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Creating the internal Energy
Market in Europe
Key findings
• Structural market distortions remain
  the main obstacle for the IEM and
  wind energy integration
   – Large incumbents, high market
     concentration, regulated prices
• Support mechanisms for wind and
  RES should be seen in the context of
  unfinished liberalisation
• Exposure of wind generators to
  market risks require a level playing
  field
Key findings (…continued)
• Integration of large amounts of wind
  in a cost efficient manner requires
  changing current market
  arrangements
Key findings (…continued)
• The EU Target Model (TM) does not
  effectively enable optimal wind
  energy integration
   – No emphasis on wind integration to
     the extent of NREAPs
   – No provisions for more competition
   – Lack of emphasis on intraday and
     balancing markets liquidity,
     harmonisation and interactions.
     These are wind energy integration
     cornerstones!
Key findings (…continued)
• Flexibility is the main feature of
  tomorrow’s power system
   – Low marginal costs
   – Fast ramping power plants
   – Investment recovery over fewer
     running hours
• Wind energy is able to contribute
  significantly to system operation and
  flexibility
   – Grid support services
   – System adequacy
Policy recommendations
1. Creating a level playing field
2. Implementing the EU-wide Target
    Model with large share of wind
    power
3. Assessing system adequacy
    properly in a renewable EU
    integrated power system
4. Ensuring cost-effectiveness of the
    future power system: a market-
    based approach for ancillary
    services
Policy recommendations
1. Creating a level playing field
• Tackle market distortions rather than
  only focus on RES provisions
   – Implement and transpose properly
     liberalisation packages
   – Provide incentives for extensive use
     of commercial power exchanges
• Design market rules that recognise
  the intrinsic characteristics of wind
  energy
   – Large control zones for smoothing
     output variability
   – Shorter trading time horizons for
     improved forecast accuracy and
Policy recommendations
2. Implementing the EU-wide Target
    Model with large share of wind
    power
• Implement the EU-wide Target Model
  as a minimum
   – Provide integrated intraday and
     balancing markets
   – Make the best use of available
     transmission capacity
• TSOs must be encouraged to
  analyse all aspects of firm capacity
  from wind power and other RES in an
  integrated system at EU level
   – Challenge for capacity payments
Policy recommendations
3. Assessing system adequacy
    properly in a renewable EU
    integrated power system

•   TSOs must be encouraged to
    analyse all aspects of firm capacity
    from wind power and other RES in
    an integrated system at EU level
•   Challenge for capacity payments
Policy recommendations
4. Ensuring cost-effectiveness of the
    future power system: a market-
    based approach for ancillary
    services

• Grid codes in Europe should first
  consider market options for ancillary
  services instead of compulsory
  requirements
• Establish grid support services
  markets to create additional non-
  discriminatory revenue streams for all
  generators
Electricity volume traded day-ahead in power
exchanges (PX) vs. forward bilateral contracts (OTC).
[MW as percentage of national gross electricity
production],
2009 data    Poland
       Great Britain
    Czech Republic
    Slovak Republic
             Austria
             France
            Belgium
           Romania
   The Netherlands
          Germany
          Lithuania
           Finland*
                Italy
           Sweden*
           Portugal
              Spain*
         Denmark*
   Northern Ireland*
             Greece

                   0.00%   10.00%   20.00%   30.00%     40.00%     50.00%     60.00%     70.00%   80.00%   90.00%   100.00%

                                                           OTC     PX
                                         Sources: European Parliament , Cornwall, N (2006)
How wind power influences the power spot price at
different times of the day through the so-called
“Merit order effect”




                      Source: Risø DTU
Increasing wind forecast error (Root Mean Square
Error) as time horizon increases. Results from
regional wind power production from Germany
                                7.00%


                                6.00%
  RMSE [% of installed power]




                                5.00%


                                4.00%


                                3.00%


                                2.00%


                                1.00%


                                0.00%
                                        Intraday                   Day ahead   2 days ahead


                                                   Source: IEA Wind Task 25
Intraday Markets in the EU (2011)




                       Source: EWEA
Volume of electricity traded in intraday
markets, 2011 and 2010* data




                 Sources: EPEXSPOT, CREG, NordPool, OMIE
Balancing services




                     Sources: ETSO and EWEA
Relevant EU directives and regulations in
electricity




                 Source: Adapted from REKK & KEMA (10), EC, DG Energy
Number of countries with regulated electricity
prices (2009) EU-27

         Household                                       Industrial




                     Sources: European Commission 2011
Degree of market concentration in the EU power
sector




                Source: European Commission 2011
The EU Target Model (TM) for electricity trading




        ATC – Available Transmission Capacity   NTC – Net Transfer Capacity   GCT – Gate Closure
        Time




                                         Source: Florence Forum, Project Coordination Group
                                                            (PGC), 2009
Roadmap for day-ahead market coupling as per TM
Market coupling effects on volatility of energy
prices
                           40                                                                            6.00
                                     5.21
                           35
                                                                                                         5.00

                           30                                                         4.05
  Standard deviation (€)




                                                                                                         4.00
                           25


                           20                                                                            3.00

                                                                                                  1.99
                           15
                                                                                                         2.00

                           10
                                                           0.74
                                                                                                         1.00
                            5


                                                                                                         0.00
                                BE                 DE                            FR               NL

                                            Explicit    Implicit   Explicit-Implicit difference




                                                        Source: CWE
Decrease of forecast error prediction for
aggregated wind power production due to spatial
smoothing effects. Error reduction = ratio of RMSE
regional and RMSE of a single site. Results based
on 40 German wind farms
                    1.0



                    0.8
  Error reduction




                    0.6



                    0.4



                    0.2



                    0.0
                          0   500                          1000                            1500   2000




                                    Source: Energy and Meteo Systems in IEA Wind Task 25
Market coupling mechanisms used in the EU.
*Ongoing initiative
Market coupling mechanisms used in the EU.
*Ongoing initiative
Market coupling mechanisms used in the EU.
*Ongoing initiative
Level of accuracy of wind power predictions for
larger areas and shorter time scales




                    Source: Rorhig, K. in IEA Wind Task 25
Opposite imbalance exchange of two countries




                    Source: Andersen & Detlefsen, 2011
Market integration and wind power deployment
benefits
Increase in capacity credit in Europe due to wind
exchange between countries in 2020

                                         16%
    Relative Capacity Credit, percentage of installed




                                         14%


                                         12%


                                         10%
                       capacity




                                                        8%


                                                        6%


                                                        4%


                                                        2%


                                                        0%
                                                                 No wind energy exchange                                Smoothing effect
                                                             ENTOS-E continental Europe       Top ten wind countries   All European countries




                                                                                           Source: TradeWind project
Increase in capacity credit in Europe due to wind
exchange between countries in 2020


                          30


                          25
    Capacity Credt [GW]




                          20


                          15


                          10


                           5


                           0
                                   No wind energy exchange                                Smoothing effect
                               ENTOS-E continental Europe       Top ten wind countries   All European countries



                                                             Source: TradeWind project
About the European Wind Energy Association

 EWEA is the voice of the wind industry, actively
 promoting wind power in Europe and worldwide. It has
 over 700 members from almost 60 countries making
 EWEA the world's largest and most powerful wind energy
 network.

 Rue d'Arlon 80
 B-1040 Brussels
 Belgium
 www.ewea.org
To download the pdf version click here

To download the Ipad (Ibooks) version click here

If you want to see more statistics, reports, news and
information about wind energy event please visit EWEA’s
website www.ewea.org or contact us at
communication@ewea.org

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Creating the Internal Energy Market in Europe

  • 1. Creating the internal Energy Market in Europe
  • 2. Key findings • Structural market distortions remain the main obstacle for the IEM and wind energy integration – Large incumbents, high market concentration, regulated prices • Support mechanisms for wind and RES should be seen in the context of unfinished liberalisation • Exposure of wind generators to market risks require a level playing field
  • 3. Key findings (…continued) • Integration of large amounts of wind in a cost efficient manner requires changing current market arrangements
  • 4. Key findings (…continued) • The EU Target Model (TM) does not effectively enable optimal wind energy integration – No emphasis on wind integration to the extent of NREAPs – No provisions for more competition – Lack of emphasis on intraday and balancing markets liquidity, harmonisation and interactions. These are wind energy integration cornerstones!
  • 5. Key findings (…continued) • Flexibility is the main feature of tomorrow’s power system – Low marginal costs – Fast ramping power plants – Investment recovery over fewer running hours • Wind energy is able to contribute significantly to system operation and flexibility – Grid support services – System adequacy
  • 6. Policy recommendations 1. Creating a level playing field 2. Implementing the EU-wide Target Model with large share of wind power 3. Assessing system adequacy properly in a renewable EU integrated power system 4. Ensuring cost-effectiveness of the future power system: a market- based approach for ancillary services
  • 7. Policy recommendations 1. Creating a level playing field • Tackle market distortions rather than only focus on RES provisions – Implement and transpose properly liberalisation packages – Provide incentives for extensive use of commercial power exchanges • Design market rules that recognise the intrinsic characteristics of wind energy – Large control zones for smoothing output variability – Shorter trading time horizons for improved forecast accuracy and
  • 8. Policy recommendations 2. Implementing the EU-wide Target Model with large share of wind power • Implement the EU-wide Target Model as a minimum – Provide integrated intraday and balancing markets – Make the best use of available transmission capacity • TSOs must be encouraged to analyse all aspects of firm capacity from wind power and other RES in an integrated system at EU level – Challenge for capacity payments
  • 9. Policy recommendations 3. Assessing system adequacy properly in a renewable EU integrated power system • TSOs must be encouraged to analyse all aspects of firm capacity from wind power and other RES in an integrated system at EU level • Challenge for capacity payments
  • 10. Policy recommendations 4. Ensuring cost-effectiveness of the future power system: a market- based approach for ancillary services • Grid codes in Europe should first consider market options for ancillary services instead of compulsory requirements • Establish grid support services markets to create additional non- discriminatory revenue streams for all generators
  • 11. Electricity volume traded day-ahead in power exchanges (PX) vs. forward bilateral contracts (OTC). [MW as percentage of national gross electricity production], 2009 data Poland Great Britain Czech Republic Slovak Republic Austria France Belgium Romania The Netherlands Germany Lithuania Finland* Italy Sweden* Portugal Spain* Denmark* Northern Ireland* Greece 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% OTC PX Sources: European Parliament , Cornwall, N (2006)
  • 12. How wind power influences the power spot price at different times of the day through the so-called “Merit order effect” Source: Risø DTU
  • 13. Increasing wind forecast error (Root Mean Square Error) as time horizon increases. Results from regional wind power production from Germany 7.00% 6.00% RMSE [% of installed power] 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% Intraday Day ahead 2 days ahead Source: IEA Wind Task 25
  • 14. Intraday Markets in the EU (2011) Source: EWEA
  • 15. Volume of electricity traded in intraday markets, 2011 and 2010* data Sources: EPEXSPOT, CREG, NordPool, OMIE
  • 16. Balancing services Sources: ETSO and EWEA
  • 17. Relevant EU directives and regulations in electricity Source: Adapted from REKK & KEMA (10), EC, DG Energy
  • 18. Number of countries with regulated electricity prices (2009) EU-27 Household Industrial Sources: European Commission 2011
  • 19. Degree of market concentration in the EU power sector Source: European Commission 2011
  • 20. The EU Target Model (TM) for electricity trading ATC – Available Transmission Capacity NTC – Net Transfer Capacity GCT – Gate Closure Time Source: Florence Forum, Project Coordination Group (PGC), 2009
  • 21. Roadmap for day-ahead market coupling as per TM
  • 22. Market coupling effects on volatility of energy prices 40 6.00 5.21 35 5.00 30 4.05 Standard deviation (€) 4.00 25 20 3.00 1.99 15 2.00 10 0.74 1.00 5 0.00 BE DE FR NL Explicit Implicit Explicit-Implicit difference Source: CWE
  • 23. Decrease of forecast error prediction for aggregated wind power production due to spatial smoothing effects. Error reduction = ratio of RMSE regional and RMSE of a single site. Results based on 40 German wind farms 1.0 0.8 Error reduction 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Source: Energy and Meteo Systems in IEA Wind Task 25
  • 24. Market coupling mechanisms used in the EU. *Ongoing initiative
  • 25. Market coupling mechanisms used in the EU. *Ongoing initiative
  • 26. Market coupling mechanisms used in the EU. *Ongoing initiative
  • 27. Level of accuracy of wind power predictions for larger areas and shorter time scales Source: Rorhig, K. in IEA Wind Task 25
  • 28. Opposite imbalance exchange of two countries Source: Andersen & Detlefsen, 2011
  • 29. Market integration and wind power deployment benefits
  • 30. Increase in capacity credit in Europe due to wind exchange between countries in 2020 16% Relative Capacity Credit, percentage of installed 14% 12% 10% capacity 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% No wind energy exchange Smoothing effect ENTOS-E continental Europe Top ten wind countries All European countries Source: TradeWind project
  • 31. Increase in capacity credit in Europe due to wind exchange between countries in 2020 30 25 Capacity Credt [GW] 20 15 10 5 0 No wind energy exchange Smoothing effect ENTOS-E continental Europe Top ten wind countries All European countries Source: TradeWind project
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. About the European Wind Energy Association EWEA is the voice of the wind industry, actively promoting wind power in Europe and worldwide. It has over 700 members from almost 60 countries making EWEA the world's largest and most powerful wind energy network. Rue d'Arlon 80 B-1040 Brussels Belgium www.ewea.org
  • 36. To download the pdf version click here To download the Ipad (Ibooks) version click here If you want to see more statistics, reports, news and information about wind energy event please visit EWEA’s website www.ewea.org or contact us at communication@ewea.org