The document describes a model of the evolution of specialist versus generalist strategies in a spatially continuous landscape with two habitat types. The model examines the conditions under which a generalist strategy that uses both habitats equally is evolutionarily stable versus specialist strategies that focus on one habitat. It finds that a generalist strategy is always convergence stable, while it is evolutionarily stable under conditions of a concave trade-off between habitats and sufficient migration between habitats.
TU3.L09 - AN OVERVIEW OF RECENT ADVANCES IN POLARIMETRIC SAR INFORMATION EXTR...grssieee
This document provides an overview of recent advances in polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (PolSAR) information extraction algorithms and applications presented at the 2010 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS). It reviews developments in target decompositions, orientation angles, classification, segmentation, texture modeling, speckle filtering, compact polarimetry, and high-resolution PolSAR over the past five years. New satellite systems like ALOS, TerraSAR-X, and RADARSAT-2 have enabled applications in areas such as agriculture, forestry, geology and oceanography.
This presentation is the result of a one-week student group work during the Southerm-Summer School on Mathematical-Biology, held in São Paulo, BR, in January 2012, http://www.ictp-saifr.org/mathbio
Gauss–Bonnet Boson Stars in AdS, Bielefeld, Germany, 2014Jurgen Riedel
Strong coupling to gravity: self-interacting rotating boson
stars are destabilized.
Sufficiently small AdS radius: self-interacting rotating boson
stars are destabilized.
Sufficiently strong rotation stabilizes self-interacting rotating
boson stars.
Onset of ergoregions can occur on the main branch of boson
star solutions, supposed to be classically stable.
Radially excited self-interacting rotating boson stars can be
classically stable in aAdS for sufficiently large AdS radius and
sufficiently small backreaction.
Lesson 9 focuses on determining the area and perimeter of polygons on the coordinate plane. Students will find the perimeter of irregular figures by using coordinates to find the length of sides joining points with the same x- or y-coordinate. Students will also find the area enclosed by a polygon by composing or decomposing it into polygons with known area formulas. The lesson provides examples of calculating perimeter and area, as well as exercises for students to practice these skills by decomposing polygons in different ways.
This lesson teaches students how to determine the area and perimeter of polygons on a coordinate plane. It includes examples of calculating area and perimeter of polygons. Students are given exercises to calculate the area of various polygons, determine both the area and perimeter of shapes, and write expressions to represent the area calculated in different ways. The lesson aims to help students practice finding area and perimeter of polygons located on a coordinate plane.
Factoring quadratic expressions by grouping - example 4guestbe74d7
This document discusses factoring quadratic expressions by grouping. It provides an example problem to demonstrate how to factor quadratics using the grouping method. The document is copyrighted and from Home Tuition Services.
Factoring quadratic expressions by grouping - example 1guestbe74d7
This document discusses factoring quadratic expressions by grouping. It provides an example problem to demonstrate how to factor quadratics using the grouping method. The document is copyrighted and from Home Tuition Services.
Challenges in predicting weather and climate extremesIC3Climate
Presentation from the Kick-off Meeting "Seasonal to Decadal Forecast towards Climate Services: Joint Kickoff Meetings" for ECOMS, EUPORIAS, NACLIM and SPECS FP7 projects
TU3.L09 - AN OVERVIEW OF RECENT ADVANCES IN POLARIMETRIC SAR INFORMATION EXTR...grssieee
This document provides an overview of recent advances in polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (PolSAR) information extraction algorithms and applications presented at the 2010 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS). It reviews developments in target decompositions, orientation angles, classification, segmentation, texture modeling, speckle filtering, compact polarimetry, and high-resolution PolSAR over the past five years. New satellite systems like ALOS, TerraSAR-X, and RADARSAT-2 have enabled applications in areas such as agriculture, forestry, geology and oceanography.
This presentation is the result of a one-week student group work during the Southerm-Summer School on Mathematical-Biology, held in São Paulo, BR, in January 2012, http://www.ictp-saifr.org/mathbio
Gauss–Bonnet Boson Stars in AdS, Bielefeld, Germany, 2014Jurgen Riedel
Strong coupling to gravity: self-interacting rotating boson
stars are destabilized.
Sufficiently small AdS radius: self-interacting rotating boson
stars are destabilized.
Sufficiently strong rotation stabilizes self-interacting rotating
boson stars.
Onset of ergoregions can occur on the main branch of boson
star solutions, supposed to be classically stable.
Radially excited self-interacting rotating boson stars can be
classically stable in aAdS for sufficiently large AdS radius and
sufficiently small backreaction.
Lesson 9 focuses on determining the area and perimeter of polygons on the coordinate plane. Students will find the perimeter of irregular figures by using coordinates to find the length of sides joining points with the same x- or y-coordinate. Students will also find the area enclosed by a polygon by composing or decomposing it into polygons with known area formulas. The lesson provides examples of calculating perimeter and area, as well as exercises for students to practice these skills by decomposing polygons in different ways.
This lesson teaches students how to determine the area and perimeter of polygons on a coordinate plane. It includes examples of calculating area and perimeter of polygons. Students are given exercises to calculate the area of various polygons, determine both the area and perimeter of shapes, and write expressions to represent the area calculated in different ways. The lesson aims to help students practice finding area and perimeter of polygons located on a coordinate plane.
Factoring quadratic expressions by grouping - example 4guestbe74d7
This document discusses factoring quadratic expressions by grouping. It provides an example problem to demonstrate how to factor quadratics using the grouping method. The document is copyrighted and from Home Tuition Services.
Factoring quadratic expressions by grouping - example 1guestbe74d7
This document discusses factoring quadratic expressions by grouping. It provides an example problem to demonstrate how to factor quadratics using the grouping method. The document is copyrighted and from Home Tuition Services.
Challenges in predicting weather and climate extremesIC3Climate
Presentation from the Kick-off Meeting "Seasonal to Decadal Forecast towards Climate Services: Joint Kickoff Meetings" for ECOMS, EUPORIAS, NACLIM and SPECS FP7 projects
Reinforcement Learning in Configurable EnvironmentsEmanuele Ghelfi
This document presents a reinforcement learning algorithm called Relative Entropy Model Policy Search (REMPS) for solving configurable Markov decision processes. REMPS formulates the problem as an information-theoretic optimization with a trust region constraint. It optimizes a dual objective and projects the solution to feasible regions. The algorithm iteratively collects samples, optimizes a dual objective, projects the solution, and updates the policy and model. A finite sample analysis bounds the error between ideal and estimated performance. Experiments on a chain domain demonstrate REMPS can overcome local optima and efficiently configure transition functions to improve reward.
Elementary Landscape Decomposition of the Hamiltonian Path Optimization Problemjfrchicanog
The document describes research on decomposing optimization problem landscapes into elementary components. It defines key landscape concepts like configuration space, neighborhood operators, and objective functions. It then introduces the idea of elementary landscapes where the objective function is a linear combination of eigenfunctions. The paper discusses decomposing general landscapes into a sum of elementary components and proposes using average neighborhood fitness for selection in non-elementary landscapes. It applies these concepts to the Hamiltonian Path Optimization problem, analyzing the problem's reversals and swaps neighborhoods.
Genealized Diagonal band copula wifth two-sided power densitiesLeon Adams
This dissertation examines uncertainty analysis applications of the GDB copula with TSP generating densities in multivariate models. It specifies estimation procedures for multivariate copula models with single and multiple common risk factors. It applies these models to examples in hydrological frequency analysis and stock returns. The research contributes novel relationships between copula parameters and dependence measures. It demonstrates the models' ability to accurately reproduce dependency structures and flexibility in modeling arbitrary marginal distributions.
The document discusses technical support roles for climate smart agriculture (CSA) programs. It includes:
1) Designing programs, monitoring and evaluation, implementation support, and situation analysis.
2) Developing tools to target households and locations for CSA options, including Bayesian networks and spatial targeting.
3) Providing practical guides for CSA implementation at national and local levels.
This document discusses different strategies for modeling greenhouse gas emissions and carbon stocks, including empirical and process-based models. Empirical models rely on statistical relationships between activity data and emission factors, like those used in IPCC Tiers 1 and 2. Process-based models attempt to simulate underlying biogeochemical processes. Examples of common process models described are DAYCENT, DNDC, and RothC. The document outlines steps to find an appropriate process model, set it up, calibrate it using measurement data, and evaluate its performance through statistical tests. Challenges include limited data for model validation and parameterization for tropical conditions.
We approach the screening problem - i.e. detecting which inputs of a computer model significantly impact the output - from a formal Bayesian model selection point of view. That is, we place a Gaussian process prior on the computer model and consider the $2^p$ models that result from assuming that each of the subsets of the $p$ inputs affect the response. The goal is to obtain the posterior probabilities of each of these models. In this talk, we focus on the specification of objective priors on the model-specific parameters and on convenient ways to compute the associated marginal likelihoods. These two problems that normally are seen as unrelated, have challenging connections since the priors proposed in the literature are specifically designed to have posterior modes in the boundary of the parameter space, hence precluding the application of approximate integration techniques based on e.g. Laplace approximations. We explore several ways of circumventing this difficulty, comparing different methodologies with synthetic examples taken from the literature.
Authors: Gonzalo Garcia-Donato (Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha) and Rui Paulo (Universidade de Lisboa)
1) Geostatistics provides tools to describe spatial continuity in data, estimate values at unsampled locations, and create multiple equiprobable subsurface models that account for uncertainty.
2) Variograms quantify the dissimilarity between data points over distance and are used to model spatial correlation.
3) Multiple scales of heterogeneity often exist, with longer correlation ranges related to large-scale variations and shorter ranges corresponding to smaller features.
1) A land cover map of Africa was created at 100m resolution using dual-polarization ALOS PALSAR data from 2007.
2) A preliminary approach used HV backscatter thresholds but a refined analysis considered topography, water detection, and ancillary data.
3) The map was validated against other datasets with an accuracy of 72.4% for land cover classes and 88.3% for forest/non-forest.
The document summarizes several advanced policy gradient methods for reinforcement learning, including trust region policy optimization (TRPO), proximal policy optimization (PPO), and using the natural policy gradient with the Kronecker-factored approximation (K-FAC). TRPO frames policy optimization as solving a constrained optimization problem to limit policy updates, while PPO uses a clipped objective function as a pessimistic bound. Both methods improve upon vanilla policy gradients. K-FAC provides an efficient way to approximate the natural policy gradient using the Fisher information matrix. The document reviews the theory and algorithms behind these methods.
Professor Schneider is actively involved with the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and specializes in projecting global climate change and related impacts for the future. He is also dedicated to communicating science to the public.
1) The document describes using diagonal reference models to analyze the effect of social mobility on long-term limiting illness using data from the UK ONS Longitudinal Survey.
2) Diagonal reference models estimate the effects of stable and mobile social classes on health outcomes. The models were fit separately for men and women using the gnm package in R.
3) The results found higher odds of long-term illness for lower social classes, and that the effect of social mobility was to dilute health inequalities, with larger effects for stable lower classes.
The document proposes an update strategy called Reinforcement/Evaporation (RE) for Univariate Marginal Distribution Algorithms (UMDAs) to better handle Dynamic Optimization Problems (DOPs). RE is inspired by the update equations used in Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithms. The RE strategy maintains diversity in the population to avoid full convergence, which is unsuitable for dynamic problems. Experimental results show that RE outperforms other diversity-handling techniques and allows the UMDA to better track optima in changing environments.
Coordinate sampler: A non-reversible Gibbs-like samplerChristian Robert
This document describes a new MCMC method called the Coordinate Sampler. It is a non-reversible Gibbs-like sampler based on a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP). The Coordinate Sampler generalizes the Bouncy Particle Sampler by making the bounce direction partly random and orthogonal to the gradient. It is proven that under certain conditions, the PDMP induced by the Coordinate Sampler has a unique invariant distribution of the target distribution multiplied by a uniform auxiliary variable distribution. The Coordinate Sampler is also shown to exhibit geometric ergodicity, an important convergence property, under additional regularity conditions on the target distribution.
Modeling the Chlorophyll-a from Sea Surface Reflectance in West Africa by Dee...gerogepatton
Deep learning provide successful applications in many fields. Recently, machines learning are involved for oceans remote sensing applications. In this study, we use and compare about eight (8) deep learning estimators
for retrieval of a mainly pigment of phytoplankton. Depending on the water case and the multiple instruments simultaneously observing the earth on a variety of platforms, several algorithm are used to estimate the chlolophyll-a from marine eflectance.By using a long-term multi-sensor time-series of satellite ocean-colour data, as MODIS, SeaWifs, VIIRS, MERIS, etc…, we make a unique deep network model able to establish a relationship between sea surface reflectance and chlorophyll-a from any measurement satellite sensor over West
Africa. These data fusion take into account the bias between case water and instruments. We construct several chlorophyll-a concentration prediction deep learning based models, compare them and therefore use the best for our study. Results obtained for accuracy training and test are quite good. The mean absolute error are very low and vary between 0,07 to 0,13 mg/m3.
Factors are categorical variables. The sums of the values of these variables are called levels. In this talk, we consider the variable selection problem where the set of potential predictors contains both factors and numerical variables. Formally, this problem is a particular case of the standard variable selection problema, where factors are coded using dummy variables. As such, the Bayesian solution would be straightforward and, possibly because of this, the problem. Despite its importance, this issue has not received much attention in the literature. Nevertheless, we show that this perception is illusory and that in fact several inputs, like the assignment of prior probabilities over the model space or the parameterization adopted for factors may have a large (and difficult to anticipate) impact on the results. We provide a solution to these issues that extends the proposals in the standard variable selection problem and does not depend on how the factors are coded using dummy variables. Our approach is illustrated with a real example concerning a childhood obesity study in Spain.
Authors: Gonzalo Garcia-donato and Rui Paulo
Since the advent of the horseshoe priors for regularization, global-local shrinkage methods have proved to be a fertile ground for the development of Bayesian theory and methodology in machine learning. They have achieved remarkable success in computation, and enjoy strong theoretical support. Much of the existing literature has focused on the linear Gaussian case. The purpose of the current talk is to demonstrate that the horseshoe priors are useful more broadly, by reviewing both methodological and computational developments in complex models that are more relevant to machine learning applications. Specifically, we focus on methodological challenges in horseshoe regularization in nonlinear and non-Gaussian models; multivariate models; and deep neural networks. We also outline the recent computational developments in horseshoe shrinkage for complex models along with a list of available software implementations that allows one to venture out beyond the comfort zone of the canonical linear regression problems.
This document discusses new insights into bird migration provided by geolocator tracking devices and the key questions and challenges they present. It contrasts the migration of wood thrushes, which exhibit flexibility, and purple martins, which display more rigid migration patterns. Geolocators have shown that wood thrushes can change their migration timing and route between seasons, while purple martins maintain consistent departure dates and pacing. However, geolocator use presents challenges like low return rates, habitat shading of location data, and potential effects on bird behavior.
eMAST aims to integrate data from TERN and other sources to model ecosystems at all scales in Australia from 2013-2015. This will be done using data assimilation, model evaluation and optimization tools to further ecosystem science and help address questions about topics like carbon, water, climate change, fire, and biodiversity. Key products being delivered include high resolution climate and productivity datasets as well as tools for data analysis, interpolation and modeling. Progress includes the development and delivery of ANUClimate climate datasets and the ePiSaT model for estimating primary productivity across Australia using flux tower and satellite data.
Current Ms word generated power point presentation covers major details about the micronuclei test. It's significance and assays to conduct it. It is used to detect the micronuclei formation inside the cells of nearly every multicellular organism. It's formation takes place during chromosomal sepration at metaphase.
Reinforcement Learning in Configurable EnvironmentsEmanuele Ghelfi
This document presents a reinforcement learning algorithm called Relative Entropy Model Policy Search (REMPS) for solving configurable Markov decision processes. REMPS formulates the problem as an information-theoretic optimization with a trust region constraint. It optimizes a dual objective and projects the solution to feasible regions. The algorithm iteratively collects samples, optimizes a dual objective, projects the solution, and updates the policy and model. A finite sample analysis bounds the error between ideal and estimated performance. Experiments on a chain domain demonstrate REMPS can overcome local optima and efficiently configure transition functions to improve reward.
Elementary Landscape Decomposition of the Hamiltonian Path Optimization Problemjfrchicanog
The document describes research on decomposing optimization problem landscapes into elementary components. It defines key landscape concepts like configuration space, neighborhood operators, and objective functions. It then introduces the idea of elementary landscapes where the objective function is a linear combination of eigenfunctions. The paper discusses decomposing general landscapes into a sum of elementary components and proposes using average neighborhood fitness for selection in non-elementary landscapes. It applies these concepts to the Hamiltonian Path Optimization problem, analyzing the problem's reversals and swaps neighborhoods.
Genealized Diagonal band copula wifth two-sided power densitiesLeon Adams
This dissertation examines uncertainty analysis applications of the GDB copula with TSP generating densities in multivariate models. It specifies estimation procedures for multivariate copula models with single and multiple common risk factors. It applies these models to examples in hydrological frequency analysis and stock returns. The research contributes novel relationships between copula parameters and dependence measures. It demonstrates the models' ability to accurately reproduce dependency structures and flexibility in modeling arbitrary marginal distributions.
The document discusses technical support roles for climate smart agriculture (CSA) programs. It includes:
1) Designing programs, monitoring and evaluation, implementation support, and situation analysis.
2) Developing tools to target households and locations for CSA options, including Bayesian networks and spatial targeting.
3) Providing practical guides for CSA implementation at national and local levels.
This document discusses different strategies for modeling greenhouse gas emissions and carbon stocks, including empirical and process-based models. Empirical models rely on statistical relationships between activity data and emission factors, like those used in IPCC Tiers 1 and 2. Process-based models attempt to simulate underlying biogeochemical processes. Examples of common process models described are DAYCENT, DNDC, and RothC. The document outlines steps to find an appropriate process model, set it up, calibrate it using measurement data, and evaluate its performance through statistical tests. Challenges include limited data for model validation and parameterization for tropical conditions.
We approach the screening problem - i.e. detecting which inputs of a computer model significantly impact the output - from a formal Bayesian model selection point of view. That is, we place a Gaussian process prior on the computer model and consider the $2^p$ models that result from assuming that each of the subsets of the $p$ inputs affect the response. The goal is to obtain the posterior probabilities of each of these models. In this talk, we focus on the specification of objective priors on the model-specific parameters and on convenient ways to compute the associated marginal likelihoods. These two problems that normally are seen as unrelated, have challenging connections since the priors proposed in the literature are specifically designed to have posterior modes in the boundary of the parameter space, hence precluding the application of approximate integration techniques based on e.g. Laplace approximations. We explore several ways of circumventing this difficulty, comparing different methodologies with synthetic examples taken from the literature.
Authors: Gonzalo Garcia-Donato (Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha) and Rui Paulo (Universidade de Lisboa)
1) Geostatistics provides tools to describe spatial continuity in data, estimate values at unsampled locations, and create multiple equiprobable subsurface models that account for uncertainty.
2) Variograms quantify the dissimilarity between data points over distance and are used to model spatial correlation.
3) Multiple scales of heterogeneity often exist, with longer correlation ranges related to large-scale variations and shorter ranges corresponding to smaller features.
1) A land cover map of Africa was created at 100m resolution using dual-polarization ALOS PALSAR data from 2007.
2) A preliminary approach used HV backscatter thresholds but a refined analysis considered topography, water detection, and ancillary data.
3) The map was validated against other datasets with an accuracy of 72.4% for land cover classes and 88.3% for forest/non-forest.
The document summarizes several advanced policy gradient methods for reinforcement learning, including trust region policy optimization (TRPO), proximal policy optimization (PPO), and using the natural policy gradient with the Kronecker-factored approximation (K-FAC). TRPO frames policy optimization as solving a constrained optimization problem to limit policy updates, while PPO uses a clipped objective function as a pessimistic bound. Both methods improve upon vanilla policy gradients. K-FAC provides an efficient way to approximate the natural policy gradient using the Fisher information matrix. The document reviews the theory and algorithms behind these methods.
Professor Schneider is actively involved with the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) and specializes in projecting global climate change and related impacts for the future. He is also dedicated to communicating science to the public.
1) The document describes using diagonal reference models to analyze the effect of social mobility on long-term limiting illness using data from the UK ONS Longitudinal Survey.
2) Diagonal reference models estimate the effects of stable and mobile social classes on health outcomes. The models were fit separately for men and women using the gnm package in R.
3) The results found higher odds of long-term illness for lower social classes, and that the effect of social mobility was to dilute health inequalities, with larger effects for stable lower classes.
The document proposes an update strategy called Reinforcement/Evaporation (RE) for Univariate Marginal Distribution Algorithms (UMDAs) to better handle Dynamic Optimization Problems (DOPs). RE is inspired by the update equations used in Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithms. The RE strategy maintains diversity in the population to avoid full convergence, which is unsuitable for dynamic problems. Experimental results show that RE outperforms other diversity-handling techniques and allows the UMDA to better track optima in changing environments.
Coordinate sampler: A non-reversible Gibbs-like samplerChristian Robert
This document describes a new MCMC method called the Coordinate Sampler. It is a non-reversible Gibbs-like sampler based on a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP). The Coordinate Sampler generalizes the Bouncy Particle Sampler by making the bounce direction partly random and orthogonal to the gradient. It is proven that under certain conditions, the PDMP induced by the Coordinate Sampler has a unique invariant distribution of the target distribution multiplied by a uniform auxiliary variable distribution. The Coordinate Sampler is also shown to exhibit geometric ergodicity, an important convergence property, under additional regularity conditions on the target distribution.
Modeling the Chlorophyll-a from Sea Surface Reflectance in West Africa by Dee...gerogepatton
Deep learning provide successful applications in many fields. Recently, machines learning are involved for oceans remote sensing applications. In this study, we use and compare about eight (8) deep learning estimators
for retrieval of a mainly pigment of phytoplankton. Depending on the water case and the multiple instruments simultaneously observing the earth on a variety of platforms, several algorithm are used to estimate the chlolophyll-a from marine eflectance.By using a long-term multi-sensor time-series of satellite ocean-colour data, as MODIS, SeaWifs, VIIRS, MERIS, etc…, we make a unique deep network model able to establish a relationship between sea surface reflectance and chlorophyll-a from any measurement satellite sensor over West
Africa. These data fusion take into account the bias between case water and instruments. We construct several chlorophyll-a concentration prediction deep learning based models, compare them and therefore use the best for our study. Results obtained for accuracy training and test are quite good. The mean absolute error are very low and vary between 0,07 to 0,13 mg/m3.
Factors are categorical variables. The sums of the values of these variables are called levels. In this talk, we consider the variable selection problem where the set of potential predictors contains both factors and numerical variables. Formally, this problem is a particular case of the standard variable selection problema, where factors are coded using dummy variables. As such, the Bayesian solution would be straightforward and, possibly because of this, the problem. Despite its importance, this issue has not received much attention in the literature. Nevertheless, we show that this perception is illusory and that in fact several inputs, like the assignment of prior probabilities over the model space or the parameterization adopted for factors may have a large (and difficult to anticipate) impact on the results. We provide a solution to these issues that extends the proposals in the standard variable selection problem and does not depend on how the factors are coded using dummy variables. Our approach is illustrated with a real example concerning a childhood obesity study in Spain.
Authors: Gonzalo Garcia-donato and Rui Paulo
Since the advent of the horseshoe priors for regularization, global-local shrinkage methods have proved to be a fertile ground for the development of Bayesian theory and methodology in machine learning. They have achieved remarkable success in computation, and enjoy strong theoretical support. Much of the existing literature has focused on the linear Gaussian case. The purpose of the current talk is to demonstrate that the horseshoe priors are useful more broadly, by reviewing both methodological and computational developments in complex models that are more relevant to machine learning applications. Specifically, we focus on methodological challenges in horseshoe regularization in nonlinear and non-Gaussian models; multivariate models; and deep neural networks. We also outline the recent computational developments in horseshoe shrinkage for complex models along with a list of available software implementations that allows one to venture out beyond the comfort zone of the canonical linear regression problems.
This document discusses new insights into bird migration provided by geolocator tracking devices and the key questions and challenges they present. It contrasts the migration of wood thrushes, which exhibit flexibility, and purple martins, which display more rigid migration patterns. Geolocators have shown that wood thrushes can change their migration timing and route between seasons, while purple martins maintain consistent departure dates and pacing. However, geolocator use presents challenges like low return rates, habitat shading of location data, and potential effects on bird behavior.
eMAST aims to integrate data from TERN and other sources to model ecosystems at all scales in Australia from 2013-2015. This will be done using data assimilation, model evaluation and optimization tools to further ecosystem science and help address questions about topics like carbon, water, climate change, fire, and biodiversity. Key products being delivered include high resolution climate and productivity datasets as well as tools for data analysis, interpolation and modeling. Progress includes the development and delivery of ANUClimate climate datasets and the ePiSaT model for estimating primary productivity across Australia using flux tower and satellite data.
Similar to Evolution of specialist vs. generalist strategies in a continuous environment (20)
Current Ms word generated power point presentation covers major details about the micronuclei test. It's significance and assays to conduct it. It is used to detect the micronuclei formation inside the cells of nearly every multicellular organism. It's formation takes place during chromosomal sepration at metaphase.
EWOCS-I: The catalog of X-ray sources in Westerlund 1 from the Extended Weste...Sérgio Sacani
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the influence of the starburst environment on the formation of stars and planets, and on the evolution of both low and high mass stars.
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When I was asked to give a companion lecture in support of ‘The Philosophy of Science’ (https://shorturl.at/4pUXz) I decided not to walk through the detail of the many methodologies in order of use. Instead, I chose to employ a long standing, and ongoing, scientific development as an exemplar. And so, I chose the ever evolving story of Thermodynamics as a scientific investigation at its best.
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Evolution of specialist vs. generalist strategies in a continuous environment
1. Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies
in a continuous environment
Florence D´ebarre and Sylvain Gandon
CNRS UMR 5175, CEFE, Montpellier, France
August 28th 2009
3. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Introduction
A landscape in Venaco, Corsica... Species composition
Turin
Venaco
Montpellier
Paris
London
Rome
Madrid
Burnt
Scrub
Pines
Oaks
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 3 / 16
4. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Introduction
A landscape in Venaco, Corsica... Vegetation types
Turin
Venaco
Montpellier
Paris
London
Rome
Madrid
High VegetationLow Vegetation
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 4 / 16
5. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Introduction
A landscape in Venaco, Corsica... Vegetation types
Turin
Venaco
Montpellier
Paris
London
Rome
Madrid
High VegetationLow Vegetation
www.fatbirder.com
Sylvia undata
www.ebnitalia.it
Sylvia moltonii
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 4 / 16
6. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Introduction
A landscape in Venaco, Corsica...
High VegetationLow Vegetation
Low
Vegetation
High
Vegetation
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 5 / 16
7. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Introduction
A landscape in Venaco, Corsica...
High VegetationLow Vegetation
Low
Vegetation
High
Vegetation
High
Vegetation
Low
Vegetation
distance
migration
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 5 / 16
8. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Introduction
A landscape in Venaco, Corsica...
Question
What are the conditions for the evolu-
tion of generalist vs specialist strate-
gies in a spatially continuous land-
scape ?
Low
Vegetation
High
Vegetation
High
Vegetation
Low
Vegetation
distance
migration
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 5 / 16
9. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The environment
A linear environment with two habitats
Habitat AHabitat B Habitat B
Spatial location
0qS qSS S
S Total size of the environment
q Proportion of habitat A
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 6 / 16
10. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The environment
A linear environment with two habitats
Habitat AHabitat B Habitat B
Spatial location
0qS qSS S
S Total size of the environment
q Proportion of habitat A
Migration kernel
Σ
distance
migration probability
0
σ Migration range
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 6 / 16
11. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Trade-offs
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 7 / 16
12. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Trade-offs
With a power trade-off
rA(s) = s
β
rB (s) = (1 − s)
β
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 7 / 16
13. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Trade-offs
With a power trade-off
rA(s) = s
β
rB (s) = (1 − s)
β
Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
Β
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.5
2
3
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 7 / 16
14. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Trade-offs
With a power trade-off
rA(s) = s
β
rB (s) = (1 − s)
β
Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
Β
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.5
2
3 With a Gaussian trade-off
ΣrΣr
Habitat B Habitat A
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 7 / 16
15. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Trade-offs
With a power trade-off
rA(s) = s
β
rB (s) = (1 − s)
β
Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
Β
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.5
2
3 With a Gaussian trade-off
ΣrΣr
Habitat B Habitat A
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ
Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
Θ
Σr
0.5
0.75
1
1.25
1.5
2
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 7 / 16
16. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The Model
Soft Selection
Local density regulation
Constant local densities
and NO habitat choice
. . . and spatially varying fitness ri (x)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 8 / 16
17. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The Model
Soft Selection
Local density regulation
Constant local densities
and NO habitat choice
. . . and spatially varying fitness ri (x)
Migration
Diffusion approximation
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 8 / 16
18. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The Model
Soft Selection
Local density regulation
Constant local densities
and NO habitat choice
. . . and spatially varying fitness ri (x)
Migration
Diffusion approximation
∂pi
∂t
(x, t) =
ri (x)
¯r(x, t)
− 1 pi (x, t) +
σ2
2
∂2
pi
∂x2
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 8 / 16
19. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The Model
Soft Selection
Local density regulation
Constant local densities
and NO habitat choice
. . . and spatially varying fitness ri (x)
Migration
Diffusion approximation
∂pi
∂t
(x, t) =
ri (x)
¯r(x, t)
− 1 pi (x, t) +
σ2
2
∂2
pi
∂x2
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 8 / 16
20. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The Model
Soft Selection
Local density regulation
Constant local densities
and NO habitat choice
. . . and spatially varying fitness ri (x)
Migration
Diffusion approximation
∂pi
∂t
(x, t) =
ri (x)
¯r(x, t)
− 1 pi (x, t) +
σ2
2
∂2
pi
∂x2
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 8 / 16
21. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
The Model
Soft Selection
Local density regulation
Constant local densities
and NO habitat choice
. . . and spatially varying fitness ri (x)
Migration
Diffusion approximation
∂pi
∂t
(x, t) =
ri (x)
¯r(x, t)
− 1 pi (x, t) +
σ2
2
∂2
pi
∂x2
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 8 / 16
22. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Methods
Adaptive Dynamics
Assumptions
Rare mutations (decoupling of ecological and evolutionary time scales)
Mutations of small phenotypic effect
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 9 / 16
23. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Pairwise Invasibility Plots (PIP)
Does a mutant with trait sm invade a population fixed for trait sr?
+
+
-
-
mutant'strait(sm)
resident's trait (sr)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 10 / 16
24. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Pairwise Invasibility Plots (PIP)
Does a mutant with trait sm invade a population fixed for trait sr?
+
+
-
-
mutant'strait(sm)
resident's trait (sr)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 10 / 16
25. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Pairwise Invasibility Plots (PIP)
Does a mutant with trait sm invade a population fixed for trait sr?
+
+
-
-
mutant'strait(sm)
resident's trait (sr)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 10 / 16
26. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Pairwise Invasibility Plots (PIP)
+
+
-
-
+
+
-
-
-
-
+
+
-
-
+
+
A B
C D
CS
not CS
ES not ES
mutant
resident
Evolutionary Stability (ES)Convergence
Stability (CS)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 10 / 16
27. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Evolution of the adaptation trait s
Gaussian Trade-off
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 11 / 16
28. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Evolution of the adaptation trait s
Gaussian Trade-off
Singular Strategy
Generalist
s∗
= q θ + (1 − q) (−θ)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 11 / 16
29. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Evolution of the adaptation trait s
Gaussian Trade-off
Singular Strategy
Generalist
s∗
= q θ + (1 − q) (−θ)
Convergence stability
Always
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 11 / 16
30. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Evolution of the adaptation trait s
Gaussian Trade-off
Singular Strategy
Generalist
s∗
= q θ + (1 − q) (−θ)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
Concave trade-off
θ
σr
< 1
2
√
q (1−q)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 11 / 16
31. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Evolution of the adaptation trait s
Gaussian Trade-off
Singular Strategy
Generalist
s∗
= q θ + (1 − q) (−θ)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
Concave trade-off
θ
σr
< 1
2
√
q (1−q)
Enough migration
(σ/S)2
2 >
q (1−q)
3
8 d q (1−q) (θ/σr )2
1−4 q (1−q) (θ/σr )2
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 11 / 16
32. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Evolution of the adaptation trait s
Gaussian Trade-off
Singular Strategy
Generalist
s∗
= q θ + (1 − q) (−θ)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
Concave trade-off
θ
σr
< 1
2
√
q (1−q)
Enough migration
(σ/S)2
2 >
q (1−q)
3
8 d q (1−q) (θ/σr )2
1−4 q (1−q) (θ/σr )2
Power Trade-off
Singular Strategy
Generalist
s∗
= q
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
Concave trade-off
β < 1
Enough migration
(σ/S)2
2 >
q (1−q)
3
2 d β
1−β
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 11 / 16
33. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Illustration with the Gaussian trade-off
θ
σr
= 0.75
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ
θ
σr
= 1.25
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 12 / 16
34. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Illustration with the Gaussian trade-off
θ
σr
= 0.75
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
θ
σr
= 1.25
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 12 / 16
35. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Illustration with the Gaussian trade-off
θ
σr
= 0.75
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
1 ESS
2 Branching
Proportion of habitat A
Migration
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
θ
σr
= 1.25
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 12 / 16
36. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Illustration with the Gaussian trade-off
θ
σr
= 0.75
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
1 ESS
2 Branching
Proportion of habitat A
Migration
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
θ
σr
= 1.25
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 12 / 16
37. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Illustration with the Gaussian trade-off
θ
σr
= 0.75
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
1 ESS
2 Branching
Proportion of habitat A
Migration
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
θ
σr
= 1.25
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 12 / 16
38. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Illustration with the Gaussian trade-off
θ
σr
= 0.75
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
1 ESS
2 Branching
Proportion of habitat A
Migration
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
θ
σr
= 1.25
Trait value
Fitness
0Θ Θ Fitness in habitat A
FitnessinhabitatB
1 1
2 2
3 Branching
Proportion of habitat A
Migration
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 12 / 16
39. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models
(or metapopulations)
High
Vegetation
Low
Vegetation
distance
migration
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 13 / 16
40. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models
(or metapopulations)
Continuous-time soft selection model with limited migration
Habitat A Habitat B
1-q q
μ
μ
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 13 / 16
41. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models: evolution
With a Gaussian Trade-off
Continuous environment
Singular Strategy
s∗ = θ (2 q − 1)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
θ
σr
<
1
2 q (1 − q)
(σ/S)2
2
>
q (1 − q)
3
8 d q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
1 − 4 q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
Two-patch environment
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 14 / 16
42. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models: evolution
With a Gaussian Trade-off
Continuous environment
Singular Strategy
s∗ = θ (2 q − 1)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
θ
σr
<
1
2 q (1 − q)
(σ/S)2
2
>
q (1 − q)
3
8 d q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
1 − 4 q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
Two-patch environment
Singular Strategy
s∗ = θ (2 q − 1)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 14 / 16
43. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models: evolution
With a Gaussian Trade-off
Continuous environment
Singular Strategy
s∗ = θ (2 q − 1)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
θ
σr
<
1
2 q (1 − q)
(σ/S)2
2
>
q (1 − q)
3
8 d q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
1 − 4 q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
Two-patch environment
Singular Strategy
s∗ = θ (2 q − 1)
Convergence stability
Always
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 14 / 16
44. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models: evolution
With a Gaussian Trade-off
Continuous environment
Singular Strategy
s∗ = θ (2 q − 1)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
θ
σr
<
1
2 q (1 − q)
(σ/S)2
2
>
q (1 − q)
3
8 d q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
1 − 4 q (1 − q) (θ/σr )2
Two-patch environment
Singular Strategy
s∗ = θ (2 q − 1)
Convergence stability
Always
Evolutionary stability
θ
σr
<
1
2 q (1 − q)
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 14 / 16
47. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
Evolution of generalists when . . .
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
48. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
Evolution of generalists when . . .
Concave trade-off
close habitat optima
weak trade-off
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
49. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
Evolution of generalists when . . .
Concave trade-off
close habitat optima
weak trade-off
Strong migration
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
50. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
Evolution of generalists when . . .
Concave trade-off
close habitat optima
weak trade-off
Strong migration
Evolution with small mutations
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
51. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
Evolution of generalists when . . .
Concave trade-off
close habitat optima
weak trade-off
Strong migration
Evolution with small mutations
Same singular strategies
Same condition for convergence stability
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
52. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
Evolution of generalists when . . .
Concave trade-off
close habitat optima
weak trade-off
Strong migration
Evolution with small mutations
Same singular strategies
Same condition for convergence stability
Almost same condition for evolutionary stability
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
53. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
. . . But with large mutations
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
54. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
. . . But with large mutations
Two patches Never more than two species coexisting
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
55. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
. . . But with large mutations
Two patches Never more than two species coexisting
Continuous Sometimes more than two species coexisting
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
56. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Conclusion: Spatially continuous vs. patchy
. . . But with large mutations
Two patches Never more than two species coexisting
Continuous Sometimes more than two species coexisting
Spatial location
SA
SB
G
0qS qSS S
0.
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.
Spatial location
Proportion
time
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 15 / 16
57. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Acknowledgments
Virginie Ravign´e
Thomas Lenormand
Minus van Baalen
Patrice David
Oph´elie Ronce
Fran¸cois Rousset
Audrey Coreau
Pierre-Andr´e Crochet
Aur´elie Cailleau
Federico Manna
Nicolas Rode
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 16 / 16
58. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Acknowledgments
Virginie Ravign´e
Thomas Lenormand
Minus van Baalen
Patrice David
Oph´elie Ronce
Fran¸cois Rousset
Audrey Coreau
Pierre-Andr´e Crochet
Aur´elie Cailleau
Federico Manna
Nicolas Rode
and you for your attention !
F. D´ebarre and S. Gandon Evolution of specialist vs generalist strategies in a continuous environment 28-08-2009 16 / 16
59. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Invasion condition
Does a mutant with trait sm invade a population fixed for trait sr?
Case where sm > sr : upper triangle in the PIP
60. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Invasion condition
Does a mutant with trait sm invade a population fixed for trait sr?
Case where sm > sr : upper triangle in the PIP
Yes, when
a >
1
wA
arctan −
wB
wA
tanh (b
√
−wB )
61. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Invasion condition
Does a mutant with trait sm invade a population fixed for trait sr?
Case where sm > sr : upper triangle in the PIP
Yes, when
a >
1
wA
arctan −
wB
wA
tanh (b
√
−wB )
Spatial Parameters
a =
qS
√
2
σ
; b =
(1 − q)S
√
2
σ
62. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Invasion condition
Does a mutant with trait sm invade a population fixed for trait sr?
Case where sm > sr : upper triangle in the PIP
Yes, when
a >
1
wA
arctan −
wB
wA
tanh (b
√
−wB )
Spatial Parameters
a =
qS
√
2
σ
; b =
(1 − q)S
√
2
σ
Invasion fitness in absence of migration
wA =
rA(sm) − rA(sr)
rA(sr)
; wB =
rB (sm) − rB (sr)
rB (sr)
64. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Habitats and fitness
With a general trade-off
fitness in B = u( fitness in A )
65. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Habitats and fitness
With a general trade-off
fitness in B = u( fitness in A )
rB (s) = u(rA(s))
66. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Habitats and fitness
With a general trade-off
fitness in B = u( fitness in A )
rB (s) = u(rA(s))
u is a decreasing function
u is derivable (at least) twice
67. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Evolution of s
With a general trade-off rB = u(rA)
Singular Strategy
rA(s∗
) u (rA(s∗
))
u(rA(s∗))
= −
q
1 − q
Convergence stability
u (rA(s∗
)) <
q u(rA(s∗
))
(1 − q)2 rA(s∗)2
Evolutionary stability
u (rA(s∗
)) < 0
(σ/S)2
2
>
q (1 − q)
3
2 q d u(rA(s∗
))
−u (rA(s∗)) rA(s∗)2 (1 − q)2
68. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models
(or metapopulations)
Continuous-time soft selection model with limited migration
Habitat A Habitat B
1-q q
μ
μ
69. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models
(or metapopulations)
Continuous-time soft selection model with limited migration
Habitat A Habitat B
1-q q
μ
μ
dpA
i
d t
= pA
i
rA(si )
¯rA
− 1 + µ (1 − q) (pB
i − pA
i )
dpB
i
d t
= pB
i
rB (si )
¯rB
− 1 + µ q (pA
i − pB
i )
70. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models
(or metapopulations)
Continuous-time soft selection model with limited migration
Habitat A Habitat B
1-q q
μ
μ
dpA
i
d t
= pA
i
rA(si )
¯rA
− 1 + µ (1 − q) (pB
i − pA
i )
dpB
i
d t
= pB
i
rB (si )
¯rB
− 1 + µ q (pA
i − pB
i )
71. Introduction Model Results Conclusion More?
Two-patch models
(or metapopulations)
Continuous-time soft selection model with limited migration
Habitat A Habitat B
1-q q
μ
μ
dpA
i
d t
= pA
i
rA(si )
¯rA
− 1 + µ (1 − q) (pB
i − pA
i )
dpB
i
d t
= pB
i
rB (si )
¯rB
− 1 + µ q (pA
i − pB
i )