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Data Mining of Project Management Data:
An Analysis of Applied Research Studies
1
Gürdal Ertek Allan N. Zhang Sobhan Asian Murat M Tunc Omer Tanrikulu
Outline
•Project Management
•Data Mining
•Research Gap  Topic  Methods
•Applied Framework
•Results
•Conclusions
•Acknowledgement
2
Data Mining
Project Management
Project
• “A temporary endeavor
• (with a definite beginning and definite end),
• with progressive elaboration (developing in
steps, continuing in increments),
• undertaken to create a unique
• product,
• service, or
• result”.
3
Project Management (PM)
• “Application of
• knowledge,
• skills,
• tools, and
• techniques
• to project activities
• to meet project requirements” [1].
• Very important, because projects are
• undertaken at all levels of the organization,
• in almost any industry, and
• can have long-term effects.
4
Project Management (PM)
• Vast literature on project management
• Specialized academic journals,
• Professional institutions,
• Project Management Institute (PMI),
• dedicated to project management field.
5
Project Management (PM)
• However, real world projects usually
• fall behind the performance goals or
• FAIL frequently.
6Source: http://calleam.com/WTPF/
Project Management (PM)
• McKinsey & Company study of 5,400 large scale
information technology (IT) projects:
• Large IT projects run
• 45% over budget and
• 7% over time, while
• delivering 56% less value than predicted.
• Even more critically,
• 17% of large IT projects FAIL so big to threaten the
existence of the company.
7
Data in Projects (1 of 2)
• Project managers and planners make use of data,
while new data is generated as a project
progresses.
• Real world projects are becoming increasingly
complex, and are involving larger amount of
data.
• Big strategic projects, such as the production
of a satellite, already generate amounts of data
that can be classified as big data.
8
Data in Projects (2 of 2)
• Data
• in databases
• post-project reviews
• can be
• major source of actionable insights and competitive
advantage.
• Multitude of studies
• data mining (DM) techniques for
• analyzing data coming from project management
(PM).
• "DM for PM"
9
Data Mining
• Data mining (DM)
• growing field of computer science
• discovery of actionable insights from –typically large
and complex- data
• tap into the information hidden in databases and
unstructured documents
• use data for advantage.
10
Research Gap | Topic
• No research on the survey of literature on
• data mining applications for project management.
• While use of data mining in manufacturing was
• surveyed in [9].
• Our Research:
• investigation of the literature on "DM for PM",
• results and analysis.
• gaps in the current literature
• opportunities for future research.
• Goal:
• understanding of data mining (DM) for project
management (PM) researchers and project managers,
• as the world is moving towards the new age of big data. 11
12
http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-goals/
http://bit.ly/1Kjkn0B
Data (shared at ErtekProjects.com)
13
3,000+
papers
1,500+
papers
250+
papers
116
papers
searched
downloaded
& skimmed
read
in detail
included
in analysis
Source data: http://ertekprojects.com/ftp/supp/14.xlsx
Data (shared at ErtekProjects.com)
14Source data: http://ertekprojects.com/ftp/supp/14.xlsx
Data
15Source data: http://ertekprojects.com/ftp/supp/14.xlsx
Data
16Source data: http://ertekprojects.com/ftp/supp/14.xlsx
Research Methods (1 of 2)
• Data Mining
• growing field of computer science and informatics
• aims at discovering new and useful information and
knowledge from data.
• multitude of analytical methods (and algorithms)
• each method or combination of methods are most
suitable for a given data with unique characteristics.
17
Research Methods (2 of 2)
• Association Mining
• data mining method for
• identifying associations between
• elements (items) of a set (set of items),
• based on how these elements appear in
• multiple subsets (transactions) of the set.
• gives as output
• list of itemsets appearing together frequently in
transactions (frequent itemsets), and
• rules that describe how these associations affect each other
(association rules).
• An association rule is a rule in the form
“IF [Antecedent A] THEN [Consequent B]”
(or simply as “A⇒B”).
18
Applied Framework
19
Results
20
Results
21
Results
22
Results
23
Results
24
Conclusions (1 of 15)
25
• 41 of the 116 reviewed papers are coming from the
construction industry,
• showing the significance of construction industry from
• not only from a project management (PM) perspective,
• but also from data mining (DM) and information technology (IT)
perspectives.
Conclusions (2 of 15)
26
• Other frequently encountered industries in the papers are
• information and communication
• manufacturing.
Conclusions (3 of 15)
27
• Papers using data from
• United States (19 papers) are most frequent, followed by those
that use data from
• Taiwan (14 papers) and
• China (5 papers).
Conclusions (4 of 15)
28
• Most frequent objectives are
• cost minimization,
• cost estimation,
• makespan and
• time minimization.
Conclusions (5 of 15)
29
• Visualization is the most popular data mining method, and is
• followed by statistical analysis.
• The application of association rule mining and text mining
seems least popular,
• illustrating the opportunity to conduct research that uses
these methods and/or develops new algorithms within these
methods, especially for manufacturing.
Conclusions (6 of 15)
30
• The most popular software tool is the
• SPSS statistics/data mining software, followed by
• MATLAB and
• WEKA.
Conclusions (7 of 15)
31
• An overwhelming percentage (88.8%) of the papers used
data from the real world, which is very favorable.
Conclusions (8 of 15)
32
• 85.3% of the papers used only existing methods,
• rather than developing new data mining methods for the project
management domain,
• or being applied in the project management domain.
• This shows an important opportunity for future research for
• developing new data mining methods
• for the project management domain.
Conclusions (9 of 15)
33
• 82.9% of the papers did not present the development of a
decision support system (DSS), which suggests that
• future research can involve development of DSS.
Conclusions (10 of 15)
34
• 78.4% of the papers looked into single project data,
• showing a gap, as well as opportunity to
• conduct research on multi-project management.
Conclusions (11 of 15)
35
• The data type in the papers was mainly (78%) single project
data, suggesting gap and opportunity to conduct
• more research with multiple-project data.
Conclusions (12 of 15)
36
• Research on multi-project data where projects share
resources is very scarce (9%), suggesting that
• research on multi-project data can especially focus on the case
where resources are shared.
Money Manpower Equipment
Facilities Materials Information/technology
Conclusions (13 of 15)
37
• More research can be done for
• operational-level projects and
• strategic-level projects,
• due to the gap and opportunity on projects at these levels.
Conclusions (14 of 15)
38
• There is opportunity to do more research that involves
• manufacturing, as well as
• public,
• defense, and
• scientific projects,
and projects in
• health,
• insurance, and
• energy industries.
Conclusions (15 of 15)
39
• Papers where decision support systems (DSS) were
developed are
• four times more likely to also contain the
• development of a new method.
• So any research where DSS or a new method is developed is
more likely to contain (and expected to contain by the
reviewers) the other.
40
41
Acknowledgement
• Data Cleaning & Analysis
• Şevki Murat Ayan
• Onur Aksöyek
• Ece Kurtaraner
• Mete Sevinç
• Byung-Geun Cho
• Research Grant
• Abu Dhabi University
42
Thank you. Your Questions?
43

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Data Mining of Project Management Data: An Analysis of Applied Research Studies_pptx

  • 1. Data Mining of Project Management Data: An Analysis of Applied Research Studies 1 Gürdal Ertek Allan N. Zhang Sobhan Asian Murat M Tunc Omer Tanrikulu
  • 2. Outline •Project Management •Data Mining •Research Gap  Topic  Methods •Applied Framework •Results •Conclusions •Acknowledgement 2 Data Mining Project Management
  • 3. Project • “A temporary endeavor • (with a definite beginning and definite end), • with progressive elaboration (developing in steps, continuing in increments), • undertaken to create a unique • product, • service, or • result”. 3
  • 4. Project Management (PM) • “Application of • knowledge, • skills, • tools, and • techniques • to project activities • to meet project requirements” [1]. • Very important, because projects are • undertaken at all levels of the organization, • in almost any industry, and • can have long-term effects. 4
  • 5. Project Management (PM) • Vast literature on project management • Specialized academic journals, • Professional institutions, • Project Management Institute (PMI), • dedicated to project management field. 5
  • 6. Project Management (PM) • However, real world projects usually • fall behind the performance goals or • FAIL frequently. 6Source: http://calleam.com/WTPF/
  • 7. Project Management (PM) • McKinsey & Company study of 5,400 large scale information technology (IT) projects: • Large IT projects run • 45% over budget and • 7% over time, while • delivering 56% less value than predicted. • Even more critically, • 17% of large IT projects FAIL so big to threaten the existence of the company. 7
  • 8. Data in Projects (1 of 2) • Project managers and planners make use of data, while new data is generated as a project progresses. • Real world projects are becoming increasingly complex, and are involving larger amount of data. • Big strategic projects, such as the production of a satellite, already generate amounts of data that can be classified as big data. 8
  • 9. Data in Projects (2 of 2) • Data • in databases • post-project reviews • can be • major source of actionable insights and competitive advantage. • Multitude of studies • data mining (DM) techniques for • analyzing data coming from project management (PM). • "DM for PM" 9
  • 10. Data Mining • Data mining (DM) • growing field of computer science • discovery of actionable insights from –typically large and complex- data • tap into the information hidden in databases and unstructured documents • use data for advantage. 10
  • 11. Research Gap | Topic • No research on the survey of literature on • data mining applications for project management. • While use of data mining in manufacturing was • surveyed in [9]. • Our Research: • investigation of the literature on "DM for PM", • results and analysis. • gaps in the current literature • opportunities for future research. • Goal: • understanding of data mining (DM) for project management (PM) researchers and project managers, • as the world is moving towards the new age of big data. 11
  • 13. Data (shared at ErtekProjects.com) 13 3,000+ papers 1,500+ papers 250+ papers 116 papers searched downloaded & skimmed read in detail included in analysis Source data: http://ertekprojects.com/ftp/supp/14.xlsx
  • 14. Data (shared at ErtekProjects.com) 14Source data: http://ertekprojects.com/ftp/supp/14.xlsx
  • 17. Research Methods (1 of 2) • Data Mining • growing field of computer science and informatics • aims at discovering new and useful information and knowledge from data. • multitude of analytical methods (and algorithms) • each method or combination of methods are most suitable for a given data with unique characteristics. 17
  • 18. Research Methods (2 of 2) • Association Mining • data mining method for • identifying associations between • elements (items) of a set (set of items), • based on how these elements appear in • multiple subsets (transactions) of the set. • gives as output • list of itemsets appearing together frequently in transactions (frequent itemsets), and • rules that describe how these associations affect each other (association rules). • An association rule is a rule in the form “IF [Antecedent A] THEN [Consequent B]” (or simply as “A⇒B”). 18
  • 25. Conclusions (1 of 15) 25 • 41 of the 116 reviewed papers are coming from the construction industry, • showing the significance of construction industry from • not only from a project management (PM) perspective, • but also from data mining (DM) and information technology (IT) perspectives.
  • 26. Conclusions (2 of 15) 26 • Other frequently encountered industries in the papers are • information and communication • manufacturing.
  • 27. Conclusions (3 of 15) 27 • Papers using data from • United States (19 papers) are most frequent, followed by those that use data from • Taiwan (14 papers) and • China (5 papers).
  • 28. Conclusions (4 of 15) 28 • Most frequent objectives are • cost minimization, • cost estimation, • makespan and • time minimization.
  • 29. Conclusions (5 of 15) 29 • Visualization is the most popular data mining method, and is • followed by statistical analysis. • The application of association rule mining and text mining seems least popular, • illustrating the opportunity to conduct research that uses these methods and/or develops new algorithms within these methods, especially for manufacturing.
  • 30. Conclusions (6 of 15) 30 • The most popular software tool is the • SPSS statistics/data mining software, followed by • MATLAB and • WEKA.
  • 31. Conclusions (7 of 15) 31 • An overwhelming percentage (88.8%) of the papers used data from the real world, which is very favorable.
  • 32. Conclusions (8 of 15) 32 • 85.3% of the papers used only existing methods, • rather than developing new data mining methods for the project management domain, • or being applied in the project management domain. • This shows an important opportunity for future research for • developing new data mining methods • for the project management domain.
  • 33. Conclusions (9 of 15) 33 • 82.9% of the papers did not present the development of a decision support system (DSS), which suggests that • future research can involve development of DSS.
  • 34. Conclusions (10 of 15) 34 • 78.4% of the papers looked into single project data, • showing a gap, as well as opportunity to • conduct research on multi-project management.
  • 35. Conclusions (11 of 15) 35 • The data type in the papers was mainly (78%) single project data, suggesting gap and opportunity to conduct • more research with multiple-project data.
  • 36. Conclusions (12 of 15) 36 • Research on multi-project data where projects share resources is very scarce (9%), suggesting that • research on multi-project data can especially focus on the case where resources are shared. Money Manpower Equipment Facilities Materials Information/technology
  • 37. Conclusions (13 of 15) 37 • More research can be done for • operational-level projects and • strategic-level projects, • due to the gap and opportunity on projects at these levels.
  • 38. Conclusions (14 of 15) 38 • There is opportunity to do more research that involves • manufacturing, as well as • public, • defense, and • scientific projects, and projects in • health, • insurance, and • energy industries.
  • 39. Conclusions (15 of 15) 39 • Papers where decision support systems (DSS) were developed are • four times more likely to also contain the • development of a new method. • So any research where DSS or a new method is developed is more likely to contain (and expected to contain by the reviewers) the other.
  • 40. 40
  • 41. 41
  • 42. Acknowledgement • Data Cleaning & Analysis • Şevki Murat Ayan • Onur Aksöyek • Ece Kurtaraner • Mete Sevinç • Byung-Geun Cho • Research Grant • Abu Dhabi University 42
  • 43. Thank you. Your Questions? 43