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Ctia Survey Midyear 2009 Graphics
1.
Background on CTIA’s
Semi-Annual Wireless Industry Survey CTIA-The Wireless Association®’s Semi-annual wireless industry survey develops industry-wide information drawn from operational member and non-member wireless service providers. It has been conducted since January 1985, originally as a cellular- only survey instrument, and now including PCS, ESMR and AWS licensees. No break-out of results specific to spectrum bands or licenses is performed. The information solicited from the service providers includes: direct employment, number of cell sites, total service revenues, roaming revenues as a subset of total service revenues, the average local monthly bill, and the average length of call. The average local monthly bill is developed on a weighted basis, to avoid skewing the figures. It is not an average of averages. No adjustments are made to these figures. The CTIA survey also develops information on the number of reported wireless service subscribers for the responding systems, and an estimated total subscriber figure (taking into account non-responding systems). Because the CTIA survey is a voluntary survey, it cannot compel responses from wireless carriers. However, the survey has an excellent response rate. For the June 30, 2009, installment of the semi-annual survey, CTIA received responses from companies serving 95.9 percent of wireless subscribers. Because not all systems do respond, CTIA develops an estimate of total subscribership. The estimated subscriber figure is developed by determining the identity and character of non-responding markets (i.e., RSA/MSA or equivalent-market designation, age of system, market population), and using a surrogate penetration rate applicable to similar, known systems to derive probable subscribership. These numbers are then summed with the reported subscriber numbers to reach the total estimated subscriber figures. No carrier-specific or market-specific information is maintained as a result of the survey. All such information is aggregated by an independent accounting firm to a nationwide level. The underlying source material for the survey is then destroyed per confidentiality agreements. The following tables and charts reflect selected top-of-the-line data. Complete results of CTIA’s semi-annual survey are available for purchase in the comprehensive report, CTIA’s Wireless Industry Indices: 1985 – 2008, including data on revenues, subscriber usage, investment, digital subscribership, and other operational indicators and ratios. The report is available for a member price of $850 and a non-member price of $1,075. Subsequent copies are available to members at $475 each and to non-members at $535 each. Annual subscriptions are available at a member price of $1,445 and non-member price of $1,825. The report may be ordered by contacting research@ctia.org or by ordering directly from CTIA’s Research e-Store at http://www.ctia.org/store/producttyperesults.cfm?group_id=1. Order forms are also available on CTIA’s web site, at http://files.ctia.org/pdf/Indices_Order_Form1.pdf. Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association®
2.
CTIA-THE WIRELESS ASSOCIATION®
ANNUALIZED U.S. WIRELESS INDUSTRY SURVEY RESULTS - JUNE 1985 TO JUNE 2009 Twelve-Month 12-Month Average Local Total Service Roamer Direct Service Monthly Bill Average Local Call Estimated Total Revenues Revenues Provider (June Survey Length (June Survey Date Subscribers (in $000s) (in $000s) Cell Sites Employees Periods) Periods) 1985 203,600 $354,316 N/a 599 1,697 N/a N/a 1986 500,000 $666,782 N/a 1,194 3,556 N/a N/a 1987 883,778 $941,981 N/a 1,732 5,656 N/a N/a 1988 1,608,697 $1,558,080 N/a 2,789 9,154 $95.00 2.25 1989 2,691,793 $2,479,936 $210,699 3,577 13,719 $85.52 2.35 1990 4,368,686 $4,060,494 $365,549 4,768 18,973 $83.94 2.32 1991 6,380,053 $5,075,963 $565,989 6,685 25,545 $74.56 2.20 1992 8,892,535 $6,688,302 $838,077 8,901 30,595 $68.51 2.38 1993 13,067,318 $9,008,700 $1,124,493 11,551 36,501 $67.31 2.38 1994 19,283,306 $12,591,947 $1,552,382 14,740 45,622 $58.65 2.36 1995 28,154,414 $16,460,516 $2,173,003 19,844 60,689 $52.45 2.27 1996 38,195,466 $21,525,861 $2,737,177 24,802 73,365 $48.84 2.24 1997 48,705,553 $25,575,275 $2,858,432 38,650 97,039 $43.86 2.25 1998 60,831,431 $29,637,742 $3,166,656 57,674 113,111 $39.88 2.34 1999 76,284,753 $37,214,819 $3,837,994 74,157 141,929 $40.24 2.40 2000 97,035,925 $45,295,550 $4,134,626 95,733 159,645 $45.15 2.48 2001 118,397,734 $58,726,376 $3,698,683 114,059 186,317 $45.56 2.62 2002 134,561,370 $71,117,599 $4,055,654 131,350 186,956 $47.42 2.60 2003 148,065,824 $81,185,272 $3,874,488 147,719 187,169 $49.46 2.63 2004 169,467,393 $95,515,593 $3,956,823 174,368 212,186 $49.49 3.06 2005 194,479,364 $108,534,727 $4,136,492 178,025 225,162 $49.52 3.04 2006 219,652,457 $118,299,682 $3,558,052 197,576 238,236 $49.30 2.94 2007 243,428,202 $132,893,824 $3,611,049 210,360 257,401 $49.94 3.13 2008 262,720,165 $143,710,400 $3,690,099 220,472 267,855 $48.54 2.43 2009 276,610,580 $151,203,725 $3,546,748 245,912 261,453 $49.57 2.03 Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association®
3.
CTIA’S SEMI-ANNUAL WIRELESS
INDUSTRY SURVEY RESULTS JANUARY 1985 – JUNE 2009 Roamer Service Direct Service Avg. Local Estimated Total Six-Month Revenues Provider Average Local Call Length Avg. Roam Date Subscribers Revenues ($000) ($000) Cell Sites Employees Monthly Bill (Min) Call Length Jan-85 91,600 $178,085 N/A 346 1,404 N/A N/A N/A Jun-85 203,600 $176,231 N/A 599 1,697 N/A N/A N/A Dec-85 340,213 $306,197 N/A 913 2,727 N/A N/A N/A Jun-86 500,000 $360,585 N/A 1,194 3,556 N/A N/A N/A Dec-86 681,825 $462,467 N/A 1,531 4,334 N/A N/A N/A Jun-87 883,778 $479,514 N/A 1,732 5,656 N/A N/A N/A Dec-87 1,230,855 $672,005 N/A 2,305 7,147 $96.83 N/A N/A Jun-88 1,608,697 $886,075 N/A 2,789 9,154 $95.00 N/A N/A Dec-88 2,069,441 $1,073,473 $89,331 3,209 11,400 $98.02 N/A N/A Jun-89 2,691,793 $1,406,463 $121,368 3,577 13,719 $85.52 N/A N/A Dec-89 3,508,944 $1,934,132 $173,199 4,169 15,927 $89.30 N/A N/A Jun-90 4,368,686 $2,126,362 $192,350 4,768 18,973 $83.94 N/A N/A Dec-90 5,283,055 $2,422,458 $263,660 5,616 21,382 $80.90 N/A N/A Jun-91 6,380,053 $2,653,505 $302,329 6,685 25,545 $74.56 N/A N/A Dec-91 7,557,148 $3,055,017 $401,325 7,847 26,327 $72.74 N/A N/A Jun-92 8,892,535 $3,633,285 $436,725 8,901 30,595 $68.51 N/A N/A Dec-92 11,032,753 $4,189,441 $537,146 10,307 34,348 $68.68 N/A N/A Jun-93 13,067,318 $4,819,259 $587,347 11,551 36,501 $67.31 2.38 3.38 Dec-93 16,009,461 $6,075,916 $774,266 12,824 39,810 $61.49 2.41 3.26 Jun-94 19,283,306 $6,519,031 $778,116 14,740 45,622 $58.65 2.36 2.89 Dec-94 24,134,421 $7,710,891 $1,052,666 17,920 53,902 $56.21 2.24 2.85 Jun-95 28,154,414 $8,749,625 $1,120,337 19,844 60,689 $52.45 2.27 2.74 Dec-95 33,758,661 $10,330,614 $1,422,233 22,663 68,165 $51.00 2.15 2.79 Jun-96 38,195,466 $11,194,247 $1,314,943 24,802 73,365 $48.84 2.24 2.80 Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association®
4.
CTIA’S SEMI-ANNUAL WIRELESS
INDUSTRY SURVEY RESULTS Total Six- Roamer Month Service Direct Service Avg. Local Estimated Revenues Revenues Provider Average Local Call Length Avg. Roam Date Subscribers ($000) ($000) Cell Sites Employees Monthly Bill (Min) Call Length Dec-96 44,042,992 $12,440,724 $1,465,992 30,045 84,161 $47.70 2.32 3.14 Jun-97 48,705,553 $13,134,551 $1,392,440 38,650 97,039 $43.86 2.25 2.95 Dec-97 55,312,293 $14,351,082 $1,581,765 51,600 109,387 $42.78 2.31 2.94 Jun-98 60,831,431 $15,286,660 $1,584,891 57,674 113,111 $39.88 2.34 2.65 Dec-98 69,209,321 $17,846,515 $1,915,578 65,887 134,754 $39.43 2.39 3.11 Jun-99 76,284,753 $19,368,304 $1,922,416 74,157 141,929 $40.24 2.40 2.96 Dec-99 86,047,003 $20,650,185 $2,163,001 81,698 155,817 $41.24 2.38 3.11 Jun-00 97,035,925 $24,645,365 $1,971,625 95,733 159,645 $45.15 2.48 3.19 Dec-00 109,478,031 $27,820,655 $1,911,356 104,288 184,449 $45.27 2.56 3.23 Jun-01 118,397,734 $30,905,721 $1,727,058 114,059 186,317 $45.56 2.62 3.01 Dec-01 128,374,512 $34,410,513 $2,205,768 127,540 203,580 $47.37 2.74 2.94 Jun-02 134,561,370 $36,707,086 $1,846,267 131,350 186,956 $47.42 2.60 3.07 Dec-02 140,766,842 $39,801,101 $2,049,245 139,338 192,410 $48.40 2.73 3.11 Jun-03 148,065,824 $41,384,171 $1,825,243 147,719 187,169 $49.46 2.63 3.15 Dec-03 158,721,981 $46,239,922 $1,941,024 162,986 205,629 $49.91 3.07 3.45 Jun-04 169,467,393 $49,275,671 $2,015,799 174,368 212,186 $49.49 3.06 3.45 Dec-04 182,140,362 $52,845,539 $2,194,532 175,725 226,016 $50.64 3.05 2.80 Jun-05 194,479,364 $55,689,208 $1,941,960 178,025 225,162 $49.52 3.04 2.66 Dec-05 207,896,198 $57,849,013 $1,844,371 183,689 233,067 $49.98 3.00 3.36 Jun-06 219,652,457 $60,450,669 $1,713,680 197,576 238,236 $49.30 2.94 3.40 Dec-06 233,040,781 $65,006,156 $1,780,614 195,613 253,793 $50.56 3.03 3.47 June-07 243,428,202 $67,887,668 $1,830,435 210,360 257,401 $49.94 3.13 3.35 Dec-07 255,395,599 $70,981,636 $1,911,579 213,299 266,782 $49.79 N/A 3.40 Jun-08 262,720,165 $72,728,764 $1,778,519 220,472 267,855 $48.54 2.43 3.16 Dec-08 270,333,881 $75,355,406 $1,960,755 242,130 268,528 $50.07 2.27 3.27 Jun-09 276,610,580 $75,848,319 $1,585,993 245,912 261,453 $49.57 2.03 3.39 Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association®
5.
276,610,580
Jun-09 262,720,165 Jun-08 243,428,202 Jun-07 219,652,457 Jun-06 194,479,364 Jun-05 169,467,393 Jun-04 148,065,824 Jun-03 Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA 134,561,370 Jun-02 118,397,734 Jun-01 Mid-Year 2009 Estimated Wireless Subscribers 97,035,925 Jun-00 76,284,753 Jun-99 Up 13.9 Million from June 2008 60,831,431 Jun-98 © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association® Estimated Subscribers 48,705,553 Jun-97 38,195,466 Jun-96 28,154,414 Jun-95 19,283,306 Jun-94 13,067,318 Jun-93 8,892,535 Jun-92 6,380,053 Jun-91 4,368,686 Jun-90 2,691,793 Jun-89 1,608,697 Jun-88 883,778 Jun-87 500,000 Jun-86 203,600 Jun-85 300,000,000 250,000,000 200,000,000 150,000,000 100,000,000 0 50,000,000 Source: CTIA
6.
Total Six-Month Service
Revenues (000s) $90,000,000 $75,848,319 $72,728,764 $67,887,668 $80,000,000 $60,450,669 $70,000,000 $55,689,208 $49,275,671 $60,000,000 $41,384,171 Thousands $50,000,000 $36,707,086 $30,905,721 $40,000,000 $24,645,365 $19,368,304 $30,000,000 $15,286,660 $13,134,551 $11,194,247 $20,000,000 $8,749,625 $6,519,031 $4,819,259 $3,633,285 $2,653,505 $2,126,362 $1,406,463 $886,075 $10,000,000 $479,514 $360,585 $176,231 $0 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total Wireless Service Revenues Exceed $75.8 billion for First Six Months of 2009 - Total Twelve-Month Revenues Ending June 2009 Reach More Than $151 Billion Source: CTIA Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association®
7.
Reported Wireless Minutes
of Use Exceed 1.1 Trillion in First Half of 2009 1,200 1,000 800 Billions 600 400 200 0 Jun-91 Jun-92 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Reported Wireless MOUs Grow 3% Year-to-Year Source: CTIA Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association®
8.
57
9. Jun-09 $4 54 8. Jun-08 $4 94 9. Jun-07 $4 30 9. Jun-06 $4 52 9. Jun-05 $4 Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA 49 9. Jun-04 Average Local Monthly Bill Up 2% Year-to-Year $4 46 9. Jun-03 $4 42 7. Jun-02 $4 56 5. Jun-01 Average Local Monthly Bill $4 © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association® 15 5. Jun-00 $4 24 0. Jun-99 $4 88 9. Jun-98 $3 86 3. Jun-97 $4 84 8. Jun-96 $4 45 2. Jun-95 $5 65 8. Jun-94 $5 31 7. Jun-93 $6 51 8. Jun-92 $6 56 4. Jun-91 $7 94 3. Jun-90 $8 52 5. Jun-89 $8 00 5. Jun-88 $9 Source: CTIA $100 $90 $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0
9.
245,912
Jun-09 220,472 Jun-08 210,360 Jun-07 197,576 Jun-06 178,025 Jun-05 174,368 Jun-04 Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA 147,719 Jun-03 Reported Cell Sites in Service are Up 11.5% Year-to-Year 131,350 Jun-02 114,059 Jun-01 95,733 Jun-00 74,157 Jun-99 © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association® 57,674 Jun-98 38,650 Jun-97 Cell Sites 24,802 Jun-96 19,844 Jun-95 14,740 Jun-94 11,551 Jun-93 8,901 Jun-92 6,685 Jun-91 4,768 Jun-90 3,577 Jun-89 2,789 Jun-88 1,732 Jun-87 1,194 Jun-86 599 Jun-85 275,000 250,000 225,000 200,000 175,000 150,000 125,000 100,000 75,000 50,000 25,000 0 Source: CTIA
10.
Direct Carrier Employees
300,000 267,855 261,453 257,401 270,000 238,236 225,162 240,000 212,186 187,169 186,956 186,317 210,000 159,645 180,000 141,929 150,000 113,111 120,000 97,039 73,365 90,000 60,689 45,622 60,000 36,501 30,595 25,545 18,973 13,719 30,000 9,154 5,656 3,556 1,697 0 Jun-85 Jun-86 Jun-87 Jun-88 Jun-89 Jun-90 Jun-91 Jun-92 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Reported Direct Wireless Carrier Employment Falls 2.4% Year-to-Year Direct Employment More Than 261,000 at Mid-Year 2009 Source: CTIA Materials May not be reproduced or photocopied in any form without written permission from CTIA © 2009 CTIA-The Wireless Association®
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