to be published). ESD-TDR-64-544, Project 7 682, Task
768201.
. IMMEDIATE RETRIEVAL OF VERBAL SERIES: III. INCREMENTAL
OR ONE-TRIAL LEARNING (to be published). ESD-TDR-64-555, Project
7682, Task 768201.
. IMMEDIATE RETRIEVAL OF VERBAL SERIES: IV. EFFECT OF
CONTEXT (to be published). ESD-TDR-64-556, Project 7682, Task 768201.
Teichner, W. H. (Univ. of Mass.). INFORMATION PROCESSING UNDER
SYSTEM STRESS, November 1963. ESD-TDR-63-657, ASTIA No. 430412,
Project 9674, Task 967404, Contract No. AF19(628)-290.
Toda, M. (Institute for Research). MEASUREMENT OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABIL-ITY
DISTRIBUTIONS, July 1963. ESD-TDR-63-407, ASTIA No. 416405,
Project 4690, Task 469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-2968.
. OPTIMAL STRATEGIES IN SOME SIMPLE FUNGUS-EATER GAMES,
July 1963. ESD-TDR-63-406, ASTIA No. 416153, Project 4690, Task
469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-2968.
24
32. . MICROSTRUCTURE OF GUESS PROCESSES: PART C, September
1963. ESD-TDR-63-548, Project 4690, Task 469003, Contract No.
AF19(628)-2968.
Toda, M. and Shuford, E. H. (Institute for Research). UTILITY, INDUCED
UTILITIES, AND SMALL WORLDS, October 1963. ESD-TDR-63-622,
ASTIA No. 424752, Project 4690, Task 469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-
2968.
. (DSL). LOGIC OF SYSTEMS - INTRODUCTION
TO THE FORMAL THEORY OF STRUCTURE, January 1964. ESD-TDR-64-193,
ASTIA No. 469003, Project 4690, Task 469003.
Vaughan, W. S. , Jr. and Virnelson, T. R. (Human Sciences Research,Inc. ).
INITIAL STEPS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR
IDENTIFICATION AND RAID RECOGNITION IN AIR/SPACE DEFENSE (VOL I),
July 1963. ESD-TDR-64-189, ASTIA No. 600538, Project 4690, Task
469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-289.
Wiesen, R. A. (Univ. of North Carolina). DECISION-THEORETIC AND EMPIR-ICAL
INVESTIGATION OF SOME PROBABILISTIC DISCRIMINATION LEARNING
SITUATIONS (to be published). ESD-TDR-64-192, Project 4690, Task
469003, Contract No. AF19(628)-1610.
Weisz, A. Z. and McElroy, Linda S. (Bolt, Beranek & Newman). INFORMA-TION
PROCESSING IN A COMPLEX TASK UNDER SPEED STRESS, May 1964.
ESD-TDR-64-391, Project 7682, Task 768201, Contract No. AF19(604)-
8449.
25
33. Programmed Teaching and Automated Training
The rapid advance of automation in information systems has introduced
what might be termed "training dilemma". The problem is that otherwise
occupied commanders, controllers, operators, and maintenance personnel
must perform guite complex intellectual and perceptual tasks which are
both time consuming and difficult to learn.
Objective. By way of working toward a solution, DSL has instituted
a vigorous effort in programmed teaching and automated training research.
It is attempting to provide the kind of on-site training materials necessary
for establishing and maintaining proficiency in the human users of sophis-ticated
electronic eguipment. But the need for devices which expedite the
learning process does not end with computer operators. People in many
jobs requiring the performance of complex tasks or involved decision making
can benefit from automated training. Programmed teaching courses, for
example, have been developed for teaching managerial techniques such as
PERT, described below.
Approach. Because the need is pressing, the research is being carried
on throughout the whole continuum of DSL's mission effort, that is, in
exploratory and advanced development, in special tests and studies, and
in direct support of planned and existing systems of many types. Although
the training courses are different, some employ computers and some do not;
and although their methods differ widely, they all have much in common.
All are tutorial courses which either consist of computer programs allowing
the operational computer to be used as a teaching machine, or they consist
of textbooks, and all are designed to minimize the need for a human teacher.
All teach, test learning, reteach if necessary, and maintain the learning at
a level required by the job.
Progress.
(1) One of DSL's contributions which is quite significant,and at the same
time illustrative of an automated teaching course, is the course used to
teach the PERT management technique. PERT (Program Evaluation Review
Technique) is a management tool, now widely in use throughout the
26
34. Department of Defense and in industry, which is designed to aid high
level managers make decisions about the progress of a program more
efficiently. It is a complicated technique, and one requiring consid-erable
time to learn; time, managers can ill afford to spend. DSL de-veloped
an automated training course called PERTeach which permits
the manager to learn the new technique at his own rate. He can spend
as much time in learning at one sitting as his other duties will allow,
thus saving him from the necessity of attending a lengthy lecture course.
The PERTeach course consists of six volumes, and leads the learner, by
very judiciously selected increments, to the learning goal. It constantly
requires him to answer questions about what he has learned, and antic-ipates,
analyzes and corrects mistakes. The theory is that such a pro-cess
will save time in the long run by preventing the learner from forming
misconceptions about essential points, misconceptions which would
block the ultimate learning goal. PERTeach is the follow-up to an experi-mental
course which was successfully field-tested in 1962-63, and sub-sequently
adopted for use in the Department of Defense PERT Orientation
and Training Center. The significance of PERTeach lies in the fact that
the theories of learning involved can be generalized to apply to the de-velopment
of future automated training courses.
(2) Other significant work done in the field by the laboratory includes
development of a computer-directed tutorial program for use in "computerized"
information systems, a definition of automated training requirements for
future information systems, and an automated training technique in man-computer
communication which is being tested on the staff of System 47 3L
the Air Force Control System.
27
35. BIBLIOGRAPHY
(American Institute for Research). SYSTEM 47 3L, OTC QUERY LANGUAGE,
SELF-INSTRUCTIONAL COURSE, August 1964. ESD-TDR-64-443,
Project 7682, Task 768204, Contract No. AF19(628)-2935.
Baker, J. D. (DSL). PROGRAMMED INSTRUCTION AS A METHODOLOGICAL
TOOL IN PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH. Paper presented at the First
Annual Convention of the National Society for Programmed Instruction,
San Antonio, Tex. 28-29 March 1963.
Mayer, Sylvia R. (DSL). RESEARCH ON AUTOMATED TRAINING AT ESD.
Paper presented at the First Annual Convention of the National Society
for Programmed Instruction, San Antonio, Texas, 28-29 March 1963.
. AIR FORCE SYMPOSIUM ON MILITARY MEASUREMENT AND
EVALUATION: ON-THE-JOB-CRITERIA. Paper presented at the American
Psychological Association Meeting, Philadelphia, Pa. , 3 September 1963.
. PROGRAMMED INSTRUCTION FOR ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS.
Paper presented at the Boston Chapter of the National Society for Pro-grammed
Instruction, Wellesley, Mass. , 23 October 1963.
. PROGRAMMED INSTRUCTION: MILITARY SETTINGS. Paper
presented at the Burlington PTA, Mass. , February 1964.
Rath, G. J. and Others (Raytheon Co.). THE DEVELOPMENT OF EXPERIMENTAL
PROGRAMS FOR AUTOMATED TRAINING IN DECISION MAKING - HANDBOOK
FOR PERTEACH COURSE ADMINISTRATORS, July 1963. ESD-TDR-63-606,
ASTIA No. 421776, Project 9677, Task 967701, Contract No. AF19(628)-365.
. PERTEACH - THE DEVELOPMENT OF EXPERIMENTAL
PROGRAMS FOR AUTOMATED TRAINING IN DECISION MAKING, August 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-608, ASTIA No. 421735, Project 9677, Task 967701, Contract
No. AF19(628)-365.
Sheridan, T. B. (Bio-Dynamics, Inc. ) and Mayer, Sylvia R. (DSL). DESIGN AND
USE OF INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR AUTOMATED ON-THE-JOB TRAINING, I:
CONCEPTUAL AND EXPERIMENTAL APPROACHES (VOL. I & II), December 1963.
ESD-TDR-64-234, Project 7682, Task 768204, Contract No. AF19(628)-455.
Weiss, E. C. (The Matrix Corp.). A FIELD SURVEY OF A SELF-TUTORING COURSE
FOR ON-SITE TRAINING IN SAGE AN/FST-2 TROUBLE-SHOOTING, November
1962. ESD-TDR-62-346, ASTIA No. 296022, Contract No. AF19(628)-242.
28
37. Communications
Communication here refers to the transmission of any information
from man-to-man, man-to-machine, or machine-to-man. In other words,
the concern here is with at least two different kinds of communication:
voice communication, and communication between men and computers.
The objective of an information system is to facilitate operational decisions
by Air Force personnel. Information transmitted through such systems be-comes
useful only when it is presented to human beings for interpretation
and action. Applied research on human communication aims to determine
the limitations and capabilities of sensory-perceptual processes through
which information is received by the individual, to identify the significant
physical characteristics of information-bearing signals with respect to
their psychological conseguences and to apply this knowledge to the
specific requirements of Air Force information systems. Air Force oper-ations
have depended to a critical degree on information transmitted in
the form of human speech and presented acoustically to the human re-ceiver.
However, information requirements are exceeding the current
capabilities of direct talker-listener channels; computerized systems are
able to transmit, process, and display far more information than human
operators can assimilate through the customary visual and auditory channels.
There is an acute need, in the case of voice communication to make most
efficient use of human speech and auditory perception. Further, there is
an equally acute need to exploit the communicatory potential of computers.
The computer, potentially, can be the mainstay of the commander in
military information systems. Yet, the computer will be of little use in the
decision making process, if it yields or accepts information slowly or in a
form hardly useable by man. It is an obvious necessity for effective ad-vanced
information systems that communication between the commander and
the computer be made maximally efficient. The communicating language
should be one which provides maximum flexibility and speed but does not
require the constant mediation of a professional programmer. It is further
necessary that the data files of the computer be capable of being updated
30
38. rapidly and simply whether information is being fed into storage from one
source or a number of sources simultaneously.
Objectives. The objective of the voice communication research is
to identify and describe the features of auditory signals which can be
most effectively utilized for rapid, efficient and unambiguous communi-cation
among operators and decision-makers in information and communi-cation
systems. The end-products anticipated are knowledge about the
prediction capability for the effects of language and system variables on
speech transmission, and the value of extra-intelligibility information con-tained
in the human voice.
The objective of the research in the area of man-computer communi-cation
is the development of techniques for permitting real-time interaction
between command decision personnel, as an integral part of the information
system, and the computer components.
Approaches. The approach in voice communication has involved
examinations of the effect of electrical and acoustical system character-istics
and of message structure on the human receiver's ability to extract
meaningful information from speech signals, and refinement of techniques
for measuring intelligibility. Further research is directed at the deter-mination
of the communicatory value of non-speech information contained
in spoken messages, such as cues by which listeners judge the identity
and emotional state of talkers independently of verbal message content.
Two general lines of attack are being pursued to achieve the goal of
faster and more flexible communication between command decision person-nel
and the computer: (1) the development of programming techniques to
permit the use of natural English in retrieving information from computer
storage; and (2) the development of programming techniques and equipment
to permit sharing of computer time among several human communicators.
Progress. Most Air Force communication operations depend on voice
communication, e.g. , radio or telephone systems. Background noise and
noise within the system itself can severely hamper communication and thus
curtail vital operations. There have been several efforts made to minimize
31
39. the problem, some of which are summarized below.
(1) One has been the investigation of the intelligibility of English
language sounds under various conditions of noise competition. A
recent series of studies was designed to evaluate a set of words be-longing
to an identifiable category to serve as aircraft call signs in
Air Traffic Control Central (VOLSCAN). The words were tested as a
function of certain phonetic and linguistic criteria such as frequency
of occurrence in the language, syllabic length, and phonetic structure.
From such experimentation, a set of call signs was evolved which
minimized ambiguity and confusion.
(2) A simple, valid and reliable talker-listener test (Rhyme Test)
has been developed as a means of evaluating communications subsystems.
The talker transmits a word through the system, and the listener indicates
what word, from a list of rhymed words, he understood as being trans-mitted.
The answer sheets are self-scoring, and provide a diagnosis of
system deficiencies as well as an assessment of speech handling capacity.
The entire process takes but five minutes to administer -- a considerable
reduction from the time taken by earlier tests, and with greater reliability.
(3) A speech communication index meter has also been developed and
tested. It is coupled electrically to the system being evaluated. In its
present form, it is capable of giving an index of system communication
performance in approximately three minutes. Neither this device nor the
test described above requires specialized training to use.
(4) One of the most significant undertakings at DSL in the field of man-computer
communications is the work being done on adapting the computer to
respond to queries in "natural" English as opposed to cryptic computer lan-guage.
It must be realized here, that such research is at a very early stage
of development, but that it is receiving a great deal of attention from many
military agencies, private corporations, and universities. The laboratory is
concentrating on making it possible to retrieve English sentences from a data
file in order of relevance or potential relevance to the question. A recent
study has resulted in a procedure for sentence retrieval in response to question
32
40. of the form "What do you know about Soviet, Missiles, Mongolian,
Border?" The ability of the computer to identify potentially relevant
messages depends on a syntax-free associative network, rather than on
a pre-compiled thesaurus. Thus, a message about "large liquid oxygen
shipments to Southern Siberia" would be identified by the computer as
potentially relevant to the question above, although there are no synonyms
or words in common in both question and message.
We are a very long way from actually being able to give voice messages
to a computer and receiving them from it, but exploratory development is
proceeding along lines intended to lead to just such an accomplishment.
The problem of making the computer "understand", transform sound
patterns into electrical signals needed to trigger a response, talkers with
radically different speech habits has not yet been quantitatively defined;
there is a lack of knowledge about the physical and psychophysical ways
in which talker behavior varies. So the present work is aimed at identifying
the physical and behavioral parameters differentiating individual talkers,
and establishing the range of variation for male talkers.
(5) Some progress has been attained in programming for independent
operation of two CRT's connected to the computer. Complete analysis of
the requirements for extensive operator time-sharing has been completed,
however, programming techniques cannot be developed further until addi-tional
computer components are delivered.
33
41. BIBLIOGRAPHY
Brown, C. R. and Connolly, D. W. (DSL). TED: A TAPE EDITOR,
September 1963. ESD-TDR-62-218, ASTIA No. 285472, Project 2806,
Task 280604.
Coules, J. and Others (DSL). ON THE SELECTION OF CODE-NAMES FOR
COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS, November 1962. ESD-TDR-62-306,
ASTIA No. 292264.
Egan, J. P. (Indiana Univ.). and Clarke, F. R. (Univ. of Mich.). PSYCHO-PHYSICS
AND SIGNAL DETECTION, November 1962. ESD-TDR-62-305,
ASTIA No. 291450, Project 7682, Task 768202, Contract No. AF19(628)-
266.
Giuliano, V. E. and Jones, P. E. (Arthur D. Little, Inc.). LINEAR ASSO-CIATIVE
INFORMATION RETRIEVAL, November 1962. ESD-TDR-62-294,
ASTIA No. 296313, Project 5581, Task 558106, Contract No. AF19(628)-
256.
Giuliano, V. E. (Arthur D. Little, Inc.). AUTOMATIC MESSAGE RETRIEVAL,
November 1963. ESD-TDR-63-673, ASTIA No. 433603, Project 2806,
Task 280601, Contract No. AF19(628)-256.
House, A. and Others (Bolt, Beranek & Newman, Inc.). PSYCHOACOUSTIC
SPEECH TESTS: A MODIFIED RHYME TEST, June 1963. ESD-TDR-63-
403, ASTIA No. 411983, Project 7684, Task 768403, Contract No. AF19
(628)-382.
Pollack, I. (DSL). ARE COMMON WORDS EASIER TO HEAR THAN UNCOMMON
WORDS? Paper presented at the Colloquium of the Department of Psycho-logy,
Univ. of Mass. , April 1963.
. WORD INTELLIGIBILITY AS A FUNCTION OF WORD PROBABILITY.
Paper presented at the Eastern Psychological Association Meeting, New
York, 11-13 April 1963.
. MESSAGE PROBABILITY AND MESSAGE RECEPTION. T. Acous. Soc.
Amer. , Vol. 36, 937-945, 1964. ESD-TDR-63-434. Paper presented at
the Acoustical Society of America Convention, New York, 15-18 May 1963.
. PROSPECTS IN SPEECH COMMUNICATION. Paper presented at
Project Forecast, L. G. Hanscom Field, Mass. , June 1963.
. INFORMATION TRANSMISSION AND INFORMATION REDUCTION.
Paper presented at the NATO Symposium on Human Factors, Washington,
D. C. , August 1963.
34
42. . VERBAL COMMUNICATION OF EXPRESSIVE MODES. Paper
presented at the American Psychological Association Meeting,
Philadelphia, Pa. , 3 September 1963.
. INTERACTION OF TWO SOURCES OF VERBAL CONTEXT IN
WORD IDENTIFICATION. Language and Speech, Vol. 7, Part 1, Jan-
March 1964. ESD-TDR-63-126, Project 7682.
. INTERACTION BETWEEN AUDITORY AND VISUAL INFORMATION
SOURCES IN WORD IDENTIFICATION. Language and Speech, Part 2,
April-June 1964. ESD-TDR-63-433, Project 7682, Task 768202.
Pollack, I. (DSL) and Pickett, J. M. (AFCRL). THE INTELLIGIBILITY OF
EXCERPTS FROM CONVERSATIONAL SPEECH. ESD-TDR-63-360. Paper
presented at the 66th Meeting of the Acoustical Society of America,
Ann Arbor, Mich. , November 1963.
. INTELLIGIBILITY OF EXCERPTS FROM
FLUENT SPEECH: AUDITORY VS. STRUCTURAL CONTEXT. T. Verbal
Learning and Verbal Behavior, Vol. 3, No. 1, February 1964. ESD-TDR-
63-361, Project 7682.
. AUDITORY VS. SYNTACTIC CONTEXT.
Paper presented at the Psychonomic Society Meeting, Bryn Mawr Col. , Pa.
September 1963.
Pollack, I. and Rubenstein, H. (DSL). RESPONSE TIMES TO KNOWN MES-SAGE-
SETS IN NOISE. Language and Speech, Vol. 6, Part 2, April-
June 1963, ESD-TDR-63-337, Project 7684.
Rubenstein, H. (DSL). SYNTAGMATIC ANALYSIS OF ENGLISH. Paper
presented at the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology Meet-ing,
Washington, D. C. , January 1963.
Rubenstein, H. and Pollack, I. (DSL). WORD PREDICTABILITY AND INTEL-LIGIBILITY.
T. Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior, Vol. 2, 147-158,
1963. ESD-TDR-62-303, ASTIA No. 420088, Project 7 682.
Stuntz, S. E. (DSL). SPEECH-INTELLIGIBILITY AND TALKER-RECOGNITION
TESTS FOR AIR FORCE VOICE COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS, February
1963. ESD-TDR-63-224, ASTIA No. 402989, Project 7684, Task 768401.
35
43. Applications
The work and products listed here are the tangible results of DSL's
labor - in the form of knowledge put-to-use. Applications are at the
opposite end of the mission effort continuum from exploratory and ad-vanced
development projects. They are based on both the results of
research and the special competence of the personnel engaged in such
research.
Objective. The aim of this effort is applying the principles and
techniques developed to systems and situations in the "real world".
Approach. Most of the items included here have been mentioned in
other connections earlier, but all of them involve direct system support
work. This work includes such things as insuring that operator functions
are appropriately allocated, designing equipment for human use, desig-nating
personnel and training requirements, programming instruction,
and testing and evaluating personnel subsystems. Some of the work is
of a consultative nature, in addition to experimentation, but it includes
some development of "hardware" (such as the Speech Communication
System Index Meter), and "software" such as the PERTeach course and
the Rhyme Test, described earlier.
Progress. A brief description of some of the direct applications
work follows:
(1) Two studies of display were implemented when SPO and operational
personnel called Decision Sciences Laboratory in as consultants. One was
done in connection with SPADATS (Space Detection and Tracking System),
and another in connection with System 425L - the North American Air Defense
Combat Operations Center. The problem at SPADATS was to decide what
kind of map projection, e.g. , mercator, gnomonic, should be used to dis-play
given kinds of satellite track information (orbit declination, number of
orbits and tracks). On the basis of extensive experimentation with observ-ers
trained in using the display, DSL was able to make meaningful recom-mendations.
(2) NORAD called on the laboratory to evaluate a proposed scheme of
36
44. colors and finishes to be used in their command and control center. The
laboratory was to insure that various established psycho-physical criteria,
such as reflection from scope faces and the effect of colors, would be met.
Studies directly relevant to these problems had been made earlier, so DSL
was able to make immediate recommendations on lighting, colors, finishes,
and on the use of an implosion screen for a cathode ray tube display scope
designed to increase character legibility and reduce reflection.
(3) The following is a partial list of other contributions which are not
described or embodied in the Technical Documentary Reports, but which are
nonetheless direct applications to "real world" problems: (1) A study of
and specifications for the Strategic Air Command Intelligence Display
System. (2) Consultations to Lincoln Laboratory in the design and
use of an implicit programming technique for data analysis and manipulation.
(3) An evaluation of electroluminescent screens for displaying weather
information at different locations around a base. (4) Development of
weather forecaster screening techniques. (5) Consultations to the Air
Training Command in planning a division to be concerned with designing new
instructional systems. (6) A study of personnel hazards, auditory in nature,
in communication centers of 482L. (7) A study anticipating display prob-lems
for air traffic control after 1970. (8) Participation in the advanced
planning for the future Manned Orbital Laboratory.
37
45. BIBLIOGRAPHY
(American Institute for Research). SYSTEM 473L, OTC QUERY LANGUAGE,
SELF-INSTRUCTIONAL COURSE, August 1964. ESD-TDR-64-443,
Project 7682, Task 768204, Contract No. AF19(628)-2935.
Brown, C. R. and Connolly, D. W. (DSL). TED: A TAPE EDITOR, September
1962. ESD-TDR-62-218, ASTIA No. 285472, Project 2806, Task 280604.
Brown, C. R. and Others (DSL). THE CONCEPT OF AN AUTOMATED PSYCHO-LOGICAL
LABORATORY, July 1962. ESD-TDR-62-191, ASTIA No. 285610,
Projects 2806 and 9670, Tasks 280607 and 967001.
Busch, A. C. and Others. THE DATA FLOW ANALYSIS OF A MOBILE ATC AID,
August 1962. ESD-TDR-62-190, ASTIA No. 285218, Project 2124 (431L
System), Contract No. AF19(628)-244.
Coules, J. and Others (DSL). ON THE SELECTION OF CODE NAMES FOR
COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS, November 1962. ESD-TDR-62-306, ASTIA
No. 292264, Project 2124 (482L/431L System).
Coules, J. and Stuntz, S. E. (DSL). HUMAN ENGINEERING STUDIES OF A
MOBILE ATC AND COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS, December 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-656, ASTIA No. 429876, Project 482L/431L System.
Edwards, W. (Univ. of Mich.). PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION PROCESSING
IN COMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEMS, March 1963. ESD-TDR-62-345,
ASTIA No. 299291, Project 4690, Task 469003, Contract No. AF19(604)-
7393.
Fredkin, E. (Information International, Inc.). INVESTIGATION INTO THE
SPECIAL PROGRAMMING NEEDS FOR AN AUTOMATED LABORATORY FOR
PSYCHOLOGICAL RESEARCH , May 1963. ESD-TDR-63-353 , ASTIA No.
427103, Project 7 684, Task 768401, Contract No. AF19(628)-1662.
Gildner, G. and Pollock, W. (Bendix Systems Division). STUDY OF COM-PUTER
MANUAL INPUT DEVICES, September 1963. ESD-TDR-63-545,
ASTIA No. 419254, Project 9678, Task 967801, Contract No. AF19(628)-
435.
Goodenough, J. (DSL). MODIFICATION OF A PROGRAM SYMBOLIC AT COM-PILE
TIME. Paper presented at the Digital Equipment Corporation Com-puter
Users Meeting, Livermore, Cal. , 14-18 November 1963.
House, A. and Others (Bolt, Beranek & Newman). PSYCHOACOUSTIC
SPEECH TESTS: A MODIFIED RHYME TEST, June 1963. ESD-TDR-63-
403, ASTIA No. 411983, Project 7684, Task 768403, Contract AF19(628)-
382.
38
46. Huggins, W. H. (Johns Hopkins Univ.). INVESTIGATION AND EVALUA-TION
OF NEW APPROACHES TO TEACHING SYSTEM THEORY, September
1963. ESD-TDR-63-602, ASTIA No. 420840, Project 7684, Task 768403,
Contract No. AF19(628)-263.
Nickerson, R. S. (DSL). THE COMPUTER AS A CONTROL DEVICE FOR PSY-CHOLOGICAL
EXPERIMENTATION. Paper published in Decuscope, March
1964.
Rath, G. J. and Others (Raytheon Co.). THE DEVELOPMENT OF EXPERIMEN-TAL
PROGRAMS FOR AUTOMATED TRAINING IN DECISION MAKING -
HANDBOOK FOR PERTEACH COURSE ADMINISTRATORS, July 1963. ESD-TDR-
63-606, ASTIA No. 421776, Project 9677, Task 967701, Contract
No. AF19(628)- 365.
Rath, G. J. (Raytheon Co.). BEHAVIORAL PLANNING NETWORKS, August
1963. ESD-TDR-63-607, ASTIA No. 421722, Project 9677, Task 967701,
Contract No. AF19(628)-365.
Rubenstein, H. (DSL). HUMANISTIC AND SCIENTIFIC ATTITUDES IN RE-SEARCH.
Paper presented at the Graduate School of Education, Boston
Univ. , Boston, Mass. 1963.
Stuntz, S. E. (DSL). SPEECH-INTELLIGIBILITY AND TALKER-RECOGNITION
TESTS FOR AIR FORCE VOICE COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS, February
1963. ESD-TDR-63-224, ASTIA No. 402989, Project 7684, Task 768401.
Weiss, E. C. (The Matrix Corp.). A FIELD SURVEY OF A SELF-TUTORING
COURSE FOR ON-SITE TRAINING IN SAGE AN/FST-2 TROUBLE-SHOOTING,
November 1962. ESD-TDR-62-346, ASTIA No. 296022, Project 416L
System, Contract No. AF19(628)-242.
Weiss, M. (Raytheon Co.). PERTEACH VOLS I thru VOL VI, March 1963.
ESD-TDR-63-198, ASTIA Nos. 410245, 410273, 411278, 411277, 410244,
409914, Project 9677, Task 967701, Contract No. AS19(628)-365.
39
47. FUTURE PROGRAMS
By way of conclusion, a word should be said about the nature of
future work as suggested by the research now in progress and by the needs
of the Air Force.
Data Presentation and Display
Studies of display characteristics will continue along familiar, but
possibly more complex lines. As before, the method of inquiry will
center around manipulating display characterists and observing the effect
on human information processing behavior. But it is likely that future work
will involve more and more complex displays as information systems become
even vaster. The corresponding increased complexity of human response
will dictate that the study of displays per se be extended to include more
study of how man interprets and processes data to reach conclusions. The
idea that man is a passive receptor of impressions is assumed only in an
attempt to isolate as many variables as possible. Actually, data on a dis-play
board are only that, until man apprehends them, uses them, makes
information out of it. To do so, he must make an active effort to perceive,
and that effort is entirely dependent on the motivation, attitudes, feelings,
intelligence, biases, and so on, and these are the essence of his human-ness.
So, the future for data presentation studies will be to examine data
less and man more; to understand why, how, and under what conditions he
can make meaningful information out of only potentially meaningful facts and
figures.
Learning and Problem Solving, Decision Making
In these three very broad and interrelated areas of inquiry about which
so little is known, predictions for the future must remain in the most gen-eral
terms. DSL will continue, as in the past, to define and describe the
mechanisms by which men solve problems. Past work, for the most part,
has involved only very simple problems in an attempt to control and limit
extraneous variables from confounding measurements. As more is learned,
though, the complexity of problem structure will be gradually increased.
Studies of the kind of decision making peculiar to the stress-filled infor-
40
48. mation systems environment will certainly continue to be more and more
fruitful as DSL, with the aid of its computer, builds up its facility to
simulate rapidly changing conditions, and to isolate and manipulate the
many variables present in such an environment. Through experimental
work, DSL will continue as it has in the past to investigate and evaluate
decision theory as well as to bring to light reliable information on man's
data processing capabilities. Promising techniques for designing mach-ines
for their human users have already been developed. Decision making
studies at DSL will undoubtedly lead to even more promising products than
have as yet been developed.
Programmed Teaching and Automated Training
The "training dilemma" arising from the demanding nature of information
systems staff jobs is far from being solved. As automation increases, so
will the need to train technicians and once trained, to keep them proficient.
Although DSL has already contributed significantly to relieving the need,
more and better techniques will certainly be demanded of it in the future.
More specifically, the long term goals include designating the principles
to be incorporated in the design of programmed instruction subsystems,
augmenting the technology to be used in developing programmed teaching
courses themselves, and making concentrated efforts to develop training
courses for decision making and man-computer communication tasks.
Perhaps the unknown quantity which looms largest is the Air Force's
future implicitly programmed systems. Efforts will be made to explore
some of the training problems anticipated for the time when the Air Force
begins employing this new programming technique in its information systems.
Communications
The vital contributions to assessing and maintaining voice communi-cation
systems will continue. In the near future, the present techniques
will be perfected. When standardization and diagnostic evaluation of the
talker-listener test is completed, it, the test, will be organized in the form
of a preliminary technical manual for field use - probably by the end of FY65.
Upon completion of the laboratory tests, the Speech Communication Index
41
49. Meter will be tested operationally in working systems in the field. The
operational test will probably be completed in FY67.
Communication or information transfer between man and computer in
"natural" English is, as was noted, in its infancy, and where to begin the
work toward providing such a capability is not the least of the problems.
At any rate, DSL has set some modest but well defined and feasible goals
for completion in the foreseeable future. The laboratory intends to develop
methods and materials for comparing the means of retrieving sentences from
computers, and then, in fact, to compare them in terms of the effectiveness
of each. The means are two: retrieval by using an associative network, and
retrieval by using a fixed index or pre-compiled thesaurus. At the same
time, work toward establishing the range of variation for male talkers will
continue with an eye to being able, ultimately, to tap computer data files
with spoken gueries. Experiments to compare three promising techniques
for establishing the range are now being conducted, and one technique
will be chosen to use in working toward the goal. Studies in these two
areas will provide indispensible ground work for programming computers to
"understand" man in his own language.
Applications
It is inappropriate to outline any future programs or plans in the
applications area. Applications will depend almost entirely on the re-sults
of the research outlined previously, and on the needs and require-ments
of future Air Force information systems. So, as research is com-pleted
and Air Force requirements become known, scientists working in
the area will attempt judiciously to integrate the two, i. e. , the results
and the requirements.
42
50. UNCLASSIFIED
Security Classification
DOCUMENT CONTROL DATA • R&D
(Security claaailication ol title, body ol abstract and indexing annotation mull be entered when the overall report le elaaailied)
1 ORIGIN ATIN G ACTIVITY (Corporate author)
Decision Sciences Laboratory, ESD,
L.G. Hanscom Field, Bedford, Mass.
2a. REPORT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION
Unclassified
26 OROUP N/A
3 REPORT TITLE
Decision Sciences Laboratory Biennial Progress Report
4 DESCRIPTIVE NOTES (Type ol report and Ineluelve dale.!
July 1962-June 1964
S AUTHORS; (Lett name. It ret name, initial)
6 REPORT DATE
Oct 64
7»- TOTAL NO. OF PASES
42
7b. NO. OP REPS
35
8a. CONTRACT OR GRANT NO.
fa. PROJECT NO.
7682, 2806, 2808, 4690
c.
• a. ORIGINATOR'S REPORT NUMBER(S)
ESD-TDR-64-609
• fa. SOTTHHEERR RREEPORT NOfSJ (A ny other numbrre that may be aetigned
/• report)
None
10. A VA IL ABILITY/LIMITATION NOTICES
DDC release to OTS Authorized
It SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 12. SPONSORING MILITARY ACTIVITY
13. ABSTRACT
This report summarizes the activities of the Decision
Sciences Laboratory and describes achievements, progress,
results obtained by the laboratory scientists in the past two
years.
DD ,^1473 UNCLASSIFIED
Security Classification
51. UNCLASSIFIED
Security Classification
14
KEY WORDS
LINK A
IP M . ROLf
LINK C
Human Factors
Behavior
Learning
Perception Memory
Decision Ma king
ProbI em Solving
Programmed Teaching
Automated Training
Man-Machine Interaction
Voice Communications
Information Retrieval
INSTRUCTIONS
1. ORIGINATING ACTIVITY: Enter the name and address
of the contractor, subcontractor, grantee. Department of De-fense
activity or other organization (corporate author) issuing
the report.
aL. REPORT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION: Enter the over-all
security classification of the report. Indicate whether
"Restricted Data" is included. Marking is to be in accord-ance
with appropriate security regulations.
2b. GROUP: Automatic downgrading is specified in DoD Di-rective
5200.10 and Armed Forces Industrial Manual. Enter
the group number. Also, when applicable, show that optional
markings have been used for Group 3 and Group 4 as author-ized.
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c ipital letters. Titles in all cases should be unclassified.
If a meaningful title cannot be selected without classifica-tion,
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report, e.g., interim, progress, summary, annual, or final.
Give the inclusive dates when a specific reporting period is
covered.
5. AUTHOR(S): Enter the name(s) of authors) as shown on
or in the report. Entei last name, first name, middle initial.
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month, year; or month, year. If more than one date appears
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8a. CONTRACT OR GRANT NUMBER: If appropriate, enter
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(1) "Qualified requesters may obtain copies of this
report from DDC"
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this report directly from DDC. Other qualified DDC
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(4) "U. S. military agencies may obtain copies of this
report directly from DDC Other qualified users
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1L SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES: Use for additional explana-tory
notes.
12. SPONSORING MILITARY ACTIVITY: Enter the name of
the departmental project office or laboratory sponsoring (pay-ing
lor) the research and development. Include address.
13. ABSTRACT: Enter an abstract giving a brief and factual
summary of the document indicative of the report, even though
it may also appear elsewhere in the body of the technical re-port.
If additional space is required, a continuation sheet shall
be attached.
It is highly desirable that the abstract of classified reports
be unclassified. Each paragraph of the abstract shall end with
an indication of the military security classification of the in-formation
in the paragraph, represented as (TS), (S), (C), or (U).
There is no limitation en the length of the abstract. How-ever,
the suggested length is from ISO to 225 words.
14. KEY WORDS: Key words are technically meaningful terms
or short phrases that characterize a report and may be used as
index entries for cataloging the report. Key words must be
selected so that no security classification is required. Identi-fiers,
such as equipment model designation, trade name, military
project code name, geographic location, may be used as key
words but will be followed by an indication of technical con-text.
The assignment of links, rules, and weights is optional
UNCLASSIFIED
Security Classification